Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL)
UndervaluedFundamental
79
मूल्य
$144.68
मार्केट कैप
$6.91B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Duolingo makes a free language-learning app built around short, game-like lessons, streaks and leaderboards designed to make studying feel like a habit rather than homework. Beyond its original languages, it now teaches math, music and chess through the same format. Most users never pay: the free version carries ads and nudges toward a paid tier. Revenue depends on converting a fraction of a very large free user base into paying subscribers, plus a standardized English proficiency test increasingly accepted by universities and employers.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Subscriptions are the business: Duolingo charges a recurring fee for an ad-free experience with extra practice tools, and most of its revenue and nearly all of its growth come from converting free users into subscribers. The free tier itself generates advertising revenue from the users who never upgrade. Two smaller lines round it out: in-app purchases of virtual items, and the Duolingo English Test, a lower-cost alternative to traditional exams that schools and employers can accept for admissions or hiring.
सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व
Recurring fees for an ad-free app with extra practice features — the large majority of revenue and nearly all of its growth.
Ads shown inside the free version of the app to the large share of users who never convert to a paid subscription.
A standardized English proficiency test taken online, priced below traditional exams and increasingly accepted by universities and employers.
One-off purchases of virtual items such as streak freezes and gems inside the app, separate from the subscription.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
ब्रांड · संकीर्णDuolingo's mascot and gamified format have built a level of brand recognition few education apps match, and its huge free user base generates usage data that helps tune course content and habit-forming mechanics. But the company itself warns that switching costs are low: a language learner unhappy with the app can move to a rival with little lost, so the brand has to keep re-earning attention.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
मध्यम रूप से चक्रीयLanguage learning is a discretionary purchase, but at a low monthly price it tends to survive belt-tightening better than bigger subscription bills, and habit-forming design keeps engaged users paying month after month. Growth is currently driven less by macro conditions than by how many free users the company can convert to paid tiers and by expansion into new subjects and geographies.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Dependent on Apple and Google's app stores — Nearly all subscriptions and purchases are collected through the Apple App Store and Google Play, which take a cut of revenue and control the rules for how the app can be distributed and priced.
- Low switching costs in a crowded market — The company itself describes the language-learning market as one with low switching costs and a constant stream of new entrants, meaning a competitor's better feature or price can pull users away quickly.
- Growth depends on converting free users — The overwhelming majority of users never pay; revenue growth depends on continuing to convert a rising share of a very large free user base rather than on the free base itself.
- Revenue tied to daily engagement — The gamified format is built to keep users opening the app daily; if engagement habits fade or a new format proves more compelling, both subscription renewals and ad revenue would suffer together.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that Duolingo's brand and gamified format keep converting a growing share of an enormous free user base into paying subscribers, and that expansion beyond languages into math, music and testing gives the company more ways to monetize the same audience.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers worry that the company's own filing describes low switching costs and a constant stream of new entrants in language learning, that almost all revenue still depends on turning free users into payers, and that dependence on Apple's and Google's app stores hands both companies a cut and a say over pricing.
Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Babbel sells subscription language courses to the same adult self-learners on mobile and web, competing directly for the paid tier Duolingo monetizes.
Busuu offers app-based language courses with native-speaker feedback to both individual subscribers and corporate clients, the same two revenue pools Duolingo targets.
Rosetta Stone sells immersion-method language subscriptions to consumers and to schools and employers, the same buyers Duolingo reaches with its consumer app and Duolingo for Schools.
Preply competes for the same learning budget and study time by matching learners with paid human tutors instead of self-paced lessons.
ETS's TOEFL is the established English-proficiency exam that the Duolingo English Test is sold against, competing for the same test-takers and the same accepting universities.
IDP delivers the IELTS exam to students seeking to study or migrate abroad, the same certification demand the Duolingo English Test serves at a lower price and from home.
बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$1.15B
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$411M
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
$370M
कुल इक्विटी
$1.35B
कुल देनदारियाँ
$645M
Current Ratio
2.72
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
0.57
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$266.72
वर्तमान मूल्य
$144.68
Margin of Safety
+45.8%
Fair Value सीमा
$173.37 - $360.07
इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
16.77
ROE
30.7%
P/B Ratio
1.68
P/FCF
5.81
Gross Margin
72.7%
ROIC
8.3%
लाभप्रदता Radar
मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)
ROIC
8.3%
WACC
10.1%
ROIC − WACC
-1.8 pp
ROIC पूंजी की लागत से कम है — कंपनी निवेशित हर डॉलर पर मूल्य नष्ट कर रही है।
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (19)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 6.59%
- ROIC 8.3%
- Gross Margin 72.7%
- P/FCF 5.81
- P/B Ratio 1.68
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 13.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 30.1%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 45.0%
- Earnings Surprise avg 173.4%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.05
- Net Margin Trend 35.9% vs 13.2%
फेल (5)
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- Analyst Consensus 35% Buy
- Share Dilution 2.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
अनुपलब्ध (3)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक
Earnings गुणवत्ता
उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित
शेयर Dilution
नए शेयर जारी कर रही है, स्वामित्व को कम कर रही है
संस्थागत होल्डिंग
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Dr. Luis Alfonso von Ahn Arellano Ph.D. | Co-Founder, Chairman of the Board, President & CEO | 46 |
| Ms. Gillian Munson | Chief Financial Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Stephen Chen | General Counsel | 50 |
| Mr. Matthew Skaruppa | Advisor | 43 |
| Mr. Robert Meese | Chief Business Officer | 47 |
| Dr. Natalie Glance Ph.D. | Chief Engineering Officer | 56 |
| Dr. Severin Benedict Hacker Ph.D. | Co-Founder, CTO & Director | 39 |
| Ms. Deborah Belevan CPA | VP of Investor Relations | - |
| Sam Dalsimer | Global Head of Communications | - |
| Mr. Manu Orssaud | Chief Marketing Officer | - |
Audit जोखिम
1
बोर्ड जोखिम
8
मुआवजा जोखिम
8
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
10
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
दस्तावेज़
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)
कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-02-27
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)
पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-06
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)
किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-19
via SEC EDGAR
आय का इतिहास
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for DUOL, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 9/1/2026NEUTRALDuolingo sale: i grafici lanciano l'allarme nella transizione da crescita a value
Duolingo shares have seen a significant rebound, climbing 77% from their yearly low to reach $162. However, the popular online learning platform faces headwinds as AI tools disrupt its business model. Management is shifting focus to user growth, aiming to expand active users from 58.7 million to 100 million, by introducing new services like chess and math, and increasing marketing spend. This transition from a growth to a value-oriented strategy, coupled with AI challenges, introduces uncertainty for investors regarding the stock's future trajectory.
- 9/1/2026POSITIVELe azioni Duolingo +5%: un analista vede un potenziale di +42%
Duolingo shares surged over 5% on Tuesday following an upgrade from Evercore ISI, which moved the language learning company from 'In Line' to 'Outperform' and raised its price target to $210 from $105. This new target suggests a potential upside of nearly 42% from Monday's closing price. The upgrade coincides with Duolingo's strategic focus on enhancing user engagement and subscriber growth through AI-powered products. Despite a year-to-date decline of over 10% attributed to challenges in paid subscriber growth and concerns over generative AI disruptions, the company's latest product developments signal a potential turnaround.
- 8/18/2026POSITIVEPerché il titolo Duolingo sale del 6% oggi
Duolingo Inc. shares surged 6.6% on Tuesday, outperforming a broader market downturn. This rally was triggered by DA Davidson upgrading the language learning company's stock to 'Buy' and increasing its price target. Despite investor concerns about user growth and monetization deceleration, the upgrade highlights ongoing product improvements and strategic developments. The S&P 500 fell 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 1.1%, underscoring Duolingo's individual stock strength amidst market headwinds. This analyst upgrade suggests a positive outlook on Duolingo's future performance.
