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Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN)

Unterbewertet
Consumer CyclicalResorts & CasinosUnited States

Fundamental

72

Kurs

$77.08

Marktkapitalisierung

$8.26B

Teil 1 · Was das Unternehmen wert ist

Übersicht

Wynn Resorts designs, builds and operates luxury casino resorts, with properties in Macau, Las Vegas and, since 2019, near Boston. Revenue comes from casino gaming — table games and slot machines — plus hotel rooms, restaurants, retail and entertainment at the same resorts. Its Macau operations run under a government concession to operate casinos through 2032, while Nevada and Massachusetts gaming licenses govern the two US properties. Roughly half of group revenue now comes from Macau.

Wie das Geld verdient wird

Casino revenue is the largest piece and the most volatile: it depends on how much high rollers wager and how the house edge plays out over a period, so results swing quarter to quarter even when visitor numbers hold steady. Hotel, dining, retail and entertainment revenue is steadier and depends on occupancy and room rates. Because resorts are capital-intensive with high fixed costs, small swings in gaming volume move profit far more than they move revenue.

Umsatz nach Segment

Macau Operations52.1%

Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau, two integrated casino resorts on the Cotai Strip and the peninsula, generating the largest share of group revenue.

Las Vegas Operations36%

Wynn Las Vegas and Encore, a single integrated resort on the Las Vegas Strip combining casino, hotel, dining and convention space.

Encore Boston Harbor11.9%

A single casino resort on Boston Harbor, opened in 2019, serving the New England gaming market.

Wettbewerbsvorteil

Patente und Lizenzen · Schmal

Casino resorts of this scale require a government concession or license granted to only a handful of operators — six in Macau, a limited set in Nevada and Massachusetts — which keeps new entrants out. But it cuts both ways: the same concession can be modified, taxed more heavily, or not renewed, and Wynn already competes hard against the other five Macau operators for the same premium players.

Was die Nachfrage antreibt

Zyklisch

Casino spending is discretionary and tied to disposable income, business and leisure travel, and, in Macau, the willingness of mainland Chinese visitors to travel and wager. Wynn's own filings flag vulnerability to economic slowdowns and travel restrictions; the pandemic-era closures of its Macau properties showed how quickly that revenue can approach zero.

Wichtigste Risiken

  • Gaming licenses can be limited or revoked — Wynn operates under extensive regulatory oversight in Macau, Nevada and Massachusetts. Gaming concessions and licenses could be modified, suspended or revoked, potentially halting operations at a property.
  • Cash flow concentrated in a handful of properties — The company states that virtually all of its cash flow comes from a handful of large properties in Macau, Las Vegas and Boston, so a downturn or regulatory change in any one region can disproportionately affect overall results.
  • Macau-specific regulatory constraints — Wynn Macau must obtain government approval for major corporate decisions and meet investment plan requirements, and faces a gaming tax of 35% plus up to 5% in public-interest contributions, limiting operating flexibility.
  • Dependence on discretionary travel spending — Operations depend significantly on discretionary consumer spending and international travel patterns, making results vulnerable to economic slowdowns or travel restrictions.

Kundenkonzentration

Wynn does not disclose a customer concentration percentage, but its own risk factors describe heavy dependence on a relatively small number of high-end 'premium' credit players in Macau, whose wagering swings materially move results.

Die Argumente dafür

Buyers argue that Macau's gaming market is recovering toward pre-pandemic levels, that Wynn's brand travels well with premium mass-market players, and that a limited number of licensed operators in each jurisdiction protects pricing and margins once a resort is built and running.

Die Argumente dagegen

Sellers fear that nearly all of Wynn's cash flow comes from a handful of properties in three jurisdictions, so a policy shift in Macau, a Nevada regulatory action, or a downturn in high-end discretionary travel would hit results with little offsetting diversification, and that heavy dependence on premium credit players adds volatility to reported earnings.

Written by the editors, published on 18. August 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilanz & Liquidität

Umsatz

$7.41B

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Nettogewinn

$449M

Letzte 12 Monate (bis 30.6.2026)

Freier Cashflow

$692M

Gesamtes Eigenkapital

$-275M

Gesamtverbindlichkeiten

$14.14B

Current Ratio

0.91

Zinsdeckungsgrad

1.89

Schulden/EBITDA

7.10

Gewinn je Aktie

Umsatz & Nettogewinn

Freier Cashflow

Ertragsaufschlüsselung

Historische Aufstellung

Margen im Zeitverlauf

Verschuldung im Zeitverlauf

Wie schwer die Schulden wiegen

Wachstumsraster

Wachstum — Umsatz

Innerer-Wert-Schätzung

Allgemeiner FallUnterbewertet

Innerer Wert

$136.04

Aktueller Kurs

$77.08

Sicherheitsmarge

+43.3%

Innerer-Wert-Spanne

$88.43 - $183.66

Streubreite zwischen den verwendeten Bewertungsmethoden, kein statistisch kalibriertes Konfidenzintervall.

