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CAVA Group Inc (CAVA)

Fair Value
Consumer CyclicalRestaurantsUnited States

Fundamental

59

मूल्य

$54.53

मार्केट कैप

$6.02B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

CAVA Group runs a chain of fast-casual Mediterranean restaurants in the United States, where guests build customizable bowls and pitas from a line of roughly 38 ingredients. At the end of fiscal 2025 (28 December 2025) the company operated 439 restaurants across 28 states and Washington, D.C., all company-owned — there are no franchisees. Alongside the restaurants, a small vertically integrated food operation, CAVA Foods, produces the dips, spreads and dressing bases used in the restaurants and also sells a line of dips and spreads through grocery stores. Revenue for fiscal 2025 was $1,179.7 million, up 22.5% on fiscal 2024, with 72 net new restaurants opened during the year.

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

Nearly all revenue comes from food and drink sold directly to guests in company-operated restaurants: in-store, through the CAVA app and website, through third-party delivery marketplaces, at drive-thru pickup lanes and through catering. Digital orders were 37.9% of CAVA restaurant revenue in fiscal 2025, up from 36.4% in fiscal 2024. Because every restaurant is owned rather than franchised, growth comes from two levers only — opening new restaurants and lifting sales per existing restaurant (same-restaurant sales grew 4.0% in fiscal 2025, of which 2.4 points from menu price and product mix and 1.6 points from guest traffic) — and the company carries the full cost of each opening and each lease. A residual slice of revenue, reported as 'Other', comes from selling dips and spreads through grocery retailers.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

ब्रांड · संकीर्ण

CAVA's advantage rests on a recognisable brand in a food category — Mediterranean — that has few national fast-casual chains, and on a vertically integrated kitchen and production network built around its own recipes. That is worth something, but it is not a barrier: guests face no cost in eating somewhere else tomorrow, and the company itself warns in its risk factors that competitors will grow in number as the Mediterranean category grows and that new or existing rivals may copy its business model, menu, marketing and overall concept. A brand advantage in restaurants has to be re-earned meal by meal, which is why it is best read as narrow.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

मध्यम रूप से चक्रीय

Eating out is discretionary spending: when household budgets tighten, meals move home and visit frequency falls before anything else does. Fast-casual sits in the softer part of that cycle — the average ticket is low enough that guests trade down into it from full-service restaurants as often as they trade out of it — so demand tends to bend rather than collapse. The company's own disclosure names economic factors and guest behaviour trends, largely beyond its control, as a risk to its ability to maintain or increase sales. For CAVA specifically, reported growth has so far been driven far more by opening restaurants than by the cycle, which means a downturn would show up first in new-restaurant productivity and in traffic at existing sites.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Growth depends on opening new restaurants — and new ones may not work — The company states that its future growth depends on opening new restaurants while managing that growth effectively, that it may not be able to identify appropriate locations, and that new restaurants may not be profitable and may reduce sales at existing nearby restaurants.
  • Food safety and food-borne illness — CAVA lists food safety issues and food-borne illness concerns as a risk that may harm its business — a single incident, or the perception of one, can hit traffic across the whole chain.
  • Brand perception and social media — The filing flags that negative changes in guest perception of the brand could hurt the business, that marketing efforts may not succeed, and that failure to use, recognise or respond to social media appropriately could have a material adverse effect.
  • Supply chain, manufacturing and input costs — Stated risks include not managing manufacturing and the supply chain effectively, failing to optimise and operate its production facilities, shortages, delays or interruptions in the delivery of food items and other products, and increases in food, commodity and energy costs.
  • Labour costs, shortages and key people — The company cites increases in labour costs, labour shortages and difficulty identifying, hiring, training, motivating and retaining the right team members, and states that its success depends on attracting, developing and retaining its management team and key team members.
  • Technology systems, data security and privacy rules — Disclosed risks include security breaches of information systems or data — card transactions, the CAVA app, guest or team member personal information — heavy reliance on IT systems that could fail or not scale, and complex, evolving privacy, data protection and cybersecurity laws.
  • Guest spending and economic conditions — The company says economic factors and guest behaviour trends, uncertain and largely beyond its control, may adversely affect guest behaviour and its ability to maintain or increase restaurant sales; it also notes it may not maintain profitability in the future.
  • Leases and menu pricing — CAVA is subject to risks associated with leasing property — every restaurant is a long-term lease obligation regardless of how it trades — and states that if it is unable to maintain or increase prices its margins may decrease.
  • Competition and imitation — The company states it operates in a competitive industry, that competitors will likely grow in number as the Mediterranean category grows, and that new or existing competitors may mimic its business model, menu offerings, marketing strategies and overall concept.

