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Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM)

Fair bewertet
HealthcareHealth Information ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

35

Kurs

$80.13

Marktkapitalisierung

$14.84B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Tempus sells AI-driven diagnostic tests and the data platform built on top of them. Doctors, mostly oncologists, order its genomic sequencing tests to decide which cancer drugs are likely to work for a specific patient, and the results also add to a growing library of clinical and molecular data. That data library is then licensed to pharmaceutical companies, who use it to find drug targets and design clinical trials faster than they could with their own data alone.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Diagnostics revenue is billed per test, largely through insurance reimbursement, so it depends on how many tests get ordered and what payers agree to pay for each one. Data and Applications revenue comes from multi-year licensing agreements with pharmaceutical companies and from Insights, a subscription-like product giving structured access to Tempus's data library. The Diagnostics business drives most of the volume and losses today, while Data and Applications carries higher margins and is growing faster.

Umsatz nach Segment

Diagnostics75.1%

Genomic and molecular sequencing tests ordered by physicians, mainly oncologists, to guide treatment decisions for individual cancer patients.

Data and Applications24.9%

Licensing of Tempus's clinical and molecular data library to pharmaceutical companies, plus Insights, a subscription product for structured data access.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Patente und Lizenzen · Schmal

Tempus's advantage rests on a data library that grows with every test it runs, linking genomic results to real clinical outcomes in a way a newcomer cannot replicate quickly. But established diagnostics competitors have their own large data sets and physician relationships, and nothing stops a hospital system from sending samples to more than one lab.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Mäßig zyklisch

Test volume follows how many patients get diagnosed with cancer and how willing physicians and insurers are to order and pay for genomic profiling, a trend that has grown steadily rather than swung with the economy. Data licensing demand instead tracks pharmaceutical research budgets, which can be cut in a downturn even as clinical demand for testing keeps rising.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Ongoing net losses and cash burn — Tempus has never been profitable and continues to report significant net losses and negative operating cash flow, making it dependent on external financing or faster margin improvement to keep funding growth.
  • Reimbursement risk on Diagnostics tests — Insurers can decline to cover a test, pay less than the cost of running it, or change coverage policy, and Diagnostics revenue depends heavily on what payers ultimately reimburse.
  • A data-driven model that rivals could replicate — The value of Tempus's data library depends on continuing to add tests and partners at scale; larger, better-capitalized competitors in genomic testing could build comparable data assets over time.
  • Regulatory oversight of laboratory-developed tests — Tempus's tests operate as laboratory-developed tests under evolving regulatory frameworks; a shift toward stricter FDA oversight could raise costs or slow the launch of new tests.

Kundenkonzentration

Tempus signed data-licensing agreements with more than 70 pharmaceutical partners in 2025, including large companies such as AstraZeneca and Merck; the company does not disclose what share of revenue its largest partner represents.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that Tempus is building a data asset pharmaceutical companies cannot easily replicate, that landing repeat, expanding agreements with companies like AstraZeneca and Merck shows the model works commercially, and that Diagnostics volume growth of over 100% signals a business approaching the scale needed to turn a profit.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that a company still losing money at this scale depends on continued access to capital markets, that reimbursement for genomic tests can be cut by insurers at any time, and that today's data advantage narrows as competitors with equally large patient populations build their own libraries.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$1.43B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Nettogewinn

$-254M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$-239M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$491M

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$1.78B

Current Ratio

3.30

Zinsdeckungsgrad

5.12

Schulden/EBITDA

-

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallFair bewertet

Innerer Wert

$68.56

Aktueller Kurs

$80.13

Sicherheitsmarge

-16.9%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$65.13 - $71.98

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$68.56
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Graham-Wachstumsformel:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Umsatzmultiplikator:$30.93
Analystenkonsens:Kaufen (13B / 8H / 2S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+71.65%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

-

ROE

-49.9%

P/B-Verhältnis

32.28

P/FCF

-

Bruttomarge

-

ROIC

-11.3%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

-11.3%

WACC

15.6%

ROIC − WACC

-27.0 pp

Der ROIC liegt unter den Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen vernichtet für jeden investierten Dollar Wert.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (9)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 50.66%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 46.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 36.2%
  • Net Margin Trend -17.8% vs -21.0%

Nicht bestanden (10)

  • ROIC -11.3%
  • P/B Ratio 32.28
  • Operating Margin -19.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -54.7%
  • Share Dilution 53.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Nicht verfügbar (8)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Gemischte Signale: Einige Bereiche bedürfen Aufmerksamkeit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

