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Globalstar, Inc. (GSAT)

Fair Value
Communication ServicesTelecom ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

45

Price

$82.89

Market Cap

$10.74B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Globalstar is a US satellite communications operator. It owns and runs a constellation of low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellites plus about two dozen ground gateways, and sells the connectivity that network carries. Historically its customers were people and businesses who needed to talk or send data where cell towers do not reach: hikers and boaters with SPOT emergency-messaging devices, fleet and asset-tracking sensors, satellite phones. Since 2022 the larger part of the business has been wholesale: Globalstar sells capacity on its network to a single large handset maker, identified in the filing only as 'the Customer' and disclosed as Apple Inc., which uses it for satellite features built into consumer phones. The company also holds terrestrial spectrum licences in a dozen countries, which it is trying to turn into a second business line. As of 31 December 2025 it served roughly 791,000 mobile satellite service subscribers, and it reports as a single operating segment.

How it makes money

Two streams. The dominant one is wholesale capacity: a contracted arrangement under which the handset customer pays Globalstar for satellite capacity and for network build-out, plus a service fee, under the 'Updated Services Agreements'. The rest is retail subscription: subscribers pay an activation fee and then recurring monthly or annual fees for voice minutes, messaging plans, or IoT data, and separately buy the hardware — SPOT devices, satellite phones, IoT modules — which shows up as subscriber equipment sales. In fiscal 2025 services were $257.3m and equipment $15.7m of $273.0m total, so roughly 94% of revenue is recurring service fees and only about 6% is hardware. Hardware is essentially a way to put more paying subscribers on the network rather than a profit centre in itself.

Revenue by segment

Wholesale capacity services63.3%

Satellite capacity sold to a single handset manufacturer, which resells it to end users as a built-in phone feature. Revenue includes payments for the service itself and for the network infrastructure Globalstar is building to support it.

SPOT consumer services13.7%

Subscription messaging, location-tracking and SOS services for handheld SPOT devices, sold to outdoor consumers and to small businesses with workers in remote areas.

Commercial IoT services10%

Low-bandwidth data plans for asset-tracking and monitoring terminals — trailers, containers, pipelines, heavy equipment — sold mostly through resellers to logistics, energy and industrial customers.

Subscriber equipment sales5.7%

One-off hardware sales: SPOT units, satellite handsets and IoT modules. Growth here comes mainly from higher volumes of Commercial IoT devices.

Duplex voice and data5.6%

The legacy two-way satellite telephony business — voice calls and data over satellite handsets and fixed units. It has been shrinking for several years.

Government and other services1.7%

Engineering and communications work for government and defence users, pursued partly through a partnership with Parsons Corporation. A small residual line.

Competitive moat

Patents and licences · Narrow

What Globalstar really owns is licences and orbital assets, not a brand or a customer lock-in. It holds mobile satellite service spectrum authorisations and terrestrial spectrum licences in about a dozen countries, covering roughly 12 billion MHz-POPs, and a LEO constellation with ground gateways that would cost billions and many years to duplicate. That combination is genuinely hard to replicate and it is why a large handset maker chose Globalstar rather than building its own network. But it is narrow, not wide: the filing itself notes that the customer is not prevented from using competing satellite networks, and it names Starlink, AST SpaceMobile, Iridium, Viasat/Inmarsat and others as competitors moving into direct-to-device connectivity. The advantage protects a position today; it does not obviously protect pricing a decade out.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

The revenue mix cuts both ways. Most of the money is recurring subscription or contracted wholesale capacity, which does not switch off in a downturn — a phone maker embedding satellite SOS keeps paying, and an IoT tracker on a container stays activated. That is defensive. But the edges are not: SPOT devices are a discretionary outdoor purchase and subscriptions can lapse, equipment sales depend on industrial and logistics capital budgets, and Commercial IoT growth tracks freight and energy activity. The company itself frames demand as something that must increase for the plan to work, rather than as a stable base. Practically, expect the wholesale line to behave like a contract and the retail lines to breathe with the consumer and industrial cycle.

