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Twilio Inc (TWLO)

Überbewertet
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Fundamental

62

Kurs

$294.48

Marktkapitalisierung

$44.07B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Twilio Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides customer engagement platform solutions in the United States and internationally. The company provides various application programming interfaces and software solutions for communications between customers and end users, including messaging, voice, email, video interactions, digital engagement centers, marketing campaigns, and user authentication and identity solutions. It also offers software products to build direct and personalized relationships with their end users, such as Segment, a platform that provides tools to harness the power of contextual data by unifying real-time information collected throughout each customer's journey into a unique profile. Twilio Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

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Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$5.57B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Nettogewinn

$1.15B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Freier Cashflow

-

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$7.82B

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$1.95B

Current Ratio

4.62

Zinsdeckungsgrad

-

Schulden/EBITDA

3.02

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallÜberbewertet

Innerer Wert

$178.11

Aktueller Kurs

$294.48

Sicherheitsmarge

-65.3%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$115.77 - $240.45

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$263.04
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$0.60
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$350.89
Graham-Wachstumsformel:$118.03
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$11.32
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:$58.81
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:$23.89
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Umsatzmultiplikator:$171.69
Analystenkonsens:Starker Kauf (32B / 5H / 1S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+9.29%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

41.84

ROE

0.4%

P/B-Verhältnis

5.15

P/FCF

-

Bruttomarge

48.5%

ROIC

2.3%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

2.3%

WACC

12.4%

ROIC − WACC

-10.1 pp

Der ROIC liegt unter den Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen vernichtet für jeden investierten Dollar Wert.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 22.93%
  • Gross Margin 48.5%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.2%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 14.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 23.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 84% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 10.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.92
  • Share Dilution -2.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 20.6% vs 0.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Nicht bestanden (5)

  • ROIC 2.3%
  • P/B Ratio 5.15
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Nicht verfügbar (6)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Gemischte Signale: Einige Bereiche bedürfen Aufmerksamkeit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

0.92

Mittel: Gewisse Differenz zwischen Gewinn und Cashflow

Aktienverwässerung

-2.8%

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Khozema Zoher ShipchandlerCEO & Director51
Ms. Aidan ViggianoChief Financial Officer45
Mr. Thomas WyattChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Inbal ShaniChief Product & Technology Officer-
Ms. Christy LakeChief Administrative Officer51
Mr. Bryan VanimanSenior Vice President of Corporate Development, Investor Relations & Treasury49
Mr. Chris KoehlerChief Marketing Officer-
Ms. Amy HolcroftChief Privacy Officer-
Juliana ChenCorporate Secretary-
Ms. Robin GrocholVice President of Product, Data, Security & Identity,-

Prüfungsrisiko

1

Vorstandsrisiko

3

Vergütungsrisiko

4

Aktionärsrechterisiko

5

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-02-24

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-07

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-06

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TWLO, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/27/2026POSITIVE
    Twilio Gains Analyst Backing As High-Margin Voice, Email Eclipse Legacy Messaging

    Bank of America has upgraded Twilio (TWLO) to a 'Buy' rating, setting a new price target of $235, implying a 24% upside potential. This upgrade is underpinned by the company's strategic shift towards high-margin voice and email services, which are increasingly eclipsing its legacy messaging business. A significant factor is the company's impressive 85% margin on email services and a substantial $42 billion contract backlog. Analysts believe these factors are pivotal for Twilio's AI cloud turnaround, projecting strong performance into 2026. Investors are likely to view this as a strong signal of renewed growth and profitability.

  • 5/4/2026POSITIVE
    How Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler is turning the company around and beating SaaSpocalypse fears

    Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler is spearheading a significant turnaround, assuaging fears of a 'SaaSpocalypse'. The company's strategic shifts and operational efficiencies are reportedly yielding positive results, indicating a renewed focus on profitability and sustainable growth. This narrative suggests that Twilio is successfully navigating market challenges and demonstrating resilience. Investors are likely to view these developments favorably, potentially leading to increased confidence in the company's future performance and stock valuation.

  • 5/1/2026POSITIVE
    Twilio’s stock is soaring. The software group says its AI-voice tool is seeing ‘unprecedented demand.’

    Twilio Inc. shares surged approximately 23% following the company's announcement of 'unprecedented demand' for its AI-powered voice tool. This significant uptick provides a much-needed boost to the software sector, which has recently faced headwinds due to broader concerns surrounding artificial intelligence development and adoption. The strong performance suggests that Twilio's specific AI application is resonating with the market, potentially signaling a positive shift in investor sentiment towards AI-driven solutions within the tech industry. Investors will be watching to see if this momentum can be sustained and if other companies can replicate Twilio's success.

via Markets Gazette