Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG)
UndervaluedFundamental
66
मूल्य
$203.19
मार्केट कैप
$13.61B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Penske Automotive Group is an international transportation-services retailer. Its core business is owning and operating franchised vehicle dealerships: it sells new and used cars and light trucks, arranges the financing and insurance that go with them, and services and repairs vehicles through its dealership workshops. Alongside the car business it runs one of the largest networks of heavy- and medium-duty commercial truck dealerships in North America (Premier Truck Group, mainly Freightliner and Western Star), and it distributes Western Star trucks, MAN and Dennis Eagle trucks and diesel engines in Australia and New Zealand. Operations span the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, Italy, Japan, Australia and New Zealand, with more than 27,700 employees; the United States accounts for 62% of revenue and the United Kingdom 26%. Over 40 vehicle brands are represented, and premium marques such as Audi, BMW, Land Rover, Lexus, Mercedes-Benz and Porsche generate 71% of franchised retail automotive dealership revenue. Separately, Penske holds a 28.9% non-controlling interest in Penske Truck Leasing (trading as Penske Transportation Solutions), a truck leasing and logistics joint venture that does not consolidate into revenue but contributed $192.8 million of equity earnings in 2025.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Revenue comes almost entirely from selling vehicles, but the profit does not. In 2025 new vehicles were 40.4% of total company revenue yet only 22.3% of gross profit, and used vehicles 28.1% of revenue against 9.0% of gross profit: metal moves at thin margins. The money is made on the attachments. Finance and insurance — commissions on loans, leases and warranty products written at the point of sale — was 2.6% of revenue but 15.7% of gross profit, essentially pure margin. Service and parts was 10.6% of revenue and 37.8% of gross profit, the single largest profit pool, and it is recurring: the company measures how much of its fixed dealership cost base the service department alone covers (a 75.7% 'fixed absorption ratio' in retail automotive in 2025). Fleet and wholesale sales add 4.7% of revenue and 1.1% of gross profit. The same pattern holds in commercial trucks, where service and parts contributed 2.8% of revenue and 7.1% of gross profit. Vehicle inventory is financed with floor-plan credit lines from manufacturers' captive finance arms and banks, so inventory is funded by debt rather than by equity.
सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व
Franchised and used-only car dealerships in eight countries selling new and used cars and light trucks to retail consumers, plus the finance, insurance, service and parts sold around them. Premium European and Japanese brands make up 71% of franchised dealership revenue in this segment.
Premier Truck Group, a network of dealerships in the United States and Canada selling new and used medium- and heavy-duty trucks — chiefly Freightliner and Western Star — to fleet operators and owner-drivers, with parts and workshop service attached.
Importer and distributor of Western Star, MAN and Dennis Eagle trucks, buses and diesel and gas engines in Australia and New Zealand, sold to independent dealers and to fleet and industrial customers, together with retail power-systems activities.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
पेटेंट और लाइसेंस · संकीर्णThe durable asset is the franchise right itself. A manufacturer grants the right to sell and, crucially, to perform warranty work on a brand in a defined area, and state franchise laws in the U.S. make those rights hard to revoke or duplicate; they cannot be bought except from an incumbent owner. That gives each store a protected service and parts annuity, the highest-margin part of the business, and Penske's scale — over 40 brands across eight countries, weighted to premium marques — spreads back-office, floor-plan financing and used-vehicle sourcing costs more thinly than a single-store operator can. The advantage is narrow rather than wide because the same filing describes how much control sits on the other side of the table: manufacturers set territories, capital and facility requirements, and hold rights to terminate franchises or acquire dealerships in defined circumstances, and they cap how many dealerships one group may own in some markets. The retailer cannot raise prices on a new vehicle at will and does not own the brand it sells.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
चक्रीयAround two thirds of revenue is new and used vehicle sales, the textbook discretionary big-ticket purchase: it is financed, so it responds to interest rates and credit availability, and it can be postponed when households feel poorer. Commercial trucks are more cyclical still, tracking freight rates and fleet replacement cycles rather than the consumer. What cushions the fall is the workshop: service and parts demand follows the number of vehicles already on the road and their age, not this year's sales, and in 2025 it covered 75.7% of the fixed cost base of the retail automotive dealerships. So revenue swings hard with the cycle while a large share of gross profit swings much less — and a bad year for new car volumes still leaves cars needing servicing.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Manufacturers exercise significant control over the dealerships — Framework and franchise agreements let vehicle manufacturers dictate operating standards, capital and facility investment and inventory allocation, and grant them rights to terminate or not renew a franchise, and in specified circumstances to acquire dealerships. The company's ability to run its own stores as it sees fit is therefore limited by parties it does not control.
