Symbotic Inc. (SYM)
Fair ValueFundamental
33
मूल्य
$43.76
मार्केट कैप
$26.66B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Symbotic builds robotic systems that automate warehouses: AI-guided robots that receive, store and retrieve pallets and cases inside a customer's distribution centre, replacing manual forklift and picking work. It designs the robots and software, then installs and commissions a customised system inside each customer's building — a large upfront engineering and construction project, followed by an ongoing relationship servicing and upgrading that installation for years. Walmart is by far its largest customer and the company's founding partner.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Most revenue comes from selling and installing a complete automated warehouse system: a large, project-based sale recognized as the robots and infrastructure are built and deployed at a customer's site, which makes revenue lumpy and tied to how many new sites are under construction in a given period. A smaller but growing share comes from software maintenance and operations services billed after a system goes live, which increases as more of Symbotic's installed base moves from construction into daily operation.
सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व
The upfront sale and installation of a complete automated warehouse system at a customer's site.
Ongoing services that help a customer run an already-installed system's daily warehouse operations after it goes live.
Recurring fees for maintaining and supporting the software of installed systems, still small but growing with the installed base.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
स्विचिंग कॉस्ट · संकीर्णOnce Symbotic's robots and software are built into a warehouse's physical layout, replacing the system means ripping out custom infrastructure and rebuilding around a competitor's design — an expensive, disruptive step most customers would avoid once a site is running. That lock-in mainly protects revenue at sites already built, though: it does not stop a customer from choosing a rival automation provider for its next new warehouse.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
चक्रीयRevenue depends on the pace at which a small number of very large retail and logistics customers commit capital to build new automated warehouses, decisions made in multi-year capital budgets that can be accelerated, paused or cancelled. Because Symbotic's near-term revenue tracks a handful of these large capital commitments rather than broad-based demand, results can swing sharply based on the timing of just one or two customer decisions.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Extreme customer concentration on Walmart — More than 84% of revenue came from a single customer, Walmart, in fiscal 2025; any change in the pace, scope or terms of Walmart's rollout plan would have an outsized effect on results.
- Complex, large-scale project execution risk — Each installation is a custom engineering and construction project; delays, cost overruns or technical problems in deploying a system can push out when revenue is recognized and increase the cost of delivering it.
- Reliance on the GreenBox joint venture structure — A meaningful part of Symbotic's growth plan runs through GreenBox, a joint venture that depends on its own separate financing and customer relationships, adding a layer of complexity and risk outside Symbotic's direct control.
- Backlog conversion risk — A large share of Symbotic's reported backlog is not expected to convert into revenue for years; if a customer delays, renegotiates or cancels a project, backlog figures overstate the revenue that will actually materialize.
ग्राहक Concentration
शीर्ष ग्राहकों का राजस्व में 84% हिस्सा है
More than 84% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from Walmart, Symbotic's founding customer and largest shareholder-linked partner; the pace and scale of Walmart's own warehouse rollout plans therefore dominate Symbotic's near-term results.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that Symbotic's backlog of tens of billions of dollars gives it years of revenue visibility most companies its size do not have, that its deep partnership with Walmart could expand into other large retailers, and that automating warehouses is still in its early stages across the wider logistics industry.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers fear that a business generating more than 84% of revenue from one customer has essentially no room for that relationship to sour, that converting a large backlog into actual revenue depends on execution across many complex, custom installations, and that the GreenBox joint venture adds a layer of financing and operational risk outside Symbotic's direct control.
Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026
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बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$2.65B
पिछले 12 महीने (27/6/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$8M
पिछले 12 महीने (27/6/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
-
कुल इक्विटी
$220M
कुल देनदारियाँ
$1.92B
Current Ratio
1.33
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
-
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$40.49
वर्तमान मूल्य
$43.76
Margin of Safety
-8.1%
Fair Value सीमा
$26.32 - $54.66
इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
841.40
ROE
-7.7%
P/B Ratio
35.84
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
21.3%
ROIC
-0.0%
लाभप्रदता Radar
मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)
ROIC
-0.0%
WACC
15.7%
ROIC − WACC
-15.8 pp
ROIC पूंजी की लागत से कम है — कंपनी निवेशित हर डॉलर पर मूल्य नष्ट कर रही है।
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (7)
- Price CAGR 34.31%
- Current Ratio
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Revenue Growth 5Y 89.4%
- Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 108.96
- Net Margin Trend 0.3% vs -0.3%
फेल (13)
- EPS shows upward trend
- ROIC -0.0%
- Gross Margin 21.3%
- P/B Ratio 35.84
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin -0.0%
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- ROE 2.2%
- Earnings Surprise avg -81.2%
- Share Dilution 9.9%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
अनुपलब्ध (7)
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक
Earnings गुणवत्ता
उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित
शेयर Dilution
नए शेयर जारी कर रही है, स्वामित्व को कम कर रही है
संस्थागत होल्डिंग
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Richard B. Cohen | Chairman of the Board, President & CEO | 72 |
| Ms. Izilda P. Martins | CFO & Treasurer | 54 |
| Dr. James Kuffner | Chief Technology Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Michael Dunn | Chief Customer officer | 51 |
| Mr. Walter Odisho | Chief Manufacturing & Supply Chain Officer | 61 |
| Ms. Maria G. Freve | VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | 51 |
| Mr. Charles Lowell Anderson | Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Development | - |
| Mr. Corey C. DuFresne | Chief Legal Officer & Secretary | 53 |
| Ms. Miriam Ort | Chief Human Resources & Growth Officer | 44 |
| Mr. William Boyd III | Chief Strategy Officer | 58 |
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
दस्तावेज़
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
वार्षिक रिपोर्ट (10-K)
कंपनी के कारोबार, वित्तीय नतीजों और जोखिमों का वार्षिक सिंहावलोकन।
दाखिल तिथि: 2025-11-24
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
तिमाही रिपोर्ट (10-Q)
पिछले तीन महीनों के वित्तीय प्रदर्शन का अपडेट।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-05
- दस्तावेज़ देखें
विशेष रिपोर्ट (8-K)
किसी बड़ी घटना, जैसे नेतृत्व में बदलाव या बड़ी घोषणा, की सूचना।
दाखिल तिथि: 2026-08-05
via SEC EDGAR
आय का इतिहास
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for SYM, sourced from Markets Gazette.