PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)
Sous-évaluéFondamental
82
Prix
$53.19
Capitalisation boursière
$45.34B
Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise
Vue d'ensemble
PayPal lets people and businesses send and accept money online without sharing bank details, through the PayPal wallet, Venmo for peer-to-peer transfers, and Braintree, which lets merchants build PayPal's checkout directly into their own apps and websites. It sits between a buyer's bank or card and a merchant, verifying identity and guaranteeing the payment goes through, which is why merchants pay to use it even though direct card processing can be cheaper.
Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent
Transaction revenue, the large majority of the total, is a fee charged as a percentage of each payment processed, plus fixed amounts for currency conversion and cross-border transfers, so it scales directly with the dollar value flowing through PayPal's network. The rest, revenue from other value-added services, comes from interest on loans PayPal extends to consumers and merchants, interest earned on customer balances held with PayPal, and referral or subscription fees — income that does not require a transaction to occur.
Chiffre d'affaires par segment
Fees earned as a percentage of payment volume processed through PayPal, Venmo and Braintree, plus currency conversion and cross-border charges.
Interest on consumer and merchant credit products, interest on customer balances, and partnership, subscription and referral fees not tied to a transaction.
Avantage concurrentiel
Effets de réseau · ÉtroitPayPal benefits from a two-sided network: more merchants who accept it make it more useful for consumers, and more consumers who use it make it more valuable for merchants to offer. But that effect has weakened as card networks, Apple Pay and dedicated checkout providers like Stripe have become just as widely accepted, eroding PayPal's early advantage.
Ce qui stimule la demande
Modérément cycliqueTransaction revenue tracks the overall volume of e-commerce and digital payments, which has grown steadily but is still tied to consumer spending and can slow when shoppers pull back in a weaker economy. Interest income on loans and customer balances adds a second, rate-sensitive driver that moves with monetary policy rather than with commerce itself.
Principaux risques
- Intensifying payments competition — Apple Pay, Google Pay, card-network wallets and checkout specialists like Stripe and Adyen all compete for the same merchant and consumer transactions, pressuring PayPal's take rate and market share.
- Sensitivity to interest rates — A meaningful part of other value-added services revenue comes from interest income, so lower rates directly reduce this part of revenue independent of how much payment volume PayPal processes.
- Regulatory exposure across many jurisdictions — PayPal operates as a money transmitter and lender across dozens of countries, each with its own consumer-protection, anti-money-laundering and payments regulation that can change and raise compliance costs.
- Credit risk on consumer and merchant lending — PayPal extends credit directly to consumers and merchants through products like Buy Now Pay Later and working-capital loans, exposing it to losses if borrowers do not repay.
Les arguments en faveur
Buyers argue that PayPal's wallet, Venmo and Braintree together still process an enormous and growing volume of e-commerce, that a large base of stored customer balances and credit products gives it a second revenue stream beyond simple payment fees, and that recent efforts to modernize checkout can defend its take rate against newer competitors.
Les arguments contre
Sellers fear that checkout has become commoditized, with Apple Pay and card-network wallets now just as convenient as the PayPal button that built the company, that Venmo and Braintree still monetize below the core PayPal brand's rate, and that interest income leaves a chunk of revenue exposed to rate cuts outside management's control.
Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
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Bilan & Liquidités
Chiffre d'affaires
$33.73B
12 derniers mois (au 31/03/2026)
Résultat net
$5.06B
12 derniers mois (au 31/03/2026)
Flux de trésorerie libre
$5.56B
Capitaux propres totaux
$20.26B
Passif total
$59.92B
Ratio de liquidité général
1.26
Couverture des intérêts
13.41
Dette/EBITDA
1.43
Bénéfice par action
Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net
Flux de trésorerie libre
Décomposition du résultat
État historique
Marges dans le temps
La dette dans le temps
Le poids de la dette
Grille de la croissance
Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires
Estimation de la juste valeur
Juste valeur
$73.53
Prix actuel
$53.19
Marge de sécurité
+27.7%
Fourchette de juste valeur
$47.80 - $99.27
Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.
Méthodes d'estimation
Indicateurs de valorisation
Ratio P/E
9.86
ROE
25.8%
Ratio P/B
2.31
P/FCF
8.42
Marge brute
-
ROIC
14.5%
Radar de rentabilité
Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)
ROIC
14.5%
WACC
10.4%
ROIC − WACC
+4.0 pp
Le ROIC dépasse le coût du capital — l'entreprise crée de la valeur pour les actionnaires.
