Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
SurévaluéFondamental
65
Prix
$110.16
Capitalisation boursière
$421.74B
Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise
Vue d'ensemble
Cisco builds the networking equipment — routers, switches, wireless gear — that moves data through corporate and telecom networks, and has layered security, collaboration and observability software on top of that base. It sells mostly through a two-tier channel of distributors and resellers rather than directly, and its 2024 acquisition of Splunk turned network and application monitoring into one of its largest growth engines.
Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent
Roughly three-quarters of revenue still comes from selling physical and virtual equipment outright, but Cisco increasingly bundles that hardware with multi-year software subscriptions for security, observability and collaboration, turning a one-time sale into a renewing stream. The remaining quarter is services — support, maintenance and professional services on the enormous installed base of equipment already deployed, which is far more predictable than new equipment sales.
Chiffre d'affaires par segment
Routers, switches, wireless and data-centre networking hardware and software — the core business, though it shrank in fiscal 2025.
Support, maintenance and professional services sold on top of Cisco's large installed base of deployed equipment.
Cybersecurity software and appliances, Cisco's fastest-growing category after the Splunk acquisition closed.
Webex video conferencing, calling and contact-centre software for hybrid and remote work.
Splunk's monitoring and analytics tools plus ThousandEyes, the smallest category but growing quickly.
Avantage concurrentiel
Coûts de changement · ÉtroitRipping out core network infrastructure is disruptive and risky, and a generation of network engineers has been trained and certified specifically on Cisco's systems, which discourages wholesale replacement. The advantage has narrowed over the years, though, as cheaper switching hardware and cloud-native networking approaches have given large customers credible alternatives at the edges of the network.
Ce qui stimule la demande
Modérément cycliqueEnterprise and telecom capital spending on networking equipment rises and falls with IT budgets and can be deferred when a downturn hits, which is why Cisco's core Networking revenue actually declined in fiscal 2025. The growing subscription and services base cushions that swing, since renewal revenue keeps flowing even when new equipment orders slow.
Principaux risques
- Reliance on a two-tier distribution channel — Most Cisco products reach customers through distributors and resellers rather than direct sales, so channel inventory levels and partner incentives can distort visibility into real end demand.
- Need to keep pace with rapid technology shifts — Cloud-native networking, software-defined architectures and AI infrastructure are reshaping how enterprises build networks, and Cisco must keep innovating in these directions or lose ground to faster-moving competitors.
- Cybersecurity exposure — As both a security vendor and a large technology target, a breach of Cisco's own products or systems would damage customer trust in a business built partly on being a trusted security supplier.
- Integrating large acquisitions — The $28 billion Splunk deal is central to Cisco's observability strategy; realising the expected synergies and cross-selling depends on integration executing well, which large acquisitions do not always do.
Les arguments en faveur
Buyers argue that Splunk has given Cisco a genuine second growth engine in security and observability just as AI data-centre buildouts are reviving networking demand, and that the shift toward subscription revenue makes results more predictable than the old hardware-refresh cycle ever was.
Les arguments contre
Sellers worry that Cisco's core Networking business, still half of revenue, is losing share to cheaper switching hardware and cloud-native alternatives, and that folding Splunk into a much larger, slower-growing company will dilute the acquisition's promise rather than accelerate it.
Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Named by Cisco in its 10-K, Arista sells Ethernet switches to the same cloud, AI data center and enterprise campus buyers Cisco's Nexus and Catalyst lines target.
After absorbing Juniper Networks in July 2025 alongside its Aruba business, HPE is the other vendor offering a full campus, data center and service-provider networking portfolio to the same enterprise accounts.
Cisco lists Nvidia as a competitor because its Spectrum-X Ethernet and InfiniBand fabrics take the same AI data center networking budget Cisco is chasing with its AI infrastructure switches.
Palo Alto competes for the same corporate security spending as Cisco's firewall, zero-trust and secure-access products.