ग्राहक Concentration

There is no customer concentration to speak of and the filing discloses none: revenue comes from millions of individual restaurant guests paying for single meals. The dependency that matters here sits on the other side of the business — on food suppliers, distributors and the company's own production facilities — and the risk factors address supply chain interruptions rather than the loss of any customer.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that CAVA is early in a long build-out: 439 restaurants at the end of fiscal 2025 against a stated opportunity the company puts at more than 1,000 US restaurants by 2032, with 72 net openings in the year and revenue up 22.5%. They point to same-restaurant sales still positive at 4.0% with 1.6 points of it coming from more guests rather than higher prices, to a digital mix of 37.9% that gives direct access to the customer, and to the absence of franchising, which means every dollar of new-restaurant economics accrues to the company. They also argue the Mediterranean category has no established national competitor of comparable scale, giving CAVA room to define it.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers fear that the growth is the whole story and that it is slowing: revenue growth of 22.5% in fiscal 2025 came mostly from new restaurants, while same-restaurant sales decelerated to 4.0% and the traffic component to 1.6 points. Every opening is a long-term lease and a fixed cost that has to be filled, and the company itself warns that new restaurants may not be profitable and may cannibalise existing ones. They also point to the risks CAVA discloses around food safety, labour and input costs, to a brand that guests can abandon at no cost, and to the company's own statement that competitors will multiply as the Mediterranean category grows and may copy its model, menu and marketing outright.

Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 29.3Score: 57Market cap: $40.30B

The benchmark fast-casual build-your-own-bowl chain in the United States, competing for the same lunch and dinner occasion, the same urban and suburban locations and the same digital-order customer as CAVA.

Sweetgreen, Inc.SG

Sells the same premium bowl-and-salad format at a similar price point to the same health-conscious office and city customer, often in the very same downtown blocks as CAVA.

Taziki's Mediterranean CafeNot tracked

The second-largest Mediterranean fast-casual chain in the United States, with over 100 locations serving the same cuisine to the same customer, mostly in the Southeast where CAVA is expanding.

Nick the GreekNot tracked

A privately held Greek fast-casual chain of roughly 90 units concentrated in California, offering the same pita, bowl and gyro menu at a comparable price.

Panera Brands, Inc. (Panera Bread)Not tracked

A privately held fast-casual chain that competes for the same fresh, better-for-you lunch spend and the same loyalty and digital-order customer across the United States.

बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$1.37B

पिछले 12 महीने (12/7/2026 तक)

शुद्ध आय

$66M

पिछले 12 महीने (12/7/2026 तक)

Free Cash Flow

$26M

कुल इक्विटी

$780M

कुल देनदारियाँ

$580M

Current Ratio

2.48

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

4.04

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

सामान्य मामलाउचित मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$45.77

वर्तमान मूल्य

$54.53

Margin of Safety

-19.1%

Fair Value सीमा

$29.75 - $61.79

इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।

अनुमान विधियाँ

विश्लेषकों का लक्ष्य मूल्य:$82.75
डिस्काउंटेड कैश फ्लो (DCF):$5.16
आय गुणक (P/E):$52.86
Graham वृद्धि फॉर्मूला:$9.12
अर्निंग पावर वैल्यू (EPV):$12.61
उचित P/B:$14.07
लाभांश डिस्काउंट (Gordon):$2.12
P/FFO, परिचालन से प्राप्त निधि:$18.82
मध्य-चक्र आय:$1.04
राजस्व गुणक:$26.36
विश्लेषक सहमति:खरीदें (23B / 12H / 0S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:+2.15%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

98.36

ROE

8.2%

P/B Ratio

7.51

P/FCF

128.91

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

4.4%

लाभप्रदता Radar

मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)

ROIC

4.4%

WACC

13.2%

ROIC − WACC

-8.8 pp

ROIC पूंजी की लागत से कम है — कंपनी निवेशित हर डॉलर पर मूल्य नष्ट कर रही है।

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 9.14%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 35.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 25.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 66% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 15.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.33
  • Share Dilution -0.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

फेल (7)

  • ROIC 4.4%
  • P/FCF 128.91
  • P/B Ratio 7.51
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 4.8% vs 13.0%

अनुपलब्ध (4)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

3.33

उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित

शेयर Dilution

-0.4%

शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल

संस्थागत होल्डिंग

इस कंपनी के लिए कोई संस्थागत घोषणा उपलब्ध नहीं है।

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Mr. Brett SchulmanCo-Founder, CEO, President & Director53
Mr. Theodore XenohristosFounder, Chief Concept Officer & Director46
Ms. Tricia K. TolivarChief Financial Officer56
Ms. Kelly CostanzaChief People Officer49
Mr. Douglas W. ThompsonChief Operations Officer61
Adam PhillipsChief Accounting Officer-
Ms. Beth McCormickChief Technology Officer-
Mr. Joseph J. Kadow J.D.Chief Legal Officer68
Mr. Christopher F. PennyChief Manufacturing Officer58
Mr. Matt MilanovichSenior Vice President of Finance-

Audit जोखिम

2

बोर्ड जोखिम

4

मुआवजा जोखिम

6

शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम

8

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

दस्तावेज़

  • वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)

    कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-02-25

    दस्तावेज़ देखें
  • तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)

    पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-12

    दस्तावेज़ देखें
  • विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)

    किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-09-18

    दस्तावेज़ देखें

via SEC EDGAR

आय का इतिहास

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CAVA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/17/2026NEUTRAL
    Cava CFO on growth, AI and why price hikes aren’t on the agenda

    Cava CFO Tricia Tolivar discussed the company's expansion strategy, focusing on scaling operations into new markets. The company is prioritizing growth and market penetration over immediate price increases, indicating a focus on customer acquisition and long-term market share. While specific growth figures or new market entries were not detailed, the emphasis on strategic scaling suggests a confident outlook on the company's ability to manage costs and operations effectively as it expands. Investors will monitor execution of this growth plan.

