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NCAB GROUP AB (NCABF)

Überbewertet
TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSweden

Fundamental

58

Kurs

$86.30

Marktkapitalisierung

$15.31B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

NCAB Group does not manufacture anything itself. It designs the specification, sources printed circuit boards (PCBs) from a network of partner factories mainly in China and other parts of Asia, and sells them to industrial customers worldwide, offering local design support, quality control and logistics on top of the board itself. It operates through local sales companies in 19 countries grouped into four regions: Nordics, Europe, North America and East (China and Malaysia).

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Revenue is booked when a customer's ordered PCBs are delivered, priced to cover the factory cost plus NCAB's margin for sourcing, design support and quality assurance. Because NCAB owns no factories, its cost base moves with what partner manufacturers charge and with tariffs on goods made in China, which it has partly offset by shifting some production to Taiwan, South Korea, the U.S. and Southeast Asia.

Umsatz nach Segment

Europe48.1%

Sales offices across Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland and the U.K.

Nordics23.3%

NCAB's home region and largest single market by history, spanning Sweden and neighboring Nordic countries.

North America22.7%

U.S. offices serving defense, medtech, power and industrial customers, with a growing focus on regional and ITAR-approved supply.

East5.9%

Sales offices in China and Malaysia, serving both local and global customers close to the main manufacturing base.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Concentration of factories in China — The company states it faces geopolitical risk because a large share of the factories it sources from are located in China, and that tariffs and trade barriers are a potential risk it has only partly offset by shifting some sourcing to other countries.
  • Dependence on partner manufacturers — Because NCAB owns no factories, the company states it is exposed to the production capacity, capacity constraints and order books of the manufacturers it sources from, as well as raw material availability and prices.
  • Currency exposure — The company states it is exposed to currency risk, mainly between the USD, EUR and SEK, through translation of sales and purchases and of reported assets, liabilities and investments.
  • Demand and customer relationship risk — The company cites commercial risk arising from changes in economic activity, demand and customer preferences, and from the state of its relationships with customers.
  • Dependence on skilled staff — The company states it depends on the continued trust of its employees and on its ability to recruit skilled staff, since its role is largely one of technical sourcing and design support rather than owning production assets.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that an asset-light sourcing model lets NCAB grow without the capital intensity of owning factories, that its design-support and quality-control services create switching costs beyond just finding a cheaper board supplier, and that diversifying manufacturing beyond China reduces tariff exposure over time.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that without owned factories NCAB has limited control over its cost base and delivery reliability, that heavy reliance on Chinese manufacturing capacity leaves it exposed to tariffs and trade policy shifts it cannot control, and that the business is ultimately a distributor with thinner structural protection than a manufacturer.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 19. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

ICAPE Holding SA (ICAPE Group)ALICA

French PCB supplier with the same asset-light model as NCAB — local sales offices in Europe and North America backed by an engineering and quality organisation in China — chasing the same high-mix low-volume electronics manufacturers.

Fineline Global GroupNot tracked

Privately held European PCB supplier, named by NCAB itself as a direct competitor, selling Asian-produced boards plus quality assurance and logistics to the same industrial and telecom customers in Europe.

PalPilot International Corp.Not tracked

US-based private PCB supplier named by NCAB as a direct competitor, competing for the same North American customers with the same combination of local account teams and Chinese factory partners.

Würth Elektronik Circuit Board Technology (part of Würth Elektronik Group)Not tracked

Private German PCB maker that supplies prototypes and small-to-medium series to the same European industrial, automotive and medical customers NCAB serves, but from its own European plants.

Schweizer Electronic AGNot tracked

German PCB manufacturer competing for European automotive and industrial board orders, offering its own factory output where NCAB offers sourced and quality-controlled Asian production.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$4.08B

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Nettogewinn

$272M

Letzte 12 Monate bis zum zuletzt gemeldeten Quartal — Schätzung aus Kennzahlen je Aktie

Freier Cashflow

$290M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$1.49B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$1.31B

Current Ratio

1.60

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

2.74

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallÜberbewertet

Innerer Wert

$53.27

Aktueller Kurs

$86.30

Sicherheitsmarge

-62.0%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$34.62 - $71.91

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$91.33
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$22.58
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$52.48
Graham-Wachstumsformel:$35.02
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$13.71
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:$12.87
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):$0.01
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Umsatzmultiplikator:$111.36
Analystenkonsens:Starker Kauf (7B / 3H / 0S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+5.04%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

56.69

ROE

18.9%

P/B-Verhältnis

10.32

P/FCF

52.71

Bruttomarge

35.1%

ROIC

12.1%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

12.1%

WACC

11.7%

ROIC − WACC

+0.5 pp

Der ROIC liegt etwa auf Höhe der Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen deckt gerade eben seine Kapitalkosten.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (13)

  • Price CAGR 33.67%
  • ROIC 12.1%
  • Gross Margin 35.1%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 18.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 70% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.56

Nicht bestanden (8)

  • P/FCF 52.71
  • P/B Ratio 10.32
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -3.2%
  • PEG Ratio 6.55
  • Net Margin Trend 5.5% vs 7.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Nicht verfügbar (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Ernsthafte finanzielle Bedenken

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.56

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Für dieses Unternehmen liegen keine institutionellen Meldungen vor.

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Peter KrukPresident & CEO57
Mr. Timothy Benjamin Jr.Chief Financial Officer43
Mr. Chris NuttallChief Operating Officer52
Mr. Bo AnderssonTechnical Manager-
Ms. Ann JuvikenChief Digital & Information Officer55
Ms. Gunilla Öhman WikmanIR Manager66
Ms. Sanna MagnussonGroup Marketing Director46
Claire-Lise SarninVice President of People & Culture45
Mr. Andy LiuMD of China Sales & VP of Asia45
Mr. Jack KeiManaging Director of China-

Prüfungsrisiko

4

Vorstandsrisiko

6

Vergütungsrisiko

4

Aktionärsrechterisiko

1

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Latest News

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