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Old National Bancorp (ONB)

Valor Justo
Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalUnited States

Fundamental

60

Precio

$24.64

Capitalización Bursátil

$9.60B

Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa

Resumen

Old National Bancorp is the holding company for Old National Bank, a regional bank operating 346 banking centers across the Midwest and Southeast United States. It earns money the way most commercial banks do: taking deposits, making commercial and consumer loans, and charging fees for wealth management, trust and capital-markets services. The bank traces its roots to 1834 and has grown mainly through acquisitions, most recently absorbing Bremer Financial Corporation in 2025.

Cómo genera ingresos

Revenue is mostly net interest income: the spread between interest earned on loans and securities and interest paid on deposits and borrowings. Lending covers commercial, commercial real estate, residential and consumer loans. A smaller share comes from noninterest income — service charges on deposit accounts, and fees from wealth management, brokerage and capital-markets activities. Profitability rises when loan demand and interest margins are healthy and falls when credit losses or funding costs increase.

Qué impulsa la demanda

Moderadamente cíclico

Old National's earnings depend on the health of the regional economy: unemployment, business confidence and interest rates directly affect loan demand, credit losses and deposit costs. The company states that unfavorable economic conditions have in the past reduced earnings by weakening borrowers' ability to repay, and that tariff and geopolitical uncertainty can add further volatility.

Riesgos clave

  • Credit losses tied to economic conditions — Old National states that unfavorable or uncertain economic conditions — recession, unemployment, falling real estate values — have adversely affected, and could again affect, borrowers' ability to repay loans and the value of collateral securing them.
  • Competition from banks and fintechs — The company competes with banks nationally and locally, and increasingly with financial-technology firms that have obtained bank or industrial-loan charters, which it says makes it harder to compete effectively for clients and deposits.
  • Deposit funding and liquidity risk — Old National must maintain adequate deposits and wholesale funding to support lending. It warns that if it cannot maintain or grow deposits, it may face higher funding costs, and unrealized losses in its securities portfolio could affect liquidity.
  • Cybersecurity and third-party vendor risk — The bank relies on external vendors and technology systems it does not fully control; a security breach or vendor failure could disrupt operations, expose customer data, and harm results, the company states.
  • Capital and regulatory requirements — As a regulated bank holding company, Old National must meet capital adequacy rules set by federal regulators, who can restrict dividends or lending if requirements are not met, and standards can change over time.

Los argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Old National's growth through acquisitions like Bremer has built a scale advantage across the Midwest and Southeast, that its funding base is diversified across many depositors, and that disciplined underwriting has kept credit costs manageable through past economic cycles.

Los argumentos en contra

Sellers fear that continued reliance on acquisitions carries integration risk, that competition from larger banks and fintech lenders pressures margins, and that a downturn in the regional economy or commercial real estate values could raise credit losses faster than reserves can absorb.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 19 de septiembre de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 11.4Score: 80Market cap: $9.57B

Both are Midwest commercial banks of similar scale fighting for the same middle-market business borrowers and retail deposits across the Chicago metropolitan area and southern Wisconsin, where Old National built its second home base with the First Midwest merger.

P/E: 11.7Score: 68Market cap: $31.04B

Huntington competes branch-for-branch with Old National in Indiana, Michigan and Illinois for consumer accounts and small-business and commercial credit, with far greater resources behind the same products.

P/E: 17.3Score: 63Market cap: $46.67B

Fifth Third is one of the largest deposit takers in Old National's core Indiana, Kentucky, Illinois and Tennessee markets and courts the same commercial and wealth clients there.

P/E: 11.7Score: 62Market cap: $2.51B

First Merchants is the other large Indiana-headquartered bank, chasing the same community and small-business relationships in Indiana, Ohio, Michigan and Illinois that form Old National's historic franchise.

P/E: 11.1Score: 65Market cap: $3.29B

The Cincinnati-based regional bank works the same Indiana, Kentucky and Ohio territory with a comparable mix of commercial lending, treasury services and retail branches.

