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Hormel Foods Corp (HRL)

Overvalued
Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsUnited States

Fundamental

52

मूल्य

$19.94

मार्केट कैप

$10.99B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

Hormel Foods is a US branded packaged-food company founded in 1891 and headquartered in Austin, Minnesota. It buys pork, turkey, beef, nuts and other agricultural inputs, processes them in its own and co-manufacturers' plants, and sells finished food under owned brands including SPAM, Jennie-O, Skippy, Planters, Applegate, Columbus, Hormel Black Label bacon and Café H. Fiscal 2025 net sales were $12.1 billion in a year ending 26 October 2025. The company sells through three channels: US grocery and mass retail, US foodservice operators such as restaurants, healthcare and schools, and international markets, where China and Brazil are the main owned operations alongside exports of SPAM, Skippy and fresh pork.

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

Revenue is the sale of physical food products, recognised when the goods are delivered to the customer. There is no subscription or recurring contract: the money comes from repeat purchases of consumable items with short shelf lives, so volumes recur but every case has to be sold again. Pricing sits between two forces — the price Hormel pays for hogs, turkeys, nuts and other commodities, and the price its retail and foodservice customers will accept. Because branded products carry a premium over commodity meat, the spread between input cost and shelf price is what the business actually earns; in fiscal 2025 the Retail segment produced far more sales than Foodservice but less segment profit, showing that channel mix, not volume alone, drives the result.

सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व

Retail61.6%

Branded and private-label food sold through US grocery chains, mass merchandisers, club stores and e-commerce, plus the MegaMex Foods joint venture. This is where SPAM, Skippy, Planters, Applegate and the Jennie-O turkey portfolio reach households. Net sales were $7,455.2 million in fiscal 2025.

Foodservice32.6%

Products made and marketed for US foodservice operators — restaurants, hotels, hospitals, schools and other institutions — including a customized solutions business, branded bacon and pepperoni, Fire Braised meats and Café H proteins. Net sales were $3,941.8 million in fiscal 2025, and this segment produced the largest segment profit of the three.

International5.9%

Retail and foodservice sales outside the United States, including owned operations in China and Brazil, equity-method investments, and exports of SPAM luncheon meat, Skippy peanut butter and fresh pork. Net sales were $709.1 million in fiscal 2025 and the segment recorded an operating loss for the year.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

ब्रांड · संकीर्ण

The durable advantage, such as it is, sits in the brands: SPAM, Skippy, Planters, Jennie-O and Applegate are names shoppers ask for, which earns shelf space and a price above unbranded meat and nuts. That advantage is real but limited. Hormel does not control the cost of its main inputs, private label competes directly in most of its categories, and nothing stops a shopper from switching brand on the next trip — there are no switching costs and no network effects. The fiscal 2025 results show the limits: the International business lost money at the operating line and the company took a $163.7 million impairment on its Garudafood investment, while the 10-K flags the International reporting unit's $258.9 million of goodwill as at heightened risk of further impairment. A brand that cannot protect returns everywhere it is carried is a narrow moat, not a wide one.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

डिफेंसिव

People eat in every economy, and most of what Hormel sells — canned meat, peanut butter, bacon, lunch meat, snack nuts — is bought weekly regardless of the business cycle, so volumes are steady. The cyclical pressure shows up elsewhere. Roughly a third of sales go to restaurants, hotels, hospitals and schools, and that channel follows how much people eat away from home, which falls in a downturn. And because the cost of hogs, turkeys and nuts moves on its own schedule, margins can swing sharply even when volumes do not: the profit cycle here is driven by input costs and by how fast retail prices can follow them, not by consumer demand collapsing.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Food safety and contamination — The company discloses that it is subject to food contamination caused by disease-producing organisms or pathogens such as Listeria monocytogenes, Salmonella and pathogenic E. coli, a risk inherent to the food industry that can lead to recalls and liability.
  • Disease outbreaks in livestock and poultry — Hormel discloses exposure to outbreaks of disease in pork and beef livestock and in poultry flocks. Because the company buys and processes hogs and turkeys, an outbreak can cut supply and raise the cost of the raw material its plants run on.
  • Tariffs, trade barriers and input costs — Under its economic-conditions risk factor the company states that the imposition of tariffs, quotas, trade barriers or other restrictions could increase the cost of key inputs or reduce their availability.
  • Dependence on a few large customers — The company discloses risk from unfavourable changes in its customer relationships. Sales to Walmart accounted for 15.6 percent of consolidated gross sales less returns and allowances in fiscal 2025, and the top five customers for approximately 38 percent.
  • Impairment of acquired intangibles and goodwill — The company discloses risks tied to acquisitions and intangible assets, including post-acquisition impairment charges. In fiscal 2025 it recorded a $163.7 million impairment on Garudafood, and it identifies the International reporting unit — carrying $258.9 million of goodwill with only modest fair value in excess of carrying amount — as at heightened risk of impairment.
  • Labour cost, availability and relations — The company discloses that a significant increase in labour costs, a reduction of available labour, or deterioration of labour relations at its own or co-manufacturing facilities could result in work slowdowns or stoppages.
  • Disruption of manufacturing, supply or distribution — The company discloses that a significant disruption in the operation of its manufacturing, supply or distribution capabilities could negatively affect its ability to operate the business. It separately discloses cybersecurity attacks and disruption to its IT systems as risks.
  • Execution of the cost and modernisation programme — The company discloses that it may not realise the anticipated cost savings or operating profit improvements from its initiatives; the Transform and Modernize initiative and a corporate restructuring programme are targeting efficiency gains through fiscal 2026.

