Coherent Corp (COHR)
SurévaluéFondamental
54
Prix
$317.83
Capitalisation boursière
$55.31B
Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise
Vue d'ensemble
Coherent Corp. is a vertically integrated maker of photonic and optoelectronic hardware: optical transceivers, lasers, compound-semiconductor chips (such as indium phosphide and gallium arsenide devices and VCSELs), optical circuit switches, engineered materials including silicon carbide and thermoelectric components. It runs its own crystal growth, epitaxy, wafer fabrication and module assembly, with roughly 51,000 employees as of June 30, 2026 and manufacturing spread across the United States, Europe and Asia — heavily weighted to Asia-Pacific. Its products end up inside AI and cloud data centers, telecom transport networks, semiconductor and display capital equipment, precision manufacturing tools, life-science instruments and automotive electronics. Fiscal 2026 revenue was $7.12 billion, up from $5.81 billion in fiscal 2025, with the growth coming almost entirely from data-center optics.
Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent
Coherent sells hardware: it recognises revenue when it ships components, modules and systems to customers. There is no meaningful subscription or recurring-licence layer. Buyers are optical module and equipment makers, networking equipment manufacturers, data-center operators, telecom service providers, and industrial and semiconductor equipment companies. The company says it uses strategic, long-term sales agreements with market leaders to plan production, and in fiscal 2026 it signed a multi-year supply agreement with NVIDIA for lasers and optical networking products. Because it owns its fabs, profitability swings with factory utilisation as well as with price and mix.
Chiffre d'affaires par segment
Optical transceivers, co-packaged optics, optical circuit switches, VCSELs and the underlying compound-semiconductor components, sold to data-center operators, networking equipment makers, optical module manufacturers and telecom service providers. Revenue was $5,274.6 million in fiscal 2026 against $3,755.2 million in fiscal 2025.
Excimer, solid-state and CO2 lasers, laser systems, engineered materials and thermoelectric components, sold to semiconductor and display capital-equipment makers, precision manufacturing, life sciences, scientific research, consumer electronics and automotive customers. Revenue was $1,843.6 million in fiscal 2026 against $2,054.9 million in fiscal 2025.
Avantage concurrentiel
Brevets et licences · ÉtroitCoherent's advantage is process know-how rather than a brand or a lock-in contract. Growing indium phosphide and gallium arsenide crystals, running epitaxy at yield and packaging optics at data-center volumes takes years of accumulated engineering that a new entrant cannot buy off the shelf, and the company owns the chain from crystal to finished module. That is a real barrier, but a narrow one: the company itself warns in its risk factors that competitors may intensify and that its own customers may backward-integrate into its competencies and displace it, and transceiver generations turn over every few years, so each speed transition reopens the competition.
Ce qui stimule la demande
CycliqueBoth halves of the company move with capital spending, not with consumption. Datacenter & Communications follows the build cycles of hyperscalers and telecom carriers: when they are laying out capacity, orders arrive in waves; when they digest it, orders stop. Industrial follows semiconductor and display equipment cycles, automotive and consumer electronics — fiscal 2026 showed both sides at once, with data-center revenue rising from $3.76 billion to $5.27 billion while industrial fell from $2.05 billion to $1.84 billion. The company itself says a significant portion of its business is subject to cyclical market factors.
Principaux risques
- Cyclical end markets and demand mis-estimation — The company discloses that a significant portion of its business is subject to cyclical market factors and that it may fail to accurately estimate the size and growth rate of its markets and its customers' demand. With owned fabs, building capacity against a forecast that does not arrive leaves fixed costs without volume.
- Bargaining power of a few very large customers — Coherent states that it contracts with large end-user service providers and product companies that have considerable bargaining power, which may require it to accept terms and conditions adverse to its business or to its ability to recognise revenue. Two customers each contributed more than 10% of revenue in fiscal 2026.
- Competition and customer backward integration — The filing warns that the company may encounter increased competition and may fail to accurately estimate its competitors' or its customers' willingness and capability to backward integrate into its competencies and thereby displace it.
- Complex manufacturing with limited sources of supply — The company depends on complex manufacturing processes that require strategic materials, components and products from limited sources of supply, and separately flags commodity prices and the availability of rare earth minerals.
- Uncertainties around artificial intelligence — Among its risk factors the company states it may be adversely impacted by any of multiple uncertainties and outcomes associated with the use and evolution of AI — notable because AI data-center demand is what drove fiscal 2026 growth.
- Substantial debt — Coherent discloses that it has a substantial amount of debt, which could adversely affect its business, financial condition or results and prevent it from fulfilling its debt-related obligations; it also flags covenants under its senior credit facility and senior notes, and limits on paying dividends.
- Political, trade and regulatory developments — The company lists political, trade and regulatory developments and the burden of complex domestic and international laws among its risk factors — relevant for a manufacturer whose plants sit largely in Asia-Pacific, including China and Vietnam, while a large share of its customers are American.