Associated Banc-CorpASB

The Green Bay-based bank overlaps with Old National across Wisconsin, Illinois and Minnesota with an almost identical offer of commercial lending, wealth management and branch retail banking to the same regional customers.

Balance y Liquidez

Ingresos

$2.74B

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/3/2026)

Beneficio Neto

$758M

Últimos 12 meses (hasta 31/3/2026)

Flujo de Caja Libre

$637M

Patrimonio Neto Total

$8.49B

Pasivo Total

$63.66B

Ratio de Liquidez

-

Cobertura de Intereses

0.43

Deuda/EBITDA

-

Beneficio Por Acción

Ingresos y Beneficio Neto

Flujo de Caja Libre

Desglose de Ingresos

Estado histórico

Márgenes en el tiempo

La deuda en el tiempo

Cuadro de crecimiento

Crecimiento — Ingresos

Estimación de Valor Justo

BancoValoración Justa

Valor Justo

$23.66

Precio Actual

$24.64

Margen de Seguridad

-4.1%

Rango de Valor Justo

$17.62 - $29.71

Dispersión entre los métodos de valoración utilizados, no un intervalo de confianza calibrado estadísticamente.

Métodos de Estimación

Precio objetivo de los analistas:$30.07
Flujo de caja descontado (DCF):No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Múltiplo sobre beneficios (P/E):$20.11
Fórmula de crecimiento de Graham:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Valor de la capacidad de generar beneficios (EPV):No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
P/B justificado:$25.86
Descuento de dividendos (Gordon):$12.13
P/FFO, fondos de operaciones:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Beneficios de mitad de ciclo:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Múltiplo sobre ingresos:No aplicable a este tipo de empresa
Consenso de Analistas:Comprar (10B / 5H / 0S)
Última Sorpresa de Resultados:+2.19%

Métricas de Valoración

Ratio P/E

12.70

ROE

7.9%

Ratio P/B

1.12

P/FCF

13.07

Margen Bruto

-

ROIC

-

Radar de Rentabilidad

Creación de Valor (Ventaja Competitiva)

ROIC

-

WACC

12.1%

ROIC − WACC

-

Criterios de Análisis Fundamental

Superado (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/FCF 13.07
  • P/B Ratio 1.12
  • Operating Margin 34.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 10.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 24.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.75
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.03

Fallido (10)

  • EPS CAGR 3.80%
  • Price CAGR 3.15%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.2%
  • Share Dilution 16.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 27.7% vs 29.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

No disponible (5)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA

Piotroski F-Score

3/9

Preocupaciones financieras graves

score
criteria

Calidad de los Beneficios

1.03

Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo

Dilución de Acciones

16.5%

Emitiendo nuevas acciones, diluyendo la participación

Participaciones institucionales

Gobernanza

Equipo Directivo

NombreCargoEdad
Mr. James C. Ryan IIICEO & Chairman53
Mr. Timothy M. Burke Jr.President & COO-
Mr. John Vincent Moran IVSenior Executive VP & CFO49
Ms. Kendra L. VanzoSenior EVP & Chief Administrative Officer58
Ms. Angela L. PutnamSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer46
Mr. Matthew T. KeenChief Information Officer51
Lynell Durchholz CPASenior VP & Director of Investor Relations-
Mr. Nicholas J. ChulosExecutive VP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary65
Ms. Kathy A. SchoettlinChief Communications, Culture & Social Responsibility Officer54
Mr. James V. StadlerChief Marketing Officer61

Riesgo de Auditoría

4

Riesgo del Consejo

4

Riesgo de Compensación

1

Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista

7

Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar

Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.

Documentos

  • Informe anual (10-K)

    Un resumen anual del negocio, los resultados financieros y los riesgos de la empresa.

    Presentado el 2026-02-19

    Ver documento
  • Informe trimestral (10-Q)

    Una actualización del desempeño financiero de los últimos tres meses.

    Presentado el 2026-07-29

    Ver documento
  • Informe de hecho relevante (8-K)

    Un aviso sobre un hecho relevante, como un cambio de dirección o un anuncio importante.

    Presentado el 2026-08-12

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Historial de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for ONB, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for ONB.