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Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR)

Juste valeur
Consumer DefensiveEducation & Training ServicesUnited States

Fondamental

71

Prix

$39.14

Capitalisation boursière

$5.26B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Laureate Education owns and operates private, degree-granting higher education institutions in just two countries, Mexico and Peru. As of 31 December 2025 it served roughly 497,700 students across five institutions and more than 50 campuses: Universidad del Valle de México (UVM) and Universidad Tecnológica de México (UNITEC) in Mexico, and Universidad Peruana de Ciencias Aplicadas (UPC), Universidad Privada del Norte (UPN) and the technical institute CIBERTEC in Peru. The institutions teach undergraduate, graduate and vocational programmes on campus, online and in hybrid format, with enrolment concentrated in medicine and health sciences, engineering and IT, and business and management. The group is what is left after years of divestitures: the company that once ran a global network of universities now runs two country platforms and nothing else.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Revenue is tuition and related fees paid by students and their families. The 10-K states that all 2025 revenues came from private-pay sources, because there are no material government-sponsored student loan programmes in Mexico or Peru — so the company is not dependent on public funding, but it is directly exposed to household ability to pay. Degree programmes typically run four to five years, so each cohort enrolled generates several years of tuition, which the company describes as giving high revenue visibility. Revenue therefore scales with two levers: the number of students enrolled each intake and the tuition price per student, and it is seasonal because it follows the academic intake calendar.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Mexico51.6%

Two institutions — UVM, positioned as the premium/traditional brand, and UNITEC, the value/teaching brand — with about 269,400 students at year-end 2025. They sell undergraduate and graduate degrees to both school-leavers and working adults, on campus and online. Segment revenue was $877.4 million in 2025.

Peru48.4%

Three institutions — UPC (premium/traditional), UPN (value/teaching) and CIBERTEC (technical and vocational) — with about 228,300 students at year-end 2025, selling degree and technical programmes to traditional and adult students. Segment revenue was $824.4 million in 2025.

Avantage concurrentiel

Marque · Étroit

The company argues that its institutions are among the most respected higher-education brands in their local markets, that its country networks give it scale across curriculum, shared services and technology, and that accreditation and licensing — SUNEDU licences in Peru, REVOE programme recognitions in Mexico — are not quickly replicated, especially for capital-intensive fields such as its medical and dental schools. Those are real barriers, but bounded ones: the 10-K itself describes both markets as highly fragmented with large numbers of local competitors, and says the institutions compete on price, quality, reputation and location against public universities that receive substantial government subsidies and charge less. The advantage is local and defensible rather than wide.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Modérément cyclique

Demand rests on structural forces — a large young population in both countries, limited public university capacity, and the wage premium a degree still carries — which make it steadier than industrial demand. But because every peso and sol of tuition comes out of a household budget rather than a state programme, affordability matters: when family incomes, employment or the currency weaken, prospective students postpone enrolling, trade down to cheaper institutions, or drop out mid-programme, and the multi-year structure means a weak intake keeps weighing on revenue for several years afterwards. Revenue also moves with the academic calendar, which the company notes as seasonality.

Principaux risques

  • Everything depends on two countries — Operations are concentrated entirely in Mexico and Peru, which the company says exposes it to complex business, political, legal, regulatory, tax and economic risks in those jurisdictions, with no geographic diversification to offset a downturn or a policy shift in either one.
  • Enrolments and tuition may not hold up — The company lists among its risks its ability to maintain and then increase tuition rates and student enrolments. Since all revenue is private-pay, a fall in either lever feeds straight into results, and fixed campus costs do not fall with it.
  • Shifting laws and licences — Programmes need official recognition to operate: REVOE authorisations from federal or state education authorities in Mexico, SUNEDU licensing in Peru. The filing states that failure to comply with applicable legal provisions may result in fines, cancellation of the REVOE and closure of the education facilities, and flags uncertain and changing laws and regulations in its markets.
  • Reputation is part of the product — Laureate cites the vulnerability of its brands to negative publicity and social media, and the risk that its reputation is damaged by allegations directed at the for-profit and private education sector generally, even where they do not concern its own institutions.
  • Currency — Revenues and costs are in Mexican pesos and Peruvian soles while the company reports in US dollars; the filing identifies fluctuations in the value of foreign currencies as a risk to its business and results.
  • Competition and the online channel — The higher-education market is described as very competitive and highly fragmented, with many local players and subsidised public institutions. The company separately flags the risks of growing its online academic programmes and its dependence on the effectiveness of marketing and student recruitment.
  • Debt and access to markets — Among its listed risks are those associated with indebtedness and with disruptions to credit and equity markets.

