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Calix, Inc. (CALX)

Juste valeur
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Fondamental

66

Prix

$34.84

Capitalisation boursière

$2.09B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Calix sells the equipment, software and cloud platform that internet, phone and cable companies use to deliver broadband to homes and businesses. Roughly 1,600 mostly small and mid-sized providers use its systems to run their networks and its software to sell and support subscriber services such as security and Wi-Fi management. The U.S. and Canada, boosted by government broadband subsidy programs, account for the large majority of sales.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Revenue comes mostly from selling network appliances — the physical boxes that carry broadband into homes — recognized when shipped, plus a smaller but faster-growing stream of software and platform subscriptions billed over time. The appliance business still funds most of the company today, but management is steering providers toward the subscription software, which carries higher margins and recurs, rather than being a one-time equipment sale.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Appliance82.6%

Physical broadband access equipment installed in the network and at the customer premises, sold upfront when shipped.

Software and Services17.4%

Cloud platform subscriptions, managed Wi-Fi and subscriber-facing apps billed over time — the smaller, faster-growing part of the business.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Modérément cyclique

Purchases are tied to broadband providers' own capital spending plans, which follow both their subscriber growth ambitions and the availability of government funding programs for rural and underserved areas. A change in public subsidy timing can move orders forward or back independent of underlying demand for internet access.

Principaux risques

  • Reliance on third-party manufacturing — Calix depends on outside manufacturers and sole- or limited-source suppliers, many concentrated in Asia, to build its equipment. A disruption at one of these partners can delay shipments the company cannot quickly replace.
  • Competition on price and functionality — The company competes in a broadband equipment and software market where rivals with greater financial resources can undercut it on price, and it expects at least two fiber providers to be competing for subscribers in most markets.
  • Dependence on public broadband funding — A meaningful part of demand rides on public and private funding programs for broadband buildout in underserved areas; changes in the size, timing or rules of those programs can delay or reduce customer orders.

Concentration des clients

The company states that no single customer accounted for more than 10% of revenue in the periods it reports, spreading demand across roughly 1,600 broadband providers rather than a handful of large accounts.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that broadband providers are steadily adopting Calix's cloud platform on top of its equipment, that no single customer concentration risk exists across roughly 1,600 accounts, and that government-funded rural buildout gives the appliance business years of visible demand.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that the appliance business still drives most revenue and remains exposed to lumpy capital spending by small providers, that larger competitors can undercut Calix on price, and that a slowdown or redesign of public broadband subsidy programs would remove a meaningful source of near-term demand.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 18 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.ADTN

Adtran sells the same fiber access equipment, XGS-PON and GPON systems plus subscriber devices, to the same North American regional and rural broadband providers Calix depends on.

Nokia Corporation (Nokia Oyj)NOKIA

Nokia's fixed network division competes for the same fiber-to-the-home build-outs, offering PON line cards, optical network terminals and home Wi-Fi gateways to telecom operators worldwide.

Harmonic Inc.HLIT

Harmonic's broadband access platform targets the same cable operators and fiber providers, selling virtualized DOCSIS and PON access as the alternative to Calix's access edge systems.

CommScope Holding Company, Inc.COMM

CommScope supplies broadband operators with competing PON access nodes and residential gateways, bidding for the same network-upgrade budgets as Calix.

Plume Design, Inc.Not tracked

Plume competes directly with Calix Cloud and SmartLife by selling service providers the cloud software that manages home Wi-Fi and the subscriber experience.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$1.11B

12 derniers mois (au 27/06/2026)

Résultat net

$51M

12 derniers mois (au 27/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$116M

Capitaux propres totaux

$859M

Passif total

$199M

Ratio de liquidité général

2.83

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

0.36

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Cas généralJustement valorisé

Juste valeur

$30.74

Prix actuel

$34.84

Marge de sécurité

-13.3%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$19.98 - $41.49

Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.

Méthodes d'estimation

Objectif de cours des analystes:$62.33
Flux de trésorerie actualisés (DCF):$21.05
Multiple de résultat (P/E):$14.69
Formule de croissance de Graham:$5.68
Valeur de la capacité bénéficiaire (EPV):$6.59
P/B justifié:$5.95
Actualisation des dividendes (Gordon):Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
P/FFO, les fonds provenant de l'exploitation:$9.04
Bénéfices de milieu de cycle:Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Multiple sur le chiffre d'affaires:$86.58
Consensus des analystes:Achat fort (12B / 2H / 0S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+13.94%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

45.81

ROE

2.1%

Ratio P/B

3.05

P/FCF

25.33

Marge brute

56.6%

ROIC

6.5%

Radar de rentabilité

Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)

ROIC

6.5%

WACC

11.1%

ROIC − WACC

-4.6 pp

Le ROIC est inférieur au coût du capital — l'entreprise détruit de la valeur pour chaque dollar investi.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 16.20%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • Gross Margin 56.6%
  • P/FCF 25.33
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 13.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 86% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 10.2%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.14
  • Net Margin Trend 4.6% vs -3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Échoué (7)

  • P/B Ratio 3.05
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 6.5%
  • Share Dilution 4.1%

Indisponible (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Score F de Piotroski

6/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

2.14

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

4.1%

Émission de nouvelles actions, diluant la participation

Participations institutionnelles

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Michael WeeningCEO, President & Director56
Mr. Cory J. Sindelar CPAChief Financial Officer56
Mr. John DurocherChief Operations Officer58
Mr. Shane Todd-Marshall EleniakChief Product Officer57
Ms. Nancy FazioliVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Douglas W. McNittExecutive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary60
Mr. Juergen LindnerChief Marketing Officer-
Mr. Mark DresslerChief Revenue Officer-
Ms. Martha GalleyChief Sustainability Officer-
Ms. Parul KapoorChief Talent & Culture Officer-

Risque d'audit

2

Risque du conseil

6

Risque de rémunération

5

Risque droits des actionnaires

7

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Documents

  • Rapport annuel (10-K)

    Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.

    Déposé le 2026-02-20

    Voir le document
  • Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)

    Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.

    Déposé le 2026-07-21

    Voir le document
  • Rapport d'événement important (8-K)

    Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.

    Déposé le 2026-07-20

    Voir le document

via SEC EDGAR

Historique des résultats

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CALX, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/21/2026NEUTRAL
    Calix Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

    Calix Inc. held its Q1 2026 Earnings Call on April 21, 2026. While the transcript is available, no specific financial figures, forward-looking statements, or significant market-moving announcements were detailed in the provided summary. The call likely covered operational updates, segment performance, and strategic initiatives. Investors would typically look for revenue growth, profitability metrics, and guidance for future quarters. Without these details, the immediate market impact remains neutral, pending further analysis of the full transcript for any subtle shifts in performance or outlook.

  • 3/4/2026POSITIVE
    Fund Discloses New $6 Million Bet on Calix Amid 55% Stock Surge

    An investment fund has disclosed a new $6 million long bet on Calix Inc. (CALX), a move that comes as the company's stock has already surged 55%. Calix, which delivers cloud-based platforms and analytics to broadband service providers across U.S. and international markets, appears to be benefiting from renewed investor interest. This significant fund investment suggests strong conviction in the company's future growth potential, despite the recent rally. For investors, this could signal further capital appreciation opportunities.

via Markets Gazette