- Tariffs and trade measures — U.S. tariffs on imported vehicles and parts, and trade measures affecting the company's suppliers, are disclosed as a risk to vehicle cost, availability and consumer pricing. Penske sells a portfolio weighted to imported premium brands, so measures aimed at imports bear directly on its mix.
- Vehicle emissions rules and electric-vehicle mandates — Emissions standards and mandated electric-vehicle sales shares — the filing cites a 33% EV requirement in the United Kingdom for 2026 — can force the company to sell a mix that differs from what its customers are asking for, with consequences for discounting, inventory and compliance.
- Limits on acquiring additional dealerships — Franchise agreements impose geographic restrictions and caps on how many dealerships or what share of a brand's sales one owner may hold, which constrains the acquisition-led growth the company has historically relied on in certain markets.
- Cyclicality of vehicle sales and used-vehicle pricing — Economic conditions, consumer credit availability and confidence drive vehicle demand, and movements in used-vehicle values affect both the margin on units already in stock and trade-in values. Both are disclosed as outside the company's control.
- Cybersecurity incidents, including at suppliers — A security breach or unauthorised disclosure of customer or company data could disrupt operations and expose the company to investigations, litigation and penalties. The filing also notes supply disruption caused by a cybersecurity incident at a manufacturer, citing Jaguar Land Rover — a reminder that the dealer suffers when a supplier's systems stop.
ग्राहक Concentration
The filing does not disclose a top-customer share, and for this business it would not be meaningful: the retail automotive segment, 86.4% of revenue, sells one vehicle at a time to individual consumers, so there is no customer large enough to matter. Where concentration exists it is on the other side of the transaction — supplier and brand concentration. Premium marques account for 71% of franchised retail automotive dealership revenue, the commercial truck segment depends chiefly on Freightliner and Western Star products, and manufacturers control the franchise agreements. Geographic concentration is also worth noting: the United States is 62% of revenue and the United Kingdom 26%. Commercial truck and distribution customers are fleets and independent dealers, a smaller and more repeat-based base, but the filing gives no figure for how concentrated it is.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that the profit engine is not the part of the business that looks cyclical. Service and parts plus finance and insurance together produced 53.5% of gross profit in 2025 on 13.2% of revenue, and the workshop alone covered 75.7% of the retail automotive fixed cost base, so a downturn in unit sales does not hollow out the earnings the way headline revenue suggests. They point to the premium mix — 71% of franchised automotive revenue from brands like BMW, Porsche and Mercedes-Benz — as a customer base that keeps servicing its cars and finances them readily, and to geographic spread across eight countries as diversification away from any single national cycle. They also note the 28.9% stake in Penske Transportation Solutions, which contributed $192.8 million of equity earnings and $98.7 million of cash distributions in 2025 without appearing in consolidated revenue at all: an asset whose contribution is easy to miss when reading the income statement from the top. Finally, franchise rights are protected by law and can only be acquired from an incumbent, which buyers read as a structural barrier that keeps new competitors from simply opening next door.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers fear that the company sits between two forces it does not control. Upstream, manufacturers set the standards, the facility investments and the inventory allocation, and hold the right to terminate a franchise or acquire dealerships in defined circumstances; downstream, the customer is a household deciding whether to finance a big-ticket purchase. Between them sits a balance sheet where vehicle inventory is funded with floor-plan credit and a large part of borrowing carries variable rates, so higher interest expense arrives at exactly the moment demand softens. They point to the disclosed risks around tariffs on imported vehicles and parts, which strike hardest at the imported premium mix that carries the profit, and to European and U.K. electric-vehicle mandates that can force a sales mix the customer has not asked for, paid for with discounts. New and used vehicle sales are 68.5% of revenue but only 31.3% of gross profit, so a period of margin normalisation in vehicle gross profit hits earnings much harder than revenue. And growth by acquisition, the historical engine, is capped in some markets by geographic and ownership limits written into the franchise agreements themselves.