ग्राहक Concentration

शीर्ष ग्राहकों का राजस्व में 38% हिस्सा है

Concentration is meaningful. The 10-K states that the top five customers collectively represented approximately 38 percent of consolidated gross sales less returns and allowances in fiscal 2025, and that Walmart alone accounted for 15.6 percent. One retailer therefore sits behind roughly one dollar in six. The company lists unfavourable changes in customer relationships among its disclosed risk factors, which is the practical consequence: a shelf-space decision by a single buyer moves a large block of revenue.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that the business is about as predictable as food gets: net sales grew about 2 percent to $12.1 billion in fiscal 2025 with all three segments contributing, on a portfolio of household names that people restock every week. They point to Foodservice as the quality inside the company — a third of sales but the largest segment profit of the three — and to the Transform and Modernize programme as a source of cost savings still running through fiscal 2026. They also see the International segment's loss as a fixable problem rather than a structural one, since the drag came from Brazil and from a Garudafood write-down rather than from the core American business, and they note that China kept growing through the year.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers fear a company squeezed from both ends. It buys commodities whose price it does not set — hogs, turkeys, nuts — and sells to a handful of buyers with real leverage, with roughly 38 percent of gross sales in five customers and 15.6 percent in Walmart alone; the 10-K itself lists unfavourable changes in customer relationships among its risks. They point to the International segment as evidence that expansion outside the United States has not worked: an operating loss for fiscal 2025, a $163.7 million Garudafood impairment, and $258.9 million of goodwill the company itself flags as at heightened risk of further write-down. Underneath that, they see a 2 percent growth rate in categories where private label competes directly, plus tail risks the company discloses and cannot control — pathogen contamination and recalls, disease outbreaks in livestock and poultry, and tariffs or trade restrictions raising input costs.

Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 31.2Score: 64Market cap: $1.14B

Tyson sells branded packaged and prepared meats — bacon, lunch meat, sausage, ready meals and foodservice proteins — to the same U.S. grocery chains and foodservice distributors Hormel's Retail and Foodservice segments serve.

P/E: 7.0Score: 73Market cap: $7.37B

Smithfield is the closest pork-based rival: its packaged meats brands (Eckrich, Nathan's Famous, Carando, Armour) fight for the same deli, bacon and lunch-meat shelf space as Hormel's pork and Columbus lines.

P/E: —Score: 57Market cap: $28.29B

Kraft Heinz competes for the same refrigerated meat and convenience-meal basket with Oscar Mayer cold cuts and hot dogs, Lunchables and Planters' rival nut brands.

Conagra Brands, Inc.CAG

Conagra's shelf-stable and frozen meals compete head-on with Hormel's grocery staples — Wolf Brand Chili against Stagg and Hormel Chili, Chef Boyardee and Banquet against Dinty Moore and Hormel Compleats.

JBS S.A.Not tracked

Through its U.S. arms (Swift, Pilgrim's Pride, Seara) JBS supplies branded and private-label pork, poultry and prepared proteins to the same retail and foodservice buyers Hormel bids for.

Johnsonville, LLCNot tracked

Johnsonville is the leading U.S. sausage brand and disputes the fresh and cooked sausage aisle with Hormel's own sausage and breakfast-meat lines.

बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$12.15B

पिछले 12 महीने (26/7/2026 तक)

शुद्ध आय

$343M

पिछले 12 महीने (26/7/2026 तक)

Free Cash Flow

$534M

कुल इक्विटी

$7.90B

कुल देनदारियाँ

$5.48B

Current Ratio

1.88

Interest Coverage

7.28

Debt/EBITDA

2.93

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

सामान्य मामलाअधिक मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$15.94

वर्तमान मूल्य

$19.94

Margin of Safety

-25.1%

Fair Value सीमा

$10.36 - $21.51

इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।

अनुमान विधियाँ

विश्लेषकों का लक्ष्य मूल्य:$26.13
डिस्काउंटेड कैश फ्लो (DCF):इसकी गणना के लिए पर्याप्त डेटा नहीं
आय गुणक (P/E):$8.08
Graham वृद्धि फॉर्मूला:$4.64
अर्निंग पावर वैल्यू (EPV):$10.06
उचित P/B:$7.77
लाभांश डिस्काउंट (Gordon):इसकी गणना के लिए पर्याप्त डेटा नहीं
P/FFO, परिचालन से प्राप्त निधि:इसकी गणना के लिए पर्याप्त डेटा नहीं
मध्य-चक्र आय:इसकी गणना के लिए पर्याप्त डेटा नहीं
राजस्व गुणक:$26.11
विश्लेषक सहमति:रोकें (6B / 9H / 0S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:+3.67%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

