Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CRNX)
Fair ValueFundamental
42
मूल्य
$-
मार्केट कैप
$9.01B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals is a San Diego-based pharmaceutical company that discovers and develops small-molecule drugs for rare endocrine diseases and endocrine-related tumors. Its first approved product, PALSONIFY (paltusotine), was cleared by the FDA in September 2025 as a once-daily oral treatment for adults with acromegaly and was launched in the United States in October 2025. Paltusotine is also in Phase 3 development for carcinoid syndrome in neuroendocrine tumors; the pipeline further includes atumelnant, an ACTH antagonist in trials for congenital adrenal hyperplasia and ACTH-dependent Cushing's syndrome, and CRN09682, a drug conjugate for SST2-expressing neuroendocrine tumors, plus preclinical programs. For fiscal 2025 the company reported total revenue of $7.7 million against R&D expense of $332.1 million, SG&A of $191.3 million and a net loss of $465.3 million, with $1.0 billion of cash, cash equivalents and investment securities at year end.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Revenue comes from two sources. The first is net product revenue from PALSONIFY in the United States: the company sells through a third-party logistics provider to a specialty distributor and specialty pharmacies, which in turn serve prescribers and patients; product revenue began only in the fourth quarter of 2025 and was $5.4 million for the year. The second is collaboration and license revenue, $2.3 million in 2025, essentially from the 2022 license granting Sanwa Kagaku Kenkyusho exclusive rights to paltusotine in Japan — a $13.0 million upfront plus a $1.0 million milestone booked in 2024, recognised over time as data-exchange obligations are satisfied, plus a small clinical supply agreement. Future royalties and development milestones under that license, and a veterinary license to Loyal for CRN01941, are contingent and largely unrecognised. Operating expenses are roughly seventy times revenue, so the company is funded by equity raises rather than by sales.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
पेटेंट और लाइसेंस · संकीर्णWhat protection exists rests on intangibles: patents and regulatory exclusivity around paltusotine, a molecule the company discovered in house, and the fact that PALSONIFY is the first once-daily oral somatostatin receptor ligand approved for acromegaly, against injectable incumbents. The company's own filing lists competition from other somatostatin agonist programmes as a risk and notes it has only limited experience conducting commercial activities, so the advantage is narrow and dependent on one product: with a single approved drug, no track record of repeat commercial success and no scale or cost edge, there is nothing durable beyond the intellectual property and the head start in oral dosing.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
डिफेंसिवAcromegaly is a chronic disease caused by a growth-hormone-secreting tumour and is treated continuously; patients do not postpone therapy because the economy weakens, so underlying demand is defensive rather than cyclical. What drives the revenue line in practice is not the economic cycle but the launch curve: how many endocrinologists prescribe, how many patients convert from injectable somatostatin analogues to a daily pill, and how quickly payors grant coverage. Investors should expect volatility from launch dynamics, reimbursement decisions and clinical read-outs, not from GDP.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Everything depends on one product — The company states that its ability to become profitable primarily depends on the commercial success of paltusotine, approved as PALSONIFY in the U.S.; it has two other candidates in clinical development and all remaining programmes are preclinical or at the discovery stage. If it cannot commercialise PALSONIFY or develop further candidates, or is significantly delayed, it says its business will be materially harmed.
- Losses since inception and need for more capital — Crinetics reports a limited operating history and significant operating losses since inception, and says it may never become profitable or sustain profitability. It may require substantial additional financing; failure to obtain it on acceptable terms could force it to delay, limit, reduce, abandon or terminate development programmes, commercialisation efforts or other operations.
- Coverage, reimbursement and market acceptance — Commercial success depends on the degree of market acceptance by physicians, patients and payors, and on the extent to which governments and health insurers establish coverage, adequate reimbursement levels and favourable pricing. Failure to obtain or maintain adequate reimbursement could limit the company's ability to market its products and reduce its ability to generate revenue.
- Small and imprecisely known patient populations — The number of patients with the rare endocrine diseases and endocrine-related tumours the company targets is small and has not been established with precision. If the market opportunities turn out to be smaller than management believes, revenue may be adversely affected. The same scarcity makes it difficult to enrol and retain patients in clinical trials, which can delay development.
- Competition from other somatostatin agonists — The company faces competition from entities that have developed or may develop somatostatin agonist products and other competing candidates. If competitors move faster or their technologies prove more effective, Crinetics' ability to develop and commercialise its own products could be adversely affected.
- Reliance on third parties for manufacturing — Crinetics relies on third parties for raw materials, active pharmaceutical ingredients and drug product intermediates, in the U.S. and abroad, and expects to continue doing so. That reliance raises the risk of not having sufficient quantities of its products, or not at an acceptable cost or free of tariffs, which could delay or impair development and commercialisation.
- Side effects and continuing regulatory obligations — Use of the company's products and candidates could be associated with side effects or adverse events during development or commercialisation. PALSONIFY remains subject to ongoing regulatory review and could face labelling restrictions, marketing limits or withdrawal from the market, and the company could incur penalties if it fails to comply with regulatory requirements.
