CVS Health Corp (CVS)
Valor JustoFundamental
55
Precio
$84.45
Capitalización Bursátil
$112.36B
Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa
Resumen
CVS Health is a vertically integrated American health care company that touches the same patient at three different points. It sells health insurance through Aetna, it runs one of the country's largest pharmacy benefit managers (CVS Caremark) which negotiates drug prices and administers drug plans for employers and health plans, and it operates a national chain of retail pharmacies together with mail-order and specialty pharmacies, more than 800 MinuteClinic locations, in-home health evaluations (Signify Health) and value-based primary care centers for Medicare patients (Oak Street Health). Consolidated revenues were $402.1 billion in fiscal 2025. The idea behind the structure is that owning the insurer, the drug-purchasing middleman and the dispensing pharmacy lets CVS capture margin at each step and steer patients toward its own assets.
Cómo genera ingresos
Three different ways of earning money sit inside one company. The insurance business collects premiums in advance — prices are fixed for roughly twelve months before the costs are known — and keeps what is left after paying medical claims; part of it is instead administrative-services-only work, where a large employer carries the medical risk and CVS is paid a fee to run the plan. The pharmacy benefit business earns fees per claim administered, plus the spread and the negotiated rebates from drug manufacturers on the volume it moves; it also dispenses drugs directly through mail-order and specialty pharmacies. The retail business simply sells: prescriptions dispensed at the counter, reimbursed largely by third-party payors, and front-store merchandise sold at a product margin. Because the segments trade with each other — Aetna's members fill prescriptions at CVS pharmacies through Caremark — a large intersegment elimination of $71.6 billion is removed before reaching consolidated revenue.
Ingresos por segmento
The CVS Caremark pharmacy benefit manager, which designs and administers drug plans, manages formularies and retail pharmacy networks and dispenses through mail-order and specialty pharmacies, for employers, insurers, unions, health plans and CMS. It also contains the health care delivery assets: Signify Health's in-home evaluations and Oak Street Health's value-based primary care centers. Segment revenue of $190.4 billion in fiscal 2025.
The Aetna insurance business: commercial medical, dental and behavioural plans sold to employers and individuals, and government plans — Medicare Advantage, Medicare Part D, Medicare Supplement, Medicaid and CHIP, and coverage for people eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid. Segment revenue of $143.4 billion in fiscal 2025.
The retail chain: prescriptions dispensed at the pharmacy counter, vaccines and clinical services, and front-store merchandise — over-the-counter drugs, beauty, personal care and general goods, including roughly 4,500 own-brand products. During 2025 the company opened 87 locations, relocated 5 and closed 243. Segment revenue of $139.4 billion in fiscal 2025.
A residual line that holds products and expenses the three operating segments are not responsible for, including management and administrative costs run at group level. It carried $484 million of revenue in fiscal 2025 and is immaterial to the top line.
Ventaja competitiva
Escala · EstrechaWhat is genuinely hard to copy is size. Caremark moves enough prescription volume to negotiate rebates and network terms that a smaller buyer cannot obtain, and only two rivals operate at comparable scale; a national footprint of pharmacies plus an insurer that can steer its own members toward them reinforces that buying power. The limits are real, though. The retail end competes on price and convenience with Walmart, Walgreens, supermarkets and Amazon and defends no lasting advantage there; the insurance end is repriced every twelve months against rivals of similar size; and the PBM's economics rest on rebate arrangements that regulators and legislators have repeatedly proposed to change. Scale here buys a cost and negotiating edge, not a durable barrier.
Qué impulsa la demanda
DefensivoPeople take their medicines and keep their health coverage in good years and bad, and a large part of the revenue comes from government programmes — Medicare and Medicaid — whose enrolment follows demographics rather than the business cycle. That makes the top line unusually steady. The sensitivity that does exist is indirect: the company states that adverse economic conditions cause customers to reduce workforces, which cuts the number of covered lives in its PBM clients and its insured membership, and pushes employers toward high-deductible plans and co-insurance designs. Members who continue coverage after losing a job typically cost more than the average commercial member. The front store, being ordinary retail, also follows consumer spending, and a mild or severe cough-and-cold season moves pharmacy volume within the year. The risk here is less about the economy than about medical cost trend outrunning prices that were already fixed.
Riesgos clave
- Premiums are set before the costs are known — The company states that premiums for its insured products are priced in advance for a fixed period, generally twelve months, on forecasts built months earlier — revenue on individual Medicare policies rests on bids submitted in June of the prior year. Cost increases above those projections cannot be recovered during the period, and the filing warns that even relatively small differences between predicted and actual health care costs, as a percentage of premium revenue, can move the Health Care Benefits result significantly.
