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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)

被低估
IndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsUnited States

基本面

67

价格

$93.98

市值

$80.19B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international transportation services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$89.93B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$4.57B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$4.76B

股东权益合计

$16.23B

负债合计

$56.84B

流动比率

1.18

利息覆盖率

6.01

债务/EBITDA

2.64

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$258.02

当前价格

$93.98

安全边际

+63.6%

公允价值区间

$167.71 - $348.33

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$115.81
现金流折现法(DCF):$699.00
市盈率法(P/E):$65.85
格雷厄姆成长公式:$276.96
盈利能力价值(EPV):$61.50
合理市净率(P/B):$59.71
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$70.96
P/FFO(运营资金):$192.11
周期中段收益:$286.00
市销率法(P/S):$300.53
分析师共识:买入 (18B / 13H / 4S)
最近财报超预期:+4.86%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

17.37

ROE

34.3%

市净率(P/B)

4.43

P/FCF

12.22

毛利率

-

ROIC

9.2%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

9.2%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+1.2 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 17.50%
  • ROIC 9.2%
  • P/FCF 12.22
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 29.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 51% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 12.1%
  • PEG Ratio 0.52
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.94
  • Share Dilution -0.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(8)

  • Price CAGR -1.33%
  • P/B Ratio 4.43
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 0.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 5.1% vs 6.3%

不可用(2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.94

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-0.8%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Ms. Carol B. TomeCEO & Director68
Mr. Brian DykesChief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President46
Mr. Nando CesaroneExecutive VP & Chief Global Operations Officer53
Mr. Bala SubramanianEVP and Chief Digital & Technology Officer54
Ms. Kathleen M. GutmannStrategic Advisor56
PJ GuidoInvestor Relations Officer-
Mr. Norman M. Brothers Jr.Executive VP, Chief Legal, Compliance Officer & Corporate Secretary57
Mr. Darrell L. FordExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer60
Mr. Ralph OzoudeManaging Director of Nigerian Operations & Special Projects Manager for West Africa-
Mr. Harrison ParkManaging Director of UPS Korea-

审计风险

6

董事会风险

8

薪酬风险

8

股东权利风险

10

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-17

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-05

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-31

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for UPS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/24/2026POSITIVE
    UPS investe oltre 2 miliardi di dollari per servizi più rapidi e supply chain globali più resilienti

    UPS announced an investment exceeding $2 billion aimed at enhancing its International, Healthcare, and Supply Chain Solutions divisions. This strategic capital allocation targets faster service delivery and improved global supply chain resilience. The investment underscores UPS's commitment to modernizing its infrastructure and expanding its premium logistics capabilities. For investors, this move signals a proactive approach to capturing growth in global trade and specialized logistics sectors, potentially leading to increased market share and operational efficiencies.

  • 7/28/2026POSITIVE
    UPS CEO on Return to Growth, Global Economic Outlook

    UPS CEO Carol Tomé expressed optimism for the company's future, driven by a strategic shift away from heavy reliance on Amazon deliveries and significant investments in digital platforms and infrastructure. This restructuring aims to unlock new growth avenues and improve operational efficiency. Investors will be watching for the tangible results of these upgrades and the successful diversification of revenue streams, which could lead to enhanced profitability and a stronger market position.

  • 7/28/2026POSITIVE
    UPS turns the page as job cuts and Amazon ‘glide down’ are completed

    United Parcel Service (UPS) shares surged following the company's announcement of completed job cuts and the conclusion of its 'glide down' phase with Amazon. The logistics giant reported an earnings beat, exceeding analyst expectations, and subsequently raised its full-year outlook. This positive financial performance, coupled with the strategic completion of cost-saving measures and a normalized relationship with a key client, signals a robust recovery and improved operational efficiency. Investors are likely to view these developments favorably, anticipating stronger future profitability and a more stable growth trajectory for UPS.

  • 6/23/2026POSITIVE
    UPS is shelling out nearly $50 million on temperature-controlled facilities to meet the booming demand for GLP-1 deliveries

    United Parcel Service (UPS) is investing approximately $50 million to expand its temperature-controlled logistics capabilities, specifically targeting the burgeoning demand for GLP-1 medications. This strategic move underscores the company's focus on the healthcare sector, which is perceived as resilient against economic downturns. The investment aims to enhance UPS's capacity to handle sensitive pharmaceutical shipments, positioning it to capture a larger share of the growing market for specialized medical logistics. Investors may view this as a positive development, signaling UPS's commitment to high-growth, high-margin segments within its business.

  • 4/29/2026POSITIVE
    FedEx and UPS are pledging to give their tariff refunds back to consumers, and the sum will likely top $5 billion

    UPS CEO Carol Tome announced the company's intention to return tariff refunds to customers, a move expected to exceed $5 billion. This commitment signals a customer-centric strategy, potentially enhancing brand loyalty and market share. For investors, this proactive approach to cost savings suggests strong operational management and a focus on long-term customer relationships, which could translate into sustained revenue growth and a competitive advantage in the logistics sector.

  • 4/28/2026NEUTRAL
    UPS Outlook Unchanged as Sales, Profit Top Expectations

    United Parcel Service Inc. reported first-quarter results that surpassed analyst expectations for both sales and profit. Despite these strong operational figures, the company maintained its full-year financial outlook unchanged. This suggests that while current performance is robust, management foresees no significant shifts in the broader economic landscape or company-specific factors that would necessitate revising their annual guidance. Investors will monitor future communications for any signs of changing trends.

  • 4/28/2026NEGATIVE
    UPS leaves full-year outlook intact even as quarterly earnings top target, and stock falls

    United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) shares declined despite reporting quarterly earnings that surpassed analyst expectations. The company maintained its full-year financial outlook, signaling no change in its forward-looking guidance. While the earnings beat suggests operational efficiency in the recent quarter, the market's reaction indicates investor concern over the lack of an upward revision to the annual forecast. This suggests that the current performance might not be enough to drive significant future growth or that underlying challenges persist, leading to a cautious investor sentiment.

  • 3/14/2026NEGATIVE
    5 Things Every UPS Investor Needs to Know

    United Parcel Service (UPS) investors are facing uncertainty regarding the company's 2026 outlook, primarily due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This geopolitical event introduces complex challenges that could impact global logistics and supply chains, potentially affecting UPS's operational efficiency and profitability. Investors will be closely monitoring how the company navigates these external pressures and whether its strategic initiatives can mitigate any adverse effects on its financial performance and future growth projections.

  • 3/14/2026NEUTRAL
    FedEx Just Took UPS's Spot as the Biggest U.S. Parcel Firm. Which Stock is a Smarter Buy in 2026?

    FedEx has surpassed UPS to become the largest U.S. parcel delivery company, according to recent market share data. However, UPS is strategically shifting its focus from sheer volume to profitability. The company is prioritizing higher-margin services and optimizing its network efficiency, aiming to enhance its financial performance rather than solely compete on size. Investors are now evaluating whether UPS's new strategy will lead to sustainable long-term value creation, despite the change in its market leadership position.

via Markets Gazette