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DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)

Juste valeur
Consumer CyclicalAuto PartsJapan

Fondamental

69

Prix

$1829.50

Capitalisation boursière

$4.81T

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

DENSO makes the components that go inside cars rather than complete vehicles: air-conditioning and thermal-management systems, engine and powertrain parts, electronics, electrification hardware like inverters and motors, and semiconductors. It is headquartered in Japan and supplies carmakers worldwide, with Toyota — also its largest shareholder — as its single biggest customer by a wide margin.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

DENSO sells parts as an original-equipment supplier under contracts tied to specific vehicle models, so revenue tracks how many cars carmakers actually build and how much content DENSO wins on each one. Prices are negotiated per component and typically decline over a model's life under automakers' cost-reduction pressure, so DENSO depends on new wins and efficiency gains to protect margins.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Cyclique

DENSO's revenue follows global vehicle production, which rises and falls with consumer confidence, credit conditions and automakers' own inventory cycles. Because contracts are tied to specific models, a model's production cut or delay shows up directly in DENSO's results with little lag.

Principaux risques

  • Dependence on Toyota group sales — DENSO discloses that fluctuations in Toyota group sales could materially affect its performance, even though it states it negotiates terms with Toyota group companies on the same basis as with other customers.
  • Semiconductor and supply-chain fragility — Recent shortages of automotive semiconductors exposed how dependent DENSO's production is on a resilient global supply chain; a disruption at a chip or raw-material supplier can constrain output across several of its product lines at once.
  • Competition in electrification components — As electrification becomes central to vehicle powertrains, DENSO faces rivals such as LG Magna e-Powertrain and CATL in inverters and battery-related systems, an area where it does not hold the same long incumbency it has in traditional components.

Concentration des clients

Les principaux clients représentent 48.6% du chiffre d'affaires

For the fiscal year ended March 2026, sales to the Toyota group accounted for 48.6% of DENSO's net sales, according to the company's own related-party disclosure. Toyota also holds roughly 22% of DENSO's voting rights.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that DENSO's decades-long relationships with Toyota and other carmakers give it a stable base of contracted volume, and that its shift toward electrification, safety and semiconductor content lets it grow revenue per vehicle even as overall car production stays flat.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that near-half dependence on a single customer group leaves DENSO exposed to Toyota's own production decisions, that new electrification rivals lack the cost-down pressure of legacy component businesses, and that a global auto downturn would hit DENSO with little room to diversify away from it.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 18 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Robert Bosch GmbHNot tracked

Bosch is the world's largest auto-parts supplier and bids against DENSO for the same carmaker platforms in powertrain control, thermal systems, sensors and electrified drive units.

Aisin Corporation (アイシン株式会社)7259

Aisin is the other large Toyota-group supplier, competing with DENSO for the same Japanese carmakers' business and, through electrified drive units and e-Axles, for the same electrification content per vehicle.

Valeo SEFR

Valeo supplies the same product families as DENSO — thermal and HVAC systems, powertrain electrification, lighting and driver-assistance electronics — to European, Asian and North American automakers.

ZF Friedrichshafen AGNot tracked

ZF is a German full-line supplier that competes head-on with DENSO for electric drive units, chassis electronics and ADAS sensor contracts at the same global carmakers.

Hyundai Mobis Co., Ltd. (현대모비스)012330

Hyundai Mobis plays for Hyundai-Kia the role DENSO plays for Toyota, and increasingly bids outside its home group for the same electrification, braking and cockpit-electronics business.

Hanon Systems (한온시스템)018880

Hanon is the specialist rival in automotive thermal management, competing directly with DENSO's HVAC, heat-pump and battery-cooling systems on electric-vehicle platforms.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$7.79T

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Résultat net

$432.47B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Flux de trésorerie libre

$76.84B

Capitaux propres totaux

$5.49T

Passif total

$3.02T

Ratio de liquidité général

2.09

Couverture des intérêts

17.41

Dette/EBITDA

1.32

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

CycliqueJustement valorisé

Juste valeur

$1910.70

Prix actuel

$1829.50

Marge de sécurité

+4.2%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$1711.28 - $2110.11

Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.

Méthodes d'estimation

Objectif de cours des analystes:$2118.89
Flux de trésorerie actualisés (DCF):Non applicable à ce type d'entreprise
Multiple de résultat (P/E):$1842.44
Formule de croissance de Graham:Non applicable à ce type d'entreprise
Valeur de la capacité bénéficiaire (EPV):$1688.17
P/B justifié:Non applicable à ce type d'entreprise
Actualisation des dividendes (Gordon):Non applicable à ce type d'entreprise
P/FFO, les fonds provenant de l'exploitation:Non applicable à ce type d'entreprise
Bénéfices de milieu de cycle:Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Multiple sur le chiffre d'affaires:Non applicable à ce type d'entreprise
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (12B / 10H / 2S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+10.07%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

11.39

ROE

8.1%

Ratio P/B

0.90

P/FCF

67.23

Marge brute

15.2%

ROIC

6.5%

Radar de rentabilité

Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)

ROIC

6.5%

WACC

7.4%

ROIC − WACC

-0.9 pp

Le ROIC est à peu près aligné sur le coût du capital — l'entreprise couvre à peine son coût du capital.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 16.15%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • P/B Ratio 0.90
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 6.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 8.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.38
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.15
  • Net Margin Trend 5.9% vs 5.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Échoué (7)

  • Price CAGR 4.55%
  • Gross Margin 15.2%
  • P/FCF 67.23
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -12.0%
  • Share Dilution 36.9%

Indisponible (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles

Score F de Piotroski

6/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

1.15

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

36.9%

Émission de nouvelles actions, diluant la participation

Participations institutionnelles

Aucune déclaration institutionnelle pour cette entreprise.

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Shinnosuke HayashiPresident, CEO & Director61
Mr. Yasushi MatsuiCRO, CCO, Chief Safety & Environment Officer & Representative Director61
Mr. Yasuhiko YamazakiEVP, Chief Strategy Officer, CHRO & Representative Director62
Mr. Seiji MaedaCFO & Head of Corporate Management Headquarters-
Tadashi AraiAccounting Manager-
Masanori SugiuraOperating Exec. Officer & Head of Corporate Legal, IP and Public Affairs Headquarters of Audit Dept.-
Yasuhisa SakuraiSenior Executive Officer, Head of Sales & Marketing Group of Corporate Strategy Headquarters-
Chitaka KambeSenior Executive Officers & Head of General Administration and Human Resources Headquarters-
Mr. Kenichiro ItoCEO of EU Area & Senior Executive Officer63
Mr. Jiro EbiharaSr Exec Off, Chief Monozukuri Officer & Head of Purchasing Group, Corp Strategy Headquarters61

Risque d'audit

1

Risque du conseil

6

Risque de rémunération

1

Risque droits des actionnaires

5

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for DNZOF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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