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Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS)

Fair Value
IndustrialsMetal FabricationUnited States

Fundamental

73

मूल्य

$386.56

मार्केट कैप

$19.09B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

Carpenter Technology is a US producer and distributor of premium specialty alloys — titanium alloys, powder metals, stainless steels, alloy steels and tool steels — used where an ordinary metal would not survive: jet engines and airframes, defence hardware, surgical implants and medical devices, oil and gas equipment, cars and industrial machinery. It melts, forges, rolls and finishes the material itself at mills in Reading and Latrobe (Pennsylvania) and in South Carolina and Alabama, and it also runs smaller differentiated businesses in titanium bar and wire (Dynamet), metal powders for additive manufacturing (Carpenter Additive) and distribution. In fiscal 2025 (year ended 30 June 2025) consolidated net sales were $2,877.1 million, of which $1,177.2 million came from outside the United States. Aerospace and defence is by far the largest end-use market: $1,440.7 million of the $2,346.1 million of fiscal 2025 sales measured excluding raw-material surcharges, ahead of industrial and consumer ($288.1m), medical ($296.1m), energy ($151.3m), transportation ($86.4m) and distribution ($83.5m).

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

Carpenter sells material by the pound under customer specifications, and most of what it makes must be qualified by the customer before it can be supplied at all — a slow process that ties an approved supplier to a given part. Prices are set by the company and changed as it deems necessary, but a large slice of the invoice is not really a margin item: the cost of nickel, cobalt, chromium, titanium and scrap is passed through with raw-material surcharges and indices, backed by forward contracts. That is why management reports sales both gross and 'excluding surcharge' — of $2,877.1 million of fiscal 2025 net sales, $531.0 million was surcharge revenue. The filing notes that there can be delays between a raw-material price increase and the moment the pass-through mechanisms catch up, which distorts comparisons between periods. Sales are also mildly seasonal: the first six months of the fiscal year are typically lower because of plant vacation and maintenance shutdowns, at Carpenter and at its customers.

सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व

Specialty Alloys Operations (SAO)88.6%

The core mill business: premium alloy and stainless steel melting and finishing at Reading and Latrobe (Pennsylvania) and at plants in South Carolina and Alabama, managed as one integrated system. It supplies engineered bar, billet, rod, strip and wire to aerospace and defence, medical, energy and industrial customers.

Performance Engineered Products (PEP)11.4%

The company's differentiated, more entrepreneurial operations: the Dynamet titanium bar and wire business, the Carpenter Additive business (metal powders and services for 3D printing) and the Latrobe and Mexico distribution operations. It sells finished and semi-finished specialty material, partly sourced internally from SAO.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

स्विचिंग कॉस्ट · संकीर्ण

The filing describes a highly competitive business, but one with unusual barriers at the high end: most products must meet complex customer specifications and be qualified before Carpenter can supply them, and the company counts fewer than ten major competitors for its high-value materials used in demanding applications, citing its experience, technical capabilities, product range and R&D ($26.1 million in fiscal 2025) as barriers to existing and potential competitors. Once a material is approved into an engine or an implant, changing supplier means re-qualifying. The limits are just as explicit: for other products there are several dozen smaller producers and converters and several hundred distributors, foreign producers make similar specialty metals, substitute materials can replace Carpenter's finished products, and the company states it is not materially dependent on any single patent.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