ग्राहक Concentration
शीर्ष ग्राहकों का राजस्व में 100% हिस्सा है
Two customers accounted for the whole of consolidated gross product revenue in fiscal 2025: Customer A at 58% and Customer B at 42%. These are the specialty distributor and specialty pharmacies that Crinetics sells to through a third-party logistics provider, and accounts receivable are due from them. The concentration is a distribution-channel fact rather than end-demand concentration — those customers resell into a broad range of downstream channels, and the company says it has not experienced material credit losses to date — but it does mean the receivable balance sits with very few counterparties.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that Crinetics has just crossed the hardest line in biotech: it took a molecule it discovered itself all the way to an FDA approval, and PALSONIFY is the first once-daily oral treatment approved for adults with acromegaly, competing against injections. They point to the $5.4 million booked in the first partial quarter of selling and to a balance sheet that carried $1.0 billion of cash and investments at the end of 2025, topped up by roughly $380 million net from a January 2026 offering, as enough runway to fund the launch without an immediate financing. They add that the same molecule is already in Phase 3 for carcinoid syndrome, that atumelnant is in Phase 2/3 trials for congenital adrenal hyperplasia and ACTH-dependent Cushing's syndrome, and that Japan is licensed to Sanwa Kagaku Kenkyusho with milestones and royalties still to come — so the company would not be a single-product story if the pipeline delivers.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers fear that the gap between spending and sales is enormous and will stay open for years: 2025 revenue of $7.7 million against $332.1 million of R&D and $191.3 million of SG&A, for a net loss of $465.3 million, and cash that fell from $1.35 billion to $1.0 billion in twelve months. At that burn, they argue, the company will keep returning to the equity market and diluting holders — the January 2026 offering added 8.8 million shares — and the filing itself warns that substantial additional financing may be needed. They note that profitability depends primarily on one product in a rare disease whose patient numbers the company admits are not known with precision, that switching endocrinologists and patients away from established injectables requires payor coverage that is not guaranteed, that competitors are working on somatostatin agonists of their own, and that the company has limited experience running a commercial organisation. Under those conditions, a slow launch curve or a clinical setback in atumelnant would leave very little revenue to cushion the loss.
Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$42M
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$-502M
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
$-384M
कुल इक्विटी
$992M
कुल देनदारियाँ
$134M
Current Ratio
15.57
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
-
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$85.00
वर्तमान मूल्य
-
Margin of Safety
-
Fair Value सीमा
$80.75 - $89.25
इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
-
ROE
-46.9%
P/B Ratio
-
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
86.0%
ROIC
-34.9%
लाभप्रदता Radar
मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)
ROIC
-34.9%
WACC
8.0%
ROIC − WACC
-42.9 pp
ROIC पूंजी की लागत से कम है — कंपनी निवेशित हर डॉलर पर मूल्य नष्ट कर रही है।
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (7)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Gross Margin 86.0%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Current Ratio
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Revenue Growth 5Y 156.0%
- Net Margin Trend -1189.9% vs -26568.5%
फेल (10)
- ROIC -34.9%
- Operating Margin -1302.5%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Return on Tangible Assets
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- ROE -44.2%
- Analyst Consensus 30% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 2.5%
- Share Dilution 16.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
अनुपलब्ध (10)
- Historical price data insufficient
- P/FCF NaN
- P/B Ratio NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
Piotroski F-Score
गंभीर वित्तीय चिंताएं
Earnings गुणवत्ता
निम्न गुणवत्ता: accounting की जांच करें
शेयर Dilution
नए शेयर जारी कर रही है, स्वामित्व को कम कर रही है
संस्थागत होल्डिंग
इस कंपनी के लिए कोई संस्थागत घोषणा उपलब्ध नहीं है।
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Dr. R. Scott Struthers Ph.D. | Founder, President, CEO & Director | 63 |
| Dr. Stephen F. Betz Ph.D. | Co-Founder & Chief Scientific Officer | 59 |
| Mr. Tobin C. Schilke | Chief Financial Officer | 50 |
| Mr. Kea Lingo | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Ms. Gayathri Diwakar | Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Garlan Adams J.D. | Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | - |
| Natalie Badillo | Head of Corporate Communications | - |
| Ms. Adriana C. Cabre M.B.A. | Chief Human Resources Officer | - |
| Dr. Alan S. Krasner M.D. | Chief Endocrinologist | 62 |
| Mr. Kevin Capps | Head of Intellectual Property | - |
Audit जोखिम
3
बोर्ड जोखिम
6
मुआवजा जोखिम
9
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
8
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
दस्तावेज़
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)
कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-02-26
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)
पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-03
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)
किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-09-01
via SEC EDGAR
आय का इतिहास
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CRNX, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 2/27/2026NEUTRALCrinetics (CRNX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
The financial community is keenly awaiting the transcript of Crinetics Pharmaceuticals' Q4 2025 earnings call, scheduled for February 27, 2026. While the specific content remains unavailable, such events are pivotal for investors, providing crucial details on revenue, earnings per share, and future outlook. Analyzing this data is essential for assessing performance and growth strategies, directly influencing trading decisions for CRNX stock. The current lack of immediate information prevents an in-depth analysis, leaving market participants in anticipation of further disclosures that could move the stock.
via Markets Gazette