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The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC)

Sous-évalué
Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsUnited States

Fondamental

53

Prix

$22.45

Capitalisation boursière

$28.29B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Kraft Heinz makes and sells packaged food and drinks under brands including Heinz, Kraft, Oscar Mayer, Philadelphia and Planters — ketchup and other condiments, macaroni and cheese, packaged meats, coffee and more. It sells almost entirely through third parties: supermarkets, mass retailers, club stores, drugstores and foodservice distributors that serve restaurants, rather than directly to households. North America is by far its largest market, with a smaller international business spanning Europe, Latin America and other regions.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Revenue comes from selling branded packaged food to retailers and foodservice operators, who mark it up and resell it to consumers. A relatively small number of very large retail chains account for a large share of sales, giving them real leverage to negotiate price and shelf space, while Kraft Heinz's own leverage rests on brand names consumers specifically look for, such as Heinz Ketchup, that retailers feel they must stock.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

North America74.52%

Branded packaged food and beverages sold to US and Canadian retailers, club stores and foodservice operators — the company's largest and most mature market.

International Developed Markets14.19%

Sales across Western Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand and Japan, where Heinz condiments are typically the strongest brand.

Emerging Markets11.3%

Sales across Latin America, Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa and parts of Asia — smaller today but generally growing faster than the other two regions.

Avantage concurrentiel

Marque · Étroit

Heinz Ketchup, Kraft cheese and other brands built over a century of advertising and habit still make consumers ask for them by name and give Kraft Heinz leverage in getting shelf space. That advantage has narrowed, though: private-label alternatives have improved in quality and price, and North American volumes have been declining as shoppers trade down, so the brand edge no longer guarantees growth.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Défensif

People keep buying condiments, packaged cheese and coffee regardless of the economic cycle, which is why packaged food is considered a defensive business. But within that stability, Kraft Heinz's North American volumes fell as shoppers traded down to cheaper private-label alternatives, showing that 'defensive' protects the category more than it protects any one company's brand or market share within it.

Principaux risques

  • Reliance on a few very large retail customers — A handful of large mass-market and club-store chains account for a substantial share of sales, giving them significant leverage over pricing, promotions and shelf placement.
  • Private-label and value competition — Store-brand alternatives have narrowed the price and quality gap with Kraft Heinz products, and North American volumes have already declined as shoppers traded down.
  • Commodity cost volatility — Meat, dairy, grains and packaging material costs fluctuate with global commodity markets, and Kraft Heinz cannot always pass higher input costs on to retailers through price increases.
  • Shifting consumer preferences — Demand is gradually shifting toward fresher, less processed food, which pressures some legacy packaged-food categories that make up a large part of Kraft Heinz's portfolio.
  • Brand and goodwill impairment risk — Many Kraft Heinz brands are carried on the balance sheet at values set when they were acquired; if a brand underperforms for long enough, the company can be forced to write down its value.

Concentration des clients

Kraft Heinz does not break out individual retailer names in the results reviewed here, but a small number of very large mass-market and club-store chains account for a substantial share of North American sales.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that Kraft Heinz's iconic, decades-old brands still command shelf space and pricing power that smaller and private-label rivals cannot easily replicate, and that cost discipline can offset near-term volume softness while the portfolio is reshaped.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that shrinking North American volumes, a handful of powerful retail customers, and consumers steadily trading down to private label point to structural decline that brand strength alone is no longer enough to reverse.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 19 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: —Score: 50Market cap: $17.97B

General Mills competes for the same center-of-store grocery budget in the United States with packaged meals, soups, yogurt and snacks sold through the same retailers.

P/E: 14.9Score: 56Market cap: $5.92B

Campbell's overlaps with Kraft Heinz in soups, pasta sauces and shelf-stable meals in North America, where the two brands sit side by side on the same shelf.

P/E: 7.3Score: 65Market cap: —

McCormick competes head-on in condiments, seasonings and sauces — with French's mustard and Frank's RedHot against Heinz mustard and sauces — in both retail and foodservice channels.

Unilever PLCULVR

Unilever's Hellmann's and Knorr fight Heinz brand for brand for the same condiments, sauces and bouillon shelf space in supermarkets worldwide, the category that generates most of Kraft Heinz's sales.

Nestlé S.A.NESN

Nestlé sells seasonings and sauces under Maggi, plus ready meals, coffee and cheese products, to the same grocery shoppers and the same retail chains Kraft Heinz depends on, especially in emerging markets.

