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Hensoldt AG (HNSDF)

Overvalued
IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseGermany

Fundamental

49

मूल्य

$76.24

मार्केट कैप

$8.78B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

HENSOLDT is a German defense electronics maker: it builds the radars, sensors, cameras and targeting optics that let military platforms see, track and aim, rather than making the aircraft, ships or vehicles themselves. Its equipment goes onto programs like the Eurofighter jet, the P-8 Poseidon patrol aircraft, and Leopard 2 tanks, sold mainly to European and NATO armed forces.

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

Revenue comes from long-cycle defense contracts: governments order equipment years in advance, HENSOLDT books the order as backlog and recognizes revenue as it develops, produces and delivers the systems, followed by years of maintenance and upgrade work on equipment already in the field. Growth therefore shows up first as order intake, which converts into revenue only gradually as programs move from contract to delivery.

सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व

Sensors83.1%

Radars, air-defence and reconnaissance sensors used on aircraft, ships and ground-based systems, the core of the business.

Optronics16.9%

Electro-optical sighting, targeting and vision systems mounted on land vehicles such as the Leopard 2 and Puma platforms.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

स्विचिंग कॉस्ट · संकीर्ण

Once HENSOLDT's radar or optronics are integrated into a platform like the Eurofighter or Leopard 2, replacing them mid-program means requalifying a new supplier through years of defense procurement and security clearance processes, which governments rarely choose to do. The trade-off is that this advantage is tied to a small number of large programs, so losing or not winning the next generation of one of them matters a great deal.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

मध्यम रूप से चक्रीय

Orders follow government defense budgets and multi-year procurement decisions rather than the broader economy, and the company itself credits Germany's elevated defense spending as the main driver of its record 2025 order intake. That makes demand more a function of political and budgetary decisions — which can also reverse or delay — than of a classic economic cycle.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Dependence on German defense spending — The company attributes its record 2025 order intake mainly to elevated German federal procurement, so a change in Germany's defense budget priorities would directly affect future orders.
  • Concentration in a few large programs — Order intake growth is driven by specific platforms such as the Eurofighter, Leopard 2 and P-8 Poseidon; a shift in any partner nation's procurement plans away from these platforms would reduce expected orders.
  • Export licensing dependency — International sales require export licenses from German and European authorities, whose approval decisions can delay or block contracts that are otherwise ready to proceed.

ग्राहक Concentration

HENSOLDT does not disclose an exact percentage, but its own 2025 results credit Germany as the key driver of order intake momentum, indicating heavy reliance on a single national defense customer.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that a record order backlog built on elevated German and European defense spending gives HENSOLDT years of visible future revenue, and that its equipment being designed into flagship platforms like the Eurofighter and Leopard 2 makes it difficult for those programs to switch suppliers.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers fear that growth leans heavily on the German government's current appetite for defense spending, which is a political decision that can change, that revenue is concentrated in a handful of flagship programs, and that export contracts remain subject to licensing decisions HENSOLDT does not control.

Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 55.6Score: 63Market cap: $34.66B

Elbit competes for the same optronics, sighting systems and electronic-warfare orders on land vehicles and aircraft, and is an aggressive bidder in the European export tenders Hensoldt targets.

Thales S.A.HO

Thales bids against Hensoldt for the same European air-defence radar, naval sensor, optronics and electronic-warfare programmes, with its Ground Master radars competing head-on with Hensoldt's TRML family.

Leonardo S.p.A.LDO

Leonardo sells radars, avionics and electronic-warfare suites to the same European armed forces and airborne platforms, competing with Hensoldt even though it also holds a large stake in it.

Saab ABSAAB-B

Saab's Giraffe and Erieye radar lines and its self-protection systems chase the same ground-based air-defence and airborne surveillance budgets in Europe and in export markets.

Indra Sistemas, S.A.IDR

Indra supplies radars, electronic-warfare and mission systems to European defence ministries and competes with Hensoldt for the sensor workshare on joint European programmes.

बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$2.68B

पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)

शुद्ध आय

$120M

पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)

Free Cash Flow

$304M

कुल इक्विटी

$889M

कुल देनदारियाँ

$1.69B

Current Ratio

1.10

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

4.88

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

सामान्य मामलाअधिक मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$47.78

वर्तमान मूल्य

$76.24

Margin of Safety

-59.5%

Fair Value सीमा

$31.06 - $64.51

इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।

अनुमान विधियाँ

विश्लेषकों का लक्ष्य मूल्य:$92.17
डिस्काउंटेड कैश फ्लो (DCF):$23.50
आय गुणक (P/E):$35.54
Graham वृद्धि फॉर्मूला:$16.93
अर्निंग पावर वैल्यू (EPV):$10.69
उचित P/B:$5.11
लाभांश डिस्काउंट (Gordon):$3.91
P/FFO, परिचालन से प्राप्त निधि:इसकी गणना के लिए पर्याप्त डेटा नहीं
मध्य-चक्र आय:इसकी गणना के लिए पर्याप्त डेटा नहीं
राजस्व गुणक:$87.63
विश्लेषक सहमति:खरीदें (10B / 9H / 1S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:+246.53%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

73.08

ROE

12.9%

P/B Ratio

9.87

P/FCF

28.88

Gross Margin

21.0%

ROIC

4.3%

लाभप्रदता Radar

मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)

ROIC

4.3%

WACC

14.6%

ROIC − WACC

-10.4 pp

ROIC पूंजी की लागत से कम है — कंपनी निवेशित हर डॉलर पर मूल्य नष्ट कर रही है।

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (11)

  • Price CAGR 33.11%
  • P/FCF 28.88
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 11.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 15.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 35.3%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 6.37

फेल (7)

  • ROIC 4.3%
  • Gross Margin 21.0%
  • P/B Ratio 9.87
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 3.6% vs 4.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

अनुपलब्ध (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

गंभीर वित्तीय चिंताएं

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

6.37

उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित

शेयर Dilution

-

शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल

संस्थागत होल्डिंग

इस कंपनी के लिए कोई संस्थागत घोषणा उपलब्ध नहीं है।

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Mr. Oliver DorreCEO & Chairman of Management Board-
Mr. Christian LadurnerCFO & Member of Management Board48
Dr. Lars ImmischExecutive Officer58
Nicolas DeboveChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Inka TewsChief Human Resources Officer, Labour Director & Member of Management Board54
Ms. Veronika EndresHead of Group Reporting & Investor Relations-
Dr. Katja StadelmannGeneral Counsel-
Ms. Simona PatapMarketing Manager-
Mr. Stefan HessHead of Group Sales & Account Management57
Mr. Temur KarbassiounHead of Customer Service-

Audit जोखिम

5

बोर्ड जोखिम

6

मुआवजा जोखिम

6

शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम

9

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

Latest News

Recent headlines for HNSDF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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Disclaimer

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