Huawei competes head-on for carrier and enterprise routing and switching contracts, above all in China, Asia, Africa and the Middle East where Cisco bids for the same tenders.
Nokia sells IP routing and optical transport systems to the telecom operators and internet providers that make up Cisco's service-provider segment.
Bilan & Liquidités
Chiffre d'affaires
$63.33B
12 derniers mois (au 25/07/2026)
Résultat net
$13.27B
12 derniers mois (au 25/07/2026)
Flux de trésorerie libre
$12.77B
Capitaux propres totaux
$50.28B
Passif total
$79.35B
Ratio de liquidité général
0.93
Couverture des intérêts
10.45
Dette/EBITDA
1.53
Bénéfice par action
Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net
Flux de trésorerie libre
Décomposition du résultat
État historique
Marges dans le temps
La dette dans le temps
Le poids de la dette
Grille de la croissance
Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires
Estimation de la juste valeur
Juste valeur
$90.06
Prix actuel
$110.16
Marge de sécurité
-22.3%
Fourchette de juste valeur
$58.54 - $121.58
Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.
Méthodes d'estimation
Indicateurs de valorisation
Ratio P/E
32.66
ROE
26.4%
Ratio P/B
8.53
P/FCF
33.59
Marge brute
64.5%
ROIC
13.8%
Radar de rentabilité
Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)
ROIC
13.8%
WACC
9.8%
ROIC − WACC
+4.0 pp
Le ROIC dépasse le coût du capital — l'entreprise crée de la valeur pour les actionnaires.
Critères d'analyse fondamentale
Réussi (19)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 5.32%
- Price CAGR 13.42%
- ROIC 13.8%
- Gross Margin 64.5%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 24.3%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 27.4%
- Analyst Consensus 69% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.07
- Share Dilution -0.2%
- Net Margin Trend 21.0% vs 18.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Échoué (8)
- P/FCF 33.59
- P/B Ratio 8.53
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 4.9%
- Earnings Surprise avg 0.6%
- PEG Ratio 5.41
Indisponible (1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Score F de Piotroski
Santé financière solide
Qualité des bénéfices
Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie
Dilution du capital
Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires
Participations institutionnelles
Gouvernance
Équipe dirigeante
| Nom | Titre | Âge |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Charles H. Robbins | Chairman & CEO | 59 |
| Mr. Jeetendra I. Patel | President & Chief Product Officer | 53 |
| Mr. Thimaya Subaiya | Executive Vice President of Operations | 46 |
| Ms. Deborah L. Stahlkopf | Executive VP & Chief Legal Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Mark Patterson | Executive VP & CFO | 55 |
| Mr. Nichlas A. Fink | Senior VP, Corporate Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | 45 |
| Mr. Andrew Ashton | Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance | - |
| Mr. Ahmed Sami Badri | Head of Investor Relations & Strategic Finance | - |
| Mr. Steve Clayton | Senior VP & Chief Communications Officer | - |
| Mr. Oliver Tuszik | Executive VP of Global Sales & Chief Sales Officer | 57 |
Risque d'audit
6
Risque du conseil
6
Risque de rémunération
8
Risque droits des actionnaires
1
Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer
Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.
Documents
- Voir le document
Rapport annuel (10-K)
Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.
Déposé le 2026-09-02
- Voir le document
Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)
Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.
Déposé le 2026-05-19
- Voir le document
Rapport d'événement important (8-K)
Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.
Déposé le 2026-08-12
via SEC EDGAR
Historique des résultats
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CSCO, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 10d agoNEGATIVEAzioni Cisco Systems in mercato ribassista: conviene comprare il ribasso?
Cisco Systems shares have entered a bear market, falling 20% from their year-to-date high to $105. This decline has erased billions in market capitalization, reducing it from $513 billion to $414 billion. The stock's downturn follows a period of profit-taking after reaching an all-time high. Despite a strong earnings report on August 12th, which indicated significant increases in revenue and profits, investors have been selling off shares. This price action suggests a market sentiment shift, with traders exiting positions despite positive fundamental data.
