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Aramark (ARMK)

Überbewertet
IndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

58

Kurs

$54.49

Marktkapitalisierung

$14.30B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Aramark is an outsourced food service and facilities management company. Institutions that do not want to run their own kitchens, cafeterias, cleaning or building maintenance hand those operations to Aramark, which staffs and manages them on site. Its clients are universities and school districts, hospitals and senior living communities, corporate offices and manufacturing plants, stadiums, arenas, convention centres, national parks and correctional facilities. Alongside food and beverage it sells facility operations, housekeeping, grounds keeping, energy management, capital project management and procurement services. In fiscal 2025 the company operated in 16 countries with roughly 278,390 employees and reported $18.5 billion of revenue. The uniform rental business that used to sit inside Aramark was spun off, so what remains is food and support services in the United States and abroad.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Revenue comes from multi-year service contracts with institutional clients, and the 10-K describes two forms. Under profit and loss contracts, about 66% of fiscal 2025 revenue, Aramark collects all the revenue generated at the client's site and bears all the costs, so it keeps the upside of higher volumes and absorbs the shortfall when they fall. Under client interest contracts, about 34% of fiscal 2025 revenue, the client reimburses operating costs and pays Aramark a management fee, which is steadier but caps the reward. Contracts run for fixed terms, many longer than a year; education and sports agreements typically run five to fifteen years and often require Aramark to invest capital in the client's facilities up front, recovered over the life of the contract.

Umsatz nach Segment

FSS United States71.4%

Food and support services in the United States, sold to education, healthcare and senior living, business and industry, and sports, leisure and corrections clients. It generated $13,211.9 million of revenue in fiscal 2025.

FSS International28.6%

The same food and facilities services sold outside the United States, across the other countries in which Aramark operates. It generated $5,294.4 million of revenue in fiscal 2025.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Wechselkosten · Schmal

Aramark's advantage is the friction of replacing it rather than anything a competitor could not imitate. Contracts are long — five to fifteen years in education and sports — and Aramark often installs capital equipment in the client's building, so changing provider means re-tendering, re-badging hundreds of on-site staff and disrupting a service that students, patients or employees use every day. Its purchasing scale across 16 countries also buys food cheaper than a single institution could. But the service itself is not proprietary: several large caterers bid for the same contracts, clients can bring the function back in house, and every renewal reopens the price. That is a narrow advantage, not a wide one.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Demand is a mix of two different behaviours. Hospitals, schools, senior living and corrections keep serving meals whatever the economy does, which puts a floor under a large part of the business. The rest moves with activity: business and industry revenue follows how many employees are actually in the building, sports and leisure follows attendance at games and events, and both fall quickly when offices empty or venues close. Because so much of the work sits under profit and loss contracts, where Aramark takes the volume risk directly, those swings reach the income statement rather than being absorbed by the client. In fiscal 2025 the drivers management pointed to were new business wins, high retention, student enrolment and meal plan take-up — volume at the client site, not price.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Losing clients and failing to renew contracts — The company identifies client retention and contract renewal as a risk factor. Revenue depends on keeping existing contracts and winning new ones; contracts have fixed terms and come up for competitive re-tender, and clients may also choose to bring the service back in house.
  • Competition in the services industry — Aramark lists competition among the risks to its business. It bids against other large outsourced food and facilities providers, as well as against the client's option of self-operating, which constrains the prices and margins it can obtain.
  • Rising operating costs that cannot be passed on — The filing flags operating cost pressures together with constraints on pricing. Food, labour and energy costs can rise while contract terms limit how quickly Aramark can raise what it charges clients, compressing profitability.
  • Hiring, retaining and paying staff; unionisation — Risk factors cover the ability to hire and retain personnel, labour cost increases, unionisation of the workforce and liabilities arising from multiemployer pension plans. The business runs on a very large hourly workforce spread across client sites.
  • Food safety and foodborne illness — The company discloses risks relating to food safety and foodborne illness concerns. It serves meals in hospitals, schools and other sensitive settings, where an incident can bring claims, lost contracts and reputational damage.
  • Economic downturns and disruptions to client activity — Item 1A cites unfavourable economic conditions, and separately natural disasters, global calamities, climate change, pandemics, energy shortages and sports strikes. Aramark is paid for meals served and sites operated, so anything that empties an office, a campus or a stadium removes revenue directly.
  • Debt and leverage — The filing lists leverage and debt service among its risk factors: the level of indebtedness and the obligation to service it constrain the company's financial flexibility.
  • Cybersecurity and data privacy — Cybersecurity and data privacy appear among the disclosed risks. Aramark handles employee and client data across many sites and jurisdictions, and a breach or a privacy failure carries legal and operational consequences.

