XPO Inc (XPO)
Fair ValueFundamental
62
Price
$175.84
Market Cap
$20.68B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
XPO, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. The company operates in two segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. The European Transportation segment offers dedicated truckload, LTL, truck brokerage, managed transportation, last mile, freight forwarding, and warehousing and multimodal solutions to an extensive base of customers within the consumer, trade, and industrial markets. The company was formerly known as XPO Logistics, Inc. and changed its name to XPO, Inc. in December 2022. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$8.57B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$404M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$329M
Total Equity
$1.86B
Total Liabilities
$6.33B
Current Ratio
1.01
Interest Coverage
3.56
Debt/EBITDA
3.41
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$149.09
Current Price
$175.84
Margin of Safety
-17.9%
Fair Value Range
$96.91 - $201.27
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
52.07
ROE
17.0%
P/B Ratio
10.50
P/FCF
35.04
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
9.1%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
9.1%
WACC
13.6%
ROIC − WACC
-4.5 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (19)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 17.14%
- Price CAGR 28.43%
- ROIC 9.1%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 8.8%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 21.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 5.8%
- Analyst Consensus 73% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 11.6%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.69
- Share Dilution -0.1%
- Net Margin Trend 4.7% vs 4.3%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Failed (7)
- P/FCF 35.04
- P/B Ratio 10.50
- CapEx intensity
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- PEG Ratio 3.05
Unavailable (2)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Mario A. Harik | CEO & Chairman of the Board | 44 |
| Mr. Kyle Wismans | Chief Financial Officer | 41 |
| Mr. David J. Bates | Chief Operating Officer | 60 |
| Mr. Christopher Brown | Chief Accounting Officer | 51 |
| Mr. Jay Silberkleit | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Jonas Svedlund J.D. | Chief Legal Officer | - |
| Mr. Anthony Hoereth | Senior Vice President of Sales | - |
| Ms. Carolyn Roach | Chief Human Resources Officer | - |
| Dan Myers | Managing Director | - |
| Ms. Nina Reinhardt | Chief Communication Officer | - |
Audit Risk
4
Board Risk
3
Compensation Risk
1
Shareholder Rights Risk
1
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-05
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-30
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-03
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for XPO, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6/16/2026POSITIVEIf You Invested $100 In XPO Stock 10 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today
An investment of $100 in XPO Inc. stock a decade ago would have yielded a substantial return, growing to $1,260 by June 2026. This represents a remarkable 1,160% gain, significantly outperforming the broader market. The company, a logistics and transportation provider, has demonstrated consistent growth and strategic execution over the past ten years. Investors who held XPO stock would have benefited from its operational improvements and market expansion, highlighting the stock's strong long-term performance.
via Markets Gazette