Retour au classement

The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG)

Juste valeur
HealthcareMedical Care FacilitiesUnited States

Fondamental

68

Prix

$172.00

Capitalisation boursière

$10.02B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

The Ensign Group is a US healthcare holding company, founded in 1999 and based in San Juan Capistrano, California, whose independent operating subsidiaries run skilled nursing facilities, senior living communities and related ancillary services. At December 31, 2025 the group operated 373 healthcare and senior living operations across 17 states, including 357 skilled nursing operations with roughly 37,900 beds and about 3,400 senior living units. A separate captive real-estate subsidiary, Standard Bearer, owned about 152 properties, most of them leased to Ensign-affiliated operators and the rest to third parties. Ensign grows mainly by acquiring or leasing underperforming facilities and turning them around under local management; each facility is run as a stand-alone business with its own leadership, rather than from a central corporate office. Consolidated revenue for fiscal 2025 was $5.06 billion and net income $344.3 million.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Ensign is paid per patient per day of care. Revenue comes from Medicaid (the largest source), Medicare, managed-care plans and private payors, at rates that are largely set by federal and state programs rather than negotiated freely. Profitability therefore depends on three levers the company manages facility by facility: occupancy, payor mix (the share of higher-reimbursement 'skilled' days, mainly Medicare and managed care) and labour cost per day. A second, much smaller stream is rent: the Standard Bearer subsidiary collects lease payments on the properties it owns, though most of that rent is paid by Ensign's own operators and is eliminated in consolidation, so only the third-party rent reaches consolidated revenue.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Skilled Services93.1%

Operation of skilled nursing facilities and rehabilitation therapy services: post-acute nursing, rehabilitation and long-term custodial care for patients, mostly elderly, paid for by Medicaid, Medicare, managed-care plans and private payors. It generated $4.84 billion of segment revenue in fiscal 2025.

All Other4.5%

Everything the company does not treat as a reportable segment: stand-alone senior living communities, mobile diagnostics, medical transportation, other real estate and the Service Center. Revenue was $232.8 million in fiscal 2025; individually none of these activities is large enough to be a reportable segment.

Standard Bearer2.4%

The group's captive real-estate arm, which owns the buildings and leases them to operators — mostly to Ensign-affiliated operations, the rest to third parties. It reported $126.9 million of rental revenue in fiscal 2025, the large majority of which is intercompany rent eliminated on consolidation.

Avantage concurrentiel

Aucun avantage identifié · Aucun

Skilled nursing is a local, licence-based business in which prices are set by government programs, not by the provider, so scale buys little pricing power. What Ensign describes as its advantage is an operating method — decentralised local leadership, a cluster of facilities in each market, and a track record of buying troubled facilities and lifting their occupancy, payor mix and quality ratings. That is a management skill rather than a structural barrier: it can be copied, and it has to be re-earned with every acquisition. Licensure and, in some states, certificate-of-need rules do limit how quickly new beds appear, but they protect incumbents generally rather than Ensign specifically.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Défensif

Demand is driven by medical need and demographics, not by the economic cycle: people enter a skilled nursing facility after a hospital stay or because they can no longer be cared for at home, and that does not stop in a recession. The real swing factors are policy and labour — federal and state reimbursement decisions, and whether there are enough staff to fill available beds — plus one-off shocks such as the pandemic, which pushed occupancy sharply down before it recovered. Same-facility occupancy averaged 82.9% in fiscal 2025.

Principaux risques

  • Dependence on Medicare and Medicaid rules and rates — The company discloses that reductions in reimbursement rates, changes to payment models, spending requirements, data reporting and quality measurement under Medicare and Medicaid could materially hurt revenue and results. Government programs are the dominant payor, annual inflation adjustments may not continue or may not cover actual cost increases, and several states require a set portion of Medicaid revenue to be spent directly on care.
  • Geographic concentration in a few states — The filing flags that a majority of revenue comes from operations in a small number of states — notably Arizona, California and Texas — so an economic downturn, a state budget or regulatory change, or a natural event in those areas would hit results disproportionately. State Medicaid budgets move independently of one another, and the company notes very different conditions across its states.
  • Availability and cost of clinical staff — Ensign discloses that it competes for nurses, therapists and facility leaders in a tight labour market, and that wage pressure, turnover and minimum-staffing requirements can raise costs faster than reimbursement rises. Since rates are largely administered, higher labour cost per patient day cannot simply be passed on to the payor.
  • Professional liability and malpractice litigation — The company discloses exposure to general and professional liability claims typical of long-term care, with significant self-insured retentions and claims-made coverage limits, and notes that California has raised the cap on non-economic damages in medical malpractice suits. Adverse claims experience can raise both settlement costs and future insurance premiums.
  • Execution risk in acquisitions — Growth depends on finding, acquiring and integrating operations, often troubled ones. The filing warns that suitable targets may not be available, that acquired facilities may not reach expected performance, that integration stretches management capacity, and that state approval processes — California's OHCA review is cited — can delay or block transactions.
  • Licensure, surveys and quality ratings — Facilities must keep state licences and Medicare/Medicaid certification and are subject to recurring surveys; sanctions can include fines, admission bans or loss of certification at a given facility. The company also notes that the CMS Five-Star rating system and changing quality measures affect both referrals and reimbursement.