Bewertungsmethoden

Kursziel der Analysten:$132.01
Diskontierter Cashflow (DCF):$248.88
Gewinnmultiplikator (P/E):$66.02
Graham-Wachstumsformel:$67.89
Ertragskraftwert (EPV):$91.89
Gerechtfertigtes P/B:Nicht genügend Daten zur Berechnung
Dividendendiskontierung (Gordon):$16.96
P/FFO, Funds from Operations:$147.29
Gewinn im Zyklusmittel:$139.05
Umsatzmultiplikator:$123.39
Analystenkonsens:Starker Kauf (27B / 1H / 0S)
Letzte Gewinnüberraschung:+9.43%

Bewertungskennzahlen

P/E-Verhältnis

19.05

ROE

-118.8%

P/B-Verhältnis

-

P/FCF

10.33

Bruttomarge

-

ROIC

9.0%

Rentabilitäts-Radar

Wertschöpfung (Wettbewerbsvorteil)

ROIC

9.0%

WACC

6.3%

ROIC − WACC

+2.7 pp

Der ROIC übersteigt die Kapitalkosten: Das Unternehmen schafft Wert für die Aktionäre.

Fundamentalanalyse-Kriterien

Bestanden (15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 9.0%
  • P/FCF 10.33
  • Operating Margin 15.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 27.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 96% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.25
  • Share Dilution -9.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.1% vs 5.5%

Nicht bestanden (7)

  • EPS CAGR 2.94%
  • Price CAGR -0.60%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE -244.7%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -10.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Nicht verfügbar (6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Gemischte Signale: Einige Bereiche bedürfen Aufmerksamkeit

score
criteria

Gewinnqualität

3.25

Hohe Qualität: Gewinne durch Cashflow gedeckt

Aktienverwässerung

-9.5%

Aktienrückkäufe. Aktionärsfreundlich

Institutionelle Beteiligungen

Unternehmensführung

Führungsteam

NamePositionAlter
Mr. Craig Scott BillingsCEO & Director52
Ms. Jacqui KrumExecutive VP, General Counsel & Secretary50
Mr. Craig Jeffrey FullaloveChief Financial Officer43
Mr. Price Alexander KarrSenior VP of IR, Corporate Finance & Treasurer39
Mr. Michael WeaverChief Communications Officer-
Mr. Erik HansenChief Sustainability Officer-
Mr. Brian GullbrantsChief Operating Officer - North America-
Ms. Jenny HoladayPresident of Encore Boston Harbor-
Mr. Todd-Avery LenahanPresident & Chief Creative Officer of Wynn Design and Development, LLC-
Mr. Max TappeinerPresident of Wynn Al Marjan Island-

Prüfungsrisiko

6

Vorstandsrisiko

3

Vergütungsrisiko

4

Aktionärsrechterisiko

9

Teil 2 · Der Preis und der Einstiegszeitpunkt

Dieser Teil sagt nicht, ob das Unternehmen etwas taugt: Er hilft bei der Wahl des Kaufzeitpunkts, nachdem die Fundamentaldaten überzeugt haben. Enthalten: technische Analyse, Potenzial, historische Drawdowns, Gamma-Exposure.

Dokumente

  • Jahresbericht (10-K)

    Ein jährlicher Überblick über das Geschäft, die Finanzergebnisse und die Risiken des Unternehmens.

    Eingereicht am 2026-03-02

    Dokument ansehen
  • Quartalsbericht (10-Q)

    Ein Update zur finanziellen Entwicklung der letzten drei Monate.

    Eingereicht am 2026-08-06

    Dokument ansehen
  • Ad-hoc-Meldung (8-K)

    Eine Mitteilung über ein wichtiges Ereignis, etwa einen Führungswechsel oder eine bedeutende Ankündigung.

    Eingereicht am 2026-09-22

    Dokument ansehen

via SEC EDGAR

Ertragshistorie

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for WYNN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/7/2026NEGATIVE
    Wynn Expects ‘Modest Delay’ in Opening of New Middle East Casino

    Wynn Resorts Ltd. has announced a 'modest delay' in the opening of its new casino resort in the United Arab Emirates, according to CEO Craig Billings. While specific revised timelines were not provided, the delay suggests potential challenges in project execution or regulatory approvals. Investors will be monitoring for updated guidance on the opening date and any associated cost implications. This news could negatively impact short-term sentiment for Wynn Resorts, as project delays often lead to revised revenue forecasts and increased capital expenditure timelines.

  • 5/5/2026NEGATIVE
    Wynn Weighs Delayed Opening of Its UAE Resort Due to Iran War

    Wynn Resorts Ltd. is reportedly contemplating a delay in the opening of its highly anticipated integrated resort in the United Arab Emirates. This potential postponement stems from construction setbacks attributed to the ongoing geopolitical tensions and the US military engagement in the region, specifically the war with Iran. The news suggests that supply chain disruptions and logistical challenges are impacting the project's timeline. For investors, this indicates potential cost overruns and a delayed revenue stream from a key growth initiative, casting a shadow over the company's near-term financial outlook.

via Markets Gazette