- 8/5/2026NEGATIVEDuolingo Shares Fall On Tepid Sales Outlook
Duolingo Inc. experienced a significant stock price decline of up to 12% on Wednesday. This downturn was primarily triggered by the company issuing a conservative revenue outlook for the current quarter. Despite reporting strong user growth, the tepid sales forecast overshadowed these positive metrics. Investors reacted negatively to the guidance, suggesting concerns about future revenue generation and potential market saturation or increased competition. The market's reaction highlights the sensitivity of growth stocks to forward-looking financial projections, even when current operational metrics appear robust.
- 6/8/2026POSITIVEDuolingo Stock Is Climbing Monday: What's Going On?
Duolingo Inc. (NASDAQ: DUOL) shares experienced a notable upward trend on Monday, driven by an improved market risk appetite. This surge follows a prolonged year-long slide, suggesting a potential shift in investor sentiment towards the stock. The rebound indicates that buyers are actively re-engaging with the stock, possibly anticipating a turnaround or capitalizing on perceived undervaluation after the extended downturn. Investors will be watching to see if this positive momentum can be sustained.
- 5/7/2026POSITIVEDuolingo Stock Is Climbing Thursday: What's Driving The Move?
Duolingo Inc. (NASDAQ: DUOL) experienced a significant stock price increase on Thursday, fueled by the company's robust performance in the first quarter. Investors are responding positively to Duolingo's earnings beat and sustained profitability momentum. This upward trend suggests strong market confidence in the company's business model and future growth prospects, potentially indicating a favorable environment for shareholders.
- 3/31/2026POSITIVEWhy Is Duolingo Stock Surging Tuesday?
Duolingo's stock experienced a significant surge of over 7% on Tuesday, indicating strong positive momentum. While the article mentions technical levels, short interest, and sector trends as potential drivers, the primary takeaway for investors is the substantial intraday price appreciation. This jump suggests renewed investor interest or positive sentiment surrounding the company, potentially fueled by recent performance, upcoming product launches, or favorable market conditions within the edtech sector. Further analysis of the specific catalysts would be needed to confirm the long-term implications.
- 3/11/2026POSITIVE1 Glorious Growth Stock, Down 81%, You Might Regret Not Buying on the Dip in March
Duolingo Inc. shares have experienced a significant decline of 81%, prompting speculation that the current dip may present a buying opportunity. The company's projected growth trajectory for the coming years suggests that the market's reaction might be an overcorrection. Investors are advised to consider the long-term potential of Duolingo's business model and its expansion plans as a key factor in evaluating the stock's current valuation.
- 3/9/2026NEGATIVEDuolingo Stock Is Down Big This Year. Here's Why Things Could Get Even Worse
Duolingo's stock has experienced a significant decline this year, with further deterioration possible as the company shifts its strategic focus towards user growth over immediate financial gains. This prioritization may lead to short-term negative impacts on its financial performance, potentially affecting revenue and profitability metrics. Investors are advised to monitor upcoming earnings reports closely for signs of how this strategy impacts the company's bottom line and its ability to meet market expectations.
- 3/9/2026POSITIVEArthedge Capital Doubles Down on Duolingo Stock, Adds Another $7 Million
Artheadge Capital has significantly increased its stake in Duolingo, adding another $7 million to its holdings. This substantial investment by a known capital firm signals strong conviction in Duolingo's business model and future growth prospects. The company, which provides digital language-learning tools globally, relies on continuous product innovation and user engagement. Artheadge's increased exposure suggests they anticipate further positive developments, potentially including strong user acquisition, revenue growth, or successful expansion into new markets, making Duolingo an attractive prospect for investors.
via Markets Gazette