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Daimler Truck Holding AG (DTGHF)

Fair bewertet
IndustrialsFarm & Heavy Construction MachineryGermany

Fundamental

69

Kurs

$41.83

Marktkapitalisierung

$31.82B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Daimler Truck builds and sells heavy trucks and buses under brands including Freightliner, Western Star and Mercedes-Benz. Spun off from Mercedes-Benz Group in 2021, it makes money selling the vehicles themselves and, through a captive finance arm, financing and leasing them to the fleets and operators that buy them. North America and Europe are its two largest markets.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Revenue is booked when a truck or bus is delivered to a dealer or fleet customer, so it tracks the industry-wide replacement cycle for commercial vehicles rather than steady consumption. A smaller, steadier stream comes from financial services — loans and leases on the vehicles Daimler Truck itself sold — and from parts and service, which holds up better than new-vehicle sales when the market slows.

Umsatz nach Segment

Mercedes-Benz Trucks39.9%

Heavy trucks sold mainly in Europe and Latin America under the Mercedes-Benz brand.

Trucks North America38.5%

Freightliner and Western Star trucks sold in the United States, Canada and Mexico — historically the group's largest and most cyclical market.

Daimler Buses12.1%

City, intercity and coach buses sold under the Mercedes-Benz and Setra brands, mostly in Europe and Latin America.

Trucks Asia9.7%

Trucks sold under the Fuso and BharatBenz brands across Japan, India and other Asian markets.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Zyklisch

Truck orders follow freight volumes and haulage rates: when shippers have more goods to move and can charge more for it, fleets buy new trucks; when freight demand slumps, as it did through 2025, orders can fall for several quarters even after the freight market itself starts to recover, because fleets first work through excess capacity.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Prolonged freight-market downturn — The company reported that the 2025 freight recession lasted longer than it had anticipated, with North American heavy-duty unit sales down sharply year over year, showing how quickly a soft freight market can cut into truck demand.
  • US tariff exposure — Daimler Truck recorded roughly €250 million of tariff-related costs in 2025, concentrated in North America, which by the company's own account cut its return on sales by more than a full percentage point.
  • Regional concentration and market cyclicality — North America and Europe together account for the large majority of unit sales, so a downturn in either region — as seen with the 6% decline in the European heavy-duty market in 2025 — has an outsized effect on group results.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that Daimler Truck's roughly 40% share of the North American Class 8 market gives it pricing power once the freight cycle turns, and that its size lets it absorb a tough year like 2025 while smaller rivals struggle more.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that the freight recession has already lasted longer than management expected, that US tariffs keep eating into North American margins, and that a business this dependent on two cyclical regions offers little shelter when both slow down at once.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 23.1Score: 72Market cap: $58.25B

Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF are the direct rivals of Freightliner and Western Star in the North American Class 8 market, Daimler Truck's most profitable segment, and of Mercedes-Benz Trucks in Europe.

TRATON SE8TRA

Through Scania, MAN and International, TRATON sells heavy and medium-duty trucks to the same European and North American fleet operators that buy Mercedes-Benz Trucks and Freightliner.

AB VolvoVOLV-B

Volvo Trucks, Mack, Renault Trucks and UD compete with Daimler Truck brand for brand in Europe, North America and Asia, down to the long-haul tractor and the aftersales service contract.

Isuzu Motors Limited (いすゞ自動車株式会社)7202

Isuzu fights for the same light and medium-duty distribution truck customers in Japan and across Asia where Daimler Truck sells under the FUSO brand.

Iveco Group N.V.IVG

Iveco competes with Mercedes-Benz Trucks across the full European range, from light commercial vehicles to heavy tractors and city buses, and is currently the subject of a takeover by Tata Motors.

Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited (中国重汽(香港)有限公司)Not tracked

Sinotruk is a leading heavy-truck maker in China and a growing exporter to emerging markets, where it undercuts Daimler Truck on price for the same haulage customers.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$44.47B

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Nettogewinn

$2.55B

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Freier Cashflow

$5.42B

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$22.57B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$29.14B

Current Ratio

1.70

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

7.76

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallFair bewertet

Innerer Wert

$49.69

Aktueller Kurs

$41.83

Sicherheitsmarge

+15.8%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$32.30 - $67.08

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$51.26
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$148.54
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$13.89
Graham-Wachstumsformel:$23.61
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$28.27
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:$39.73
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):$31.35
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Umsatzmultiplikator:$166.35
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (16B / 5H / 2S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+118.11%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

12.49

ROE

5.0%

P/B-Verhältnis

1.42

P/FCF

5.87

Bruttomarge

17.9%

ROIC

4.8%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

4.9%

ROIC − WACC

-0.0 pp

Der ROIC liegt etwa auf Höhe der Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen deckt gerade eben seine Kapitalkosten.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (13)

  • Price CAGR 6.30%
  • P/FCF 5.87
  • P/B Ratio 1.42
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.6%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 11.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 70% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 8.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.93

Nicht bestanden (7)

  • ROIC 4.8%
  • Gross Margin 17.9%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 4.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 4.0% vs 5.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Nicht verfügbar (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.93

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Für dieses Unternehmen liegen keine institutionellen Meldungen vor.

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Ms. Karin RadstromPresident, CEO & Member of the Board of Management46
Ms. Eva SchererCFO, Finance & Controlling and Member of the Management Board42
Mr. Jurgen HartwigHuman Resource Officer, Labor Director & Member of the Board of Management58
Mr. John O'LearyMember of the Board of Management65
Dr. Andreas GorbachMember of the Board of Management50
Mr. Achim PuchertMember of the Board of Management46
Mr. Raghavendra VaidyaChief Information Officer-
Mr. Marcus PoppeHead of Investor Relations-
Dr. Florian HoferChief Legal & Compliance Officer-
Mr. Thomas HovermannHead of Corporate Communications-

Prüfungsrisiko

4

Vorstandsrisiko

5

Vergütungsrisiko

3

Aktionärsrechterisiko

1

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

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