Central Garden & Pet Company (CENTA)
Sous-évaluéFondamental
77
Prix
$33.52
Capitalisation boursière
$2.10B
Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise
Vue d'ensemble
Central Garden & Pet is a US consumer products company that makes and distributes branded pet supplies and lawn-and-garden consumables. The pet side covers dog and cat treats, chews, toys, beds and grooming, plus aquatics, small animals, reptiles, birds, and equine and livestock products, under brands such as Nylabone, Kaytee, Aqueon, Four Paws, Cadet, Comfort Zone, Farnam and Zoecon. The garden side sells grass seed, wild bird feed, fertilizers, herbicides, insecticides and live plants under brands such as Pennington, Sevin, Amdro and Ferry-Morse. Products reach consumers mainly through large national retailers — Walmart, Home Depot, Lowe's, Costco and Amazon — alongside regional chains, independent pet and garden stores and eCommerce. Fiscal 2025, ended 27 September 2025, produced net sales of about $3.13 billion, down roughly 2% from $3.20 billion the year before.
Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent
Revenue comes from selling physical goods at wholesale to retailers, who then resell them. There is no subscription or recurring-fee element: Central earns money each time a retailer buys a pallet of dog chews, bird seed or grass seed, and it competes for shelf space and promotional slots at those retailers. Most of the sales are consumables that get used up and rebought — treats, feed, fertilizer, pest control — with a smaller share of durable goods such as aquariums, cages and pet beds, which behave more like discretionary purchases. The company also manufactures much of what it sells and runs its own sales forces and logistics network, so profitability turns on gross margin: in fiscal 2025 gross margin reached 31.9%, an expansion of 240 basis points attributed to its multi-year 'Cost and Simplicity' programme, which closed 16 legacy facilities and exited the garden distribution and pottery businesses.
Chiffre d'affaires par segment
Branded supplies for pets and animals: dog and cat treats, chews, toys, beds and grooming products, plus aquatics, small animals, reptiles, birds, and equine and livestock products and insect control. Sold to mass retailers, pet specialty chains, independent pet stores and online. Net sales were about $1.80 billion in fiscal 2025.
Lawn and garden consumables: grass seed, wild bird feed and feeders, fertilizers, herbicides, insecticides and other controls, and live plants. Sold mainly through home-improvement chains and mass retailers to homeowners. Net sales were about $1.33 billion in fiscal 2025.
Avantage concurrentiel
Marque · ÉtroitCentral's advantage, such as it is, rests on a portfolio of long-established category brands — Nylabone, Kaytee, Pennington, Sevin, Farnam — and on the scale of its manufacturing and distribution, which lets it supply a full shelf of pet or garden products to a national retailer. That matters to a buyer at Home Depot or Walmart who prefers one vendor over ten. But the moat is narrow, not wide: the products are commodity-adjacent consumables, private label competes directly on the same shelf, and the retailers on the other side of the table are far larger than Central and control the shelf space. The filing itself lists a decline in discretionary spending and a change in consumer preferences among its risk factors, which is not the profile of pricing power.
Ce qui stimule la demande
Modérément cycliqueThe two halves behave differently. Pet consumables — food, treats, litter, flea and tick control — are close to defensive: people keep feeding the animal through a downturn, and the pet population turns over slowly. Garden and the durable pet goods are not. Lawn care, fertilizer and bird feed track home ownership, housing turnover and the mood of a homeowner deciding whether to redo the yard this year; aquariums and cages track the same discretionary impulse. On top of the economic cycle sits the weather, which sets how long the spring selling season runs and is the single largest swing factor in any given garden year. Add it up and the group is moderately cyclical: a floor under the consumables, real volatility on top of it.
Principaux risques
- Macro-economic conditions, interest rates and tariffs — The company's first disclosed risk factor is that 'economic uncertainty and other adverse macro-economic conditions, including interest rate fluctuations and tariffs, may harm our business.' Central sells discretionary-adjacent consumer goods through retailers, so a weaker consumer environment reaches it with little delay.
- Tariffs and a global trade war — The filing warns separately that 'tariffs or global trade war could increase cost of our products, which could adversely impact competitiveness of our products and our financial results.' The fiscal 2026 outlook is explicitly framed around current tariff levels, so a change in them changes the assumption.
- Energy prices — The company discloses that 'high energy prices could adversely affect our operating results.' It manufactures and physically ships bulky, low-value-density goods — bird seed, fertilizer, grass seed — so fuel and energy costs feed straight into the cost of goods sold and into freight.
- Consumer spending and shifting preferences — Item 1A states that a 'decline in consumers' discretionary spending or change in consumer preferences could reduce our sales and harm our business.' Fiscal 2025 showed the mechanism at work: Pet net sales fell partly on lower sales of durable items such as tanks, cages and beds, the part of the range consumers can most easily postpone.
- Results and cash flow fluctuate with the seasons — The company discloses that 'our operating results and cash flow are susceptible to fluctuations.' The garden business is pronouncedly seasonal: roughly two-thirds of annual net sales are generated in the second and third fiscal quarters, and inventory has to be built ahead of a selling season whose length depends on the weather. A short spring leaves goods unsold and cash tied up.
Concentration des clients
Les principaux clients représentent 54% du chiffre d'affaires
Concentration is high and the company says so plainly. In fiscal 2025 Walmart, the largest customer, accounted for approximately 17% of total net sales (16% in fiscal 2024), and Home Depot, the second largest, about 16% (17% in fiscal 2024). Together with Costco, Lowe's and Amazon, these five retailers represented approximately 54% of total net sales in both fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2024. Inside the Garden segment the dependence is sharper still: Home Depot took 37% of segment sales, Walmart 29% and Lowe's 14%; within Pet, Costco accounted for roughly 15%. Losing shelf space at any one of these, or a decision by one of them to push its own private label harder, moves a large block of revenue.
