MSCI Inc (MSCI)
Juste valeurFondamental
80
Prix
$538.66
Capitalisation boursière
$39.46B
Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise
Vue d'ensemble
MSCI Inc. sells investment decision-support tools to the people who manage money: indexes that portfolios are built on and measured against, risk and performance analytics, sustainability and climate data, and data on private markets. It does not manage money itself and takes no market risk on client portfolios — it licenses data, models and index names. As of December 31, 2025 it served approximately 6,800 clients in more than 100 countries, mostly asset managers, asset owners, banks, hedge funds and wealth managers.
Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent
Clients pay mainly through recurring fee arrangements, of two kinds. The first is annual subscriptions: a client pays to use a data set, a model or an analytics platform for a year, and renews. The second is asset-based fees: when an ETF or a fund tracks an MSCI index, MSCI is paid a fraction of the assets in that product, so the fee rises and falls with the fund's size and with markets. Asset-based fees accounted for 43.1% of Index segment revenues in fiscal 2025. A small remainder is non-recurring — one-off licences and implementation work.
Chiffre d'affaires par segment
Licenses MSCI's equity, fixed income and private-asset indexes, plus the GICS classification. Clients use them as benchmarks, as the basis for ETFs and index funds, and for portfolio construction and custom index work.
Risk models and portfolio analytics — the Barra factor models, RiskMetrics and the BarraOne platform. Sold to risk managers and portfolio managers for stress testing, performance attribution and regulatory reporting.
ESG ratings, business-involvement screening, climate metrics and geospatial tools, sold to investors who need to assess sustainability and climate exposure or to meet disclosure rules.
Transaction data, benchmarks and portfolio analytics for private equity, private credit, real estate and infrastructure, including Real Capital Analytics and the private-capital portfolio tools.
Avantage concurrentiel
Brevets et licences · LargeMSCI's indexes have become the reference point that funds are built on and judged against, and that position is hard to attack. A fund that tracks an MSCI index cannot change provider without changing its own name, its prospectus and its performance history, and an institution that runs its risk on Barra models has years of history calibrated to them. The underlying assets are intangible — proprietary index methodologies, the GICS classification, decades of model research — and they cost little to reproduce for each new client, which is why the subscription base renews year after year. The filing does not quantify the durability of this advantage; it is an inference from the nature of the business as described.
Ce qui stimule la demande
Modérément cycliqueDemand has two halves that behave differently. The subscription half is sticky: a risk system or a benchmark licence is an operating necessity, budgeted every year, and it does not disappear in a bad quarter — though in a prolonged downturn clients consolidate, merge and cut, which shows up as cancellations rather than as a sudden drop. The asset-based half moves directly with markets: when equity indexes fall, the assets in the ETFs that track MSCI indexes fall with them and the fee falls in the same proportion, with no lag and no contract to soften it. That is why the company warns that variable fees fluctuate with market levels and client activity.
Principaux risques
- Pressure on asset-based fees and on index-linked products — The company discloses that clients may negotiate lower asset-based fees or stop offering products based on its indexes, and that variable fees move with market levels and client activity. That part of revenue is not under MSCI's control.
- Client cancellations and weaker demand — Cancellations, downgrades of existing subscriptions, or financial pressure on clients — consolidation in asset management, fee compression at the client level — can reduce recurring revenue.
- Errors in data, models and products — Products may contain undetected errors, defects or malfunctions. Because indexes and risk models are used to run other people's money, an error carries both liability and reputational cost.
- Dependence on third-party data vendors — MSCI relies on outside suppliers for data, applications, services and distribution. A vendor can cancel, dispute terms, or sign exclusively with a competitor.
- Technology failures, cyber-attacks and data confidentiality — Interruptions or vulnerabilities in IT systems, security incidents and breaches, failure to protect data privacy, and vulnerabilities introduced through open source code are all disclosed as risks.
- Artificial intelligence — The company discloses that developing and deploying AI exposes it to reputational harm, competitive disadvantage if it moves too slowly, regulatory scrutiny and legal liability.
- Market conditions and shifts in investment trends — Economic downturns, geopolitical events, equity market volatility and changing investment preferences affect both client budgets and the assets on which variable fees are earned.
- Regulation and protection of intellectual property — Failure to comply with laws across many jurisdictions, changes in regulation — including of index providers and of sustainability disclosure — and the inability to protect intellectual property rights are disclosed risks.
- Debt, currency and tax exposure — Indebtedness may constrain cash flow and flexibility and a credit rating change would matter; revenues and costs in many currencies expose the company to exchange rate moves; tax liabilities arise across multiple jurisdictions.
- Retaining people — The company discloses that it may be unable to attract, develop or retain the employees on whom its research and products depend.
Concentration des clients
Les principaux clients représentent 10.8% du chiffre d'affaires
For fiscal 2025 the largest client organization by revenue, BlackRock, accounted for 10.8% of consolidated operating revenues. 96.5% of what BlackRock paid came from fees based on assets in BlackRock ETFs and non-ETF products built on MSCI indexes — so the relationship is really an exposure to the size of iShares products, not to a negotiated contract renewal. The filing does not disclose a combined share for the next largest clients.
Les arguments en faveur
Buyers argue that MSCI sits at a toll booth on passive investing: money moving into index funds mechanically increases the assets on which its variable fees are earned, without MSCI adding headcount. They point to the recurring nature of the subscription base across four businesses, to the cost of switching away from an established benchmark or a calibrated risk model, and to the fact that the newer businesses — sustainability and climate, and private assets — are being sold into the same 6,800 client relationships the company already has, so distribution is already paid for.
