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Guidewire Software, Inc. (GWRE)

Überbewertet
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

Fundamental

72

Kurs

$155.25

Marktkapitalisierung

$12.38B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Guidewire builds the software that property and casualty insurers use to run their core business: issuing policies, processing claims and billing customers. Insurers rent this software instead of maintaining their own aging systems built decades ago. Guidewire hosts it on its own cloud platform, handles the updates, and sells consulting and implementation services to help each insurer configure the system to its own products and rules.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Most revenue is subscription and support fees paid over the life of a multi-year cloud contract, which recur every year the insurer keeps using the system. A smaller, declining share is term licenses for insurers still running the older on-premise version. Services revenue comes from the lengthy, hands-on projects needed to configure and migrate an insurer's policies onto the platform, which can take a year or more per customer.

Umsatz nach Segment

Subscription and Support60.8%

Recurring cloud-hosting and support fees paid by insurers running Guidewire's PolicyCenter, ClaimCenter and BillingCenter systems.

License20.9%

Term licenses sold mainly to insurers still running the older, self-hosted version of the software rather than the cloud platform.

Services18.2%

Consulting and implementation work to configure and migrate an insurer's policies, claims and billing processes onto the platform.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Wechselkosten · Schmal

Once an insurer has spent a year or more configuring its policies, rating rules and claims workflows inside Guidewire's system, ripping it out means redoing that work on a competing platform while keeping the business running. That friction, more than the software itself, is what keeps existing customers renewing rather than switching to a rival core-systems vendor.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Insurers buy Guidewire's systems as multi-year technology investments funded from their own IT budgets, which they can defer or accelerate depending on their profitability and how urgently they need to replace aging systems. Demand is not driven by end-consumer spending, so it is less exposed to a typical recession, but a large contract's timing can still slip if an insurer's own results are under pressure.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Reliance on a small number of large customers — The company discloses that a relatively small number of large insurance customers generate a meaningful share of revenue, giving those customers substantial negotiating leverage on price and terms.
  • Cloud market may not evolve as expected — Guidewire's strategy depends on insurers continuing to adopt cloud-based core systems; if that shift slows due to cost, security or reliability concerns, renewal rates and new sales could suffer.
  • Long and unpredictable sales and implementation cycles — Selling to large insurers and then implementing the software involves lengthy, variable cycles that can take many months or years, making individual deals and their timing hard to predict.
  • Competition from other core-systems and cloud vendors — The market for insurance core systems is competitive and changing quickly as customer preferences shift toward cloud deployment, and rivals or new entrants could erode Guidewire's position.

Kundenkonzentration

Die größten Kunden machen 22 % des Umsatzes aus

In fiscal 2024 Guidewire's ten largest customers together accounted for about 22% of total revenue, giving those large insurers meaningful leverage to negotiate price and contract terms at renewal time.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that the shift of large insurers onto Guidewire's cloud platform is still in its early stages, that the switching costs built into a fully configured core system make renewals highly likely, and that subscription revenue growing faster than the rest of the business signals durable, compounding demand.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers worry that a small number of very large customers hold real negotiating power over price, that long implementation projects make growth lumpy and hard to predict, and that newer, AI-native software vendors could eventually challenge Guidewire's position in a market it does not yet fully dominate.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 18. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Duck Creek Technologies, Inc.Not tracked

Named first among Guidewire's competitors in its 10-K, Duck Creek sells the same cloud policy, billing and claims core suite to the same North American property and casualty insurers.

Sapiens International Corporation N.V.Not tracked

Sapiens competes for the same core-system replacement contracts, with particular strength among European and Asia-Pacific insurers that also want life and annuity lines on one vendor; it was taken private by Advent International and delisted from Nasdaq in December 2025.

MajescoNot tracked

Majesco offers cloud policy, billing and claims platforms aimed at the small and mid-sized carriers Guidewire pursues below its Tier-1 accounts.

Insurity LLCNot tracked

Insurity sells competing core and analytics software to North American property and casualty carriers and managing general agents, overlapping directly with Guidewire's product footprint.

EIS Group, Inc.Not tracked

EIS pitches an API-first insurance core platform to the same insurers weighing a move off legacy systems, competing deal by deal on the same policy and claims workloads.

