Extreme Networks, Inc. (EXTR)
UndervaluedFundamental
63
मूल्य
$21.45
मार्केट कैप
$2.84B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Extreme Networks designs, develops and sells enterprise networking infrastructure: wired switches, Wi-Fi access points, SD-WAN equipment, plus the cloud software that manages them (ExtremeCloud IQ and, since July 2025, Extreme Platform ONE, which bundles networking, security and AI management into one console). Customers are organisations that need to connect large numbers of people and devices on their own premises — schools and universities, hospitals, retailers, factories, government bodies, hotels, transport operators and large sports and entertainment venues. Extreme does not build its own silicon or run its own factories: it buys merchant chips from vendors such as Broadcom and has products built by third-party original design manufacturers, while selling mostly indirectly through distributors and resellers rather than to end customers directly. The company states in the 10-K that it operates in a single segment, 'the development and marketing of network infrastructure equipment and related software and subscriptions'. In fiscal 2026 (ended 30 June 2026) net revenues were $1,283.6 million, with the Americas at 48.8%, EMEA at 41.6% and Asia-Pacific at 9.6% of the total.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Revenue comes from two lines that the company reports separately. Product revenue is the one-off sale of hardware — switches, access points, routers — recognised when the equipment ships, typically to a distributor who resells it to a channel partner and then to the end user. Subscription and support revenue covers cloud management subscriptions, software licences, maintenance contracts and professional services, and is largely recognised over the life of the contract, which makes it the more predictable half of the business. In fiscal 2026 product revenue was $809.6 million (63.1% of net revenues) and subscription and support revenue was $474.0 million (36.9%); the subscription and support line carried a 69.9% gross margin against 56.6% on product, and total gross margin was 61.5%. The company disclosed SaaS annual recurring revenue of $244.3 million at the end of fiscal 2026, up 17.7% year on year. Because most sales pass through distributors, reported revenue reflects what the channel buys, not directly what end customers install; product backlog was $51.8 million at 30 June 2026 against $72.3 million a year earlier.
सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व
Sales of networking hardware — campus and data-centre switches, Wi-Fi 6/6E/7 access points and SD-WAN appliances — sold mainly through distributors and resellers to enterprises, schools, hospitals, retailers and public bodies.
Cloud management subscriptions and software licences (ExtremeCloud IQ, Extreme Platform ONE), maintenance contracts and professional services sold to the same customers alongside the hardware, usually on multi-year terms.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
स्विचिंग कॉस्ट · संकीर्णOnce a campus network is built on Extreme's switches, access points and cloud console, replacing it means new hardware, re-cabling work, retrained staff and a new management platform, so installed bases tend to stay put and to renew subscriptions and support — the more profitable part of the revenue. That is a real but limited advantage: the 10-K itself says the market 'is dominated by a few large companies, particularly Cisco Systems, Hewlett Packard Enterprise and Huawei', that most competitors 'have greater name recognition, larger customer bases, broader product lines and substantially greater financial, technical, sales, marketing and other resources', and that cloud providers such as Amazon, Microsoft and Google are expected to add competitive pressure. Extreme buys merchant silicon and outsources manufacturing, so it has no cost or technology edge of its own at the component level.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
चक्रीयMost of the revenue is equipment bought out of IT capital budgets, and those budgets are the first thing an enterprise, a school district or a public body postpones when money is tight: fiscal 2024 revenue fell to $1,117.2 million before recovering to $1,140.1 million in fiscal 2025 and $1,283.6 million in fiscal 2026. Demand is driven by network refresh cycles (new Wi-Fi standards such as Wi-Fi 6E and 7, campus switch replacement), by public funding cycles in education and government, and by new venue and store build-outs. The company also discloses a seasonal pattern that 'generally adversely affects our first and third fiscal quarters', and says orders from telecom service providers are 'especially volatile and difficult to forecast'. The subscription and support line, 36.9% of fiscal 2026 revenue and recognised over the contract term, softens the swings but does not remove them.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Intense competition and consolidation in networking — The company lists as a principal risk that 'intense competition and consolidation in the market for networking equipment and management solutions could prevent us from increasing revenues', naming Cisco, HPE and Huawei as dominant players and Arista, RUCKUS, Fortinet and Ubiquiti as further competitors, most of them with far larger resources.