Key risks

  • One customer is most of the revenue — The company states plainly that revenue under the Updated Services Agreements is the majority of its current revenue and that there is no assurance it will receive the revenue expected. The services are terminable by the customer on advance notice or on a force majeure event, and by either party on certain events of default. The filing also notes the customer is not prevented from using competing satellite networks.
  • Satellites may not last as long as assumed — The filing warns that the actual orbital lives of its satellites may be shorter than anticipated, which could force it to reduce available capacity. The second-generation satellites carry a 15-year design life with no assurance they reach it, and after an initial six-month period the constellation is uninsured against in-orbit failures.
  • Replacement satellites may be late or fail at launch — Globalstar discloses that it may not be able to launch satellites successfully or on time, including because of construction and delivery delays, which would put at risk the service periods it has committed to. Replacement satellite delivery has already been delayed; seventeen replacement satellites were expected during 2026 and more than fifty third-generation satellites are planned for the extended network. A launch failure could be a catastrophic loss that insurance would not fully cover.
  • Ground infrastructure is a single point of failure — The company flags that disruption at its gateways or operations centres would leave it unable to serve customers. Control centres sit at three locations for redundancy, but gateways are exposed to natural disasters, extreme weather, equipment failure and terrorist attack, and material operational changes need prior FCC approval.
  • Space hazards outside the company's control — The filing describes exposure to collisions with space debris and other LEO satellites, and to extreme space weather, noting that some debris cannot even be tracked and that a severe event could cause temporary or indefinite loss of service.
  • The business plan depends on demand that has to materialise — Globalstar states that its plan depends on increased demand for satellite and terrestrial mobile broadband services, both existing and new, and separately warns that misjudging its capacity needs — or failing to obtain capacity — would hurt the business.
  • Spectrum rights can be cut, shared or revoked — Among the regulatory risks the company lists are a reduction of its spectrum allocation, mandatory additional spectrum-sharing arrangements, and the revocation, modification or non-renewal of its licences. It also depends on third parties to monetise the terrestrial spectrum.
  • Capital needs and debt covenants — The company lists among its risks the ability to raise adequate capital on reasonable terms and the reduced flexibility imposed by its financing arrangements and their restrictive covenants — relevant for a business that must keep replacing a satellite fleet.
  • Technology moves fast in satellite communications — The filing warns that rapid and significant technological change in the industry, and its own ability to service, upgrade and replace equipment when needed, could impair its competitive position and require significant capital expenditure.
  • Dependence on suppliers — Risks disclosed include the availability and cost of equipment, component parts and other materials, and reliance on key suppliers — a constraint for a company whose satellites and user devices are built by third parties.

Customer concentration

Top customers account for 63% of revenue

Extreme, and disclosed as such. One customer — Apple Inc., referred to in the filing as 'the Customer' — accounted for 63% of total revenue in fiscal 2025, up from 58% in 2024 and 49% in 2023. No other customer exceeded 10% of revenue in any of those years. The dependence is therefore both very large and still increasing, and the agreement can be terminated by that customer on advance notice. Everything else — SPOT, IoT, Duplex, government — together makes up the remaining third, spread across a large number of small subscribers.

The case for

Buyers argue that Globalstar owns something nearly impossible to build from scratch — licensed spectrum in a dozen countries plus a working LEO constellation and ground network — and that the world's most demanding handset customer validated it by signing a multi-year capacity deal rather than building its own. They point to the numbers moving in the right direction: revenue up 9% to a record $273.0m in 2025, with wholesale capacity up from $145.3m to $172.7m and Commercial IoT device sales rising. They see satellite-to-phone connectivity going from a novelty to a standard feature on every handset, which would expand the addressable market far beyond the 791,000 subscribers the company serves today, and they expect the replacement and third-generation satellites now being built to carry much more capacity than the current fleet. Some also argue the terrestrial spectrum holdings are worth something independently of the satellite business.

The case against

Sellers fear that this is a company with one customer and no contractual protection against losing it. Sixty-three per cent of revenue comes from an agreement the customer can terminate on advance notice, and which — the filing says in so many words — does not stop that customer from using competing satellite networks. Meanwhile the competitors named in the filing include operators with far deeper pockets and newer constellations moving into exactly this direct-to-device market. Sellers also point at the capital intensity: seventeen replacement satellites were due in 2026 after delivery delays, more than fifty third-generation satellites are planned, launches can fail, in-orbit failures are uninsured after six months, and the company itself lists raising adequate capital and complying with restrictive debt covenants among its risks. Behind the growing wholesale line, the legacy retail business is shrinking — Duplex fell from $20.2m to $15.2m and SPOT from $41.1m to $37.3m in 2025 — so the concentration gets worse each year rather than better.

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 18, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 54.4Score: 73Market cap: $5.08B

Named by Globalstar in its 10-K as one of its largest competitors: Iridium runs the other US low-earth-orbit mobile satellite network and sells the same satellite voice, messaging and IoT connectivity to maritime, aviation, government and outdoor-recreation customers.

P/E: —Score: 53Market cap: —

AST SpaceMobile is building a satellite network that connects unmodified mobile phones through partnerships with wireless carriers, competing for the same direct-to-device agreements with handset makers and operators that Globalstar depends on.

Viasat, Inc.VSAT

After absorbing Inmarsat in 2023 Viasat is the largest mobile-satellite-services operator, and Globalstar's 10-K lists it among its principal global competitors for maritime, aviation and government connectivity contracts.

ORBCOMM Inc.Not tracked

Globalstar's 10-K states that ORBCOMM's low-earth-orbit fleet and its asset-tracking and telematics services compete directly with Globalstar's own commercial IoT products; ORBCOMM has been privately held since 2021.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX / Starlink)Not tracked

Starlink's Direct to Cell service sells satellite messaging straight to ordinary smartphones through mobile operators, chasing the same handset-connectivity revenue that Globalstar earns from its wholesale capacity deal with Apple; SpaceX is private.

