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Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE)

Fair bewertet
Financial ServicesInsurance BrokersUnited States

Fundamental

72

Kurs

$222.91

Marktkapitalisierung

$11.45B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Erie Indemnity does not sell insurance policies itself. It manages the day-to-day operations — underwriting, claims handling, marketing, IT — for Erie Insurance Exchange, a separate policyholder-owned insurer that actually writes the auto, home and business coverage and carries the underwriting risk. Erie Indemnity is paid a fee for running the Exchange, not for the insurance itself.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

The great majority of revenue is a management fee calculated as a percentage of the premiums the Exchange writes, capped at 25% and set each year by Erie Indemnity's own board. Because the fee is a share of premiums rather than of the Exchange's underwriting profit, Erie Indemnity's revenue does not depend on whether the Exchange's policies turn out to be profitable — only on how much premium the Exchange writes and on the fee rate the board chooses. A smaller stream reimburses the company for administrative services it also performs for the Exchange.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Wechselkosten · Breit

Erie Indemnity's relationship with the Exchange is set by a long-standing subscriber's agreement, not a contract that gets rebid: the Exchange has no practical way to replace its manager, and Erie Indemnity's own board sets the fee it earns. The advantage is structural rather than competitive — it does not depend on out-competing a rival for the business.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Defensiv

Auto, home and business insurance are recurring necessities, so the premium base the management fee is calculated on tends to grow steadily rather than swing with the economic cycle. The main variable is not consumer demand but the fee rate the board sets each year and how much premium growth the Exchange achieves.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Dependence on one client — Management fees from the Exchange are the company's principal source of revenue. A reduction in the fee rate, or a significant drop in the premiums the Exchange writes, would directly hurt revenue and profitability.
  • Fee rate set at the board's discretion — The management fee rate, while capped at 25%, is set each year by Erie Indemnity's board and can be changed. A lower rate in a future year would reduce revenue even if the Exchange's premium volume keeps growing.
  • No control over underwriting outcomes — Erie Indemnity manages underwriting and claims for the Exchange but does not own the underwriting risk itself; a period of poor claims experience at the Exchange can still pressure the relationship and future fee-setting decisions even though it does not directly hit Erie Indemnity's own balance sheet.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that a fee tied to premium volume rather than underwriting profit gives Erie Indemnity a more stable, capital-light revenue stream than a traditional insurer, that the structural relationship with the Exchange has no practical competitive threat, and that steady growth in the Exchange's premiums supports steady growth in fee revenue.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that revenue depends entirely on a single counterparty and on a fee rate the company's own board could choose to lower, that Erie Indemnity has essentially no other business to fall back on, and that its fortunes are tied to how well the Exchange manages a book of insurance risk it does not directly control.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 7.5Score: 80Market cap: $24.91B

Cincinnati Financial sells personal auto, homeowners and small-commercial cover through the same independent agencies and across much of the same Midwest and Mid-Atlantic territory Erie depends on.

P/E: 4.4Score: 81Market cap: $57.54B

Allstate writes personal auto and homeowners nationwide, including Erie's core Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia and Maryland markets.

P/E: 10.4Score: 76Market cap: $121.78B

Progressive competes for the same personal auto customers both through independent agents and by selling direct to consumers, the channel Erie's filings single out as a competitive pressure.

P/E: 9.6Score: 79Market cap: $75.75B

Travelers distributes personal home and auto as well as commercial multi-peril through independent agencies, overlapping with Erie on both sides of its book.

Auto-Owners Insurance GroupNot tracked

Auto-Owners is the other large agency-distributed regional mutual competing for the same auto and home policyholders inside the very agencies that also place Erie's business.

State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance CompanyNot tracked

State Farm is the largest US personal auto and homeowners writer and the main captive-agent alternative for households in every state Erie operates in.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$4.12B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Nettogewinn

$577M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$571M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$2.28B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$1.07B

Current Ratio

1.25

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

0.00

Gewinn je Aktie

Keine EPS-Daten verfügbar

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallFair bewertet

Innerer Wert

$226.21

Aktueller Kurs

$222.91

Sicherheitsmarge

+1.5%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$147.04 - $305.39

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$202.73
Graham-Wachstumsformel:$398.60
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$124.27
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:$224.01
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):$126.43
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Umsatzmultiplikator:$184.57
Analystenkonsens:Starker Kauf (6B / 2H / 0S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+0.19%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

17.83

ROE

24.5%

P/B-Verhältnis

4.10

P/FCF

18.30

Bruttomarge

-

ROIC

22.5%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

22.5%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+14.5 pp

Der ROIC übersteigt die Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen schafft Wert für die Aktionäre.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (15)

  • Price CAGR 7.22%
  • ROIC 22.5%
  • P/FCF 18.30
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 24.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 75% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.09
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.21

Nicht bestanden (6)

  • P/B Ratio 4.10
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -7.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 14.0% vs 15.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

Nicht verfügbar (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

3/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.21

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Timothy Gerard NeCastro C.I.C., C.P.A.President & CEO65
Ms. Julie Marie Pelkowski C.P.A.Executive VP & CFO55
Mr. Parthasarathy SrinivasaExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer53
Mr. Brian William Bolash Esq.Executive VP, Corporate Secretary & General Counsel59
Mr. Douglas Edward Smith C.P.C.U., FCAS, MAAAExecutive Vice President of Sales & Products51
Mr. Bill MatrogranVice President of Construction Management & Operations-
Mr. Ronald Steven Habursky C.F.A.Senior VP & Chief Investment Officer-
Mr. Scott W. BeilharzVice President of Capital Management & Investor Relations-
Mr. Charles Michael Fletcher C.I.C.Senior Vice President of Sales & Marketing-
Mr. Sean David Dugan AU, C.I.C., C.P.C.U.Executive VP of Human Resources & Corporate Services56

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-02-23

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-07-30

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-07-30

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for ERIE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript

    Erie Indemnity has announced the release of its Q4 2025 earnings transcript. While this is a routine event for publicly traded companies, the current lack of specific content means investors are still awaiting crucial information. The analysis of these details is vital for assessing the insurance company's financial performance and anticipating any potential impact on its stock value. Market participants will closely monitor the full release to identify growth trends, profit margins, and future outlooks that could influence investment decisions, keeping the stock in a holding pattern.

via Markets Gazette