Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR)
Fair ValueFundamental
68
मूल्य
$115.24
मार्केट कैप
$21.30B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Dollar Tree runs roughly 9,000 discount variety stores in the United States and Canada where most items are sold at a fixed low price point, offering a mix of household goods, food, seasonal items and party supplies aimed at value-conscious, budget-focused shoppers looking for everyday essentials at the lowest possible price. In 2025 the company sold its separate Family Dollar chain, leaving standalone Dollar Tree stores as its entire operating business going forward.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Revenue is simple retail: stores sell merchandise bought in bulk from suppliers, marked up to the store's price points, with growth coming from opening new stores, selling more per existing store and, in recent years, from adding price points above the original one-dollar level. Roughly 40% of what it sells is imported, with China as the largest single source, so the cost side depends heavily on global shipping and tariff conditions.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
लागत लाभ · संकीर्णBuying in bulk across roughly 9,000 stores lets Dollar Tree negotiate lower per-unit costs from suppliers than a small independent retailer could, and its distribution network is built to keep costs low enough to sustain fixed, deeply discounted price points. That advantage is narrow because Walmart, other dollar-store chains and online marketplaces compete on price in the same low-cost segment.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
डिफेंसिवDollar Tree sells low-priced everyday and household items that shoppers keep buying even when budgets tighten, and value-seeking behaviour in a downturn can bring in shoppers trading down from pricier retailers. Demand is not fully immune to the economy, since discretionary categories like seasonal and party goods can soften, but the core business holds up better than most discretionary retail.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Tariffs on imported merchandise — About 40% of goods sold are imported, mostly from China, and new or higher tariffs directly raise the cost of merchandise on fixed or narrow price points that are hard to raise quickly.
- Intense price competition — Walmart, other discount and dollar-store chains, and online marketplaces all compete directly on low prices, limiting how much Dollar Tree can raise prices to offset rising costs.
- Standalone execution after the Family Dollar sale — Having divested Family Dollar in 2025, the company now depends entirely on the Dollar Tree banner's performance, removing the diversification a second chain previously provided.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that value-seeking shoppers keep returning to fixed low price points regardless of the economic cycle, that bulk purchasing scale across thousands of stores keeps costs down relative to smaller competitors, and that shedding Family Dollar lets management focus fully on the more productive Dollar Tree banner.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers fear that tariffs on the roughly 40% of merchandise sourced abroad squeeze margins the company cannot easily pass on to price-sensitive shoppers, that competition from Walmart and other discounters caps pricing power, and that the business now depends entirely on a single banner with no other chain to offset a weak stretch.
Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
The closest same-format rival, with roughly 20,000 small-box discount stores selling consumables and household basics to the same value-seeking shopper, often within a few miles of a Dollar Tree.
Competes for the same low-price discretionary basket — seasonal goods, toys, party and home items — and with its Five Beyond range it moves into the higher price points Dollar Tree is adding with its multi-price format.
The price benchmark of American discount retail: its supercenters and Neighborhood Markets sit close to most Dollar Tree stores and capture the same trip for household staples and low-cost general merchandise.
The largest U.S. closeout retailer, it draws the same bargain-hunting customer with opportunistic overstock buys and is expanding aggressively into the small-town markets Dollar Tree serves.
Its own-brand value lines and seasonal, party and home aisles compete for the same discretionary spending, particularly with the suburban shoppers Dollar Tree reaches through its multi-price stores.
Sold by Dollar Tree in July 2025 to Brigade Capital and Macellum Capital, it is now an independent chain of roughly 8,000 discount stores chasing the same low-income neighborhood customer.
बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$20.05B
पिछले 12 महीने (1/8/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$1.61B
पिछले 12 महीने (1/8/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
$1.06B
कुल इक्विटी
$3.75B
कुल देनदारियाँ
$9.71B
Current Ratio
1.13
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
3.33
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$133.88
वर्तमान मूल्य
$115.24
Margin of Safety
+13.9%
Fair Value सीमा
$110.10 - $157.67
इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
13.97
ROE
34.2%
P/B Ratio
6.25
P/FCF
10.82
Gross Margin
38.7%
ROIC
16.2%
लाभप्रदता Radar
मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)
ROIC
16.2%
WACC
6.1%
ROIC − WACC
+10.1 pp
ROIC पूंजी की लागत से अधिक है — कंपनी शेयरधारकों के लिए मूल्य सृजित कर रही है।
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (18)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 7.97%
- ROIC 16.2%
- Gross Margin 38.7%
- P/FCF 10.82
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 11.0%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 45.6%
- Earnings Surprise avg 37.6%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.93
- Share Dilution -4.5%
- Net Margin Trend 8.0% vs -15.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 9/9
फेल (8)
- Price CAGR 3.90%
- P/B Ratio 6.25
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y -5.3%
- Analyst Consensus 43% Buy
- PEG Ratio 7.01
अनुपलब्ध (2)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-Score
मजबूत वित्तीय स्वास्थ्य
Earnings गुणवत्ता
उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित
शेयर Dilution
शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल
संस्थागत होल्डिंग
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Michael C. Creedon Jr. | CEO & Director | 49 |
| Mr. Stewart F. Glendinning J.D. | Chief Financial Officer | 60 |
| Mr. Robert Aflatooni | Chief Information Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Steve Schumacher | Chief People Officer | 53 |
| Mr. Aditya Maheshwari | Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 50 |
| Mr. Daniel Delrosario | Senior VP of Investor Relations & Treasurer | - |
| Mr. John S. Mitchell Jr., J.D. | Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | 55 |
| Mr. Thoufiq Kutty J.D. | SVP and Chief Ethics & Compliance Officer | - |
| Mr. Pedro Voyer | Chief Development Officer | - |
| Ms. Jennifer L. Silberman | Chief Sustainability & Corporate Affairs Officer | - |
Audit जोखिम
5
बोर्ड जोखिम
3
मुआवजा जोखिम
7
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
2
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
दस्तावेज़
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)
कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-03-16
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)
पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-27
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)
किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-09-25
via SEC EDGAR
आय का इतिहास
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for DLTR, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/28/2026POSITIVEDollar Tree’s sales top forecasts as fewer people are shopping but they’re spending more
Dollar Tree Inc. reported first-quarter sales that surpassed analyst expectations, driven by a trend of consumers spending more per visit despite a lower frequency of shopping. The discount retailer also raised its full-year profit outlook, signaling strong operational performance and strategic execution. This positive financial momentum has led to a significant surge in its stock price, positioning it for its best trading day in four years. Investors are likely to view these results as a testament to the company's resilience and ability to adapt to changing consumer spending habits, potentially leading to increased confidence and upward price target revisions.
- 4/7/2026NEGATIVEWhy Are Dollar Tree Shares Trading Down On Tuesday?
Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) shares experienced a decline on Tuesday, influenced by a broader market downturn. This sell-off was primarily attributed to a significant drop in durable goods orders, signaling potential weakness in manufacturing and consumer spending. Furthermore, escalating geopolitical tensions, marked by strikes on Iran and a subsequent rise in oil prices, added to market uncertainty and investor caution. The combination of economic headwinds and rising commodity costs creates a challenging environment for retail companies like Dollar Tree, impacting consumer discretionary spending.
- 3/17/2026POSITIVEDollar Tree Q4 Beats Expectations, Analysts Split On Stock Outlook
Dollar Tree Inc. announced its fourth-quarter financial results, surpassing analyst expectations with improved gross margins and earnings per share. The company's performance indicates a strong operational quarter, potentially driven by effective cost management and increased consumer demand for its value-oriented offerings. Despite the positive financial outcome, analyst sentiment remains divided, with varying ratings suggesting uncertainty about the stock's future trajectory. Investors will closely monitor management's guidance for the upcoming fiscal year to gauge sustained growth potential.
- 3/16/2026NEUTRALDollar Tree Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Dollar Tree released its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings call transcript on March 16, 2026. While the transcript provides detailed insights into the company's performance and outlook, the news itself is informational. Investors will need to analyze the transcript for specific financial figures, management commentary on sales trends, cost management, and future guidance to determine any potential impact on the stock. Without specific figures or forward-looking statements highlighted in the summary, the direct market impact remains neutral.
- 3/16/2026POSITIVEHigher prices help Dollar Tree grow sales faster than its top rival
Dollar Tree Inc. reported strong sales growth, outpacing its main competitor due to favorable pricing strategies. This performance comes despite a recent three-day losing streak for the stock, which saw an 8% decline. The company's ability to leverage higher prices to boost sales volume suggests resilience and effective inventory management. For investors, this indicates potential for a rebound and sustained market share gains, especially if broader economic conditions remain challenging for consumers.
- 2/27/2026NEUTRALDollar Tree opens stores in surprising locations
Dollar Tree Inc. is undergoing a significant transformation, moving away from its long-standing $1 price point per item. This strategic shift, coupled with the opening of stores in unexpected locations, indicates an adaptation to evolving market dynamics and inflationary pressures. For investors, this transition represents an effort to improve margins and brand relevance, but also raises questions about consumer value perception and the impact on customer loyalty, which was strongly tied to the unique price point. Success will hinge on the execution of this new strategy and the ability to maintain brand appeal.
via Markets Gazette