Les arguments contre
Sellers fear that the same toll booth works in reverse: a large share of Index revenue is asset-based, and a falling market cuts it immediately with nothing to renegotiate. They point to the disclosed risk that clients push for lower asset-based fees or drop index-linked products, to the concentration of the largest relationship at 10.8% of revenue and almost entirely tied to one family of ETFs, to competition from other index and analytics providers, and to the sustainability business being exposed to shifting regulation and shifting political appetite for ESG rather than to a stable operating need.
Generated on 19 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 19 septembre 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Through its S&P Dow Jones Indices joint venture and its Market Intelligence and sustainability data businesses, S&P Global competes with MSCI for the index licences that ETFs and funds pay for and for the same institutional data subscriptions.
FactSet competes for the same analytics and portfolio-data subscription budgets at institutional investors, and the two companies name each other as competitors in their annual reports.
Beyond running an exchange, Nasdaq licenses its own index families to ETF issuers, bidding for the same product-linked licence fees that generate most of MSCI's index revenue.
Morningstar owns Sustainalytics and its own index business, selling ESG ratings and benchmarks to the same asset managers that buy MSCI's sustainability and climate data.
LSEG owns FTSE Russell, the benchmark family that competes head-to-head with MSCI's global and emerging-market indices, and its data business also sells the sustainability research MSCI sells.
Bloomberg sells its own index families, portfolio risk and analytics tools and ESG data to the same asset managers and banks, and MSCI names it as a competitor in all three of those lines.
Bilan & Liquidités
Chiffre d'affaires
$3.33B
12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)
Résultat net
$1.36B
12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)
Flux de trésorerie libre
$1.55B
Capitaux propres totaux
$-2.65B
Passif total
$8.36B
Ratio de liquidité général
0.89
Couverture des intérêts
7.21
Dette/EBITDA
3.77
Bénéfice par action
Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net
Flux de trésorerie libre
Décomposition du résultat
État historique
Marges dans le temps
La dette dans le temps
Le poids de la dette
Grille de la croissance
Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires
Estimation de la juste valeur
Juste valeur
$552.68
Prix actuel
$538.66
Marge de sécurité
+2.5%
Fourchette de juste valeur
$405.08 - $700.28
Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.
Méthodes d'estimation
Indicateurs de valorisation
Ratio P/E
29.47
ROE
-45.3%
Ratio P/B
-
P/FCF
24.51
Marge brute
-
ROIC
36.7%
Radar de rentabilité
Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)
ROIC
36.7%
WACC
10.1%
ROIC − WACC
+26.6 pp
Le ROIC dépasse le coût du capital — l'entreprise crée de la valeur pour les actionnaires.
Critères d'analyse fondamentale
Réussi (20)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 20.49%
- Price CAGR 21.55%
- ROIC 36.7%
- P/FCF 24.51
- Operating Margin 55.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 108.7%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 13.1%
- Analyst Consensus 81% Buy
- PEG Ratio 1.70
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.20
- Share Dilution -2.9%
- Net Margin Trend 40.7% vs 39.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Échoué (3)
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -0.3%
Indisponible (5)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- P/B Ratio NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Price below Graham Number
Score F de Piotroski
Santé financière solide
Qualité des bénéfices
Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie
Dilution du capital
Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires
Participations institutionnelles
Gouvernance
Équipe dirigeante
| Nom | Titre | Âge |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Henry A. Fernandez | Chairman, CEO & President | 67 |
| Mr. Andrew Craig Wiechmann | CFO & Interim Principal Accounting Officer | 45 |
| Mr. Scott A. Crum | Chief Human Resources Officer | 68 |
| Mr. C.D. Baer Pettit | Advisor | 60 |
| Mr. Alvise J. Munari | Head of Client Segments & Chief Product Officer | - |
| Mr. Jorge Mina | COO, Chief Transformation Officer & Head of Analytics | 50 |
| Mr. Kashi Kakarla | CTO & Head of Product Engineering | - |
| Mr. Jeremy Harris Ulan | Head of Investor Relations & Treasurer | - |
| Mr. Robert J Gutowski J.D. | General Counsel and Head of Corporate Affairs | 56 |
| Ms. Cristina Bondolowski | Chief Marketing & Communications Officer | - |
Risque d'audit
1
Risque du conseil
5
Risque de rémunération
7
Risque droits des actionnaires
7
Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer
Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.
Documents
- Voir le document
Rapport annuel (10-K)
Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.
Déposé le 2026-02-06
- Voir le document
Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)
Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.
Déposé le 2026-07-21
- Voir le document
Rapport d'événement important (8-K)
Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.
Déposé le 2026-08-07
via SEC EDGAR
Historique des résultats
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for MSCI, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6/4/2026POSITIVEHere's How Much You Would Have Made Owning MSCI Stock In The Last 10 Years
MSCI Inc. has delivered substantial returns for its shareholders over the past decade, with an ownership stake yielding significant gains. While specific figures are not detailed in this summary, the article implies a strong historical performance, likely driven by the company's role in providing crucial data, analytics, and indices for the global financial markets. Investors who held MSCI stock would have benefited from the company's consistent growth and its integral position within the investment ecosystem, underscoring its value as a long-term holding.
- 2/9/2026POSITIVEProfit from MSCI – the backbone of finance
MSCI, a key index provider in the global financial system, is deemed undervalued ("cheap"). This suggests its shares may have significant growth potential, making it an attractive investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to financial services and index provision.
via Markets Gazette