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Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)

Überbewertet
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Fundamental

72

Kurs

$187.05

Marktkapitalisierung

$462.81B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Palantir builds software platforms that let large organizations — government agencies and big companies — pull together scattered, siloed data (satellite feeds, sensor data, supply chains, internal records) into one system where analysts, and increasingly AI models, can act on it. It began as a data-integration tool for intelligence and defense agencies and has since built a second business selling the same underlying platform, rebranded as an AI operating system, to commercial customers such as manufacturers, banks and healthcare providers.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Palantir sells multi-year software contracts, priced per deployment rather than as a simple per-seat subscription, so contract size and length vary widely by customer. Government contracts, still the larger half of revenue, often start small and expand as an agency proves out the platform, but can include termination-for-convenience clauses that let the customer walk away with notice. The commercial business is growing faster and is priced more like conventional enterprise software, spreading revenue across a wider base of customers.

Umsatz nach Segment

Government54%

Software sold to defense, intelligence and other public-sector agencies in the US and allied countries.

Commercial46%

The same data-integration and AI platform sold to private companies across manufacturing, finance, healthcare and other industries.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Wechselkosten · Schmal

Once an organization has built its workflows, dashboards and data pipelines on top of Palantir's platform, ripping it out and rebuilding on a competitor's system is a costly, multi-year undertaking, which helps retain customers once won. But the same consultative, hands-on process that creates this lock-in also makes winning a new customer slow, and large cloud and software vendors are building comparable AI-data tools that could erode the advantage over time.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Government revenue depends on agency budgets and procurement cycles rather than the broader economy, so it can hold up in a recession but is exposed to political shifts in defense and federal spending priorities. Commercial revenue is more sensitive to the ordinary business cycle, since enterprise software budgets are among the first things companies trim when conditions worsen.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Government budget dependence — Over half of revenue relies on government spending that can shift with political priorities, and many government contracts include termination-for-convenience clauses the customer can invoke on notice.
  • Uncertain sustained profitability — The company itself warns that operating expenses will keep increasing and that it may not be able to maintain profitability as it continues to invest in growth.
  • Stock-based compensation dilution — Palantir relies heavily on equity compensation, which dilutes existing shareholders and could pressure the stock if not matched by continued revenue growth.
  • Well-resourced competition — Palantir competes against larger enterprise software vendors, government contractors and customers' own internal development efforts, many with greater name recognition and financial resources.

Kundenkonzentration

Die größten Kunden machen 16 % des Umsatzes aus

In FY2025 the three largest customers together made up 16% of revenue, down from 17% a year earlier, and have been Palantir customers for about ten years on average — a concentration typical of large enterprise and government software deals, but material if even one relationship ends.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that once an agency or company builds its operations on Palantir's platform the switching cost locks in years of recurring revenue, that the commercial business now grows faster than the government side and diversifies the customer base, and that being an early, credible AI-integration platform for messy real-world data gives it a head start as demand for applied AI grows.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers worry that more than half of revenue still depends on government budgets that can shift with political priorities and carry contracts customers can cancel on notice, that heavy stock-based compensation dilutes shareholders even as the company turns profitable, and that far larger cloud and software vendors are building competing AI-data platforms that could erode Palantir's edge over time.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 19. September 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 10.9Score: 68Market cap: $8.45B

Booz Allen designs and deploys data-analytics and AI systems for U.S. defense and intelligence agencies, competing for the same federal contracts that drive Palantir's government segment.

P/E: —Score: 59Market cap: $115.76B

Snowflake's data cloud and its Cortex AI layer address the same commercial customers who would otherwise standardize on Foundry to centralize and analyze their operational data.

P/E: 11.4Score: 75Market cap: $15.35B

Leidos builds data-integration and analytics systems for U.S. defense and intelligence customers, bidding against Palantir's Gotham on mission-software and command-and-control programs.

P/E: 25.2Score: 78Market cap: $13.62B

CACI develops intelligence, cyber and battlefield-awareness software for the same U.S. government agencies that buy Palantir's Gotham platform.

Databricks, Inc.Not tracked

Databricks sells the same kind of enterprise data-and-AI platform that Palantir's Foundry and AIP sell, and the two bid for the same large corporate budgets for unifying company data and building AI applications on top of it.