Generated on 19 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 19 सितंबर 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
The largest US used-vehicle retailer, competing with Penske for the same used-car buyers and trade-in inventory as well as for the attached financing and warranty revenue.
The closest peer: a franchised dealer group with a comparable luxury and import brand mix that sells, finances and services new and used cars in the same US metro markets and in the United Kingdom, the two regions where Penske retails most of its vehicles.
The largest US franchised auto retailer by revenue, competing with Penske for the same new-vehicle buyers, service customers and dealership acquisitions, and pushing the same online-plus-showroom purchase model through Driveway.
A national franchised dealership chain overlapping with Penske in large Sun Belt and coastal markets, competing on new and used vehicle sales, finance and insurance products and fixed-operations service work.
Another large franchised group weighted toward luxury and import franchises, bidding for the same manufacturer franchise awards and the same premium-brand customers in shared US regions.
A franchised dealer group with a similar luxury brand concentration whose EchoPark stores compete head-on with Penske's stand-alone used-vehicle business for the same pre-owned buyers.
बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$32.20B
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$906M
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
$650M
कुल इक्विटी
$5.56B
कुल देनदारियाँ
$12.02B
Current Ratio
0.98
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
3.59
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$304.50
वर्तमान मूल्य
$203.19
Margin of Safety
+33.3%
Fair Value सीमा
$197.93 - $411.08
इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
14.56
ROE
16.8%
P/B Ratio
2.26
P/FCF
22.61
Gross Margin
16.1%
ROIC
8.9%
लाभप्रदता Radar
मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)
ROIC
8.9%
WACC
7.0%
ROIC − WACC
+1.9 pp
ROIC पूंजी की लागत से अधिक है — कंपनी शेयरधारकों के लिए मूल्य सृजित कर रही है।
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 15.34%
- ROIC 8.9%
- P/FCF 22.61
- P/B Ratio 2.26
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 16.5%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 9.2%
- PEG Ratio 0.92
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.99
- Share Dilution -1.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
फेल (9)
- Gross Margin 16.1%
- Operating Margin 4.0%
- CapEx intensity
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Analyst Consensus 33% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg -1.9%
- Net Margin Trend 2.8% vs 3.2%
अनुपलब्ध (2)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-Score
मजबूत वित्तीय स्वास्थ्य
Earnings गुणवत्ता
मध्यम: मुनाफे और नकदी के बीच कुछ अंतर
शेयर Dilution
शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल
संस्थागत होल्डिंग
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Roger S. Penske Sr. | Chairman & CEO | 88 |
| Mr. Robert H. Kurnick Jr. | President & Director | 63 |
| Ms. Michelle Hulgrave | Executive VP & CFO | 46 |
| Mr. Shane M. Spradlin | Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary | 55 |
| Mr. Claude H. Denker III | Executive Vice President of Human Resources | 66 |
| Mr. Yosuke Kawakami | Executive VP of Strategic Relationship Management & Director | 54 |
| Mr. Richard A. Hook | Executive VP & Chief Information Officer | 50 |
| Mr. Anthony R. Pordon | Executive Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Development | 60 |
| Ms. Tracy Cassady | Executive VP & Chief Marketing Officer | 52 |
| Mr. George W. Brochick | Executive Vice President of Strategic Development | 75 |
Audit जोखिम
3
बोर्ड जोखिम
7
मुआवजा जोखिम
3
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
4
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
दस्तावेज़
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)
कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-02-27
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)
पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-07-30
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)
किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-10
via SEC EDGAR
आय का इतिहास
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for PAG, sourced from Markets Gazette.