Concentration des clients
The fiscal 2026 10-K states that two customers each contributed more than 10% of revenue during fiscal 2026, but the pages read here do not give the individual percentages, so no figure is reported. The company also warns that these large service providers and product companies hold considerable bargaining power over terms. During fiscal 2026 it entered a multi-year supply agreement with NVIDIA for lasers and optical networking products.
Les arguments en faveur
Buyers argue that Coherent sits at a physical bottleneck of AI infrastructure: as data-center architectures move from copper to optical connectivity, every additional accelerator needs more optical links, and Coherent owns the chain from the compound-semiconductor crystal up to the finished transceiver, which is hard to replicate and hard to bypass. They point to fiscal 2026, where revenue reached $7.12 billion from $5.81 billion, data-center and communications revenue rose from $3.76 billion to $5.27 billion, GAAP gross margin improved to 37.5% from 35.2%, and net earnings attributable to the company went from $49.4 million to $805.0 million — margin expanding faster than revenue as the fabs filled up. They add that the multi-year NVIDIA supply agreement signals the company is designed into the next generation, and that the depressed industrial segment is a cyclical trough that could add growth when semiconductor and automotive equipment spending recovers.
Les arguments contre
Sellers fear that the growth is rented, not owned. Roughly three quarters of revenue now comes from one wave of AI data-center construction bought by a handful of customers — two of which each exceeded 10% of fiscal 2026 revenue — and the company itself warns that these buyers hold considerable bargaining power and may backward-integrate into its competencies. Optical transceivers are a generational business where each speed transition reopens competition and prices fall through a product's life, so today's margins are not a guaranteed starting point. Meanwhile the industrial half is shrinking, having fallen from $2.05 billion to $1.84 billion in fiscal 2026, so the cushion that was meant to offset data-center cyclicality is itself weak. Sellers also point to the fixed cost of owned fabs, which turns a demand pause into an immediate margin problem, to substantial debt the company flags among its risk factors, and to a manufacturing base concentrated in Asia-Pacific exposed to trade and political developments.
Generated on 18 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
The closest rival: both sell optical transceivers and the indium-phosphide laser chips inside them to the same cloud and telecom customers, and both also sell lasers for industrial manufacturing.
Through its Spectra-Physics and Ophir lines it sells industrial and scientific lasers, optics and photonic instruments to the same semiconductor and precision-manufacturing customers.
Competes for the same materials-processing budget — cutting, welding and marking lasers sold to industrial machine builders — and names Coherent as a competitor in its own annual report.
The largest maker of high-speed optical transceivers by shipments, competing head-on with Coherent for the 400G/800G module orders of the big data-centre operators.
Privately held German group that is the benchmark supplier of high-power industrial lasers and laser systems to the same European and Asian manufacturing customers.
A vertically integrated transceiver maker selling 400G and 800G optical modules to hyperscale data-centre and cable-broadband customers Coherent also serves.
Bilan & Liquidités
Chiffre d'affaires
$7.12B
12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)
Résultat net
$805M
12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)
Flux de trésorerie libre
$-1.02B
Capitaux propres totaux
$10.90B
Passif total
$7.06B
Ratio de liquidité général
2.43
Couverture des intérêts
-
Dette/EBITDA
2.50
Bénéfice par action
Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net
Flux de trésorerie libre
Décomposition du résultat
État historique
Marges dans le temps
La dette dans le temps
Le poids de la dette
Grille de la croissance
Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires
Estimation de la juste valeur
Juste valeur
$185.44
Prix actuel
$317.83
Marge de sécurité
-71.4%
Fourchette de juste valeur
$120.53 - $250.34
Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.
Méthodes d'estimation
Indicateurs de valorisation
Ratio P/E
69.86
ROE
7.4%
Ratio P/B
5.17
P/FCF
-
Marge brute
37.5%
ROIC
-
Radar de rentabilité
Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)
ROIC
-
WACC
15.5%
ROIC − WACC
-
Critères d'analyse fondamentale
Réussi (14)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 11.89%
- Price CAGR 26.27%
- Gross Margin 37.5%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 8.4%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 18.0%
- Analyst Consensus 77% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 4.6%
- Net Margin Trend 11.3% vs 0.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Échoué (7)
- P/B Ratio 5.17
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- PEG Ratio 7.18
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.10
Indisponible (7)
- ROIC NaN%
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Score F de Piotroski
Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention
Qualité des bénéfices
Qualité faible : examiner la comptabilité
Dilution du capital
Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires
Participations institutionnelles
Gouvernance
Équipe dirigeante
| Nom | Titre | Âge |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. James Robert Anderson | CEO, President & Employee Director | 53 |
| Ms. Sherri R. Luther CPA | CFO & Treasurer | 59 |
| Dr. Julie Sheridan Eng | Executive VP of Optical Components & CTO | 58 |
| Mr. Rob Beard | Chief Strategy & Legal Affairs Officer and Corporate Secretary | 47 |
| Dr. Giovanni Barbarossa Ph.D. | Special Advisor to the Chief Executive Officer | 65 |
| Ms. Ilaria Mocciaro | Senior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Corporate Controller | 53 |
| Mr. Paul Jonas Silverstein J.D. | Senior Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Cristina Rodriguez | Executive Vice President of Communications | - |
| Dr. Sanjai Parthasarathi | Chief Marketing Officer | - |
| Ms. Grace G. Lee | Chief People Officer | 57 |
Risque d'audit
5
Risque du conseil
4
Risque de rémunération
9
Risque droits des actionnaires
9
Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer
Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.