चक्रीय

The company itself calls demand in its end-use markets cyclical and sensitive to the economy, competition and supply-chain inventory levels. The largest exposure, aerospace and defence, follows aircraft build rates, airline profitability and air-travel demand, plus defence spending; the energy business follows oil prices; transportation and industrial demand follows the general industrial cycle. Medical is the steadier end market. Two things amplify the swing: customers restock and destock along a long supply chain, and a slice of reported revenue is raw-material surcharges that rise and fall with metal prices regardless of volume. There is also a mild seasonal pattern, with the first half of the fiscal year usually lower because of vacation and maintenance shutdowns.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Cyclical end markets — The company states that demand in its end-use markets can be cyclical and sensitive to general economic conditions, competition and inventory swings along the supply chain, so results can fluctuate significantly from period to period. A significant portion of sales goes to commercial aerospace, defence and energy customers; commercial aerospace and defence are historically cyclical (airline profitability, air travel demand, fuel and labour costs, military conflict), and the energy market moves with volatile oil prices.
  • Execution of the capacity expansion — Carpenter has undertaken capital projects to expand production capacity and capability, which place heavy demands on management and operations. Success depends on putting the right resources in place, obtaining the necessary internal and customer qualifications to produce material from the new facilities, and running them without disrupting existing operations. Delays, excess costs or results below expectations could materially hurt results and financial position.
  • Raw material supply and cost — The company relies on third parties for nickel, cobalt, chromium, manganese, molybdenum, titanium, iron and alloy scrap, whose costs have been volatile for reasons outside its control. Surcharges, customer indices and forward contracts are expected to offset most of the impact, but changing business conditions could prevent recovery of rapid cost increases, and prices quoted or contracts already accepted may not be repriced. Some suppliers operate in countries with unstable political and economic conditions, and manufacturing lead times are long, so shortages can cost sales.
  • Dependence on critical, high-cost equipment — Manufacturing processes are complex and depend on critical, high-cost equipment for which there may be only limited or no production alternatives. The company warns it could face prolonged periods of reduced production from unplanned equipment failures, with significant repair or replacement costs, as well as disruption from other unforeseen circumstances such as power outages.
  • Pension and retiree benefit obligations — Carpenter provides substantial benefits to active and retired employees, mostly uninsured and paid by the company, including defined benefit pension plans (benefits under the largest qualified plan were frozen at the end of 2016). A fall in plan asset values, higher costs or unfavourable funding rules could force it to accelerate or increase contributions, with a material effect on results, cash flow and financial condition; it notes many competitors do not carry such plans or operate where healthcare is state-funded.
  • Unionised workforce and contract renewals — At 30 June 2025, 179 production employees at Dynamet (Washington, Pennsylvania) were covered by a collective bargaining agreement expiring 31 August 2025, with negotiations in process, and 461 production employees at Latrobe by an agreement expiring 31 July 2027. The company gives no assurance that expiring agreements will be replaced, which could lead to work interruptions and stoppages; employees at Reading periodically take part in union organising campaigns.
  • Product liability and quality claims — Carpenter makes ultra-high-strength, high-temperature and corrosion-resistant alloys for demanding aerospace and defence, medical and energy applications. Failure of a material inside a customer's application could give rise to substantial product liability claims, and insurance may not be adequate or available on acceptable terms. Missing a customer specification can also trigger quality costs and claims, which are generally not insured.

ग्राहक Concentration

The 10-K states that on a consolidated basis the company is not dependent on a single customer, or very few customers, such that losing one or more would materially hurt results, and that no single customer accounted for 10 percent or more of total net sales in fiscal 2025, 2024 or 2023, nor for 10 percent or more of accounts receivable outstanding at 30 June 2025 or 2024. The filing does not disclose a combined share for the largest customers, so no figure can be given.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that the numbers show a business whose pricing power has finally caught up with its position: consolidated net sales rose from $2,550.3 million in fiscal 2023 to $2,759.7 million in 2024 and $2,877.1 million in 2025, while operating income went from $133.1 million to $323.1 million and then $521.8 million — profit growing far faster than revenue, which they read as price and mix rather than volume (the company reports fiscal 2025 sales excluding surcharge up 8 percent on 6 percent lower volume). They point to the qualification barrier: materials must be approved before they can be supplied, fewer than ten major competitors exist for the demanding high-value applications, and aerospace and defence — the largest end market at $1,440.7 million of sales excluding surcharge in fiscal 2025 — is tied to multi-year aircraft build programmes. They add that the capacity investments of recent years fall into a market where supply is tight, that the surcharge mechanism passes most raw-material inflation to customers, and that no single customer has reached 10 percent of sales, so no one buyer can dictate terms.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers fear that this is still a capital-heavy metals producer at a good point in a cycle the company itself calls cyclical. The margin expansion of the last two years rests on price and mix while volume fell, and the same operating leverage works in reverse: a downturn in commercial aerospace, defence or energy would hit both the prices and the volumes of a plant base that cannot be flexed quickly, and the filing warns of additional worldwide capacity, lower-cost substitute materials and long lead times that delay pricing actions. They point to the expansion programme as the second exposure — management itself flags delays, excess costs and the need to win customer qualifications for material from new facilities — and to the fragility of a complex process that depends on critical, high-cost equipment with limited or no alternatives, where one unplanned failure means prolonged reduced production. Behind that sit legacy costs competitors may not carry: defined benefit pension and retiree health obligations that could require accelerated funding, environmental remediation liabilities and Superfund designations, a unionised workforce with agreements to renegotiate, and raw-material dependence on suppliers in politically unstable countries.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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P/E: 55.4Score: 70Market cap: $24.60B

ATI melts and rolls the same nickel superalloys, titanium alloys and specialty steels and sells them to the same jet-engine, airframe, defense and medical customers that qualify Carpenter's material.

