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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)

Sous-évalué
IndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsUnited States

Fondamental

67

Prix

$94.05

Capitalisation boursière

$80.19B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international transportation services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$89.93B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$4.57B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$4.76B

Capitaux propres totaux

$16.23B

Passif total

$56.84B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.18

Couverture des intérêts

6.01

Dette/EBITDA

2.64

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Cas généralSous-évalué

Juste valeur

$258.02

Prix actuel

$94.05

Marge de sécurité

+63.5%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$167.71 - $348.33

Écart entre les méthodes de valorisation utilisées, pas un intervalle de confiance calibré statistiquement.

Méthodes d'estimation

Objectif de cours des analystes:$115.81
Flux de trésorerie actualisés (DCF):$699.00
Multiple de résultat (P/E):$65.85
Formule de croissance de Graham:$276.96
Valeur de la capacité bénéficiaire (EPV):$61.50
P/B justifié:$59.71
Actualisation des dividendes (Gordon):$70.96
P/FFO, les fonds provenant de l'exploitation:$192.11
Bénéfices de milieu de cycle:$286.00
Multiple sur le chiffre d'affaires:$300.53
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (18B / 13H / 4S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+4.86%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

17.37

ROE

34.3%

Ratio P/B

4.43

P/FCF

12.22

Marge brute

-

ROIC

9.2%

Radar de rentabilité

Création de valeur (avantage concurrentiel)

ROIC

9.2%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+1.2 pp

Le ROIC dépasse le coût du capital — l'entreprise crée de la valeur pour les actionnaires.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 17.50%
  • ROIC 9.2%
  • P/FCF 12.22
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.3%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 29.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 51% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 12.1%
  • PEG Ratio 0.52
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.94
  • Share Dilution -0.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Échoué (8)

  • Price CAGR -1.33%
  • P/B Ratio 4.43
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 0.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 5.1% vs 6.3%

Indisponible (2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Score F de Piotroski

5/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

1.94

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-0.8%

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Participations institutionnelles

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Ms. Carol B. TomeCEO & Director68
Mr. Brian DykesChief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President46
Mr. Nando CesaroneExecutive VP & Chief Global Operations Officer53
Mr. Bala SubramanianEVP and Chief Digital & Technology Officer54
Ms. Kathleen M. GutmannStrategic Advisor56
PJ GuidoInvestor Relations Officer-
Mr. Norman M. Brothers Jr.Executive VP, Chief Legal, Compliance Officer & Corporate Secretary57
Mr. Darrell L. FordExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer60
Mr. Ralph OzoudeManaging Director of Nigerian Operations & Special Projects Manager for West Africa-
Mr. Harrison ParkManaging Director of UPS Korea-

Risque d'audit

6

Risque du conseil

8

Risque de rémunération

8

Risque droits des actionnaires

10

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Documents

  • Rapport annuel (10-K)

    Un aperçu annuel de l'activité, des résultats financiers et des risques de l'entreprise.

    Déposé le 2026-02-17

    Voir le document
  • Rapport trimestriel (10-Q)

    Une mise à jour de la performance financière des trois derniers mois.

    Déposé le 2026-08-05

    Voir le document
  • Rapport d'événement important (8-K)

    Un avis concernant un événement important, comme un changement de direction ou une annonce majeure.

    Déposé le 2026-08-31

    Voir le document

via SEC EDGAR

Historique des résultats

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for UPS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/24/2026POSITIVE
    UPS investe oltre 2 miliardi di dollari per servizi più rapidi e supply chain globali più resilienti

    UPS announced an investment exceeding $2 billion aimed at enhancing its International, Healthcare, and Supply Chain Solutions divisions. This strategic capital allocation targets faster service delivery and improved global supply chain resilience. The investment underscores UPS's commitment to modernizing its infrastructure and expanding its premium logistics capabilities. For investors, this move signals a proactive approach to capturing growth in global trade and specialized logistics sectors, potentially leading to increased market share and operational efficiencies.

