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Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (BAMXF)

Infravalorada
Consumer CyclicalAuto ManufacturersGermany

Fundamental

54

Precio

$55.32

Capitalización Bursátil

$33.80B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

BMW designs, manufactures and sells premium cars and motorcycles under the BMW, Mini and Rolls-Royce brands, competing on the higher-margin end of the auto market rather than on volume. Alongside the vehicles themselves, it runs a financial-services arm that leases and finances the cars it sells, which is large enough to be reported as its own division even though its purpose is to support vehicle sales rather than operate independently.

Cómo genera ingresos

Automotive revenue is booked when a car or motorcycle is delivered to a dealer or customer, at prices that vary widely by model and market and that carry higher margins on premium models than on entry-level ones. Financial Services earns interest and fee income on the loans and leases it writes for BMW buyers, a revenue stream that grows with vehicle sales but is reported and accounted for separately, with meaningful revenue eliminated on consolidation because it overlaps with cars already counted in the automotive figures.

Ingresos por segmento

Automotive78%

Design, production and sale of BMW, Mini and Rolls-Royce vehicles; the core of the group's revenue and earnings.

Financial Services21%

Loans, leases and insurance products sold alongside vehicle purchases, mainly to support automotive sales.

Motorcycles1.5%

BMW-branded motorcycles, a small and stable niche next to the much larger car business.

Ventaja competitiva

Marca · Estrecha

The BMW badge, and Rolls-Royce even more so, allows the company to charge prices well above the cost of an equivalent mass-market car, and brand loyalty keeps many owners buying the same marque repeatedly. It is a narrow rather than wide moat because Mercedes-Benz and Audi offer comparably strong premium brands in the same segments, so BMW is competing among equals rather than standing alone.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Cíclico

Premium vehicles are a large discretionary purchase, so sales rise and fall with consumer confidence and credit conditions more than essential goods do. The company has flagged China specifically as a source of swings in recent periods, where intense local competition and weaker demand pulled deliveries down sharply even while other regions held up better.

Riesgos clave

  • Weakening demand and competition in China — Chinese deliveries fell sharply in 2025 amid intense local competition, and the company has pointed to growing geopolitical tension and volatility in that market as a factor that complicates long-range planning.
  • Tariffs and trade policy — Tariff changes and currency developments were cited as factors that shaped results in 2025 and require flexibility from the organization, given BMW's global manufacturing and export footprint.
  • Financial Services credit exposure — The financial-services division carries credit risk on the loans and leases it writes for vehicle buyers, which rises if economic conditions weaken and customers struggle to make payments.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the BMW and Rolls-Royce brands preserve pricing power that mass-market carmakers lack, that weakness in China is cyclical rather than permanent, and that the financial-services arm adds a steadier, fee-like income stream on top of vehicle sales.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers worry that a 12.5% drop in Chinese deliveries in 2025 reflects a structural loss of ground to local premium and electric-vehicle brands rather than a temporary dip, and that tariffs and currency swings add cost pressure the company cannot fully offset through pricing on a highly discretionary product.

Datos por segmento del ejercicio fiscal 2025Fuentes: BMW Group Report 2025 — Management ReportBMW Group Financial Statements 2025

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 6.1Score: 55Market cap: $20.89B

Through Audi and Porsche it covers the same premium and sports segments as BMW and the MINI brand, competing model by model in the German home market and in fleet sales across Europe.

P/E: 328.5Score: 49Market cap: $1.49T

It takes the same high-margin electric customers BMW is courting with its i-series, and outsells BMW in the US premium segment on the strength of its software and charging network.

Mercedes-Benz Group AGMBG

Its closest rival by volume and price point, selling premium sedans and SUVs to the same buyers in Europe, the United States and China, with 1.98 million cars delivered in 2024 against BMW's 2.20 million.

Toyota Motor Corporation (トヨタ自動車株式会社)7203

Its Lexus division competes directly with BMW in premium sedans and SUVs, above all in the United States and Japan, where hybrid powertrains are its main argument against the German brands.

NIO Inc. (蔚来)NIO

It is one of the Chinese premium electric brands eroding BMW's position in China — BMW's largest market, where deliveries fell 13% in 2024 — by offering richer technology at comparable prices.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$127.11B

Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción

Beneficio Neto

$6.18B

Últimos 12 meses hasta el último trimestre publicado — estimación a partir de métricas por acción

Flujo de Caja Libre

$1.71B

Patrimonio Neto Total

$95.30B

Pasivo Total

$116.79B

Ratio de Liquidez

1.15

Cobertura de Intereses

-

Deuda/EBITDA

8.47

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuánto pesa la deuda

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

CíclicaInfravalorado

Valor Justo

$86.77

Precio Actual

$55.32

Margen de Seguridad

+36.2%

Rango de Valor Justo

$68.91 - $104.64

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$72.72
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):$72.43
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):$109.38
P/B justificado:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:Datos insuficientes para calcularlo
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Consenso de Analistas:Mantener (13B / 12H / 5S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:-9.39%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

5.36

ROE

6.6%

Ratio P/B

0.35

P/FCF

19.76

Margen Bruto

14.3%

ROIC

2.5%

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

2.5%

WACC

2.2%

ROIC − WACC

+0.2 pp

El ROIC está en línea con el coste del capital: la empresa apenas cubre su coste de capital.

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (11)

  • P/FCF 19.76
  • P/B Ratio 0.35
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 6.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.2%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.9%
  • PEG Ratio 0.35
  • Net Margin Trend 5.5% vs 5.1%

Fallido (10)

  • Price CAGR -3.68%
  • ROIC 2.5%
  • Gross Margin 14.3%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • ROE 6.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 43% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.55
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

No disponible (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

1/9

Preocupaciones financieras graves

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

0.55

Moderada: cierta brecha entre beneficios y efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

-

Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista

Participaciones institucionales

No hay declaraciones institucionales para esta empresa.

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Dr. Milan NedeljkovicCEO & Chairman of the Management Board56
Mr. Walter MertlMember of Management Board of Finance51
Jochen GollerMember of the Board of Management of Customer, Brands & Sales59
Dr. Joachim PostHead of Development & Member of the Board of Management54
Dr. Nicolai MartinMember of the Board of Management and Purchasing & Supplier Network47
Dr. Raymond WittmannMember of the Board of Management47
Ms. Dorothea Von BoxbergLabour Relations Director & Member of Board of Management51
Mr. Adam SykesHead of Investor Relations-
Dr. Andreas LiepeGeneral Counsel-
Mr. Alexander BilgeriHead of Communication Human Resources, Production, Purchasing & Sustainability50

Riesgo de Auditoría

9

Riesgo del Consejo

6

Riesgo de Compensación

1

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

1

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

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