  • 8/12/2026NEUTRAL
    Cava CEO on Cyclospora, Dining Trends and Growth Outlook

    Cava Group Inc. CEO Brett Schulman addressed concerns regarding a cyclospora outbreak, stating it has not impacted the company's operations. Schulman also discussed evolving dining trends and provided an optimistic outlook on the company's growth trajectory. While the absence of impact from the outbreak is reassuring, the commentary on trends and outlook offers a forward-looking perspective without immediate quantifiable data. Investors will monitor future earnings reports for concrete growth figures.

  • 8/12/2026POSITIVE
    Cava Sales Jump as Americans Flock to Pita Chips, Salmon

    Cava Group Inc. reported a surge in sales, exceeding expectations as American consumers increasingly purchased their offerings, including higher-priced items like pita chips and salmon. This growth was attributed to increased customer traffic and a higher average check size. The positive performance suggests strong consumer demand for Cava's Mediterranean-inspired fast-casual dining experience. For investors, this indicates robust operational execution and market penetration, potentially leading to upward revisions in future earnings forecasts and a positive outlook for the stock.

  • 7/20/2026NEGATIVE
    Americans are skipping lettuce and salads as investigation into cyclospora outbreak continues

    Cava Group Inc. shares declined on Monday, mirroring a broader trend among salad-focused restaurant chains. The dip follows ongoing investigations into a Cyclospora outbreak, which has led consumers to reduce their consumption of lettuce and salads. This news directly impacts demand for fresh produce and restaurant sales, creating headwinds for companies reliant on these ingredients. Investors are closely monitoring the outbreak's duration and scope, as prolonged consumer avoidance could significantly affect revenue and profitability for the sector.

  • 5/29/2026POSITIVE
    CAVA Stock Edges Higher Friday: What's Driving The Action?

    CAVA Group (NYSE: CAVA) experienced a notable upward movement on Friday, driven by sustained positive investor sentiment following its strong first-quarter performance and an upward revision of its future outlook. The company's ability to build on its Q1 results and provide an encouraging forward-looking statement has captured market attention. This sustained positive momentum suggests that CAVA is successfully executing its growth strategy and meeting or exceeding investor expectations, potentially leading to further stock appreciation.

  • 5/20/2026NEUTRAL
    Cava Group Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

    Cava Group is scheduled to hold its Q1 2026 Earnings Call on May 20, 2026. While the specific financial results are not yet available, the announcement of an earnings call itself is a standard procedural event for publicly traded companies. Investors will be looking for key performance indicators, revenue growth, profitability, and future guidance. The market's reaction will depend entirely on the actual figures and management commentary presented during the call, making this announcement neutral until further details emerge.

  • 5/19/2026NEUTRAL
    Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp CAVA Group Expectations Ahead Of Q1 Earnings

    CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) is scheduled to report its first-quarter earnings on May 19th after market close. Wall Street analysts are forecasting earnings per share of $0.17 and revenues of $418.62 million. This upcoming earnings release is a key event for investors monitoring the fast-casual restaurant chain's performance and growth trajectory. The market will be closely watching for any deviations from these expectations, which could influence the stock's short-term movement.

  • 5/17/2026NEUTRAL
    CAVA Group Stock Recovery Has Faltered: Will Earnings Spark A Rebound?

    CAVA Group's stock has entered a bear market, declining more than 20% from its peak this year. The article questions whether upcoming earnings reports will be sufficient to trigger a significant rebound in the stock price. Investors are closely watching the earnings release for signs of fundamental improvement or continued weakness that could dictate the stock's short-to-medium term trajectory.

  • 4/24/2026NEGATIVE
    Cava Gets Lone Sell Rating After Fast-Casual Chain’s 123% Rally

    Cava Group Inc. has received its first sell rating from Wall Street analysts following an impressive 123% rally in its stock price over the past five months. The lone bear on the Street suggests that the rapid appreciation has outpaced the company's fundamental value, indicating a potential overvaluation. Investors are advised to consider the sustainability of this parabolic growth trajectory and the risks associated with such a significant price surge in a short period.

via Markets Gazette

Disclaimer

यह प्लेटफ़ॉर्म केवल शैक्षिक उद्देश्यों के लिए है। यह कोई वित्तीय, निवेश, या ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं देता। सभी स्कोर, मूल्यांकन, और संकेत सार्वजनिक रूप से उपलब्ध डेटा के स्वचालित विश्लेषण पर आधारित हैं जो अधूरे या गलत हो सकते हैं। निवेश निर्णय लेने से पहले हमेशा अपना शोध करें और एक योग्य वित्तीय सलाहकार से परामर्श लें।

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