-

Niedrige Qualität: Rechnungslegung prüfen

Aktienverwässerung

53.4%

Neue Aktien werden ausgegeben, Eigentum wird verwässert

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Eric P. Lefkofsky J.D.Co-Founder, CEO, President & Chairman55
Mr. James RogersChief Financial Officer38
Mr. Erik PhelpsExecutive VP and Chief Administrative & Legal Officer54
Mr. Andrew PolovinChief Legal Officer51
Mr. Ryan FukushimaChief Executive Officer of Data & Apps39
Mr. Ryan M. Bartolucci CPAChief Accounting Officer43
Mr. Shane ColleyChief Technology Officer-
Dr. Kate A. Sasser Ph.D.Chief Scientific Officer47
Ms. Elizabeth KrutoholowVice President of Investor Relations & Competitive Intelligence-
Ms. Christina AntoniouSenior VP & Head of Corporate Development-

Prüfungsrisiko

1

Vorstandsrisiko

9

Vergütungsrisiko

10

Aktionärsrechterisiko

10

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-02-24

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-07-30

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-07-30

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TEM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 13d agoPOSITIVE
    Le azioni Tempus AI volano: c'è ancora margine di rialzo?

    Tempus AI Inc. (TEM) shares are experiencing a significant rally, reaching their highest point since November of the previous year. The stock has surged to $80, marking a 95% increase from its year-to-date low, and now boasts a market capitalization exceeding $14 billion. Technical analysis of the daily chart reveals a triple-bottom pattern, a bullish reversal signal, after the stock bottomed out at $41.47 in April, May, and August. Having broken through the key resistance level of $63.25, the stock is now being watched by bulls for a potential advance towards the $100 resistance level, suggesting further upside potential.

  • 8/19/2026POSITIVE
    Le azioni Tempus AI volano grazie a Moderna

    Tempus AI (TEM) shares surged on August 19th, fueled by a technical short squeeze triggered by positive third-party clinical trial progress. The stock decisively broke above key moving averages, signaling a bullish trend reversal across multiple timeframes. Following this rally, Tempus AI shares are trading nearly 50% above their July lows. The primary catalyst for TEM's explosive move originated not from Tempus AI itself, but from Phase 3 benchmark results released by Merck and Moderna Inc., which indirectly boosted investor sentiment towards health-tech companies like Tempus AI.

  • 5/6/2026POSITIVE
    Tempus AI's Big Pharma AI Partnerships Are Getting Bigger And Stickier

    Tempus AI reported Q1 revenue of $348.1 million, a substantial 36.1% increase year-over-year, surpassing analyst expectations. The company also raised its 2026 financial outlook, citing robust demand for its artificial intelligence solutions and diagnostic services, particularly within the pharmaceutical sector. These strong results and an optimistic forward-looking statement suggest continued growth and market penetration, which is a positive indicator for investors.

  • 3/26/2026POSITIVE
    Cathie Wood Chooses Medical AI Over Mark Zuckerberg: Ark Loads Up On TEM Stock, Dumps Meta Shares

    Cathie Wood's Ark Invest has significantly increased its exposure to the healthcare technology sector by acquiring shares of Tempus AI (TEM). This strategic move contrasts with a simultaneous reduction in Meta Platforms (META) holdings, indicating a pronounced shift in Ark's investment focus. The decision to favor medical AI specialists like Tempus AI over established big tech giants suggests a strong conviction in the growth potential and disruptive capabilities of AI applications within the healthcare industry. Investors may view this as a signal of strong future performance for companies at the intersection of AI and medicine.

  • 2/26/2026POSITIVE
    Cathie Wood Is Buying The Tempus AI Dip, Ark Snaps Up Stock Worth $11 Million

    Cathie Wood's Ark Invest made a notable move on Wednesday, February 25, 2026, by acquiring $11 million worth of Tempus AI stock. This significant purchase followed a 7% dip in the company's share price. Ark Invest's decision to 'buy the dip' signals strong conviction in Tempus AI's long-term prospects and underlying value, particularly in the wake of a market correction. Investors often view such actions by prominent funds like Ark as a bullish indicator, suggesting that the recent downturn presents an an attractive entry point and reinforcing the potential for future growth in the artificial intelligence sector.

  • 2/24/2026NEGATIVE
    Tempus AI Stock Drops Despite Q4 Earnings Beat: Details

    Tempus AI's stock, TEM, experienced a notable decline despite the company reporting stronger-than-expected Q4 earnings. The healthcare AI firm announced robust financial results, yet investor reaction was unexpectedly negative, leading to a drop in share value. This scenario suggests that the market might have already priced in the positive news, or that there are underlying concerns not immediately apparent in the earnings report, such as cautious future outlooks or a perceived overvaluation. Investors should closely monitor upcoming communications to understand the reasons behind this discrepancy.

via Markets Gazette