Ono Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (OPHLF)
Fair ValueFundamental
89
मूल्य
$2333.00
मार्केट कैप
$1.15T
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Ono Pharmaceutical is a Japanese drugmaker that researches and sells its own prescription medicines, mainly in oncology, immunology and neurology, both in Japan and increasingly overseas. It is also the original inventor of Opdivo, the cancer immunotherapy it discovered and now co-develops and sells outside Japan through a partnership with Bristol-Myers Squibb, which pays Ono a royalty on those outside sales.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Revenue has three parts: sales of its own drugs in Japan, sales of its own and licensed drugs overseas — boosted by the 2024 acquisition of U.S. biotech Deciphera — and royalty income earned when partners sell drugs Ono discovered, chiefly Opdivo through Bristol-Myers Squibb and, to a lesser extent, Keytruda-related payments from Merck. Domestic sales have been shrinking under generic competition while overseas sales and royalties are growing and now drive most of the company's profit growth.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
पेटेंट और लाइसेंस · संकीर्णOno's moat is its patent-protected drug pipeline, most visibly Opdivo, which it discovered and still collects royalties on years after launch. But patents are a wasting asset: the company's own Opdivo patents begin expiring around 2028 in the U.S., 2030 in Europe and 2031 in Japan, after which biosimilar competition can erode that royalty stream.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
डिफेंसिवPrescription drug demand is largely need-based and holds up through economic downturns, which is typical of pharmaceutical companies generally. The bigger swing factor for Ono is not the economic cycle but the patent clock on Opdivo and its domestic products, which sets a known date after which a major income source starts to decline regardless of the economy.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Opdivo patent cliff — Opdivo patents begin expiring around 2028 in the U.S., 2030 in Europe and 2031 in Japan, after which biosimilar entrants are expected to gradually erode the royalty income Ono earns from Bristol-Myers Squibb.
- Domestic sales pressured by generics — Sales of Ono's own products in Japan have been declining as competition and generic entry erode revenue from drugs past their exclusivity period.
- Royalty income concentrated in two partners — Roughly 29% of total revenue came from royalty payments by just two partners, Bristol-Myers Squibb and Merck, so a change in either company's sales or royalty terms would materially affect Ono's results.
ग्राहक Concentration
शीर्ष ग्राहकों का राजस्व में 29% हिस्सा है
In the fiscal year ended March 2026, royalty income from Bristol-Myers Squibb on Opdivo (¥122.3 billion) and from Merck on Keytruda-related payments (¥29.5 billion) together were roughly 29% of Ono's ¥515.8 billion in total revenue, concentrating a large slice of income in two royalty-paying partners.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that royalty income from Bristol-Myers Squibb and Merck keeps growing even as Ono's own domestic sales shrink, that the Deciphera acquisition gives the company a direct overseas sales channel rather than relying solely on royalties, and that the years remaining before Opdivo's patent cliff give time to build a post-Opdivo pipeline.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers fear that roughly 29% of revenue rests on royalty payments from just two partners tied to a single drug whose patents start expiring in 2028, that domestic sales are already shrinking under generic competition, and that replacing Opdivo's income with new drugs is a multi-year bet that may not pay off in time.
Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 19 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Its PD-1 antibody Keytruda fights Ono's Opdivo indication by indication for the same oncologists and the same cancer patients, in Japan above all.
Its checkpoint inhibitor Imfinzi and its lung-cancer franchise compete directly with Opdivo in the same tumour types, and the two companies have also ended their Japanese co-promotion of Forxiga.
The leading oncology company in the Japanese hospital market, it sells the PD-L1 antibody Tecentriq and a broad cancer portfolio to the same prescribers Ono calls on.
Competes for the same Japanese and global oncology budgets with its antibody-drug conjugates such as Enhertu, which often replace or displace chemo-immunotherapy regimens built around Opdivo.
A Japanese pharmaceutical group of similar footprint, competing for the same domestic prescription revenue in oncology and specialty care with products such as Xtandi and Padcev.
बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$504.41B
अंतिम प्रकाशित तिमाही तक के पिछले 12 महीने — प्रति शेयर मेट्रिक्स से अनुमानित
शुद्ध आय
$76.24B
अंतिम प्रकाशित तिमाही तक के पिछले 12 महीने — प्रति शेयर मेट्रिक्स से अनुमानित
Free Cash Flow
$120.53B
कुल इक्विटी
$866.83B
कुल देनदारियाँ
$117.10B
Current Ratio
3.28
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
0.85
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$2391.08
वर्तमान मूल्य
$2333.00
Margin of Safety
+2.4%
Fair Value सीमा
$1554.20 - $3227.96
इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
14.23
ROE
9.3%
P/B Ratio
1.25
P/FCF
9.55
Gross Margin
73.6%
ROIC
10.7%
लाभप्रदता Radar
मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)
ROIC
10.7%
WACC
7.9%
ROIC − WACC
+2.8 pp
ROIC पूंजी की लागत से अधिक है — कंपनी शेयरधारकों के लिए मूल्य सृजित कर रही है।
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (16)
- ROIC 10.7%
- Gross Margin 73.6%
- P/FCF 9.55
- P/B Ratio 1.25
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 20.0%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- ROE 9.1%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 10.8%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.93
- Net Margin Trend 13.5% vs 10.3%
फेल (4)
- Price CAGR 0.42%
- Analyst Consensus 15% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg -9.1%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
अनुपलब्ध (7)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
गंभीर वित्तीय चिंताएं
Earnings गुणवत्ता
उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित
शेयर Dilution
शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल
संस्थागत होल्डिंग
इस कंपनी के लिए कोई संस्थागत घोषणा उपलब्ध नहीं है।
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Gyo Sagara | CEO & Chairman of the Board | 67 |
| Mr. Toichi Takino Ph.D. | President, COO & Representative Director | 57 |
| Mr. Toshihiro Tsujinaka | Corp Sr Ex Off, Chief CMC & Prod, Dig Tech, Glob Qual, Bus Trans Dept Off, Bus Des/Chief Off and Dir | 61 |
| Mr. Masaki Ito | Corporate Executive Officer and Div. Director of Corporate Strategy, Planning & Bus. Management Div. | - |
| Takehiro Yamada | Corporate Officer & Head of Risk and Compliance Management Department | - |
| Hiromu Habashita Ph.D. | Corporate Officer, Senior Vice President, Discovery & Research | - |
| Shinji Takai M.D., Ph.D. | Corporate Officer & Head of Medical Affairs | - |
| Satoshi Takahagi | Senior Director of EHS Promotion & Corporate Officer | - |
| Akira Takada | Corporate Executive Officer & Executive Director of CMC & Production | - |
| Mr. Tatsuya Okamoto | Corporate Officer & Executive Director of Clinical Development, Oncology Clinical Development Div. | - |
Audit जोखिम
1
बोर्ड जोखिम
4
मुआवजा जोखिम
1
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
1
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
Latest News
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