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Webull Corporation (BULL)

Undervalued
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

Fundamental

75

Price

$6.97

Market Cap

$3.69B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Webull Corporation runs a digital brokerage and investing app for self-directed retail investors. Through a group of licensed broker-dealer subsidiaries it lets customers trade equities and ETFs, options, futures, cryptocurrency (reintroduced in the third quarter of 2025) and event-based prediction contracts, and it also offers advisory accounts through Webull Advisors. The company is incorporated in the Cayman Islands, is headquartered in St. Petersburg, Florida, and files with the SEC as a foreign private issuer on Form 20-F. It holds broker-dealer licences in twelve major markets across North America, Asia Pacific, Europe and Africa and is pursuing licences in Latin America. At the end of 2025 it reported 26.8 million registered users, 5.0 million funded accounts and $24.6 billion of customer assets. Despite the 'Software — Application' label attached to the ticker, this is a regulated brokerage business, not a software vendor.

How it makes money

Webull does not charge a commission on most trades; it is paid by the plumbing behind the trade. The largest line is payment for order flow — rebates from market makers and liquidity providers for routing customer equity and option orders — which was $304.1 million in 2025, or 53.3% of total revenues, against $197.1 million and 50.5% in 2024. The second line is interest-related income ($154.3 million in 2025): stock lending, margin financing, and interest earned on customer and corporate cash balances, which rises and falls with interest rates. Third come handling charges ($87.3 million), mostly per-contract options fees and platform and trading fees, and finally other revenues ($25.3 million) such as data subscriptions and co-marketing. Total revenues were $571 million in 2025, up 46% on 2024. The company reported net income of $24.8 million for 2025 against a net loss of $22.7 million in 2024; after accretion on preferred shares and warrant fair-value effects, the net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders was $487.5 million in 2025 and $517.8 million in 2024.

Competitive moat

No identified moat · None

Webull's nearest thing to a barrier is its stack of broker-dealer licences in twelve markets, which takes years and capital to assemble, plus the habit and inertia of an app with 5.0 million funded accounts. Neither is durable protection: the company itself describes the market for digital trading services as rapidly evolving and intensely competitive, pricing is already at zero commission across the sector, and a retail account can be transferred to a rival broker. Webull was also loss-making at the ordinary-shareholder level in both 2024 and 2025, which is not what a protected franchise usually looks like.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Almost every revenue line moves with the market. Order flow rebates and handling charges depend on how much retail investors trade, which swells in volatile, rising markets and dries up in quiet ones; Webull's daily average revenue trades grew 55% and equity notional volume 87% in the fourth quarter of 2025, the kind of swing that can reverse. Interest income depends on rate levels and on margin balances, which themselves shrink when investors de-risk. Customer assets of $24.6 billion at the end of 2025 were up 81%, partly because markets rose. A long bear market would hit trading activity, margin lending and new account growth at the same time.

Key risks

  • The majority of trading income comes from payment for order flow — The company states that the majority of its trading-related income is derived from PFOF, and that the practice has drawn heightened scrutiny from the U.S. Congress, the SEC and state regulators, who could require additional disclosure, cap payment rates, or ban the practice entirely. It also discloses that PFOF may create a misalignment of interest with customers.
  • Dependence on a limited number of market makers — Among the risks relating to its products and services, Webull states that it relies on a limited number of market makers and liquidity providers to generate a large portion of its revenues, and that losing any of them could negatively affect the business. The filing does not quantify how much each one contributes.
  • Revenues follow trading activity — The company flags that its business is heavily reliant on trading-related income and would be hurt by a sustained slowdown in securities trading. Order flow rebates and handling charges are both paid per trade, so a quiet market reduces two of the four revenue lines at once.
  • Exposure to interest rates — Webull states that a large part of its revenue comes from interest-related income on stock lending, margin financing and customer and corporate deposits, and that interest rates are a key driver of that income. It is directly and indirectly exposed to rate fluctuations and to rapidly changing rate environments.
  • Short history and past losses — The filing warns that the company has a limited operating history whose results are not necessarily indicative of future performance, that it has incurred net losses attributable to ordinary shareholders — $487.5 million in 2025 and $517.8 million in 2024 — and that it may not maintain net income.
  • Regulation in many jurisdictions, including event contracts and crypto — Webull is subject to extensive and constantly evolving regulatory requirements in every market where it operates, may be involved in investigations, actions and settlements, and states that its ability to offer event contracts depends on the outcome of ongoing and potential future regulatory enforcement actions. It separately flags that cryptocurrency laws, regulations and accounting standards are hard to interpret and evolving fast, and that crypto prices are volatile.
  • Concentration of people and ownership in mainland China — The company discloses that its founder and chief executive officer is a citizen of the People's Republic of China and beneficially owns 16.4% of the ordinary shares, and that its mainland China subsidiary, Hunan Weibu Information Technology Co., Ltd., employed 863 people — 62% of all employees — as of December 31, 2025. Its FY2024 risk factors group this under concerns about the company's China connections.
  • Platform outages and cybersecurity — The platform relies on software that may contain undetected errors, a surge in volume can make systems malfunction, and the company may suffer network interruptions, security breaches or attacks. It also warns that incorporating AI technologies into its products and processes brings business, compliance and reputational risks.