- Rising medical cost trend — The filing lists a long set of forces pushing benefit costs up: higher utilisation of Medicare supplemental benefits, membership turnover, provider and member fraud, government-mandated benefits, the aging of the population, advances in medical technology, the growing number and cost of prescription drugs including specialty and ultra-high-cost therapies, clusters of high-cost cases, influenza seasons, and natural disasters and extreme weather. It adds that limits on Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement have shifted a greater share of these increases onto the private sector.
- Minimum medical loss ratio rebates cap the margin — The company discloses that minimum MLR rebate requirements limit the margin it can earn on its insured health care products while leaving it fully exposed to medical costs that turn out higher than expected — an asymmetric arrangement. It adds that challenges to its MLR rebate methodology or reports could themselves damage operating results.
- Every segment competes hard, and margins may fall — The company states that each of its three segments operates in a highly competitive and evolving environment and that operating income in those industries may decline. On the retail side it names drugstore chains such as Walgreens, discount retailers such as Walmart, online retailers such as Amazon, supermarkets, independent pharmacies and mail-order dispensers. In health care benefits it points to new entrants, industry consolidation and, for Medicare products, Original Medicare itself as the largest competitor.
- The health care delivery businesses carry their own risks — The filing separates out the risks of the health risk assessment and primary care businesses, including the ability to attract new patients — Medicare-eligible patients in particular — in a highly competitive market, and notes that barriers to entry in primary care are low and that physicians can own centres themselves, so competition is not limited to large, well-financed rivals. During 2025 the company recorded a $5.7 billion goodwill impairment charge on the Health Care Delivery reporting unit inside the Health Services segment.
- Dense regulation, and penalties for getting it wrong — The company warns that failing to comply with applicable laws and regulations, many of which it describes as highly complex, could expose it to significant adverse regulatory action including monetary penalties, and to brand and reputational harm. It singles out its health care benefits products serving Medicare, Medicaid, dual-eligible and small-group commercial members as highly regulated.
- Public perception of the industry — The company discloses that negative public perception of the industries it operates in — or of those industries' practices, or its own — can adversely affect its businesses, operating results, cash flows and prospects. Pharmacy benefit management and health insurance are both recurring targets of that criticism.
- Competition for people — The company states that it faces significant competition in attracting and retaining talented employees, and that managing succession for, and retention of, key executives is critical to its success.
Concentración de clientes
Los principales clientes representan el 20% de los ingresos
One customer dominates: the U.S. federal government. The filing states that Health Care Benefits revenue from the federal government accounted for approximately 20% of consolidated total revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023 alike, and that contracts with CMS for Medicare-eligible individuals made up approximately 79% of that federal revenue in 2025. Beyond the CMS contracts, the company says the Health Care Benefits segment does not depend on a single customer or a handful of customers whose loss would significantly affect segment earnings, and that losing any one or few independent brokers or agents would not materially hurt it. The practical reading is that CVS's largest counterparty is a regulator that also sets its prices.
Los argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that the three pieces are worth more together than apart: an insurer that can direct its own members to its own pharmacies and its own clinics, a pharmacy benefit manager with the volume to negotiate terms almost nobody else can match, and a store within short reach of most of the American population. They point to revenue that grew again in 2025 to a record $402.1 billion with every segment contributing, to demand anchored in prescriptions and government coverage rather than in the economic cycle, and to an aging population that will need more of both. They also read the 2025 writedown as a charge against a past acquisition rather than a signal about the pharmacy and benefits businesses that produce most of the cash, and they expect the company's push into biosimilars through Cordavis and into value-based primary care to lower its own drug costs over time.
Los argumentos en contra
Sellers fear that the same integration concentrates the risks rather than diversifying them. The insurance side prices twelve months ahead and cannot recover a cost overrun during the period, which is precisely the exposure that has been hurting Medicare Advantage insurers; minimum MLR rebates cap the upside while leaving the downside open. Roughly a fifth of consolidated revenue depends on a counterparty — the federal government — that writes the rules, sets the rates and can change both. The pharmacy benefit business earns part of its keep from rebate arrangements that legislators have repeatedly proposed to dismantle, and the retail stores fight Walmart, Amazon and the supermarkets on price and convenience while the company itself closed 243 locations in 2025 against 87 openings. The $5.7 billion goodwill impairment on the health care delivery unit is read as evidence that the expansion into owning clinics was paid for too dearly, and legacy litigation charges of $1.2 billion in the same year as a reminder that old opioid-era liabilities are not finished.
Generated on 18 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
UnitedHealth is the closest mirror image of CVS: its Optum Rx pharmacy benefit manager bids for the same employer and health-plan drug contracts as CVS Caremark, while UnitedHealthcare sells the same commercial and Medicare Advantage plans as Aetna.
Cigna's Express Scripts is the other large national pharmacy benefit manager competing head-to-head with CVS Caremark for employer and government drug contracts, and its specialty pharmacy arm chases the same high-cost prescriptions.
Walgreens is the direct rival of CVS's drugstore chain, fighting for the same walk-in prescriptions, vaccinations and front-of-store purchases on the same street corners; it was taken private by Sycamore Partners in August 2025 and no longer trades publicly.