  • 7/28/2026POSITIVE
    UPS CEO on Return to Growth, Global Economic Outlook

    UPS CEO Carol Tomé expressed optimism for the company's future, driven by a strategic shift away from heavy reliance on Amazon deliveries and significant investments in digital platforms and infrastructure. This restructuring aims to unlock new growth avenues and improve operational efficiency. Investors will be watching for the tangible results of these upgrades and the successful diversification of revenue streams, which could lead to enhanced profitability and a stronger market position.

  • 7/28/2026POSITIVE
    UPS turns the page as job cuts and Amazon ‘glide down’ are completed

    United Parcel Service (UPS) shares surged following the company's announcement of completed job cuts and the conclusion of its 'glide down' phase with Amazon. The logistics giant reported an earnings beat, exceeding analyst expectations, and subsequently raised its full-year outlook. This positive financial performance, coupled with the strategic completion of cost-saving measures and a normalized relationship with a key client, signals a robust recovery and improved operational efficiency. Investors are likely to view these developments favorably, anticipating stronger future profitability and a more stable growth trajectory for UPS.

  • 6/23/2026POSITIVE
    UPS is shelling out nearly $50 million on temperature-controlled facilities to meet the booming demand for GLP-1 deliveries

    United Parcel Service (UPS) is investing approximately $50 million to expand its temperature-controlled logistics capabilities, specifically targeting the burgeoning demand for GLP-1 medications. This strategic move underscores the company's focus on the healthcare sector, which is perceived as resilient against economic downturns. The investment aims to enhance UPS's capacity to handle sensitive pharmaceutical shipments, positioning it to capture a larger share of the growing market for specialized medical logistics. Investors may view this as a positive development, signaling UPS's commitment to high-growth, high-margin segments within its business.

  • 4/29/2026POSITIVE
    FedEx and UPS are pledging to give their tariff refunds back to consumers, and the sum will likely top $5 billion

    UPS CEO Carol Tome announced the company's intention to return tariff refunds to customers, a move expected to exceed $5 billion. This commitment signals a customer-centric strategy, potentially enhancing brand loyalty and market share. For investors, this proactive approach to cost savings suggests strong operational management and a focus on long-term customer relationships, which could translate into sustained revenue growth and a competitive advantage in the logistics sector.

  • 4/28/2026NEUTRAL
    UPS Outlook Unchanged as Sales, Profit Top Expectations

    United Parcel Service Inc. reported first-quarter results that surpassed analyst expectations for both sales and profit. Despite these strong operational figures, the company maintained its full-year financial outlook unchanged. This suggests that while current performance is robust, management foresees no significant shifts in the broader economic landscape or company-specific factors that would necessitate revising their annual guidance. Investors will monitor future communications for any signs of changing trends.

  • 4/28/2026NEGATIVE
    UPS leaves full-year outlook intact even as quarterly earnings top target, and stock falls

    United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) shares declined despite reporting quarterly earnings that surpassed analyst expectations. The company maintained its full-year financial outlook, signaling no change in its forward-looking guidance. While the earnings beat suggests operational efficiency in the recent quarter, the market's reaction indicates investor concern over the lack of an upward revision to the annual forecast. This suggests that the current performance might not be enough to drive significant future growth or that underlying challenges persist, leading to a cautious investor sentiment.

  • 3/14/2026NEGATIVE
    5 Things Every UPS Investor Needs to Know

    United Parcel Service (UPS) investors are facing uncertainty regarding the company's 2026 outlook, primarily due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This geopolitical event introduces complex challenges that could impact global logistics and supply chains, potentially affecting UPS's operational efficiency and profitability. Investors will be closely monitoring how the company navigates these external pressures and whether its strategic initiatives can mitigate any adverse effects on its financial performance and future growth projections.

  • 3/14/2026NEUTRAL
    FedEx Just Took UPS's Spot as the Biggest U.S. Parcel Firm. Which Stock is a Smarter Buy in 2026?

    FedEx has surpassed UPS to become the largest U.S. parcel delivery company, according to recent market share data. However, UPS is strategically shifting its focus from sheer volume to profitability. The company is prioritizing higher-margin services and optimizing its network efficiency, aiming to enhance its financial performance rather than solely compete on size. Investors are now evaluating whether UPS's new strategy will lead to sustainable long-term value creation, despite the change in its market leadership position.

via Markets Gazette