Customer concentration

Webull has millions of small retail customers — 5.0 million funded accounts at the end of 2025 — so no single account matters. The concentration sits on the other side of the trade: the company states it relies on a limited number of market makers and liquidity providers for a large portion of its revenues, and payment for order flow alone was 53.3% of total revenues in 2025. The filing does not disclose how many such counterparties there are or what share the largest one represents, so no number can be given.

The case for

Buyers argue that Webull is scaling fast and has just crossed into profitability: total revenues rose 46% to $571 million in 2025, trading-related revenue grew 59%, and the company posted net income of $24.8 million after a $22.7 million loss the year before. They point to the operating metrics behind that — 26.8 million registered users, 5.0 million funded accounts, customer assets up 81% to $24.6 billion and record net deposits of $8.6 billion — and to a licensed footprint in twelve markets that lets the same app be sold in new countries at low marginal cost. They also argue the product mix is widening beyond stocks into options, futures, crypto and event contracts, each of which carries its own fee per trade.

The case against

Sellers fear that the business rests on a payment stream regulators may take away: PFOF was 53.3% of 2025 revenues, the company itself says it could be capped or banned outright, and it comes from a limited number of market makers rather than from customers. They note that the remaining revenue is barely more diversified — interest income tracks rates and margin balances, handling charges track trade counts — so a quiet market or falling rates would compress several lines together. They also point to the loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of $487.5 million in 2025, a short operating history, zero-commission competitors with far deeper pockets, and the governance and geopolitical questions raised by a CEO who is a PRC citizen owning 16.4% of the shares and by 62% of employees sitting in a mainland China subsidiary.

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 49.8Score: 71Market cap: $0

The closest rival for the same U.S. self-directed retail trader, offering commission-free stocks, options, futures and crypto on a mobile-first app monetised largely through payment for order flow and margin lending.

P/E: 1.3Score: 89Market cap: $122.53B

Its moomoo app chases exactly the same tech-savvy retail traders in the United States, Singapore, Australia and Japan, with the same mix of advanced charting tools and low-cost multi-market execution.

P/E: 34.0Score: 66Market cap: $5.75B

Interactive Brokers takes the upper end of Webull's audience — the active trader who wants low margin rates, global market access and professional-grade order routing.

P/E: 17.8Score: 75Market cap: $169.99B

Schwab, which absorbed TD Ameritrade and its thinkorswim platform, competes for the same U.S. self-directed brokerage account and the same margin and cash-sweep revenue on it.

P/E: 10.0Score: 81Market cap: $2.13B

eToro fights for the same internationally spread retail customer trading equities and crypto from an app, overlapping with Webull in the United Kingdom, Europe and Australia.

UP Fintech Holding Limited (老虎证券) — Tiger BrokersTIGR

Tiger Brokers competes for the same cross-border retail customer in Singapore, Hong Kong, Australia and the United States, selling a comparable app-based account that trades U.S. and Asian equities and options.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$681M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$43M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$562M

Total Equity

$1.02B

Total Liabilities

$2.86B

Current Ratio

1.33

Interest Coverage

10.71

Debt/EBITDA

1.46

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseUndervalued

Fair Value

$16.66

Current Price

$6.97

Margin of Safety

+58.2%

Fair Value Range

$10.83 - $22.49

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$12.75
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$27.47
Earnings multiple (P/E):$18.33
Graham growth formula:$9.93
Earnings power value (EPV):$1.54
Justified P/B:$0.59
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$6.40
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (8B / 1H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+213.73%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

89.16

ROE

2.4%

P/B Ratio

3.59

P/FCF

6.50

Gross Margin

77.5%

ROIC

4.2%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.2%

WACC

7.8%

ROIC − WACC

-3.6 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (16)

  • Gross Margin 77.5%
  • P/FCF 6.50
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 53.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 22.87
  • Share Dilution -431.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 4.3% vs -5.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (5)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR -6.89%
  • ROIC 4.2%
  • P/B Ratio 3.59
  • ROE 4.2%

Unavailable (6)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

22.87

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-431.0%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

No institutional filings reported for this company.

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Anquan WangFounder, CEO & Chairman45
Mr. Anthony Michael DenierPresident & Director47
Mr. H. C. WangCFO & Director42
Mr. Carlos QuestellChief of Staff, Head of Strategic Partnerships & Head of Investor Relations-
Mr. Benjamin W. JamesGeneral Counsel & Director44
Ms. Arianne AdamsChief Strategy Officer47
Mr. James ChaoHead of Internal Controls-

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for BULL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/22/2026NEGATIVE
    What's Going On With Webull Stock Today?

    Webull Corporation (NASDAQ:BULL) experienced a decline in its stock price following the release of its first-quarter earnings report. The company's performance in the initial quarter of the fiscal year has led to investor concern, resulting in a downward trend for its shares. Further details on the earnings report are expected to provide more clarity on the specific factors contributing to this market reaction. Investors will be closely monitoring future announcements for signs of recovery or continued pressure.

via Markets Gazette