Back to rankings

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST)

Fair Value
Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-AlcoholicUnited States

Fundamental

73

Price

$41.62

Market Cap

$83.59B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Monster Beverage develops and markets energy drinks, led by its flagship Monster Energy brand, alongside a portfolio of smaller acquired brands and a young alcoholic-beverage business. It owns no bottling plants: cans are filled by outside manufacturers and shipped to market almost entirely through The Coca-Cola Company's global distribution network, an arrangement built after Coca-Cola took a large equity stake in Monster and swapped some of its own energy brands into the deal.

How it makes money

Monster sells finished product to bottlers and distributors, who then sell it on to retailers — revenue is booked when product ships to the distribution network, not when a can is bought off the shelf. Because Coca-Cola's bottlers handle the actual distribution and much of the marketing muscle, Monster can run a relatively asset-light, high-margin business built on brand strength and shelf placement rather than on owning trucks and warehouses.

Revenue by segment

Monster Energy Drinks92.7%

The core Monster Energy lineup and its many flavor extensions — by far the company's largest and most profitable business.

Strategic Brands5.7%

Smaller energy and non-energy brands acquired over the years, including NOS and Full Throttle, sold through the same Coca-Cola distribution system.

Alcohol Brands1.6%

Craft beer, hard seltzer and spirits brands, a small and still-developing diversification away from energy drinks.

Competitive moat

Brand · Wide

Monster Energy is one of the two best-known energy drink brands worldwide, built over two decades of marketing tied to extreme sports and gaming culture, which earns it premium shelf space and price. The moat is being tested, though: newer brands like Celsius, Bang and Prime have taken meaningful share in recent years by appealing to health-conscious or younger drinkers Monster's image was not built for.

What drives demand

Defensive

Energy drinks are a low-cost, habitual purchase that consumers tend to keep buying even when budgets tighten, which makes underlying demand fairly resistant to the economic cycle. The bigger swing factor is competitive and regulatory rather than macroeconomic: new entrants chase the same convenience-store shelf space, and any tightening of marketing or ingredient rules aimed at caffeinated drinks would matter more than a recession.

Key risks

  • Dependence on Coca-Cola's distribution network — Monster relies on The Coca-Cola Company's bottlers to distribute the large majority of its products; any disruption to that relationship, or unilateral decisions by bottlers about shelf space, would be difficult to replace quickly.
  • Intensifying competition — Celsius, Bang, Prime and other newer brands are taking shelf space and market share from established energy drink makers, forcing Monster to spend more on marketing and promotion to defend its position.
  • Health and regulatory scrutiny of caffeine and sugar — Energy drinks face recurring public and regulatory attention over caffeine content and marketing to younger consumers; new restrictions on ingredients, labeling or advertising could raise costs or limit how Monster reaches customers.
  • Input cost inflation — Aluminum cans, sweeteners and other raw materials are subject to price swings that Monster cannot always pass on to customers without risking volume, pressuring margins in periods of high inflation.
  • Unproven alcohol diversification — The Alcohol Brands segment is small, still developing and unprofitable in some periods, representing a diversification effort whose long-term payoff is not yet demonstrated.

The case for

Buyers argue that Monster Energy's brand strength and shelf presence give it durable pricing power, that its asset-light distribution model through Coca-Cola's network produces unusually high margins, and that international markets still offer a long runway for a brand that remains far less penetrated outside the U.S.

The case against

Sellers worry that newer entrants like Celsius and Prime are eating into Monster's growth and shelf space, that heavy reliance on a single distribution partner concentrates a key business risk, and that regulatory scrutiny of caffeine and marketing to young people could constrain the category over time.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on September 19, 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 114.0Score: 57Market cap: $6.92B

Celsius, which now also owns Alani Nu, is Monster's main challenger in the US on the "wellness" and sugar-free end of the energy category, the same shelf where Monster positions Monster Ultra and Reign.

P/E: 16.6Score: 61Market cap: $174.91B

PepsiCo owns Rockstar and Gatorade Fast Twitch and distributes Celsius, so it fights Monster both for the energy-drink consumer and for the retail distribution network that puts cans on the shelf.

P/E: 30.6Score: 62Market cap: $42.02B

Keurig Dr Pepper has built an energy portfolio squarely against Monster by buying GHOST and taking a large stake in Nutrabolt, maker of C4 Energy, and pushing both through its own US distribution.