Concentration des clients

Les principaux clients représentent 69.5% du chiffre d'affaires

There is no large commercial customer: patients are individuals, but the money comes from a handful of payors. In fiscal 2025 Medicaid and Medicare together accounted for 69.5% of service revenue, with managed-care plans and private payors making up the rest. The concentration that matters is therefore political and administrative — a single federal or state decision moves a large slice of revenue at once — rather than the loss of a contract.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that the demographics are unarguable — the population needing post-acute and long-term care keeps growing while few new beds are built — and that Ensign has a repeatable machine for turning acquired facilities around: consolidated revenue grew 18.7% in fiscal 2025 to $5.06 billion, with occupancy at same-facility level averaging 82.9% and still rising. They point to the decentralised model, which lets each facility leader respond to a local market, to a long runway of small, family-owned operators available to acquire, and to Standard Bearer's owned real estate as both a source of rent and collateral for further deals.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that almost 70% of revenue depends on government programs whose rates are decided elsewhere: a federal payment-model change or a state Medicaid squeeze can compress margins with no commercial remedy, and the company itself lists this first among its risks. They also point to labour — wage inflation and staffing requirements raise cost per patient day faster than administered rates rise — to the litigation exposure inherent in long-term care, with large self-insured retentions and a higher damages cap in California, and to the fact that growth leans on a steady flow of acquisitions, each of which has to be integrated and turned around before it earns anything.

Generated on 18 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 18 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

PACS Group, Inc.PACS

PACS runs the second-largest US skilled nursing platform, over 300 post-acute facilities across many of the same Western and Midwestern states, competing for the same Medicare and Medicaid post-acute patients and the same hospital discharge referrals as Ensign.

Life Care Centers of America, Inc.Not tracked

Privately held Tennessee operator of roughly 200 skilled nursing centers and 40 assisted living communities, the third-largest US nursing home chain by patient revenue and a direct rival for post-acute admissions in overlapping states.

National HealthCare CorporationNHC

The other listed pure-play US skilled nursing operator, with about 80 nursing centers plus assisted living, home care and hospice, serving the same elderly post-acute and long-stay residents in the Southeast.

Genesis HealthCare, Inc.Not tracked

Delisted since 2021 and in Chapter 11 since July 2025, Genesis still operates roughly 175-200 skilled nursing and senior living centers in 18 states, bidding for the same post-acute patients and the same facility acquisitions.

Marquis Health Consulting Services (Marquis Health Services)Not tracked

Privately held regional skilled nursing group among the five largest US operators by patient revenue, growing through the same strategy of acquiring and turning around underperforming nursing facilities.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$5.46B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$379M

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

-

Capitaux propres totaux

$2.23B

Passif total

$3.23B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.21

Couverture des intérêts

59.99

Dette/EBITDA

4.25

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Cas généralJustement valorisé

Juste valeur

$154.72

Prix actuel

$172.00

Marge de sécurité

-11.2%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$100.57 - $208.88

Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.

Méthodes d'estimation

Objectif de cours des analystes:$220.00
Flux de trésorerie actualisés (DCF):$93.57
Multiple de résultat (P/E):$137.70
Formule de croissance de Graham:$207.27
Valeur de la capacité bénéficiaire (EPV):$75.64
P/B justifié:$114.51
Actualisation des dividendes (Gordon):$6.17
P/FFO, les fonds provenant de l'exploitation:$123.07
Bénéfices de milieu de cycle:$155.85
Multiple sur le chiffre d'affaires:$363.42
Consensus des analystes:Achat fort (10B / 2H / 0S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+2.16%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

26.96

ROE

15.4%

Ratio P/B

4.11

P/FCF

-

Marge brute

20.3%

ROIC

7.6%

Radar de rentabilité

Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)

ROIC

7.6%

WACC

6.8%

ROIC − WACC

+0.8 pp

Le ROIC est à peu près aligné sur le coût du capital — l'entreprise couvre à peine son coût du capital.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 8.64%
  • Price CAGR 23.79%
  • ROIC 7.6%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 8.6%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 16.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 16.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 83% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.93
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.61
  • Share Dilution 1.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Échoué (6)

  • Gross Margin 20.3%
  • P/B Ratio 4.11
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.7%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.9% vs 7.0%

Indisponible (4)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity

Score F de Piotroski

5/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

1.61

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

1.2%

Le nombre d'actions est stable

Participations institutionnelles

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Barry R. PortCEO & Chairman of the Board51
Mr. Spencer W. BurtonPresident & COO46
Ms. Suzanne D. Snapper CPACFO, Executive VP & Director51
Mr. Chad A. Keetch J.D.Chief Investment Officer, Executive VP & Secretary47
Ms. Beverly B. WittekindExecutive VP & General Counsel60
Kevin ReesePresident of Keystone Healthcare Inc-

Risque d'audit

7

Risque du conseil

5

Risque de rémunération

7

Risque droits des actionnaires

2

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Documents

  • Rapport annuel (10-K)

    Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.

    Déposé le 2026-02-04

    Voir le document
  • Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)

    Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.

    Déposé le 2026-07-27

    Voir le document
  • Rapport d'événement important (8-K)

    Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.

    Déposé le 2026-08-25

    Voir le document

via SEC EDGAR

Historique des résultats

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for ENSG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for ENSG.