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Woolworths Holdings Limited (WLWHF)

被高估
Consumer CyclicalDepartment StoresSouth Africa

基本面

49

价格

$3713.00

市值

$33.23B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Woolworths Holdings is a South African retailer selling premium food, fashion, beauty and homeware, mainly through its own Woolworths-branded stores in South Africa and neighbouring countries. It also owns Country Road Group, a separate fashion business in Australia and New Zealand built around brands such as Country Road and Witchery. The company sold its Australian department store chain, David Jones, in 2023 to focus on these two remaining businesses.

盈利方式

Revenue comes from selling food and general merchandise through owned stores and store-in-store concessions, at prices set higher than mass-market rivals in exchange for a promise of quality and design. Food is the largest single contributor, generating about two-thirds of group revenue, with the fashion, beauty and home business and the separate Country Road Group in Australia making up most of the rest. A financial services arm and a small logistics operation add further revenue.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

The food business is fairly resilient, since groceries are a recurring purchase, while the fashion, beauty and home business and Country Road Group are more exposed to discretionary spending that shrinks when consumer confidence weakens. The company itself cited constrained consumer discretionary spending and subdued confidence in both South Africa and Australia as headwinds in its FY2025 results, and Country Road Group posted an operating loss for the year.

看多理由

Buyers argue that the Woolworths Food business carries a premium reputation for quality that keeps customers loyal even at higher prices, and that selling David Jones let management refocus capital and attention on the two businesses that still make money.

看空理由

Sellers fear that Country Road Group's operating loss and weak comparable sales show a fashion business still struggling in a tough Australian consumer environment, and that the fashion, beauty and home division at home depends on discretionary spending that a South African consumer under pressure may keep cutting back.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$83.20B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

净利润

$2.33B

截至最近已公布季度的最近12个月 — 根据每股指标估算

自由现金流

$4.10B

股东权益合计

$10.41B

负债合计

$18.62B

流动比率

1.11

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

2.89

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被高估

公允价值

$1578.69

当前价格

$3713.00

安全边际

-135.2%

公允价值区间

$1026.15 - $2131.24

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$4638.75
现金流折现法(DCF):$78.47
市盈率法(P/E):$28.78
格雷厄姆成长公式:$19.45
盈利能力价值(EPV):$48.14
合理市净率(P/B):$40.33
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$159.39
分析师共识:买入 (8B / 5H / 1S)

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

1428.13

ROE

22.2%

市净率(P/B)

317.93

P/FCF

810.14

毛利率

34.0%

ROIC

13.3%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

13.3%

WACC

5.5%

ROIC − WACC

+7.7 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(10)

  • ROIC 13.2%
  • Gross Margin 34.0%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 22.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.05

未通过(9)

  • Price CAGR -6.68%
  • P/FCF 810.14
  • P/B Ratio 317.93
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.8% vs 3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Earnings Surprise (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

3.05

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Samuel Daniel Ngumeni B.Com., M.B.A.Group CEO & Executive Director57
Mr. Zaid Manjra C.A.Group Finance Director & Executive Director60
Mr. Bradley NitsckieChief Operating Officer49
Mr. Christie KoortsChief Digital & Technology Officer50
Ms. Chantel A. Reddiar BA, LLB, LLM, MBAGroup Company Secretary and Director of Governance, Risk, Compliance,corporate Aff. & Comm.50
Mr. Simphiwe PatoInterim Chief Marketing Officer42
Ms. Melanie NaiduGroup People Director-
Mr. Simon N. SusmanHonorary President75
Mr. Manie MaritzChief Executive Officer of FBH57
Chan PillayChief Executive Officer of Food53

审计风险

2

董事会风险

4

薪酬风险

8

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for WLWHF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for WLWHF.