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Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP)

Valor Justo
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

Fundamental

66

Precio

$258.06

Capitalización Bursátil

$104.52B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

ADP runs the payroll, tax filing, benefits administration and HR software that other companies use to pay and manage their own employees. It also lets small and mid-sized businesses outsource their entire employment relationship to ADP through a professional employer organization: ADP becomes the legal employer of record for a client's staff, handling payroll, benefits and compliance so the client does not have to build that infrastructure itself.

Cómo genera ingresos

Employer Services earns recurring fees for processing payroll and running HR software, priced mostly per employee. PEO Services bills clients for the wages, benefits and administrative fee of the worksite employees it co-employs, which makes its reported revenue much larger relative to its actual profit. A third, smaller and more volatile source is interest earned on client payroll funds ADP holds briefly before paying employees — $1.19 billion in fiscal 2025, up 16% as interest rates stayed elevated.

Ingresos por segmento

Employer Services67.5%

Payroll processing, tax filing, HR software and related services sold to employers of every size, from small businesses to large multinationals.

PEO Services32.5%

Co-employment services for about 748,000 worksite employees, where ADP becomes the employer of record and handles payroll, benefits and compliance for small and mid-sized clients.

Ventaja competitiva

Costes de cambio · Amplia

Payroll and HR software become deeply integrated with a client's time-tracking, benefits and tax-compliance processes, and switching providers risks payroll errors and compliance penalties, so clients rarely move once onboarded — fiscal 2025 client revenue retention reached 92.1%. Decades of scale also let ADP spread compliance expertise across all fifty US states and dozens of countries in a way smaller rivals struggle to match.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Moderadamente cíclico

Employer Services revenue scales with the number of employees processed and wage growth, so it softens when hiring slows and companies shed staff in a downturn, but does not collapse the way a purely discretionary business would. The interest income on client funds is a separate, purely rate-driven swing factor: it rose with elevated interest rates in recent years and would fall if rates come down.

Riesgos clave

  • Interest-rate sensitivity of float income — Interest earned on client funds reached $1.19 billion in fiscal 2025, up 16% as rates stayed elevated. A meaningful decline in interest rates would remove a tailwind that has boosted recent results.
  • Custody of client funds — ADP temporarily holds very large sums of client payroll money before disbursing it to employees, which creates operational, regulatory and reputational exposure if those funds are mismanaged or misappropriated.
  • Competition from newer HCM entrants — Cloud-native payroll and HR platforms compete on price and integration simplicity, particularly for smaller employers, pressuring ADP to keep modernizing legacy systems built up over decades.
  • Co-employment legal exposure — As the legal employer of record for PEO clients' worksite employees, ADP takes on joint-employer liability under labour and tax law across many jurisdictions, exposure a pure payroll processor would not have.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers point to 92%-plus client retention built on decades of payroll switching-cost economics, a PEO business that keeps growing the number of worksite employees served, and float income that has been a real tailwind while rates stayed elevated.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers note that the same float income is a two-edged sword that shrinks the moment rates fall, that cloud-native HCM rivals are undercutting legacy players on price and integration, and that the PEO co-employment model carries labour-law and liability exposure a pure payroll processor would not have.

Datos por segmento del ejercicio fiscal 2025Fuentes: ADP Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Results

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 23 de agosto de 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 19.5Score: 70Market cap: $36.16B

Paychex is ADP's closest peer, selling outsourced payroll, HR administration and PEO co-employment to the same US small and mid-sized businesses, and it enlarged its mid-market overlap with ADP by acquiring Paycor in April 2025.

P/E: 23.2Score: 78Market cap: $9.95B

Paycom sells a single-database payroll and HCM platform to US mid-market employers, the same buyers ADP's Workforce Now serves, and competes deal by deal on the same payroll and time-and-attendance spend.

P/E: 29.0Score: 83Market cap: $7.62B

Paylocity competes for the same US mid-market payroll and HR-suite contracts as ADP, often reaching them through the same accountant and broker referral channels.