Elevance competes with Aetna for commercial, Medicaid and Medicare members across many of the same states, and its CarelonRx unit pursues the same pharmacy benefit business as CVS Caremark.
Humana is Aetna's main rival for Medicare Advantage and Part D enrollees, the segment where CVS earns a large share of its insurance premiums, and its CenterWell pharmacy competes for the same mail-order prescriptions.
Walmart's in-store pharmacy counters, named by CVS itself among its retail competitors, take the same prescription and everyday health and beauty spending away from CVS drugstores, usually on price.
Balance y Liquidez
Ingresos
$415.09B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Beneficio Neto
$4.89B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Flujo de Caja Libre
$7.81B
Patrimonio Neto Total
$75.21B
Pasivo Total
$178.16B
Ratio de Liquidez
0.87
Cobertura de Intereses
2.67
Deuda/EBITDA
8.24
Beneficio Por Acción
Ingresos y Beneficio Neto
Flujo de Caja Libre
Desglose de Ingresos
Estado histórico
Márgenes en el tiempo
La deuda en el tiempo
Cuánto pesa la deuda
Cuadro de crecimiento
Crecimiento — Ingresos
Estimación de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$112.26
Precio Actual
$84.45
Margen de Seguridad
+24.8%
Rango de Valor Justo
$72.97 - $151.55
Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.
Métodos de Estimación
Métricas de Valoración
Ratio P/E
22.61
ROE
2.4%
Ratio P/B
1.38
P/FCF
9.32
Margen Bruto
44.5%
ROIC
3.9%
Radar de Rentabilidad
Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)
ROIC
3.9%
WACC
6.1%
ROIC − WACC
-2.2 pp
El ROIC está por debajo del coste del capital: la empresa destruye valor por cada dólar invertido.
Criterios de Análisis Fundamental
Superado (15)
- Gross Margin 44.5%
- P/FCF 9.32
- P/B Ratio 1.38
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Revenue Growth 5Y 8.4%
- Analyst Consensus 85% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 19.6%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.02
- Share Dilution 0.9%
- Net Margin Trend 1.2% vs 1.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Fallido (11)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR -1.78%
- Price CAGR 1.84%
- ROIC 3.9%
- Operating Margin 2.0%
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- ROE 6.4%
No disponible (2)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Solidez financiera fuerte
Calidad de los Beneficios
Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo
Dilución de Acciones
El número de acciones es estable
Participaciones institucionales
Gobernanza
Equipo Directivo
| Nombre | Cargo | Edad |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. J. David Joyner CEBS | CEO, President & Chairman | 60 |
| Mr. Brian O. Newman | Executive VP & CFO | 56 |
| Mr. Tilak Mandadi | EVP of Ventures and Chief Experience & Technology Officer | 61 |
| Mr. Prem S. Shah Pharm.D | Executive VP & Group President | 45 |
| Mr. Steven Hale Nelson M.B.A. | Executive VP & President of Aetna | 66 |
| Mr. James David Clark | Senior VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | 60 |
| Mr. David A. Falkowski | Executive VP & Chief Compliance Officer | - |
| Mr. Samrat S. Khichi Esq. | Executive VP of Corporate Affairs & Chief Legal Officer | 58 |
| Ms. Heidi B. Capozzi | Executive VP & Chief People Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Gustavo A. Giraldo | Head of Markets of Healthcare Benefits | 53 |
Riesgo de Auditoría
8
Riesgo del Consejo
8
Riesgo de Compensación
6
Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista
1
Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar
Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.
Documentos
- Ver documento
Informe anual (10-K)
Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.
Presentado el 2026-02-10
- Ver documento
Informe trimestral (10-Q)
Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.
Presentado el 2026-08-05
- Ver documento
Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)
Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.
Presentado el 2026-08-17
via SEC EDGAR
Historial de Resultados
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CVS, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/6/2026POSITIVECVS Results Beat, Extending Healthcare Win Streak
CVS Health Corporation has announced first-quarter results that surpassed analyst expectations for both profit and revenue. Following this strong performance, the company has raised its earnings outlook for the full year. This positive report continues a trend of favorable financial outcomes for major US healthcare companies. Investors will be watching to see if this momentum translates into sustained stock price appreciation and further upward revisions to future guidance.
- 2/22/2026NEGATIVERetail crime wave hits CVS, Walmart, Home Depot, luxury stores
The crime wave hitting major retailers like CVS, Walmart, and Home Depot is having a significant impact. Reports indicate an 18% increase in the average number of shoplifting incidents per year in 2024 versus 2023, accompanied by a rise in threats and acts of violence. This phenomenon not only erodes corporate profit margins through inventory loss and increased security costs but can also negatively affect consumer perception and long-term profitability. Estimated losses for the sector exceed $100 billion, highlighting the severity of the problem for retailers' financial health.
via Markets Gazette