- Supply chain concentration and component shortages — Extreme discloses that 'supply chain issues such as concentration of suppliers and manufacturing partners, supplier disruptions, shipping delays, material or components shortages, quality control, regulatory impacts, and inability to reduce manufacturing costs' could harm its business. Products are built by third-party ODMs and depend on merchant silicon vendors such as Broadcom.
- Geopolitics, trade and tariffs — The first risk factor states that 'geopolitical changes are creating uncertainty regarding economic and trade matters, potentially leading to adverse general economic conditions'. The filing also notes that its global sourcing strategy faces trade policy changes, tariff uncertainty and conflicts that raise fuel and transport costs.
- Failure to keep up with cloud and AI networking shifts — The company warns that if it fails to anticipate technological shifts and market needs, 'including the adoption of cloud-based and AI-enabled networking technologies', and to deliver products that meet them in time or that gain market acceptance, it may not compete effectively and its ability to generate revenues will suffer.
- Demand forecasting and inventory write-downs — Extreme discloses that 'if we are not able to effectively forecast demand or manage our inventory, we may be required to record write-downs for excess or obsolete inventory'. It also notes that results depend on booking and shipping orders inside the same quarter, that a disproportionate share of sales lands in the last month of a quarter, and that orders in backlog can be cancelled.
- Dependence on international sales — The filing states that 'we depend upon international sales for a significant portion of our revenues, which imposes a number of risks on our business'. Sales outside the United States were 55% of consolidated net revenues in fiscal 2026, against 52% in fiscal 2025 and 48% in fiscal 2024, exposing results to currencies, local regulation and regional demand.
- Cyberattacks and security incidents — The company lists 'system security risks, data breaches, cyberattacks and other security incidents' that could compromise proprietary information, disrupt internal operations, affect services to customers and harm public perception of its products — a particular exposure for a vendor whose equipment carries customers' networks.
- No assurance of future profitability — Extreme states that it 'cannot assure future profitability' and that results 'may fluctuate significantly from period to period', for reasons including price decreases on the products it sells, product and channel mix, and the volatility of large orders from the telecommunications service provider market.
ग्राहक Concentration
शीर्ष ग्राहकों का राजस्व में 49% हिस्सा है
The 10-K discloses three customers above 10% of net revenues in fiscal 2026: Westcon Group at 18%, Jenne at 16% and TD Synnex at 15% — together roughly 49% of revenue. These are distributors, not end users: they resell to thousands of channel partners, so the underlying demand is far more fragmented than the figures suggest, and the company notes that 187 customers ordered more than one million dollars of Extreme solutions in fiscal 2026. The concentration still matters for credit and inventory: distributors can rotate stock back, and at 30 June 2026 Jenne accounted for 25% and ScanSource for 15% of net accounts receivable.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that fiscal 2026 marks a genuine turn: net revenues grew 12.6% to $1,283.6 million after two flat-to-down years, operating income rose from $16.9 million to $62.7 million, and the company posted net income of $42.1 million against a $7.5 million loss in fiscal 2025, while generating $123.2 million of operating cash flow. They point to the subscription side as the part that compounds — SaaS annual recurring revenue of $244.3 million, up 17.7%, at a 69.9% gross margin — and to Extreme Platform ONE and Extreme Agent ONE as an attempt to sell one integrated networking, security and AI console rather than boxes. They also note the geographic mix shifting towards faster-growing regions, with EMEA up 18.3% and Asia-Pacific up 34.9% in fiscal 2026, and see a small, focused vendor in verticals such as education, healthcare, retail and large venues where the giants are less attentive.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers fear that the underlying economics stay thin whatever the top line does: even in a 12.6% growth year the operating margin was 4.9% and net income $42.1 million on $1,283.6 million of revenue, and total gross margin slipped from 62.2% to 61.5%. They see a sub-scale player in a market the company itself describes as dominated by Cisco, HPE and Huawei, with competitors holding 'substantially greater financial, technical, sales, marketing and other resources' and cloud providers expected to add pressure. They worry that revenue is read through three distributors — 18%, 16% and 15% of fiscal 2026 net revenues — so reported growth can reflect channel stocking rather than end demand, a pattern that preceded the fiscal 2024 decline; product backlog fell from $72.3 million to $51.8 million. They also point to outsourced manufacturing and merchant silicon leaving costs exposed to tariffs, freight and component shortages, to 55% of revenue coming from outside the United States, and to the company's own statement that it cannot assure future profitability.
Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Cisco is the dominant supplier of the exact products Extreme sells — campus Ethernet switches, Wi-Fi access points and cloud network management — and the two vendors bid against each other for the same enterprise, government, education and hospitality networks.
HPE's networking arm, which now combines Aruba with the acquired Juniper Networks, sells wired and wireless campus infrastructure with AI-driven cloud management to the same enterprise buyers Extreme targets.
Arista built its business in data-center Ethernet switching and has pushed into campus switching and Wi-Fi, overlapping directly with Extreme's switching portfolio and its cloud-managed campus offer.
Fortinet sells switches and access points bundled with its firewalls, chasing the same mid-market and distributed-branch customers who want networking and security from one vendor — the converged deal Extreme also pursues.
Ubiquiti offers low-cost switches, access points and free controller software that take the price-sensitive end of Extreme's market — small businesses, hotels, campuses and service providers.
Huawei is the other volume leader in enterprise switching and Wi-Fi worldwide and competes head-on with Extreme for campus network deals in Europe, Asia and emerging markets.
बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$1.28B
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$42M
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
$95M
कुल इक्विटी
$89M
कुल देनदारियाँ
$1.09B
Current Ratio
0.93
Interest Coverage
4.55
Debt/EBITDA
2.34
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$40.90
वर्तमान मूल्य
$21.45
Margin of Safety
+47.6%
Fair Value सीमा
$26.58 - $55.21
इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
69.19
ROE
47.5%
P/B Ratio
31.60
P/FCF
29.39
Gross Margin
61.5%
ROIC
8.5%
लाभप्रदता Radar
मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)
ROIC
8.5%
WACC
14.0%
ROIC − WACC
-5.5 pp
ROIC पूंजी की लागत से कम है — कंपनी निवेशित हर डॉलर पर मूल्य नष्ट कर रही है।
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (17)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 15.92%
- ROIC 8.5%
- Gross Margin 61.5%
- P/FCF 29.39
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 50.7%
- Analyst Consensus 86% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 5.4%
- PEG Ratio 0.80
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.92
- Net Margin Trend 3.3% vs -0.7%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
फेल (9)
- P/B Ratio 31.60
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 4.9%
- CapEx intensity
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 4.9%
- Share Dilution 9.2%
अनुपलब्ध (1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-Score
मजबूत वित्तीय स्वास्थ्य
Earnings गुणवत्ता
उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित
शेयर Dilution
नए शेयर जारी कर रही है, स्वामित्व को कम कर रही है
संस्थागत होल्डिंग
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Edward B. Meyercord III | President, CEO & Executive Director | 60 |
| Mr. Kevin Rhodes | Executive VP of Finance & CFO | 56 |
| Mr. Syed Nabeel Anwar Bukhari | President of AI Platforms, EVP & Chief Technology Officer | 48 |
| Mr. Stanley Kovler | Senior Vice President of Finance & Corporate Development | - |
| Ms. Monica Kumar | Executive VP & Chief Marketing Officer | - |
| Ms. Gina M. Christopher | Deputy General Counsel | - |
| John Morrison | Senior Vice President of EMEA | - |
| Mr. Paul Semak | Senior Vice President of Americas International | - |
| Mr. Calvin Rowland | Senior Vice President of SaaS | - |
| Mr. Scott Peterson | Senior Vice President of Global Channel Sales | - |
Audit जोखिम
1
बोर्ड जोखिम
2
मुआवजा जोखिम
4
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
4
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
दस्तावेज़
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)
कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-17
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)
पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-04-30
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)
किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-26
via SEC EDGAR
आय का इतिहास
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for EXTR, sourced from Markets Gazette.