Thuraya Telecommunications Company (part of Space42)Not tracked

Globalstar's 10-K identifies Thuraya as its main regional mobile-satellite rival in the Middle East and Africa, selling satellite handsets and voice and data airtime to the same users in that footprint.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$281M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$-54M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$356M

Total Liabilities

$1.97B

Current Ratio

1.55

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

4.42

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$72.16

Current Price

$82.89

Margin of Safety

-14.9%

Fair Value Range

$46.91 - $97.42

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$90.00
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not enough data to compute it
Earnings multiple (P/E):Not enough data to compute it
Graham growth formula:Not enough data to compute it
Earnings power value (EPV):$0.81
Justified P/B:Not enough data to compute it
Dividend discount (Gordon):$0.80
P/FFO, funds from operations:-
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$4.47
Analyst Consensus:Buy (6B / 4H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:-252.94%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

-

ROE

-2.4%

P/B Ratio

-

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

0.5%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

0.5%

WACC

12.6%

ROIC − WACC

-12.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (8)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 13.29%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 16.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 60% Buy
  • Share Dilution -46.1%

Failed (9)

  • ROIC 0.5%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 4.7%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -16.1%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -183.4%
  • Net Margin Trend -19.4% vs -14.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Unavailable (10)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

-

Low quality: investigate accounting

Share Dilution

-46.1%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. James Monroe IIIExecutive Chairman70
Dr. Paul E. Jacobs Ph.D.CEO & Director63
Ms. Rebecca S. Clary CPAVP, CFO & Corporate Secretary46
Mr. L. Barbee Ponder IVGeneral Counsel & VP of Regulatory Affairs58
Mr. Timothy Evan TaylorVP of Finance, Business Operations & Strategy and Director43
Mr. Matthew S. GrobChief Technology Officer59
Mr. Peter BlackChief Scientist-
Mr. Kyle Pickens CFAVice President of Strategy & Communications-
Mr. Jake RembertVice President of Sales - United States, Africa and Central & South America-
Mr. Mersad CavcicChief Product Officer-

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

10

Compensation Risk

9

Shareholder Rights Risk

8

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-27

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-06

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-08-06

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for GSAT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/17/2026POSITIVE
    Deal Dispatch: Amazon Buys Globalstar, Instacart Grabs Instaleap, QVC Announces Bankruptcy

    Amazon has agreed to acquire Globalstar in a deal valued at $11.6 billion. This strategic move by Amazon is expected to bolster its satellite communication capabilities, potentially integrating Globalstar's network into its broader ecosystem of services, including logistics and consumer devices. The acquisition signals a significant investment in satellite technology by a major tech player, aiming to enhance connectivity and expand service offerings. For investors, this acquisition represents a substantial valuation for Globalstar and highlights Amazon's aggressive expansion into new technological frontiers.

  • 4/15/2026POSITIVE
    FCC Chair Brendan Carr Gives Nod To Amazon-Globalstar Deal As Satellite Internet Race With Elon Musk-Led SpaceX Intensifies: 'We're Very Open-Minded…'

    FCC Chair Brendan Carr has signaled approval for Amazon's acquisition of Globalstar, emphasizing the critical need for competition in the burgeoning space-based internet market. This endorsement from the FCC chair suggests a favorable regulatory environment for the deal, which is seen as a strategic move by Amazon to bolster its satellite internet capabilities. The approval is particularly significant as it intensifies the race against competitors like Elon Musk's SpaceX, potentially accelerating innovation and service expansion in the sector. Investors view this development positively, anticipating enhanced market dynamics and growth opportunities for Globalstar.

  • 4/14/2026POSITIVE
    Amazon Targets SpaceX With $11.5-Billion Globalstar Deal

    Amazon has agreed to acquire Globalstar in a deal valued at $11.5 billion, a strategic move to bolster its presence in the satellite internet sector. This acquisition is poised to intensify competition with Elon Musk's Starlink. For investors, this signals Amazon's aggressive expansion into new technological frontiers and its commitment to developing a comprehensive satellite communication network. The deal is expected to enhance Globalstar's capabilities and market reach, potentially leading to significant growth and improved service offerings in the satellite internet space.

  • 4/2/2026POSITIVE
    This space stock is hot — and both Amazon and SpaceX may want to buy it

    Globalstar Inc. is reportedly attracting acquisition interest from both Amazon and SpaceX, according to recent market speculation. The satellite communications company's spectrum assets are seen as highly valuable for Amazon's Project Kuiper, which aims to compete with SpaceX's Starlink internet service. This potential acquisition could significantly boost Globalstar's valuation and provide it with the resources to expand its network capabilities. Investors are closely watching developments, as a bidding war between these tech giants could drive the stock price higher.

  • 4/2/2026NEUTRAL
    Acuity, Lindsay And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Thursday

    U.S. stock futures are trading lower, signaling a cautious start to Thursday's session. Among individual stocks, Acuity Brands and Visionary Holdings reported strong earnings, potentially indicating resilience in specific sectors. Lindsay Corp is anticipated to release its earnings, with investors watching for performance indicators. Notably, Globalstar Inc. shares experienced a significant jump amid reports of acquisition talks with Amazon, a development that could reshape its market position. Conversely, AngioDynamics is expected to report a loss, suggesting potential headwinds for the company. The mixed signals across these companies create a complex outlook for the day's trading.

via Markets Gazette