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Twilio Inc (TWLO)

被高估
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

基本面

62

价格

$298.61

市值

$44.07B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides customer engagement platform solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides various application programming interfaces and software solutions for communications between customers and end users, including messaging, voice, email, video interactions, digital engagement centers, marketing campaigns, and user authentication and identity solutions. It also offers software products to build direct and personalized relationships with their end users, such as Segment, a platform that provides tools to harness the power of contextual data by unifying real-time information collected throughout each customer's journey into a unique profile. Twilio Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$5.57B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$1.15B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

-

股东权益合计

$7.82B

负债合计

$1.95B

流动比率

4.62

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

3.02

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被高估

公允价值

$178.11

当前价格

$298.61

安全边际

-67.7%

公允价值区间

$115.77 - $240.45

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$263.04
现金流折现法(DCF):$0.60
市盈率法(P/E):$350.89
格雷厄姆成长公式:$118.03
盈利能力价值(EPV):$11.32
合理市净率(P/B):$58.81
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):$23.89
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$178.09
分析师共识:强力买入 (32B / 5H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:+9.29%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

40.62

ROE

0.4%

市净率(P/B)

5.00

P/FCF

-

毛利率

48.5%

ROIC

2.3%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

2.3%

WACC

12.4%

ROIC − WACC

-10.1 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 22.93%
  • Gross Margin 48.5%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.2%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 14.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 23.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 84% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 10.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.92
  • Share Dilution -2.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 20.6% vs 0.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

未通过(5)

  • ROIC 2.3%
  • P/B Ratio 5.00
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

不可用(6)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

6/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

0.92

中等:利润与现金之间存在一定差距

股权稀释

-2.8%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Khozema Zoher ShipchandlerCEO & Director51
Ms. Aidan ViggianoChief Financial Officer45
Mr. Thomas WyattChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Inbal ShaniChief Product & Technology Officer-
Ms. Christy LakeChief Administrative Officer51
Mr. Bryan VanimanSenior Vice President of Corporate Development, Investor Relations & Treasury49
Mr. Chris KoehlerChief Marketing Officer-
Ms. Amy HolcroftChief Privacy Officer-
Juliana ChenCorporate Secretary-
Ms. Robin GrocholVice President of Product, Data, Security & Identity,-

审计风险

1

董事会风险

3

薪酬风险

4

股东权利风险

5

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-24

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-07

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-06

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TWLO, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/27/2026POSITIVE
    Twilio Gains Analyst Backing As High-Margin Voice, Email Eclipse Legacy Messaging

    Bank of America has upgraded Twilio (TWLO) to a 'Buy' rating, setting a new price target of $235, implying a 24% upside potential. This upgrade is underpinned by the company's strategic shift towards high-margin voice and email services, which are increasingly eclipsing its legacy messaging business. A significant factor is the company's impressive 85% margin on email services and a substantial $42 billion contract backlog. Analysts believe these factors are pivotal for Twilio's AI cloud turnaround, projecting strong performance into 2026. Investors are likely to view this as a strong signal of renewed growth and profitability.

  • 5/4/2026POSITIVE
    How Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler is turning the company around and beating SaaSpocalypse fears

    Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler is spearheading a significant turnaround, assuaging fears of a 'SaaSpocalypse'. The company's strategic shifts and operational efficiencies are reportedly yielding positive results, indicating a renewed focus on profitability and sustainable growth. This narrative suggests that Twilio is successfully navigating market challenges and demonstrating resilience. Investors are likely to view these developments favorably, potentially leading to increased confidence in the company's future performance and stock valuation.

  • 5/1/2026POSITIVE
    Twilio’s stock is soaring. The software group says its AI-voice tool is seeing ‘unprecedented demand.’

    Twilio Inc. shares surged approximately 23% following the company's announcement of 'unprecedented demand' for its AI-powered voice tool. This significant uptick provides a much-needed boost to the software sector, which has recently faced headwinds due to broader concerns surrounding artificial intelligence development and adoption. The strong performance suggests that Twilio's specific AI application is resonating with the market, potentially signaling a positive shift in investor sentiment towards AI-driven solutions within the tech industry. Investors will be watching to see if this momentum can be sustained and if other companies can replicate Twilio's success.

via Markets Gazette