Critères d'analyse fondamentale
Réussi (21)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 17.51%
- ROIC 14.5%
- P/FCF 8.42
- P/B Ratio 2.31
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 17.9%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 24.4%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 9.1%
- Earnings Surprise avg 3.2%
- PEG Ratio 1.03
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.26
- Share Dilution -6.9%
- Net Margin Trend 15.0% vs 14.3%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Échoué (5)
- Price CAGR 2.90%
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- Analyst Consensus 27% Buy
Indisponible (2)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Score F de Piotroski
Santé financière solide
Qualité des bénéfices
Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie
Dilution du capital
Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires
Participations institutionnelles
Gouvernance
Équipe dirigeante
| Nom | Titre | Âge |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Enrique J. Lores | President, CEO & Director | 59 |
| Ms. Jamie S. Miller | Chief Financial & Operating Officer and Executive VP | 56 |
| Mr. Frank Keller | President of Checkout Solutions & PayPal | 51 |
| Ms. Suzan Bulyaba Kereere | President of Global Markets | 59 |
| Mr. Christopher Natali | Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 47 |
| Mr. Srinivasan Venkatesan | Chief Technology Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Steven Eric Winoker | Chief Investor Relations Officer | - |
| Mr. Bimal Patel | Chief Legal Officer | - |
| Ms. Amy Bonitatibus | Chief Corporate Affairs & Communications Officer | - |
| Mr. Antonio J. Lucio | Chief Marketing & Corporate Affairs Officer | 66 |
Risque d'audit
1
Risque du conseil
4
Risque de rémunération
3
Risque droits des actionnaires
6
Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer
Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.
Documents
- Voir le document
Rapport annuel (10-K)
Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.
Déposé le 2026-02-03
- Voir le document
Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)
Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.
Déposé le 2026-07-28
- Voir le document
Rapport d'événement important (8-K)
Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.
Déposé le 2026-07-28
via SEC EDGAR
Historique des résultats
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for PYPL, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 8/28/2026NEGATIVEPayPal’s stock slides as a takeover bid is said to fall through. What’s next for the company?
PayPal's stock experienced a significant decline following reports that a potential takeover bid has failed to materialize. This news removes a key catalyst that had been supporting the stock price in recent months. Investors had been anticipating a potential acquisition as a catalyst for a turnaround, but the failure of this bid leaves PayPal facing the challenge of executing its strategic initiatives independently. The company must now demonstrate its ability to drive growth and improve profitability through its own operational efforts, which introduces a higher degree of uncertainty for shareholders.
- 8/25/2026NEUTRALNasdaq-100® Inside the Index: PayPal Holdings (PYPL)
PayPal Holdings (PYPL), a prominent member of the Nasdaq-100®, is highlighted for its extensive digital payments network spanning over 200 countries. The analysis delves into its dual-sided payment system, the expansion of its Venmo platform, and strategic initiatives in AI-driven commerce, lending, and advertising. These efforts aim to diversify revenue streams beyond conventional payment processing, signaling a focus on innovation and future growth avenues for the company.
- 7/28/2026POSITIVEPayPal delivers an earnings beat — and suggests it’s not against a merger deal
PayPal Holdings Inc. announced an earnings beat, exceeding analyst expectations for the latest fiscal quarter. The company's CEO indicated a willingness to explore strategic alternatives, including potential merger or acquisition discussions, if they present a clear path to superior shareholder value compared to their current strategy. This dual announcement of strong operational performance and openness to significant strategic shifts has generated positive sentiment among investors, suggesting potential upside catalysts for the stock.
- 7/28/2026NEUTRALPayPal expands stablecoin push as crypto assets factor into Q2 results
PayPal reported Q2 revenue of $8.68 billion, meeting analyst expectations. The company highlighted growth in its stablecoin initiatives and the integration of AI-driven payment tools. A notable crypto-related earnings adjustment of $81 million was also disclosed. While the stablecoin expansion signals innovation and potential future revenue streams, the crypto adjustment introduces a degree of uncertainty. Investors will monitor the long-term impact of these digital asset strategies on profitability and overall business performance.
via Markets Gazette