Documents
- Voir le document
Rapport annuel (10-K)
Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.
Déposé le 2026-08-14
- Voir le document
Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)
Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.
Déposé le 2026-05-06
- Voir le document
Rapport d'événement important (8-K)
Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.
Déposé le 2026-08-31
via SEC EDGAR
Historique des résultats
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for COHR, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 9/1/2026POSITIVEBuy these stocks to ride the next big AI wave — connectivity, analyst says
Deutsche Bank has identified Coherent Corp. as a top pick for investors looking to capitalize on the burgeoning AI sector, citing the company's critical role in AI hardware infrastructure. The analyst's "highest conviction" rating suggests strong potential for share price appreciation as AI adoption accelerates. Coherent's specialized products are essential for the advanced connectivity and processing demands of AI systems, positioning the company to benefit significantly from increased investment in AI development and deployment. Investors may see this as a signal to consider Coherent for exposure to the AI growth narrative.
- 8/18/2026POSITIVECoherent: an AI-focused photonics stock to watch
Coherent Corp. is emerging as a key player in the optics and photonics market, particularly within the AI sector. The company has established strong ties with major hyperscalers, notably a deep relationship with NVIDIA. This strategic positioning is a result of significant M&A activity, including II-VI's acquisition of Finisar in 2019 and the subsequent absorption of the original Coherent in 2022. Investors are watching Coherent due to its broad photonics capabilities and its integral role in supporting AI infrastructure development, suggesting potential for sustained growth.
- 6/11/2026POSITIVEMissed the rally in optical stocks? Coherent and Lumentum just got more attractive, according to J.P. Morgan.
J.P. Morgan has upgraded its outlook on optical networking companies Coherent and Lumentum, suggesting recent investor concerns regarding the adoption of co-packaged optics (CPO) are exaggerated. The analyst notes that the market may have overreacted to potential headwinds, making these stocks more appealing for investment. This positive reassessment by a major financial institution could signal a potential upward trend for these companies as the market re-evaluates the CPO landscape and its impact on future growth.
- 5/12/2026POSITIVEHere's How Much $100 Invested In Coherent 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today
An investment of $100 in Coherent Inc. (COHR) twenty years ago would have grown to approximately $1,870 today, assuming the investment was made on May 12, 2006. This represents a significant compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of roughly 16.1%. The company, a leader in photonics solutions, has demonstrated substantial long-term value creation for its shareholders. This historical performance underscores Coherent's resilience and growth potential in the technology sector, making it a noteworthy case study for long-term investors.
- 5/7/2026POSITIVECoherent Rides AI Data Center Boom Wave With 20% Revenue Growth
Coherent Corp. reported strong third-quarter results, surpassing expectations with revenue reaching $1.806 billion and earnings per share at $1.41. The company highlighted robust demand from the AI data center sector, which significantly contributed to its performance and drove 20% revenue growth. Strong profit margins were also noted, underscoring operational efficiency. This performance suggests Coherent is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing AI infrastructure build-out, potentially leading to increased investor interest and upward price adjustments.
- 4/13/2026POSITIVEHere's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Coherent Stock In The Last 10 Years
Coherent Corp. has delivered substantial returns for its shareholders over the past decade. While specific figures are not detailed in this summary, the article implies a significant positive growth trajectory for the company's stock. Investors who held Coherent stock would have seen considerable capital appreciation, underscoring the company's strong performance and market position in its sector. This long-term success suggests effective management, innovation, and favorable market conditions contributing to shareholder value.
- 3/3/2026POSITIVECoherent is Laser-Focused on the AI Data Center Optical Revolution
Coherent (COHR) is positioned to benefit from the significant investments hyperscalers are making in AI data center infrastructure. The company's expertise in high-speed optical components is crucial for managing the massive data flows required by AI applications. As demand for AI-driven computing power escalates, Coherent's photonics and laser solutions are becoming indispensable. This strategic focus on enabling the AI optical revolution suggests strong growth potential and increasing relevance for the company in the technology sector.
- 3/2/2026POSITIVECoherent and Lumentum shares pop on Nvidia deals. Why optical stocks are so hot these days.
Shares of Coherent surged following new deals with Nvidia, underscoring the escalating importance of optical technologies. These components are becoming critical in modern data centers, enabling ultrahigh-bandwidth and energy-efficient connections, which are indispensable for current technological infrastructure. The news highlights a robust market trend for the optical sector, with demand fueled by data center expansion and innovation in artificial intelligence. Investors should closely monitor these companies, as their strategic role in supporting advanced computational needs could generate further growth opportunities.
via Markets Gazette