- 8/13/2026NEGATIVECisco’s stock falls on margin concerns. Here’s what Wall Street analysts are saying.
Cisco's stock experienced a decline following concerns raised by Wall Street analysts regarding potential pressure on gross margins. The analysts' sentiment stems from the company's potential focus on the artificial-intelligence 'supercycle,' which could necessitate increased investment or shifts in product mix that may impact profitability. This outlook suggests that while AI presents a growth opportunity, it may come at the cost of short-term margin expansion, a key metric for investors assessing operational efficiency and pricing power.
- 8/12/2026NEUTRALCisco sees record results from an AI ‘supercycle,’ but its stock pulls back
Cisco Systems Inc. reported a record performance, with revenue surging 18% and issuing an optimistic 2027 forecast, signaling strong future growth potential driven by an AI 'supercycle.' Despite these robust results and projections, the company's stock experienced a pullback. This divergence suggests that while the fundamental outlook remains positive, market sentiment or other factors may be influencing short-term price action. Investors will be watching to see if the company can translate its technological advantages and market position into sustained stock appreciation.
- 8/12/2026NEUTRALCisco Beats Estimates, Cerebras Reports Declines | Closing Bell
Cisco Systems Inc. reported earnings that surpassed analyst expectations, though specific figures were not detailed in this summary. The news also mentioned Cerebras Systems experiencing declines, suggesting a mixed performance across technology sectors. The broader market close coverage indicates a focus on U.S. market dynamics. For investors, the positive outcome for Cisco may offer a degree of confidence, but the contrasting performance of Cerebras highlights sector-specific risks and the need for careful stock selection within the technology landscape.
- 7/28/2026NEUTRALAs chips sell off, rattled investors should heed this Cisco Systems lesson from the last millennium
Fundstrat's Tom Lee suggests the market may regain stability within days, drawing a parallel to past resilience exemplified by Cisco Systems' performance in the late 1990s. While the current chip sector faces a sell-off, Lee's commentary implies a belief in eventual market recovery. The historical reference to Cisco, a tech giant that navigated significant market volatility, serves as a reminder of the potential for established companies to rebound. Investors are advised to consider this long-term perspective amidst short-term sector-specific downturns.
- 6/3/2026POSITIVEAfter Dell And HPE's AI-Fueled Surge, Is Cisco The Next 1990s Tech Giant To Break Out?
Cisco Systems Inc. is showing signs of a potential breakout, following the significant AI-driven rallies of Dell and Hewlett Packard Enterprise. While Cisco has lagged its peers, eleven Wall Street firms have recently increased their price targets for the stock. This renewed analyst optimism suggests a potential shift in investor sentiment, as the company might be poised to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for AI infrastructure and networking solutions, similar to the surges seen in other legacy tech giants.
- 5/29/2026POSITIVECisco's Biggest AI Bet Wasn't Made In 2025 — It Was Made In 2016
Cisco's strategic foresight in AI infrastructure is highlighted by CEO Chuck Robbins, who revealed the company's significant AI bet was placed in 2016 with a key silicon acquisition, predating the current AI boom. This long-term vision positions Cisco favorably in the rapidly expanding AI market. Investors may see this as a testament to strong leadership and strategic planning, potentially bolstering confidence in the company's future growth prospects and its ability to capitalize on AI-driven opportunities.
- 5/17/2026NEGATIVECisco Stock Is Up 55% This Year, But Two Key Risks May Trigger Reversal
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) has experienced a significant 55% surge in its stock price year-to-date. However, current market indicators suggest extreme overbought conditions and elevated valuation multiples. These factors combined present a substantial risk of a potential reversal in the stock's trajectory. Investors should be cautious as the current price may not be sustainable, and a correction could be imminent.
via Markets Gazette