Red Bull GmbHNot tracked

Red Bull is the brand Monster names first among its direct energy-drink rivals, competing for the same convenience-store cooler space and the same young consumers in essentially every country Monster sells in.

Nutrabolt (Woodbolt Distribution, LLC)Not tracked

Nutrabolt's C4 Energy is one of the brands Monster names as a direct rival to its performance line Reign, competing for the same gym-going and pre-workout drinker.

Living Essentials, LLC (5-hour ENERGY)Not tracked

5-hour ENERGY dominates the energy-shot format and sits at the same US convenience-store counter as Monster, competing for the same caffeine purchase on the same trip.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$9.22B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$2.13B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$1.97B

Total Equity

$8.25B

Total Liabilities

$1.73B

Current Ratio

3.73

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

0.10

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$38.13

Current Price

$41.62

Margin of Safety

-9.2%

Fair Value Range

$26.48 - $49.77

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$50.24
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$36.33
Earnings multiple (P/E):$37.56
Graham growth formula:$8.08
Earnings power value (EPV):$26.86
Justified P/B:$34.46
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:$32.99
Mid-cycle earnings:$46.18
Revenue multiple:$11.05
Analyst Consensus:Buy (19B / 14H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+1.11%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

19.27

ROE

23.1%

P/B Ratio

4.35

P/FCF

19.43

Gross Margin

55.5%

ROIC

22.0%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

22.0%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+14.0 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 14.76%
  • ROIC 22.0%
  • Gross Margin 55.5%
  • P/FCF 19.43
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 29.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 25.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 58% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.05
  • Share Dilution -3.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 23.1% vs 20.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (5)

  • EPS CAGR 3.34%
  • P/B Ratio 4.35
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Unavailable (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.05

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-3.0%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Hilton H. SchlosbergCEO & Vice Chairman72
Mr. Thomas J. Kelly CPAChief Financial Officer71
Mr. Guy P. CarlingChief Executive Officer for EMEA & OSP48
Ms. Emelie C. TirreChief Strategy Officer55
Mr. Rob L. GehringChief Executive Officer for Americas58

Audit Risk

8

Board Risk

9

Compensation Risk

7

Shareholder Rights Risk

1

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-27

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-07

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-25

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MNST, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/11/2026POSITIVE
    You Need to Know the Bull and Bear Case for This Monster Stock That Turned a $1,000 Investment Into $64,000 in 10 Years

    Monster Beverage Corporation has delivered an exceptional 10-year return, transforming a $1,000 investment into $64,000, a testament to its strong performance in the beverage sector. This remarkable growth suggests robust revenue expansion and effective cost management, likely driven by increasing brand popularity and market share gains. Investors are presented with a compelling case for continued upside, as the company demonstrates its ability to consistently outperform market expectations and deliver significant shareholder value.

  • 2/27/2026NEUTRAL
    Monster (MNST) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Investors in Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) are currently awaiting the release of the Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. While specific details remain unavailable, the analysis of such documents is paramount for understanding the company's financial performance, future outlook, and growth strategies. Management's commentary on sales, margins, and guidance for the upcoming year will directly influence market expectations and the stock's valuation. Traders will closely monitor any insights into product innovation, geographical expansion, or competitive challenges, all of which could trigger significant movements in the share price.

  • 2/26/2026NEUTRAL
    Monster Beverage Earnings Review: Q4 Summary

    Monster Beverage Corporation has recently released its Q4 financial summary. While the article does not provide specific details on sales figures or earnings per share, the analysis of this data is crucial for investors. Earnings reports offer a vital overview of the company's financial health, growth trajectory, and profitability. Analysts and shareholders will meticulously examine these results to assess past performance and formulate forecasts regarding the energy drink giant's future prospects. Sales trends, profit margins, and future guidance will be key factors in determining market reaction.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    A Peek at Monster Beverage's Future Earnings

    Investors in Monster Beverage Corporation are awaiting a preview of the company's future earnings, a key event that often acts as a catalyst for stock movement. Despite the announcement, no specific details regarding financial projections or growth expectations have been disclosed at this time. The lack of concrete information prevents an immediate directional assessment, leaving the market in a holding pattern. Monster Beverage, a leader in the energy drink sector, is constantly under analyst scrutiny for its ability to innovate and maintain market share in a competitive segment. Market participants will closely monitor any official communications for signals on future performance and their impact on share value.

via Markets Gazette