Kundenkonzentration

The filing states that no individual client represents more than 2% of total revenue, with the exception of a number of United States government agencies taken collectively. Aramark does not publish a combined share for its largest customers, so no top-customer figure can be given. In practice the revenue base is spread across thousands of separate site contracts, and the concentration that matters is by sector — education, healthcare, business and industry, sports — rather than by named client.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that a large share of institutional food service is still run in house, so Aramark's market can grow simply by convincing more universities, hospitals and companies to outsource. They point to fiscal 2025, when both segments grew — FSS United States to $13,211.9 million and FSS International to $5,294.4 million, the latter up 9.8% — on what management described as record new business and high retention, and to guidance for fiscal 2026 revenue of $19.55 to $19.95 billion with adjusted operating income growing faster than revenue. They add that the spin-off of the uniform business leaves a simpler company, that long contracts with embedded capital make revenue visible years ahead, and that purchasing scale across 16 countries widens margins as volume rises.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear a business that turns a great deal of revenue into very little profit: $18.5 billion of fiscal 2025 revenue produced $791.8 million of operating income and $326.4 million of net income attributable to Aramark, so a small move in food or labour cost matters more than a large move in sales. They note that about 66% of revenue sits in profit and loss contracts where Aramark carries the volume risk itself, that contracts come up for competitive re-tender against other large caterers and against the client's option to self-operate, and that winning education and sports work often requires putting capital into someone else's building before the revenue arrives. They also point to the debt and leverage the company lists among its own risk factors, and to the exposure of business and industry and sports revenue to how full offices and venues actually are.

Generated on 18. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 18. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Compass Group plcCPG

The largest contract caterer in the world and the rival Aramark names first in both its US and international segments, bidding for the same college, hospital, corporate and stadium foodservice contracts.

Sodexo S.A.SW

The French group competes head-on with Aramark in both segments, offering the same outsourced catering and facilities management to schools, hospitals and businesses on both sides of the Atlantic.

Delaware North Companies, Inc.Not tracked

A privately held US operator that Aramark names as a domestic competitor and meets directly in stadium, arena, airport and national-park hospitality contracts.

Elior Group S.A.ELIOR

Named by Aramark as an international competitor, it bids for the same education, healthcare and business catering contracts across continental Europe, and also operates in the United States.

ISS A/SISS

The Danish group, named by Aramark among its international competitors, sells integrated facilities management with catering included to the same large corporate and public-sector clients.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$19.85B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 3.7.2026)

Nettogewinn

$383M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 3.7.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$432M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$3.15B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$10.16B

Current Ratio

1.28

Zinsdeckungsgrad

2.17

Schulden/EBITDA

5.10

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallÜberbewertet

Innerer Wert

$42.11

Aktueller Kurs

$54.49

Sicherheitsmarge

-29.4%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$27.37 - $56.85

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$68.50
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$32.42
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$28.86
Graham-Wachstumsformel:$23.28
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$24.22
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:$14.09
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):$6.65
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:$48.72
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:$68.17
Umsatzmultiplikator:$210.17
Analystenkonsens:Starker Kauf (19B / 3H / 0S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+5.05%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

37.45

ROE

10.4%

P/B-Verhältnis

4.16

P/FCF

32.62

Bruttomarge

-

ROIC

6.3%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

6.3%

WACC

8.7%

ROIC − WACC

-2.4 pp

Der ROIC liegt unter den Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen vernichtet für jeden investierten Dollar Wert.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 7.27%
  • Price CAGR 8.55%
  • ROIC 6.3%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 11.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 86% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.38
  • Share Dilution 0.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Nicht bestanden (9)

  • P/FCF 32.62
  • P/B Ratio 4.16
  • Operating Margin 4.4%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -2.7%
  • Net Margin Trend 1.9% vs 2.0%

Nicht verfügbar (3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Starke finanzielle Gesundheit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

2.38

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

0.9%

Aktienanzahl ist stabil

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. John J. ZillmerCEO & Director70
Mr. James J. TarangeloExecutive VP & CFO52
Ms. Lauren A. HarringtonExecutive VP & General Counsel50
Ms. Abigail A. CharpentierExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer50
Mr. Marc A. BrunoChief Operating Officer of U.S. Food & Facilities53
Mr. Jack DonovanPresident67
Mr. Carl MittlemanChief Operating Officer of International-
Mr. Christopher T. SchillingSenior VP, Controller, Principal Accounting Officer & Chief Accounting Officer52
Ms. Felise Glantz KissellInvestor Relations & Corporate Affairs Executive-
Ms. Alison BirdwellPresident of Sports & Entertainment-

Prüfungsrisiko

3

Vorstandsrisiko

1

Vergütungsrisiko

2

Aktionärsrechterisiko

2

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2025-11-25

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-11

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-11

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for ARMK, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/12/2026POSITIVE
    AI Infrastructure Spending Is Creating An Unlikely Winner: Aramark

    Aramark (ARMK) shares surged to a 52-week high following a strong Q2 performance that surpassed Wall Street's earnings and revenue expectations. The company also provided its fiscal 2026 outlook, which is expected to be favorable. This positive momentum suggests robust operational execution and potentially improved market positioning, which could be further amplified by the ongoing AI infrastructure spending trends mentioned in the broader context. Investors will be closely watching the fiscal 2026 guidance for confirmation of sustained growth.

via Markets Gazette