Les arguments en faveur
Buyers argue that the self-help story is working and has further to run. Fiscal 2025 saw sales fall about 2% while operating income rose to $250 million from $185 million and gross margin expanded 240 basis points to 31.9% — profit built from cost, not from volume. The 'Cost and Simplicity' programme has closed 16 legacy facilities, completed a supply network redesign, exited the garden distribution and pottery businesses and built enterprise-wide eCommerce fulfilment, and management guides to fiscal 2026 non-GAAP EPS of '$2.70 or better' with capital spending of only $50-60 million. Buyers also point to the pet consumables base as a steady demand floor, to the breadth of the brand portfolio as a reason big retailers keep Central on the shelf, and to the possibility that garden volumes, having declined, revert with a normal weather year.
Les arguments contre
Sellers fear that the margin gains are the easy part and the top line is the problem. Net sales have now fallen in consecutive years, to $3.13 billion in fiscal 2025 from $3.20 billion, and part of the decline is structural — businesses deliberately exited — rather than cyclical. Cost cuts and facility closures are finite; once the 16 closures and the network redesign are done, growth has to come from selling more, and the company competes on a shelf it does not control, against private label, in categories close to commodity. Five customers account for approximately 54% of net sales and Home Depot alone takes 37% of Garden segment sales, so a single buyer's decision is a material event. Sellers also point to the risks the company itself discloses — tariffs raising product cost, energy prices, weaker discretionary spending — and to the weather dependence of a business that books roughly two-thirds of garden sales in two quarters, which makes any single year a poor guide to the next.
Generated on 18 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Named by Central among its largest pet competitors: its Milk-Bone dog snacks compete directly with Central's treat and chew brands for the same pet-aisle placement.
The only rival that fights Central on both of its fronts at once, selling branded pet supplies (aquatics, small animal, dog and cat care) and yard and household insecticides to the same mass retailers and pet chains.
The dominant brand in lawn and garden consumables — grass seed, fertilizers and pesticides — competing with Central's garden segment for the same shelf space at Home Depot, Lowe's and Walmart.
Through Mars Petcare it is the largest branded player in pet food, treats and care products, taking the same household spending on dogs and cats that Central's pet brands depend on.
A private, full-line pet supplies maker whose grooming, flea-and-tick, treat and small-animal products overlap almost item for item with Central's pet catalogue in US mass retail.
A private household-products group whose Raid and OFF! lines are the main branded alternative to Central's yard and household insecticides in the same retail aisle.
Bilan & Liquidités
Chiffre d'affaires
$3.08B
12 derniers mois (au 27/06/2026)
Résultat net
$166M
12 derniers mois (au 27/06/2026)
Flux de trésorerie libre
$291M
Capitaux propres totaux
$1.58B
Passif total
$2.04B
Ratio de liquidité général
3.79
Couverture des intérêts
4.37
Dette/EBITDA
4.21
Bénéfice par action
Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net
Flux de trésorerie libre
Décomposition du résultat
État historique
Marges dans le temps
La dette dans le temps
Le poids de la dette
Grille de la croissance
Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires
Estimation de la juste valeur
Juste valeur
$121.25
Prix actuel
$33.52
Marge de sécurité
+72.4%
Fourchette de juste valeur
$78.81 - $163.69
Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.
Méthodes d'estimation
Indicateurs de valorisation
Ratio P/E
12.51
ROE
10.3%
Ratio P/B
0.24
P/FCF
1.19
Marge brute
32.5%
ROIC
6.1%
Radar de rentabilité
Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)
ROIC
6.1%
WACC
6.2%
ROIC − WACC
-0.1 pp
Le ROIC est à peu près aligné sur le coût du capital — l'entreprise couvre à peine son coût du capital.
Critères d'analyse fondamentale
Réussi (23)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 6.44%
- ROIC 6.1%
- Gross Margin 32.5%
- P/FCF 1.19
- P/B Ratio 0.24
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 8.1%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- ROE 10.2%
- Analyst Consensus 82% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 29.5%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.35
- Share Dilution -4.2%
- Net Margin Trend 5.4% vs 4.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Échoué (4)
- Price CAGR 3.29%
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Revenue Growth 5Y 3.0%
- PEG Ratio 4.40
Indisponible (1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Score F de Piotroski
Santé financière solide
Qualité des bénéfices
Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie
Dilution du capital
Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires
Participations institutionnelles
Gouvernance
Équipe dirigeante
| Nom | Titre | Âge |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. William E. Brown | Founder & Chairman | 84 |
| Mr. Nicholas Lahanas | CEO & Director | 56 |
| Mr. Bradley G. Smith | Chief Financial Officer | 59 |
| Mr. John Edward Hanson | President of Pet Consumer Products | 60 |
| Mr. Howard A. Machek CPA | Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 62 |
| Mr. Chris Walter | Senior VP & Chief Information Officer | - |
| Ms. Friederike Edelmann | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Apur Patel | Chief Legal Officer | - |
| Ms. Marilyn Leahy | Senior Vice President of Human Resources | - |
| Mr. Glen S. Axelrod | Senior Vice President of Dog & Cat Brands | - |
Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer
Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.
Documents
- Voir le document
Rapport annuel (10-K)
Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.
Déposé le 2025-11-26
- Voir le document
Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)
Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.
Déposé le 2026-08-06
- Voir le document
Rapport d'événement important (8-K)
Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.
Déposé le 2026-09-22
via SEC EDGAR
Historique des résultats
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CENTA, sourced from Markets Gazette.