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ICON plc (ICLR)

Surévalué
HealthcareDiagnostics & ResearchIreland

Fondamental

50

Prix

$161.70

Capitalisation boursière

$13.42B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

ICON is a contract research organization: pharmaceutical, biotech and medical device companies hire it to run their clinical trials instead of building the capability in-house. ICON recruits patients, manages trial sites in dozens of countries, collects and analyzes the data, and prepares the regulatory submissions that get a drug approved. It does not develop or own any drugs itself — its business is running other companies' research, under contracts that can span years and multiple trial phases.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Contracts are typically fixed-price or unit-based, spanning the multi-year life of a clinical trial, and revenue is recognized as work is performed rather than at signing. A large share of new business comes from ICON's existing large pharmaceutical clients rather than new logos, so revenue depends heavily on how much those clients keep spending on drug development and how many of their trials get cancelled partway through — a 2025 accounting investigation found the company had been recognizing some of that revenue too early.

Avantage concurrentiel

Coûts de changement · Étroit

Once a clinical trial is underway, switching to a different CRO mid-study is expensive and risky: it means re-training investigators, migrating patient data and potentially triggering new regulatory scrutiny. That keeps ICON's existing contracts sticky, but it does little to help win the next trial, where price and track record matter more and competition is intense.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Modérément cyclique

Demand follows how much biopharma companies spend on developing new drugs, which is funded partly by cash-rich large pharma budgets and partly by biotech financing that dries up when capital markets turn cautious. Multi-year contract backlog smooths some of that swing, but trial delays and cancellations show up quickly when sponsors tighten spending.

Principaux risques

  • Accounting restatement and internal control weakness — ICON restated 2023 and 2024 results after an internal investigation found revenue had been overstated, and management concluded its internal controls over financial reporting were not effective as of the end of 2025.
  • Client and industry concentration — Revenue depends on a relatively small number of large pharmaceutical clients whose merger, consolidation or budget cuts would remove a meaningful share of ICON's business at once.
  • Trial delays and cancellations — Clients can pause, shrink or cancel a clinical trial for reasons unrelated to ICON's performance — a failed earlier-phase result, a strategic pivot, or a funding shortfall — and ICON loses the remaining contract value.
  • Competitive, price-sensitive market — The CRO industry includes several large global competitors and many smaller specialized ones, and sponsors routinely negotiate on price, putting pressure on margins for large multi-year programs.

Concentration des clients

Les principaux clients représentent 25% du chiffre d'affaires

No single client exceeded 10% of 2024 revenue, but the top five combined accounted for about 25%. Losing or shrinking a relationship with any of them would be felt company-wide.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that outsourced clinical research keeps growing structurally as biopharma R&D gets more complex, that ICON's scale and global site network are hard for smaller CROs to match, and that the accounting issue is a one-time governance failure rather than a sign of a broken business.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that the restatement signals deeper cultural or control problems, that client concentration and trial cancellations make revenue less predictable than the multi-year contract backlog suggests, and that price competition in a crowded CRO market limits how much of that growth reaches the bottom line.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

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Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$8.37B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$-217M

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$623M

Capitaux propres totaux

$9.38B

Passif total

$3.53B

Ratio de liquidité général

0.95

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

6.74

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Cas généralSurévalué

Juste valeur

$109.71

Prix actuel

$161.70

Marge de sécurité

-47.4%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$71.31 - $148.11

Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.

Méthodes d'estimation

Objectif de cours des analystes:$185.25
Flux de trésorerie actualisés (DCF):$91.62
Multiple de résultat (P/E):$9.49
Formule de croissance de Graham:$4.86
Valeur de la capacité bénéficiaire (EPV):$29.46
P/B justifié:Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Actualisation des dividendes (Gordon):Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
P/FFO, les fonds provenant de l'exploitation:Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Bénéfices de milieu de cycle:Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Multiple sur le chiffre d'affaires:$422.56
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (16B / 7H / 1S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-0.20%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

248.43

ROE

0.3%

Ratio P/B

1.43

P/FCF

21.55

Marge brute

23.9%

ROIC

4.8%

Radar de rentabilité

Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

8.9%

ROIC − WACC

-4.1 pp

Le ROIC est inférieur au coût du capital — l'entreprise détruit de la valeur pour chaque dollar investi.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (9)

  • Price CAGR 8.10%
  • P/FCF 21.55
  • P/B Ratio 1.43
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 24.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 4.85

Échoué (9)

  • ROIC 4.8%
  • Gross Margin 23.9%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 0.8%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -5.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.8% vs 9.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponible (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

2/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

4.85

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Participations institutionnelles

Aucune déclaration institutionnelle pour cette entreprise.

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Barry BalfeCEO & Director46
Dr. John Climax Ph.D.Founder & Independent Non-Executive Director72
Mr. Nigel Clerkin A.C.A.Chief Financial Officer51
Mr. Steve EmpolitiChief Commercial Officer-
Lyons EmerChief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Thomas N. O'LearyChief Information Officer-
Mr. Diarmaid CunninghamChief Administrative Officer, General Counsel & Company Secretary50
Ms. Niamh MurphyDirector of Corporate Communications-
Mr. David GreenVice President of Marketing-
Mr. Joe CroninChief Human Resources Officer-

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

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