Haynes International, Inc. (an Acerinox S.A. company)Not tracked

Haynes supplies high-temperature and corrosion-resistant nickel alloys in sheet, bar and wire for aerospace engines, chemical processing and power generation, the same qualified-alloy niche Carpenter serves.

Special Metals Corporation (Precision Castparts Corp., Berkshire Hathaway Inc.)Not tracked

Through Special Metals and its mill products businesses, Precision Castparts produces nickel-based superalloys and specialty steel long products for the same aerospace and energy programs Carpenter bids on.

voestalpine AG (BÖHLER Edelstahl)VOE

Its BÖHLER special steel division competes head-on in tool steels, high-strength alloy steels and aerospace-grade bar, chasing the same European and North American customers as Carpenter's Specialty Alloys Operations.

Universal Stainless & Alloy Products, Inc. (an Aperam S.A. company)Not tracked

A US melter of specialty steel and premium alloy bar for aerospace and industrial applications, it bids for the same qualified bar and billet business as Carpenter's mills, though on a smaller scale.

बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$3.12B

पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)

शुद्ध आय

$530M

पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)

Free Cash Flow

$362M

कुल इक्विटी

$2.23B

कुल देनदारियाँ

$1.61B

Current Ratio

3.81

Interest Coverage

18.57

Debt/EBITDA

0.86

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

सामान्य मामलाउचित मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$330.20

वर्तमान मूल्य

$386.56

Margin of Safety

-17.1%

Fair Value सीमा

$214.63 - $445.77

इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।

अनुमान विधियाँ

विश्लेषकों का लक्ष्य मूल्य:$625.88
डिस्काउंटेड कैश फ्लो (DCF):$103.78
आय गुणक (P/E):$295.77
Graham वृद्धि फॉर्मूला:$171.59
अर्निंग पावर वैल्यू (EPV):$88.66
उचित P/B:$120.80
लाभांश डिस्काउंट (Gordon):$10.38
P/FFO, परिचालन से प्राप्त निधि:$218.54
मध्य-चक्र आय:$85.67
राजस्व गुणक:$176.28
विश्लेषक सहमति:खरीदें (12B / 3H / 0S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:+3.72%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

36.96

ROE

23.8%

P/B Ratio

8.65

P/FCF

53.19

Gross Margin

30.6%

ROIC

16.7%

लाभप्रदता Radar

मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)

ROIC

16.7%

WACC

11.8%

ROIC − WACC

+4.9 pp

ROIC पूंजी की लागत से अधिक है — कंपनी शेयरधारकों के लिए मूल्य सृजित कर रही है।

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 14.33%
  • Price CAGR 28.48%
  • ROIC 16.7%
  • Gross Margin 30.6%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 22.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 25.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 16.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 80% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.5%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.14
  • Share Dilution -0.6%
  • Net Margin Trend 17.0% vs 13.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

फेल (5)

  • P/FCF 53.19
  • P/B Ratio 8.65
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

अनुपलब्ध (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

मजबूत वित्तीय स्वास्थ्य

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

1.14

उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित

शेयर Dilution

-0.6%

शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल

संस्थागत होल्डिंग

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Mr. Timothy Lain CPASenior VP & CFO53
Mr. James D. DeeSenior VP, General Counsel, Secretary, Chief Governance Officer & Chief Compliance Officer67
Mr. Marshall D. AkinsVP & Chief Commercial Officer41
Ms. Elizabeth A. SocciVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer-
Dr. Suniti MoudgilVP & Chief Technology Officer-
Mr. John HuyetteVP of Corporate Development & Investor Relations-
Ms. Rachelle H. ThompsonVP & Chief Human Resources Officer-
Mr. Shakthimani LogasundaramVP & Chief Digital Officer-
Mr. Thomas F. CramseyVP of Finance - Global Operations & SAO Group CFO64

Audit जोखिम

6

बोर्ड जोखिम

4

मुआवजा जोखिम

1

शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम

5

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

दस्तावेज़

  • वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)

    कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-12

    दस्तावेज़ देखें
  • तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)

    पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-04-29

    दस्तावेज़ देखें
  • विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)

    किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-25

    दस्तावेज़ देखें

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आय का इतिहास

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CRS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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Disclaimer

यह प्लेटफ़ॉर्म केवल शैक्षिक उद्देश्यों के लिए है। यह कोई वित्तीय, निवेश, या ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं देता। सभी स्कोर, मूल्यांकन, और संकेत सार्वजनिक रूप से उपलब्ध डेटा के स्वचालित विश्लेषण पर आधारित हैं जो अधूरे या गलत हो सकते हैं। निवेश निर्णय लेने से पहले हमेशा अपना शोध करें और एक योग्य वित्तीय सलाहकार से परामर्श लें।

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