Anduril Industries, Inc.Not tracked

Anduril's Lattice command-and-control software overlaps directly with Gotham in defense programs, and the two compete for the same U.S. and allied military AI awards.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$6.16B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Nettogewinn

$3.02B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$2.10B

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$7.39B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$1.41B

Current Ratio

7.23

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

0.15

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallÜberbewertet

Innerer Wert

$103.53

Aktueller Kurs

$187.05

Sicherheitsmarge

-80.7%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$67.30 - $139.77

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$195.57
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$10.66
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$101.45
Graham-Wachstumsformel:$19.05
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$5.95
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:$9.73
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:$10.99
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Umsatzmultiplikator:$12.23
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (28B / 9H / 2S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+15.69%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

159.87

ROE

22.0%

P/B-Verhältnis

45.98

P/FCF

133.84

Bruttomarge

84.8%

ROIC

20.5%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

20.5%

WACC

13.6%

ROIC − WACC

+6.9 pp

Der ROIC übersteigt die Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen schafft Wert für die Aktionäre.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 41.85%
  • ROIC 20.5%
  • Gross Margin 84.8%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 42.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 37.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 32.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 72% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 15.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.13
  • Net Margin Trend 49.0% vs 22.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Nicht bestanden (5)

  • P/FCF 133.84
  • P/B Ratio 45.98
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Share Dilution 6.0%

Nicht verfügbar (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Starke finanzielle Gesundheit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

1.13

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

6.0%

Neue Aktien werden ausgegeben, Eigentum wird verwässert

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Dr. Alexander C. Karp J.D.Co-Founder, CEO & Director58
Mr. Stephen Andrew CohenCo-Founder, President, Secretary & Director41
Mr. David A. Glazer J.D.CFO & Treasurer40
Mr. Shyam SankarCTO & Executive VP42
Mr. Ryan D. Taylor J.D.Chief Revenue Officer & Chief Legal Officer42
Mr. Peter Andreas Thiel J.D.Co-Founder & Chairman58
Mr. Joseph Todd LonsdaleCo-Founder42
Mr. Jeffrey Buckley B.S., CPAChief Accounting Officer41
Mr. David B. MacNaughtonPresident of Palantir Canada75
Kevin KawasakiHead of Business Development-

Prüfungsrisiko

7

Vorstandsrisiko

10

Vergütungsrisiko

10

Aktionärsrechterisiko

10

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-02-17

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-04

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-03

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PLTR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7d agoPOSITIVE
    Il titolo Palantir è in forte rialzo: ritesterà il massimo storico o invertirà la rotta?

    Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is experiencing a strong bullish trend, approaching its all-time high, with momentum building since July. The stock has surged to $19.10, up 80% from its July low, driven by robust technical and fundamental indicators. This rally coincides with a broader rebound in software companies and is fueled by significant revenue expansion, attributed to sustained demand from both government and enterprise clients. The company's latest financial results highlighted a remarkable 93% revenue increase in the second quarter, underscoring its accelerated growth trajectory and positive investor sentiment.

  • 8d agoPOSITIVE
    Palantir’s stock sees its highest close of the year, sealing a dramatic comeback

    Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) stock achieved its highest closing price of the year, signaling a significant recovery driven by renewed investor optimism following its latest earnings report. The company is capitalizing on the burgeoning artificial intelligence sector, a trend that has clearly resonated with the market. This surge indicates strong confidence in Palantir's business model and its strategic positioning within the AI landscape, potentially attracting further investment and upward price momentum.

  • 17d agoPOSITIVE
    Palantir può vincere anche se il boom dell'AI rallenta: Wall Street vede +50%

    Despite a potential slowdown in AI model development, Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) is viewed favorably by Wall Street, with D.A. Davidson raising its price target to $250, suggesting a 50% upside. This optimistic outlook stems from Palantir's business model, which focuses on the deployment of AI by enterprises and governments rather than solely on building the most advanced AI models. This distinction suggests that Palantir's growth is less dependent on the continuous acceleration of AI innovation and more on the broader adoption of AI solutions, making it a potentially resilient AI-related stock.

  • 29d agoNEGATIVE
    Palantir’s stock is slumping. Why bond yields and Google may be to blame.

    Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is experiencing a significant stock slump, reversing gains from its August post-earnings rally. The company's rich valuation multiple is facing renewed pressure, with market analysts pointing to rising bond yields and potential competition from Google as key contributing factors. Higher bond yields typically make growth stocks like Palantir less attractive as investors seek safer, higher-yielding fixed-income investments. This environment challenges Palantir's premium valuation, suggesting a potential re-evaluation by the market.

  • 8/7/2026POSITIVE
    Palantir’s stock stages best week since 2024 — showing it’s no longer an AI loser

    Palantir Technologies Inc. has experienced its best week of trading since early 2024, with its stock surging significantly. This rally is attributed to a resurgence of investor confidence, primarily driven by robust and booming demand for the company's artificial intelligence (AI) solutions. The market perception is shifting, indicating that Palantir is no longer viewed as lagging in the AI race. This strong performance suggests that the company's strategic focus on AI is resonating with customers and investors alike, potentially leading to increased revenue and market share in the competitive tech landscape.

via Markets Gazette