P/E: 38.6Score: 77Market cap: $41.68B

Workday is the main cloud HCM alternative for large and global employers, the segment ADP serves with Vantage HCM and Global Payroll, and the two compete for the same enterprise HR system-of-record budgets.

TriNet Group, Inc.TNET

TriNet is a professional employer organization competing directly with ADP TotalSource for US small businesses that outsource payroll, benefits and employment risk under a co-employment contract.

Rippling People Center, Inc.Not tracked

Rippling, still privately held, sells payroll, benefits and HR administration to US small and mid-sized companies and is one of the main platforms winning accounts away from ADP's core client base.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$21.95B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$4.41B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

-

Patrimonio Neto Total

$6.03B

Pasivo Total

$57.16B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.05

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

1.62

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

Caso generalValoración Justa

Valor Justo

$268.08

Precio Actual

$258.06

Margen de Seguridad

+3.7%

Rango de Valor Justo

$217.14 - $319.02

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$287.60
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):$303.04
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):$235.85
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:$322.70
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):$127.19
P/B justificado:$201.55
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):$136.59
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:$201.35
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:$280.27
Consenso de Analistas:Mantener (8B / 13H / 2S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+0.74%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

23.59

ROE

73.2%

Ratio P/B

17.00

P/FCF

-

Margen Bruto

46.4%

ROIC

-

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

-

WACC

8.5%

ROIC − WACC

-

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 8.95%
  • Price CAGR 9.88%
  • Gross Margin 46.4%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 70.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.9%
  • PEG Ratio 1.89
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.23
  • Share Dilution -1.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 20.1% vs 19.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Fallido (6)

  • P/B Ratio 17.00
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Analyst Consensus 35% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.1%

No disponible (7)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

1.23

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-1.3%

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Participaciones institucionales

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Ms. Maria BlackPresident, CEO & DIrector51
Mr. Joseph DeSilva Jr.Executive VP of North America & Chief of Operations50
Mr. Michael Anthony Bonarti J.D.Chief Administrative Officer60
Mr. Sreenivasa KutamPresident of Global Product & Innovation55
Mr. Peter HadleyChief Financial Officer52
Mr. Jonathan LehbergerCorporate Controller & Principal Accounting Officer52
Mr. Matthew John Keating C.F.A.Vice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. David Kwon J.D.Corporate VP, Chief Legal Officer & General Counsel55
Mr. David FoskettPresident of Global Sales49
Ms. Samantha OrihuelaChief Marketing Officer42

Riesgo de Auditoría

1

Riesgo del Consejo

3

Riesgo de Compensación

1

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

2

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Documentos

  • Informe anual (10-K)

    Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.

    Presentado el 2026-08-05

    Ver documento
  • Informe trimestral (10-Q)

    Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.

    Presentado el 2026-04-30

    Ver documento
  • Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)

    Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.

    Presentado el 2026-07-29

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Historial de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for ADP, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/31/2026NEUTRAL
    ADP CEO: the real conversation on jobs and AI is how do we prepare for what comes next?

    The CEO of Automatic Data Processing (ADP) highlighted a significant workforce shift, emphasizing that data indicates a transformation rather than a reduction in jobs. He stressed the importance of organizations understanding these trends to prepare for future challenges and opportunities. This perspective suggests that while AI and automation are changing the labor market, proactive adaptation and strategic planning will be key for companies to succeed. Investors should monitor how companies are responding to these workforce dynamics, as adaptability may become a crucial factor in long-term performance.

  • 3/9/2026NEUTRAL
    Market Whales and Their Recent Bets on ADP Options

    Analysis of large options trades, often referred to as 'whale' activity, on Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) reveals significant, albeit complex, positioning. While specific details of the bets are not disclosed, the presence of substantial options volume suggests informed market participants are making significant directional or volatility plays. Investors should monitor these large trades for potential shifts in sentiment or upcoming price movements, though the exact implications remain unclear without further context on the specific options strategies employed.

via Markets Gazette