Origami Risk LLCNot tracked

Named by Guidewire in its 10-K, Origami Risk sells cloud policy, billing and claims administration to insurers, pools and self-insured programs, competing for the same claims and underwriting budgets.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$1.48B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.7.2026)

Nettogewinn

$139M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 31.7.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$378M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$1.19B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$1.38B

Current Ratio

1.79

Zinsdeckungsgrad

11.25

Schulden/EBITDA

4.02

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallÜberbewertet

Innerer Wert

$110.10

Aktueller Kurs

$155.25

Sicherheitsmarge

-41.0%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$71.57 - $148.64

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$213.29
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$84.17
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$58.39
Graham-Wachstumsformel:$26.37
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$14.01
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:$14.45
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:$32.63
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:$17.06
Umsatzmultiplikator:$89.88
Analystenkonsens:Starker Kauf (19B / 3H / 0S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+2.84%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

87.47

ROE

11.7%

P/B-Verhältnis

9.79

P/FCF

30.96

Bruttomarge

64.2%

ROIC

6.2%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

6.2%

WACC

9.6%

ROIC − WACC

-3.4 pp

Der ROIC liegt unter den Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen vernichtet für jeden investierten Dollar Wert.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 11.16%
  • Price CAGR 11.98%
  • ROIC 6.2%
  • Gross Margin 64.2%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 10.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 14.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 86% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 16.2%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.80
  • Share Dilution -0.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 9.4% vs 5.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Nicht bestanden (5)

  • P/FCF 30.96
  • P/B Ratio 9.79
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Nicht verfügbar (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Starke finanzielle Gesundheit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

2.80

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-0.8%

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Michael George RosenbaumCEO & Director53
Mr. John MullenPresident52
Mr. Jeffrey Elliott CooperChief Financial Officer49
Mr. David F. PetersonSenior VP, Principal Accounting Officer & Chief Accounting Officer64
Mr. James Winston King J.D.Chief Administrative Officer, General Counsel & Secretary53
Mr. Chet MandairChief Information Officer-
Mr. Garo ToomajanianInvestor Relations-
Mr. Brian DesmondChief Marketing Officer-
Ms. Brigette McInnis-DayChief People Officer-
Mr. Steven SherrySenior Vice President of Strategic Accounts68

Prüfungsrisiko

1

Vorstandsrisiko

3

Vergütungsrisiko

4

Aktionärsrechterisiko

2

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-09-11

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-06-05

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-09-30

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for GWRE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/4/2026NEGATIVE
    Guidewire Software Posts Better-Than-Expected Q3 Report, But Stock Drops

    Guidewire Software reported Q3 results that surpassed analyst expectations, yet the company's stock experienced a decline. While specific figures were not detailed in the provided snippet, the market's reaction suggests that forward-looking guidance or other qualitative factors may have disappointed investors. This divergence between reported earnings and stock performance highlights the importance of future outlook and market sentiment in stock valuation, potentially signaling underlying concerns about future growth or competitive pressures despite current operational successes.

  • 3/6/2026POSITIVE
    These Analysts Revise Their Forecasts On Guidewire Software Following Q2 Results

    Guidewire Software (GWRE) announced robust Q2 financial results, surpassing both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) expectations. The company further bolstered investor sentiment by elevating its fiscal year 2026 financial projections. This positive performance spurred a notable 4.7% surge in its stock price. While analyst sentiment shows some divergence, with price target adjustments in both directions, the company's strong operational execution and optimistic forward guidance suggest underlying strength. Investors should monitor the sustainability of this growth trajectory and the market's reaction to the mixed analyst outlook.

  • 3/6/2026NEUTRAL
    Guidewire (GWRE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

    The Q2 2026 earnings call transcript for Guidewire Software Inc. (GWRE) has been released. While the specific content is not available, the release of such transcripts is standard practice for publicly traded companies. Investors typically analyze these documents for details on financial performance, future outlook, business strategies, and management's responses to analyst questions. The availability of the transcript allows for in-depth analysis, but without specific content details, the stock's impact remains neutral pending further information.

via Markets Gazette