31.65

ROE

6.1%

P/B Ratio

1.40

P/FCF

14.05

Gross Margin

15.7%

ROIC

4.0%

लाभप्रदता Radar

मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)

ROIC

4.0%

WACC

6.8%

ROIC − WACC

-2.8 pp

ROIC पूंजी की लागत से कम है — कंपनी निवेशित हर डॉलर पर मूल्य नष्ट कर रही है।

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (12)

  • P/FCF 14.05
  • P/B Ratio 1.40
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.19
  • Share Dilution 0.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

फेल (14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -5.00%
  • Price CAGR -5.13%
  • ROIC 4.0%
  • Gross Margin 15.7%
  • Operating Margin 4.7%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 4.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 4.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 40% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 2.8% vs 6.3%

अनुपलब्ध (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

3.19

उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित

शेयर Dilution

0.4%

शेयर संख्या स्थिर है

संस्थागत होल्डिंग

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Mr. Jeffrey M. EttingerInterim CEO & Director67
Mr. John F. GhingoPresident & Director52
Ms. Colleen R. Batcheler J.D.Senior VP of External Affairs, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary51
Mr. Swen NeufeldtGroup VP & President of Hormel Foods International51
Mr. Paul R. KuehnemanInterim CFO & Controller53
Mr. Donald MonkSenior VP & CTO-
Ms. Jess BlombergDirector of Investor Relations-
Mr. Pierre M. LillySenior VP & Chief Compliance Officer54
Ms. Mary Katherine ClarkSenior VP & Chief Communications Officer45
Mr. Nathan P. AnnisVice President of Corporate Development-

Audit जोखिम

9

बोर्ड जोखिम

3

मुआवजा जोखिम

7

शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम

8

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

दस्तावेज़

  • वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)

    कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2025-12-05

    दस्तावेज़ देखें
  • तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)

    पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-27

    दस्तावेज़ देखें
  • विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)

    किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।

    दाखिल तिथि: 2026-09-30

    दस्तावेज़ देखें

via SEC EDGAR

आय का इतिहास

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for HRL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/28/2026POSITIVE
    Hormel Foods Shares Rise on Strong Q2 Earnings

    Hormel Foods announced strong Q2 results, with adjusted earnings per share and organic sales surpassing analyst forecasts. President John Ghingo highlighted the success of the company's turnaround plan, which is directly contributing to these improved financial figures. This positive performance, exceeding market expectations, suggests effective strategic execution and operational efficiency. Investors will likely view this as a sign of renewed strength and growth potential for the company, potentially leading to increased confidence and upward price movement.

  • 2/26/2026NEUTRAL
    Hormel (HRL) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

    Investors are keenly awaiting the Q1 2026 earnings call transcript from Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL). While the content is not yet available, such calls are pivotal events for market participants, offering direct insights into a company's financial health, operational performance, and strategic direction. Analysts and shareholders typically scrutinize these transcripts for details on sales figures, profit margins, and management's outlook on future growth and challenges within the competitive food industry. The absence of immediate data means the market remains in a holding pattern, anticipating the release of these crucial details to inform investment decisions and adjust valuations based on the company's latest performance metrics and forward-looking statements.

  • 2/26/2026NEGATIVE
    Hormel Mixed Q1: Retail Weakness Weigh On Strong Foodservice, International Sales

    Hormel Foods reported a mixed first fiscal quarter, disappointing investors despite an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) beat. Overall Q1 FY26 sales missed market estimates, a factor that significantly weighed on the stock, leading to a decline. Weakness in the retail segment offset strong performance in foodservice and international sectors, highlighting a challenge in the domestic market. Analysts suggest that the top-line miss and concerns about domestic demand outweighed the optimism generated by the EPS beat, indicating investor caution regarding short-term growth prospects.

  • 2/25/2026POSITIVE
    How To Earn $500 A Month From Hormel Foods Stock Ahead Of Q1 Earnings

    Hormel Foods (HRL) is set to release its first-quarter earnings on February 26, a pivotal event for investors monitoring the food giant's performance. Market expectations point to an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.32 and estimated revenues of $3.06 billion. Beyond the quarterly figures, attention is also drawn to the company's generous dividend yield, currently standing at 4.53%. This aspect makes the stock particularly appealing to those seeking consistent income streams, offering a potential earning perspective even before the official earnings release. Analysts suggest that dividend stability, coupled with results in line with expectations, could bolster long-term investor confidence.

via Markets Gazette

Disclaimer

यह प्लेटफ़ॉर्म केवल शैक्षिक उद्देश्यों के लिए है। यह कोई वित्तीय, निवेश, या ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं देता। सभी स्कोर, मूल्यांकन, और संकेत सार्वजनिक रूप से उपलब्ध डेटा के स्वचालित विश्लेषण पर आधारित हैं जो अधूरे या गलत हो सकते हैं। निवेश निर्णय लेने से पहले हमेशा अपना शोध करें और एक योग्य वित्तीय सलाहकार से परामर्श लें।

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