Conagra Brands, Inc.CAG

Conagra competes directly in North American shelf-stable and frozen ready meals, snacks and condiments, the aisles where Kraft Heinz brands such as Kraft Mac & Cheese and Ore-Ida sit.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$24.90B

12 derniers mois (au 27/06/2026)

Résultat net

$-3.40B

12 derniers mois (au 27/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$3.66B

Capitaux propres totaux

$41.66B

Passif total

$40.00B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.06

Couverture des intérêts

4.65

Dette/EBITDA

-

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Cas généralSous-évalué

Juste valeur

$53.80

Prix actuel

$22.45

Marge de sécurité

+58.3%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$34.97 - $72.63

Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.

Méthodes d'estimation

Objectif de cours des analystes:$25.47
Flux de trésorerie actualisés (DCF):$96.29
Multiple de résultat (P/E):Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Formule de croissance de Graham:Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Valeur de la capacité bénéficiaire (EPV):Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
P/B justifié:Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Actualisation des dividendes (Gordon):$19.94
P/FFO, les fonds provenant de l'exploitation:Données insuffisantes pour le calculer
Bénéfices de milieu de cycle:$47.62
Multiple sur le chiffre d'affaires:$24.41
Consensus des analystes:Conserver (2B / 17H / 9S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+4.79%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

-

ROE

-14.0%

Ratio P/B

0.74

P/FCF

6.98

Marge brute

33.4%

ROIC

-3.9%

Radar de rentabilité

Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)

ROIC

-3.9%

WACC

6.4%

ROIC − WACC

-10.3 pp

Le ROIC est inférieur au coût du capital — l'entreprise détruit de la valeur pour chaque dollar investi.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (13)

  • Gross Margin 33.4%
  • P/FCF 6.98
  • P/B Ratio 0.74
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 8.0%
  • Share Dilution -2.3%
  • Net Margin Trend -13.6% vs -20.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Échoué (9)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR -12.19%
  • ROIC -3.9%
  • Operating Margin -12.8%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE -8.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -1.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 7% Buy

Indisponible (5)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Score F de Piotroski

5/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

-

Qualité faible : examiner la comptabilité

Dilution du capital

-2.3%

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Participations institutionnelles

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Andre MacielExecutive VP & Global CFO50
Ms. Angel Shelton Willis J.D.Executive VP, Global General Counsel & Corporate Affairs Officer54
Mr. Cory OnellAdvisor51
Mr. Steven A. CahillaneCEO & Director60
Mr. Chris AsherVP, Global Controller & Principal Accounting Officer44
Ms. Anne-Marie MegelaVP & Global Head of Investor Relations-
Rodolfo M. CamachoGlobal Chief People Officer36
Mr. Eduardo Machado de Carvalho PelleissoneExecutive Vice President of Operations51
Mr. Jan KruiseUK & Ireland Managing Director-
Mr. Flavio Barros TorresExecutive VP & Global Supply Chain Officer56

Risque d'audit

5

Risque du conseil

2

Risque de rémunération

6

Risque droits des actionnaires

3

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Documents

  • Rapport annuel (10-K)

    Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.

    Déposé le 2026-02-12

    Voir le document
  • Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)

    Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.

    Déposé le 2026-08-05

    Voir le document
  • Rapport d'événement important (8-K)

    Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.

    Déposé le 2026-08-26

    Voir le document

via SEC EDGAR

Historique des résultats

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for KHC, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/7/2026NEUTRAL
    Kraft Heinz Joins Reverse Yankee Boom to Fund Debt Buyback

    Kraft Heinz Foods Co is issuing euro-denominated debt in Europe, marking its first foray into this market in over a year. The proceeds are earmarked for repurchasing outstanding dollar-denominated notes. This move aims to optimize the company's capital structure and manage its debt obligations more efficiently. While this is a standard corporate finance activity, investors will monitor the terms of the new debt issuance and the success of the buyback in potentially reducing interest expenses and improving the company's leverage profile.

  • 5/6/2026NEUTRAL
    'The Consumer Can Only Absorb So Much': Kraft Heinz Gets Real About Inflation

    Kraft Heinz reported Q1 earnings that surpassed analyst expectations, though the company cautioned that consumers are nearing their limit for absorbing further price increases due to persistent inflation. Despite this consumer sentiment warning, the company maintained its 2026 financial outlook. This mixed message suggests that while current performance is robust, future growth may face headwinds from price sensitivity. Investors will monitor consumer spending trends and Kraft Heinz's ability to innovate or manage costs to sustain profitability.

  • 3/5/2026NEUTRAL
    Berkshire Has No Plans for Kraft Heinz Stake With Split Halted

    Berkshire Hathaway, led by CEO Greg Abel, stated it has no immediate plans to alter its stake in Kraft Heinz Co. This follows the food company's decision to pause its plans to split into two separate entities. The news is neutral for investors as it indicates neither an increased nor decreased interest from Berkshire in KHC, but rather an operational standstill pending future developments. The absence of strategic moves from such a significant investor suggests caution, but not necessarily a deterioration of the stock's intrinsic value.

via Markets Gazette