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BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF)

Fair Value
Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalUnited States

Fundamental

83

Price

$123.83

Market Cap

$7.68B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

BOK Financial Corporation is a regional bank holding company based in Tulsa, Oklahoma, operating through its subsidiary BOKF, NA and its brands (Bank of Oklahoma, Bank of Texas, Bank of Albuquerque and others). It serves customers across Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, Arkansas, Colorado, Arizona, Kansas and Missouri, and describes itself as holding roughly 14% of Oklahoma's total deposits. Alongside ordinary commercial and retail banking it runs two businesses that are unusually large for a bank of its size: a mortgage origination and servicing operation, and a Wealth Management arm that trades U.S. government agency mortgage-backed securities, underwrites municipal bonds and manages money for institutions and private clients. In fiscal 2025 the group produced about $2.18 billion of total revenue and $578 million of net income.

How it makes money

Like any bank, BOK Financial earns most of its money on the spread between what it pays for deposits and borrowings and what it earns on loans and securities: net interest revenue was about $1.33 billion in fiscal 2025, roughly 61% of total revenue. The remaining 39% — about $848 million — is fee and commission income, which is a larger share than at most regional banks of comparable size. That fee stream comes from fiduciary and asset management fees, brokerage and trading (chiefly market-making in agency mortgage-backed securities), mortgage banking and servicing, transaction card processing and deposit service charges. The practical consequence is that a slice of revenue is tied to market activity and asset values rather than to the loan book.

Revenue by segment

Commercial45.2%

Lending, treasury and cash management services and customer risk management products for small businesses, middle-market companies and larger corporate borrowers, including the group's energy, healthcare and commercial real estate lending. It is the largest source of both revenue and pre-tax profit.

Wealth Management27.8%

Fiduciary services, private banking and investment advisory for institutions and wealthy individuals, together with brokerage and trading — principally providing liquidity to the mortgage market by trading U.S. government agency mortgage-backed securities and related derivatives — and underwriting of state and municipal securities.

Consumer17.5%

Retail lending and deposit services, plus lending and deposits for small businesses served through the branch network, and all mortgage loan origination and servicing activity. Its customers are households and very small firms.

Funds Management and Other9.5%

Not a customer-facing business: it is the central treasury unit that holds the securities portfolio, manages the group's interest rate and liquidity position and absorbs the funding and capital charges allocated to the three operating segments. Its revenue swings sharply with interest rates — it went from $21 million in 2024 to $207 million in 2025 — and it reported a pre-tax loss in each of the last three years.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Narrow

BOK Financial's advantage is real but limited. Its deposit base is concentrated in markets where it is a leading rather than a marginal player — the company reports holding around 14% of all deposits in Oklahoma — and commercial operating accounts, treasury management mandates and trust relationships are genuinely awkward to move once payroll, payments and custody run through them. Decades of energy lending also give it underwriting knowledge that a newcomer cannot buy quickly. None of this stops a competitor from bidding for a specific loan or a specific deposit: banking is a commodity business at the margin, BOKF is far smaller than the national banks it meets in Texas and Colorado, and the company itself lists substantial competition from both regulated and unregulated rivals as a risk factor.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Demand for BOK Financial's products tracks the credit cycle and, on top of that, the energy cycle. Loan growth, credit losses and the willingness of businesses to borrow all follow regional activity in Texas, Oklahoma and Colorado, where oil and gas prices drive employment, property values and commercial spending well beyond the energy companies themselves. A second cycle runs through the mortgage and trading businesses: when rates fall, origination volumes and agency mortgage-backed securities trading pick up while the value of servicing rights drops; when rates rise, the reverse happens. The one stabilising element is the net interest margin, which widened in fiscal 2025 as funding shifted from wholesale borrowings to interest-bearing deposits, but even that depends on where policy rates sit and on how hard depositors push for higher returns.

Key risks

  • Concentration in a few regional economies — The company discloses that adverse regional economic developments could hurt its business, because its loan portfolio is concentrated in Texas, Oklahoma and Colorado rather than spread nationally. A downturn confined to those states would still hit BOK Financial fully.
  • Extended weakness in oil and gas prices — BOK Financial lists prolonged declines in oil and gas commodity prices as a risk, since a meaningful part of its lending goes to energy borrowers and a further part of its regional economy depends on them indirectly. The risk is not only direct loan losses but weaker demand across the whole local economy.
  • Interest rate and mortgage rate movements — The filing flags both general interest rate fluctuations and, separately, changes in mortgage rates, which affect origination volumes, the value of mortgage servicing rights and the residential mortgage-backed securities held and traded. It also warns that the models used to value these positions may fail to predict changes in value.
  • Loss of deposits or a shift in deposit mix — The company states that losing deposits, or seeing customers move from cheap accounts to costlier ones, would raise its funding costs. It adds that it relies on the Federal Home Loan Bank of Topeka and other institutions for funding, so a market disruption could tighten those sources, and that a credit rating downgrade would make funding more expensive.
  • Technology dependence, cyber risk and fraud — Among the disclosed risks are cybersecurity and data privacy breaches, technology failures, reliance on third parties for critical components of its infrastructure, the unforeseen consequences of adopting emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence, and direct losses from fraud or theft.
  • A controlling shareholder and thin trading in the stock — The company discloses that its principal shareholder controls a majority of the common stock, that possible future sales by that shareholder could weigh on the share price, and that although the stock is publicly traded it has substantially less liquidity than comparable listed companies. Minority holders therefore have limited influence over governance.
  • Regulatory limits on dividends from the bank — Statutory restrictions on dividends and other distributions from the subsidiary bank constrain the cash that can reach the holding company, which is what pays shareholder dividends and services holding-company obligations.

