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George Weston Limited (WNGRF)

合理估值
Consumer DefensiveGrocery StoresCanada

基本面

61

价格

$100.09

市值

$37.62B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

George Weston Limited does not sell anything itself: it is a Canadian holding company controlling roughly half of Loblaw, the country's largest grocery and pharmacy retailer, and roughly half of Choice Properties, a real estate trust that owns and leases commercial and residential property. The Weston family controls the group. What George Weston reports as its own results is really the consolidated performance of these two separately listed, majority-owned companies.

盈利方式

Almost all consolidated revenue is Loblaw's: customers paying for groceries, pharmacy items and general merchandise at checkout, day after day, at thin retail margins run on very large volume. Choice Properties contributes a much smaller stream of rental income from long-term leases, much of it paid by Loblaw itself as a tenant, which is why the two segments do not simply add up to the consolidated total once intercompany rent is eliminated.

分部营收

Loblaw99.06%

Grocery stores, discount food stores, in-store and associate-owned pharmacies, and general merchandise across Canada. The core of consolidated revenue.

Choice Properties2.19%

A real estate investment trust owning grocery-anchored retail and industrial properties, leased mainly to necessity-based tenants including Loblaw.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Consolidated results are dominated by Loblaw's grocery and pharmacy sales, which people keep buying regardless of the economic cycle. Choice Properties adds a real-estate layer whose rental income is contractually locked in for years at a time. Neither business is immune to inflation or consumer belt-tightening on discretionary items, but food and medicine are the least discretionary categories a retailer can sell.

看多理由

Buyers argue that owning controlling stakes in Canada's largest grocer and a real estate trust anchored by that same grocer gives George Weston a defensive, cash-generative combination, with Loblaw's scale in food retail acting as a moat that smaller regional chains cannot easily challenge.

看空理由

Sellers fear that George Weston's results are almost entirely a pass-through of Loblaw's own performance, so a holding-company investor gets little diversification beyond what buying Loblaw shares directly would already provide, while still carrying a holding-company discount.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$65.24B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$1.04B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$5.76B

股东权益合计

$3.71B

负债合计

$19.86B

流动比率

1.04

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

2.89

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$130.29

当前价格

$100.09

安全边际

+23.2%

公允价值区间

$84.69 - $175.89

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$109.83
现金流折现法(DCF):$278.73
市盈率法(P/E):$45.53
格雷厄姆成长公式:$17.80
盈利能力价值(EPV):$133.59
合理市净率(P/B):$4.75
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$22.88
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$357.72
分析师共识:强力买入 (13B / 2H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:-10.50%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

42.23

ROE

18.6%

市净率(P/B)

10.14

P/FCF

6.53

毛利率

32.0%

ROIC

19.8%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

19.8%

WACC

5.3%

ROIC − WACC

+14.5 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(10)

  • Price CAGR 10.27%
  • ROIC 19.8%
  • Gross Margin 32.0%
  • P/FCF 6.53
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 87% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 6.59

未通过(8)

  • P/B Ratio 10.14
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • CapEx intensity
  • ROE 4.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.4%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -6.6%
  • Net Margin Trend 1.7% vs 2.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

6.59

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Galen G. Weston B.A., M.B.A.Chairman & CEO52
Mr. Richard DufresnePresident & CFO-
Roy MacDonaldGroup Vice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Andrew BunstonChief Legal Officer & Secretary-
Anemona TurcuSenior VP & Group Chief Risk Officer-
Mr. Jeff GobeilSenior VP & Group Head of Tax-
Mr. Barry Kieran ColumbExecutive VP of Loblaw & President of President's Choice Financial60
Ms. Katie McCullamChief Strategy Officer-
Ms. Anna FilipopoulosChief Talent Officer-
Ms. Lina TaglieriSenior VP & Group Head Controller56

审计风险

9

董事会风险

8

薪酬风险

4

股东权利风险

8

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

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Recent headlines for WNGRF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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