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Union Pacific Corp (UNP)

合理估值
IndustrialsRailroadsUnited States

基本面

68

价格

$270.57

市值

$162.84B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. It offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, and ethanol and renewable biofuel producers; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, petroleum, liquid petroleum gases, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$25.41B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$7.33B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$5.50B

股东权益合计

$18.47B

负债合计

$51.23B

流动比率

0.99

利息覆盖率

7.92

债务/EBITDA

2.42

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$261.59

当前价格

$270.57

安全边际

-3.4%

公允价值区间

$205.18 - $318.01

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$329.33
现金流折现法(DCF):$220.28
市盈率法(P/E):$244.24
格雷厄姆成长公式:$282.34
盈利能力价值(EPV):$145.89
合理市净率(P/B):$204.56
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$106.60
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:$342.94
市销率法(P/S):$121.65
分析师共识:买入 (21B / 10H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+4.08%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

22.02

ROE

38.7%

市净率(P/B)

7.82

P/FCF

24.86

毛利率

-

ROIC

12.3%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

12.3%

WACC

8.3%

ROIC − WACC

+3.9 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 7.14%
  • Price CAGR 10.62%
  • ROIC 12.2%
  • P/FCF 24.86
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 40.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 38.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 68% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.40
  • Share Dilution -2.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 28.8% vs 28.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

未通过(7)

  • P/B Ratio 7.82
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 4.6%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.5%
  • PEG Ratio 2.54

不可用(2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

7/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.40

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-2.1%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Vincenzo James VenaCEO & Director66
Ms. Jennifer L. HamannExecutive VP & CFO57
Mr. Rahul JalaliExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer51
Mr. Kenny G. RockerExecutive Vice President of Marketing & Sales53
Ms. Elizabeth F. WhitedAdvisor59
Mr. Eric J. GehringerExecutive Vice President of Operations46
Ms. Carrie J. PowersVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer54
Ms. Rebecca B. GregorySenior Vice President of Administration-
Kate OttosonDirector of Investor Relations-
Ms. Christina B. ConlinExecutive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary52

审计风险

8

董事会风险

1

薪酬风险

3

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-06

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-23

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-07-23

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for UNP, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/10/2026NEUTRAL
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Union Pacific Stock In The Last 20 Years

    An analysis of Union Pacific Corporation's stock performance over the past two decades reveals a significant historical return for investors. While specific figures are not detailed in the provided snippet, the title suggests a substantial gain, implying consistent operational success and shareholder value creation. This historical data, though backward-looking, provides context for current investors regarding the company's long-term trajectory and its ability to navigate market cycles. Further examination of the underlying drivers of this performance would be necessary for a complete investment thesis.

  • 6/4/2026NEUTRAL
    Union Pacific CEO responds to Trump idea for U.S. stake in $71.5 billion railroad mega merger: ‘We do not need anybody’s help to do this’

    Union Pacific CEO Jim Vena has publicly stated that the company does not require government assistance for its proposed merger with Norfolk Southern, dismissing the idea of a 15% U.S. government stake. Vena indicated no direct discussions with former President Trump on this matter. The merger, valued at approximately $71.5 billion, is proceeding under the company's own strategic direction. This statement aims to reassure investors about the merger's independence and management's control over the process, suggesting no immediate external interference is anticipated.

  • 5/29/2026NEUTRAL
    Trump floated the idea of a 15% government stake in a massive railroad merger

    Former President Trump reportedly suggested a 15% government equity stake in a potential major railroad merger. While no specific companies were named, the ongoing acquisition of Norfolk Southern by Union Pacific is the only significant railroad deal currently in progress. This proposal, if enacted, could introduce substantial government influence and potential dilution for existing shareholders in the merged entity. Investors in the railroad sector will monitor any developments closely, as such a move could alter the financial structure and operational independence of major rail operators.

  • 5/28/2026NEGATIVE
    Union Pacific, Norfolk Tumble as Regulator Pauses Merger Review

    Union Pacific Corporation and Norfolk Southern Corporation shares experienced significant declines, falling over 10% following the Surface Transportation Board's (STB) decision to pause its review of their proposed $72 billion merger. This unexpected halt introduces considerable uncertainty regarding the deal's timeline and ultimate approval, potentially jeopardizing the largest-ever rail merger. Investors are reacting to the increased regulatory hurdle and the possibility of prolonged delays or even a failed transaction, impacting the near-term outlook for both companies.

via Markets Gazette