Customer concentration

The 10-K states explicitly that no single external customer accounted for more than 10% of total revenue in fiscal 2025, 2024 or 2023. The filing does not publish a combined share for the largest customers, so no number can be given. The concentration worth watching at BOK Financial is not one customer but one industry and one region: the company's own risk factors point to energy borrowers and to the Texas, Oklahoma and Colorado economies.

The case for

Buyers argue that BOK Financial is a bank with an unusually diversified income statement: about 39% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from fees — fiduciary and asset management, trading, mortgage servicing, payments — which cushions the part of earnings that depends purely on the spread between deposits and loans. They point to the margin expansion achieved in fiscal 2025, from 2.65% to 2.87%, obtained by replacing wholesale borrowings with interest-bearing deposits, and to net income rising to $578 million from $524 million. They add that the group is a leading deposit-taker in Oklahoma rather than a price-taking marginal competitor, that its long history in energy lending is knowledge rivals lack, and that the controlling shareholder has kept the bank conservatively run through several energy cycles.

The case against

Sellers fear that the diversification is thinner than it looks. The Wealth Management fee stream leans heavily on trading agency mortgage-backed securities and on mortgage servicing, both of which move with interest rates rather than independently of them, and Commercial segment revenue fell from $1.04 billion in fiscal 2024 to $983 million in fiscal 2025 while Consumer pre-tax income dropped from $112 million to $76 million. The loan book sits in three states whose economies rise and fall with oil and gas, so a long commodity downturn would show up in credit losses and in loan demand at the same time. They also note the funding side: the company itself warns that losing deposits or a shift in deposit mix would raise costs, and that it depends on the Federal Home Loan Bank of Topeka. Finally, governance is not neutral — a principal shareholder controls the majority of the stock, the shares trade with substantially less liquidity than comparable listed banks, and minority holders have little say if interests diverge.

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 14.2Score: 63Market cap: $3.54B

BancFirst is the other large Oklahoma-headquartered bank, chasing the same Oklahoma small-business, commercial and retail deposit customers as Bank of Oklahoma across the same towns.

P/E: 13.4Score: 69Market cap: $7.85B

Commerce is a Midwest regional bank with the same mix of commercial lending, payment-card processing and a large asset-management arm, overlapping BOK Financial in Kansas, Missouri and Oklahoma.

P/E: 10.7Score: 74Market cap: $9.87B

UMB pairs regional commercial banking in Missouri, Kansas, Colorado and Texas with institutional asset servicing and wealth management, the same fee-income engine BOK Financial relies on.

Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.CFR

Frost Bank runs the same model in Texas — relationship commercial banking for mid-sized companies plus private wealth and trust services — competing directly with Bank of Texas in Dallas, Houston, Austin and San Antonio.

Arvest Bank (Arvest Bank Group, Inc.)Not tracked

Privately held Arvest has one of the densest branch networks in Oklahoma, Arkansas and Kansas and competes for the same retail deposits, mortgages and small-business lending.

Comerica IncorporatedCMA

Comerica, headquartered in Dallas, competes for the same middle-market commercial relationships and for oil-and-gas reserve-based lending, one of BOK Financial's signature businesses.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$2.28B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$650M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$575M

Total Equity

$5.92B

Total Liabilities

$46.32B

Current Ratio

-

Interest Coverage

0.60

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

BankFairly Valued

Fair Value

$124.34

Current Price

$123.83

Margin of Safety

+0.4%

Fair Value Range

$90.84 - $157.84

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$148.00
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings multiple (P/E):$129.61
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):Not applicable to this type of company
Justified P/B:$137.52
Dividend discount (Gordon):$50.65
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Analyst Consensus:Buy (6B / 10H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+11.34%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

11.90

ROE

9.8%

P/B Ratio

1.26

P/FCF

5.76

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

11.2%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 8.56%
  • P/FCF 5.76
  • P/B Ratio 1.26
  • Operating Margin 36.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 10.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.4%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 10.0%
  • PEG Ratio 1.45
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.31
  • Share Dilution -2.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 28.5% vs 25.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (5)

  • Price CAGR 4.63%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Analyst Consensus 38% Buy

Unavailable (5)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

2.31

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-2.0%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Stacy C. KymesCEO, President & Director54
Mr. Martin E. GrunstExecutive VP & CFO58
Mr. Scott Bradley GrauerExecutive Vice President of Wealth Management60
Mr. Mark B. WadeExecutive Vice President of Texas Markets61
Mr. Brad A. VincentExecutive Vice President of Specialised Industries Banking64
Mr. Michael J. Rogers CPASenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer56
Mr. Derek S. MartinExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer54
Ms. Heather KingSenior VP & Director of Investor Relations50
Mr. Jeffrey A. ReidExecutive VP & Chief Human Resource Officer57
Mr. Anthony P. PhillipsSenior VP of Business Development and National Sales Director of Retirement Plans & Asset Services-

Audit Risk

4

Board Risk

10

Compensation Risk

2

Shareholder Rights Risk

4

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-18

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-04

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-08-31

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for BOKF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/21/2026NEUTRAL
    BOK Financial Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

    BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF) released its Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript on April 21, 2026. The transcript provides detailed insights into the company's financial performance, strategic initiatives, and outlook for the upcoming quarters. While specific financial figures and forward-looking statements are contained within the document, the release of the transcript itself is an informational event. Investors and analysts will review the transcript for nuances in management commentary, discussions on loan growth, net interest margin trends, and expense management, which could influence future investment decisions.

via Markets Gazette