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Afry AB (AFXXF)

Juste valeur
IndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSweden

Fondamental

74

Prix

$102.20

Capitalisation boursière

$11.38B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

AFRY is a Swedish engineering, design and advisory firm. It does not manufacture anything: it sells the expertise of roughly 18,000 engineers and consultants to clients building power plants, factories, roads, buildings and transport systems. Its work spans planning, technical design and project management for the energy transition and for industrial and infrastructure projects across the Nordics and internationally.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Revenue comes from billing clients for consulting hours and project work, either at hourly rates or as fixed-price contracts for a defined scope. Profitability depends heavily on utilization — how much of each consultant's time is billed to a client rather than idle — rather than on selling more of a physical product. Public-sector and utility clients tend to give a steadier project pipeline than industrial clients, whose spending follows their own capital-investment cycles.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Industry44.8%

Engineering and advisory work for industrial clients across sectors such as forestry, mining, chemicals and manufacturing.

Transportation & Places35.9%

Design and planning for buildings, cities, roads and rail and other transport infrastructure.

Energy22%

Engineering for power generation, grids and renewable-energy projects, tied to the broader energy transition.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Cyclique

AFRY's order book follows its clients' capital-spending plans: when industrial companies and utilities are confident enough to commit to new plants, grids or factories, they hire engineering firms to design them, and when that confidence drops, projects are delayed or shelved. Full-year 2025 net sales fell as clients navigated what the company itself described as market uncertainty across several of its business areas.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that the energy transition and infrastructure renewal across the Nordics and Europe give AFRY a long runway of engineering work, and that its scale and breadth across Energy, Industry and Transportation & Places let it win large projects that smaller specialist firms cannot staff alone.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that a consulting business has little pricing power when client capital spending slows, as the 2025 sales decline showed, and that profitability rises and falls with staff utilization rates that management does not fully control once demand softens.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 23 août 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

Sweco AB (publ)SWEC B

Sweco is AFRY's closest Nordic rival, bidding for the same engineering, architecture and infrastructure design assignments from the same public authorities, utilities and property clients in Sweden, Finland, Norway and Denmark.

Ramboll Group A/SNot tracked

Ramboll, foundation-owned and based in Copenhagen, competes with AFRY across the whole Nordic region for engineering, environmental and energy consulting mandates, and increasingly for the same work in the rest of Europe.

Rejlers AB (publ)REJL B

Rejlers sells technical consulting in electrical power, automation and industrial engineering to the same Swedish, Finnish and Norwegian energy and industry clients that make up AFRY's Energy and Industry divisions.

Norconsult ASANORCO

Norconsult competes head-on with AFRY for community planning, transport infrastructure and building design contracts in Norway and Sweden, where both firms bid on the same public tenders.

COWI A/SNot tracked

COWI, the Danish foundation-owned consultancy, overlaps with AFRY on bridges, water, energy and industrial engineering projects across the Nordics and in international infrastructure work.

WSP Global Inc.WSP

WSP runs one of Sweden's largest engineering consultancies and competes with AFRY for infrastructure, buildings and environmental design work both in the Nordics and on international projects.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$24.22B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Résultat net

$761M

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Flux de trésorerie libre

$2.49B

Capitaux propres totaux

$12.27B

Passif total

$7.30B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.03

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

3.94

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Cas généralJustement valorisé

Juste valeur

$120.94

Prix actuel

$102.20

Marge de sécurité

+15.5%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$78.61 - $163.27

Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.

Méthodes d'estimation

Objectif de cours des analystes:$132.17
Flux de trésorerie actualisés (DCF):$283.84
Multiple de résultat (P/E):$66.14
Formule de croissance de Graham:$52.21
Valeur de la capacité bénéficiaire (EPV):$92.15
P/B justifié:$62.84
Actualisation des dividendes (Gordon):$63.34
P/FFO, les fonds provenant de l'exploitation:Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Bénéfices de milieu de cycle:Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Multiple sur le chiffre d'affaires:$632.04
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (9B / 3H / 1S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-25.41%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

14.83

ROE

6.3%

Ratio P/B

0.93

P/FCF

4.40

Marge brute

79.3%

ROIC

5.9%

Radar de rentabilité

Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)

ROIC

5.9%

WACC

6.5%

ROIC − WACC

-0.5 pp

Le ROIC est à peu près aligné sur le coût du capital — l'entreprise couvre à peine son coût du capital.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (15)

  • ROIC 5.9%
  • Gross Margin 79.3%
  • P/FCF 4.40
  • P/B Ratio 0.93
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 69% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.13

Échoué (5)

  • Price CAGR -3.99%
  • ROE 6.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -23.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 3.1% vs 4.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponible (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

2/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

3.13

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Participations institutionnelles

Aucune déclaration institutionnelle pour cette entreprise.

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Ms. Linda PalssonPresident & CEO51
Mr. Bo SandstromExecutive VP & CFO50
Ebba VassalloHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Susan GustafssonExecutive VP & Group General Counsel52
Ms. Prima GamukamaCompliance & Ethics Officer-
Mr. Henrik TegnerEVP of Commercial & Communications55
Daniela SpetzEVP of Corporate Development and M&A35
Sara KlingenborgExecutive VP of People & Culture52
Mr. Nicholas OksanenEVP of Global Division Industry58
Helena PaulssonHead of Urban Development-

Risque d'audit

2

Risque du conseil

4

Risque de rémunération

8

Risque droits des actionnaires

8

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

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