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Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN)

被低估
Consumer CyclicalResorts & CasinosUnited States

基本面

72

价格

$77.08

市值

$8.26B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Wynn Resorts designs, builds and operates luxury casino resorts, with properties in Macau, Las Vegas and, since 2019, near Boston. Revenue comes from casino gaming — table games and slot machines — plus hotel rooms, restaurants, retail and entertainment at the same resorts. Its Macau operations run under a government concession to operate casinos through 2032, while Nevada and Massachusetts gaming licenses govern the two US properties. Roughly half of group revenue now comes from Macau.

盈利方式

Casino revenue is the largest piece and the most volatile: it depends on how much high rollers wager and how the house edge plays out over a period, so results swing quarter to quarter even when visitor numbers hold steady. Hotel, dining, retail and entertainment revenue is steadier and depends on occupancy and room rates. Because resorts are capital-intensive with high fixed costs, small swings in gaming volume move profit far more than they move revenue.

分部营收

Macau Operations52.1%

Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau, two integrated casino resorts on the Cotai Strip and the peninsula, generating the largest share of group revenue.

Las Vegas Operations36%

Wynn Las Vegas and Encore, a single integrated resort on the Las Vegas Strip combining casino, hotel, dining and convention space.

Encore Boston Harbor11.9%

A single casino resort on Boston Harbor, opened in 2019, serving the New England gaming market.

护城河

专利与许可 · 狭窄

Casino resorts of this scale require a government concession or license granted to only a handful of operators — six in Macau, a limited set in Nevada and Massachusetts — which keeps new entrants out. But it cuts both ways: the same concession can be modified, taxed more heavily, or not renewed, and Wynn already competes hard against the other five Macau operators for the same premium players.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Casino spending is discretionary and tied to disposable income, business and leisure travel, and, in Macau, the willingness of mainland Chinese visitors to travel and wager. Wynn's own filings flag vulnerability to economic slowdowns and travel restrictions; the pandemic-era closures of its Macau properties showed how quickly that revenue can approach zero.

主要风险

  • Gaming licenses can be limited or revoked — Wynn operates under extensive regulatory oversight in Macau, Nevada and Massachusetts. Gaming concessions and licenses could be modified, suspended or revoked, potentially halting operations at a property.
  • Cash flow concentrated in a handful of properties — The company states that virtually all of its cash flow comes from a handful of large properties in Macau, Las Vegas and Boston, so a downturn or regulatory change in any one region can disproportionately affect overall results.
  • Macau-specific regulatory constraints — Wynn Macau must obtain government approval for major corporate decisions and meet investment plan requirements, and faces a gaming tax of 35% plus up to 5% in public-interest contributions, limiting operating flexibility.
  • Dependence on discretionary travel spending — Operations depend significantly on discretionary consumer spending and international travel patterns, making results vulnerable to economic slowdowns or travel restrictions.

客户集中度

Wynn does not disclose a customer concentration percentage, but its own risk factors describe heavy dependence on a relatively small number of high-end 'premium' credit players in Macau, whose wagering swings materially move results.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Macau's gaming market is recovering toward pre-pandemic levels, that Wynn's brand travels well with premium mass-market players, and that a limited number of licensed operators in each jurisdiction protects pricing and margins once a resort is built and running.

看空理由

Sellers fear that nearly all of Wynn's cash flow comes from a handful of properties in three jurisdictions, so a policy shift in Macau, a Nevada regulatory action, or a downturn in high-end discretionary travel would hit results with little offsetting diversification, and that heavy dependence on premium credit players adds volatility to reported earnings.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$7.41B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$449M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$692M

股东权益合计

$-275M

负债合计

$14.14B

流动比率

0.91

利息覆盖率

1.89

债务/EBITDA

7.10

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$136.04

当前价格

$77.08

安全边际

+43.3%

公允价值区间

$88.43 - $183.66

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$132.01
现金流折现法(DCF):$248.88
市盈率法(P/E):$66.02
格雷厄姆成长公式:$67.89
盈利能力价值(EPV):$91.89
合理市净率(P/B):数据不足,无法计算
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$16.96
P/FFO(运营资金):$147.29
周期中段收益:$139.05
市销率法(P/S):$123.39
分析师共识:强力买入 (27B / 1H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+9.43%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

19.05

ROE

-118.8%

市净率(P/B)

-

P/FCF

10.33

毛利率

-

ROIC

9.0%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

9.0%

WACC

6.3%

ROIC − WACC

+2.7 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 9.0%
  • P/FCF 10.33
  • Operating Margin 15.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 27.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 96% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.25
  • Share Dilution -9.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.1% vs 5.5%

未通过(7)

  • EPS CAGR 2.94%
  • Price CAGR -0.60%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE -244.7%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -10.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

不可用(6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

4/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

3.25

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-9.5%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Craig Scott BillingsCEO & Director52
Ms. Jacqui KrumExecutive VP, General Counsel & Secretary50
Mr. Craig Jeffrey FullaloveChief Financial Officer43
Mr. Price Alexander KarrSenior VP of IR, Corporate Finance & Treasurer39
Mr. Michael WeaverChief Communications Officer-
Mr. Erik HansenChief Sustainability Officer-
Mr. Brian GullbrantsChief Operating Officer - North America-
Ms. Jenny HoladayPresident of Encore Boston Harbor-
Mr. Todd-Avery LenahanPresident & Chief Creative Officer of Wynn Design and Development, LLC-
Mr. Max TappeinerPresident of Wynn Al Marjan Island-

审计风险

6

董事会风险

3

薪酬风险

4

股东权利风险

9

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-03-02

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-06

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-22

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for WYNN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/7/2026NEGATIVE
    Wynn Expects ‘Modest Delay’ in Opening of New Middle East Casino

    Wynn Resorts Ltd. has announced a 'modest delay' in the opening of its new casino resort in the United Arab Emirates, according to CEO Craig Billings. While specific revised timelines were not provided, the delay suggests potential challenges in project execution or regulatory approvals. Investors will be monitoring for updated guidance on the opening date and any associated cost implications. This news could negatively impact short-term sentiment for Wynn Resorts, as project delays often lead to revised revenue forecasts and increased capital expenditure timelines.

  • 5/5/2026NEGATIVE
    Wynn Weighs Delayed Opening of Its UAE Resort Due to Iran War

    Wynn Resorts Ltd. is reportedly contemplating a delay in the opening of its highly anticipated integrated resort in the United Arab Emirates. This potential postponement stems from construction setbacks attributed to the ongoing geopolitical tensions and the US military engagement in the region, specifically the war with Iran. The news suggests that supply chain disruptions and logistical challenges are impacting the project's timeline. For investors, this indicates potential cost overruns and a delayed revenue stream from a key growth initiative, casting a shadow over the company's near-term financial outlook.

via Markets Gazette