Concentration des clients

There is no customer concentration in the usual sense: revenue comes from roughly 497,700 individual students paying their own tuition, spread across five institutions and more than 50 campuses, and the filing discloses no single customer of any significance. The concentration that does exist is different in kind — two countries, and a handful of brands within them.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that the two markets are structurally short of university places, that private-pay tuition with four- to five-year programmes gives unusually visible, recurring revenue, and that adding students to campuses and online programmes that already exist drops a large share of each extra peso to profit. They point to 2025 revenue of $1.70 billion, up 9% on 2024, with Peru growing 14% and enrolment rising in both countries, and to the fact that no government loan programme can be cut out from under the business. They also note that the group is now a focused two-country operator rather than the sprawling global portfolio it once was, which makes results easier to read and capital easier to return.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear the concentration itself: two emerging markets, five brands, and no third leg to lean on. A recession, a currency slide or a political turn in Mexico or Peru hits revenue in dollars and household ability to pay at the same time, while campus costs stay put. They point to the regulatory dependence the company discloses — programmes operate on REVOE recognitions and SUNEDU licences that authorities can condition, suspend or withdraw — and to a fragmented competitive field where subsidised public universities and low-cost private entrants cap how far tuition can rise. They add that demographic tailwinds eventually fade, that online delivery invites competitors with no campuses to fund, and that reputational damage anywhere in the for-profit education sector can reach institutions that did nothing wrong.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$1.83B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$322M

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$263M

Capitaux propres totaux

$1.19B

Passif total

$1.02B

Ratio de liquidité général

0.71

Couverture des intérêts

35.87

Dette/EBITDA

1.62

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Cas généralJustement valorisé

Juste valeur

$40.08

Prix actuel

$39.14

Marge de sécurité

+2.3%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$34.02 - $46.15

Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.

Méthodes d'estimation

Objectif de cours des analystes:$41.21
Flux de trésorerie actualisés (DCF):$48.92
Multiple de résultat (P/E):$33.96
Formule de croissance de Graham:$35.98
Valeur de la capacité bénéficiaire (EPV):$31.54
P/B justifié:$51.11
Actualisation des dividendes (Gordon):$0.08
P/FFO, les fonds provenant de l'exploitation:$41.36
Bénéfices de milieu de cycle:$17.45
Multiple sur le chiffre d'affaires:$15.49
Consensus des analystes:Achat fort (10B / 2H / 1S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-0.18%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

17.35

ROE

23.7%

Ratio P/B

4.61

P/FCF

18.34

Marge brute

27.3%

ROIC

18.5%

Radar de rentabilité

Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)

ROIC

18.5%

WACC

7.1%

ROIC − WACC

+11.4 pp

Le ROIC dépasse le coût du capital — l'entreprise crée de la valeur pour les actionnaires.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 11.71%
  • ROIC 18.5%
  • P/FCF 18.34
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 24.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 28.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 77% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 16.5%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.27
  • Share Dilution -3.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 17.6% vs 16.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Échoué (7)

  • Gross Margin 27.3%
  • P/B Ratio 4.61
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Indisponible (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Score F de Piotroski

7/9

Santé financière solide

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

1.27

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-3.5%

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Participations institutionnelles

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Eilif Serck-HanssenPresident, CEO & Director59
Mr. Richard M. BuskirkSenior VP & CFO48
Mr. Marcelo Barbalho CardosoExecutive VP & COO53
Ms. Leslie S. BrushSenior VP, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary61
Mr. Gerard M. KnauerVP of Accounting & Global Controller48
Mr. Martin N. FienkengSenior VP, Chief Information Officer & Chief Information Security Officer-
Mr. Adam SmithSenior Vice President of People & Culture-
Mr. Adam MorseSenior VP of Corporate Finance-
Mr. Alejandro GalloChief Executive Officer of Laureate Mexico-
Mr. Alvaro Ramos RamosCEO of Laureate Peru-

Risque d'audit

7

Risque du conseil

6

Risque de rémunération

3

Risque droits des actionnaires

7

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Documents

  • Rapport annuel (10-K)

    Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.

    Déposé le 2026-02-19

    Voir le document
  • Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)

    Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.

    Déposé le 2026-07-30

    Voir le document
  • Rapport d'événement important (8-K)

    Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.

    Déposé le 2026-07-30

    Voir le document

via SEC EDGAR

Historique des résultats

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for LAUR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/13/2026POSITIVE
    Education Stock Up 84% as One Fund Ups Stake to Nearly $6 Million

    Laureate Education Inc. has seen its stock surge by 84%, fueled by a significant investment from an undisclosed fund that has increased its stake to nearly $6 million. Laureate operates a network of universities across Latin America and the U.S., providing both campus-based and online degree programs. This substantial capital injection suggests strong confidence in the company's future growth prospects and operational strategy within the higher education sector. Investors may view this as a positive endorsement, potentially leading to further price appreciation and increased market interest.

via Markets Gazette