Universal Music Group N.V. (UMGNF)
OvervaluedFundamental
55
मूल्य
$14.13
मार्केट कैप
$26.04B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Universal Music Group signs recording artists and songwriters, funds and markets their music, and owns the resulting recordings and song rights, collecting money whenever that music is streamed, broadcast, licensed for film and advertising, or sold as a physical record. It is the largest of the three major music companies (alongside Sony Music and Warner Music), with a roster of labels spanning pop, hip-hop, country and classical, and it also runs a publishing arm that owns rights to the songs themselves, separate from the recordings.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Most revenue now comes from digital streaming subscriptions and ad-supported platforms, which pay UMG a share of subscriber fees or advertising revenue based on how often its music is played, plus fixed licensing payments negotiated directly with a handful of large platforms. A smaller share still comes from physical album sales, and Music Publishing earns separately whenever a song UMG controls the rights to is performed, synced to video or covered by another artist, regardless of who recorded it.
सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व
Revenue from streaming, physical sales and licensing of the recordings UMG owns or distributes for its signed artists.
Royalties earned whenever a song UMG controls the rights to is performed, streamed, synced to video or covered by another artist.
Artist merchandise and other smaller revenue lines not broken out separately.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
डिफेंसिवMusic listening is a habitual, low-cost activity that holds up well across the economic cycle, and most revenue now comes from recurring subscriptions rather than discretionary purchases. Growth instead depends on how fast streaming subscriptions and pricing keep expanding worldwide, and on the terms UMG can negotiate with a small number of dominant streaming platforms it depends on for distribution.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Streaming growth may slow — The company names the failure of streaming and subscription adoption or revenue to grow, or to grow as rapidly as anticipated, as a key risk to its results.
- Dependence on a few digital platforms — UMG relies on a small number of large digital service providers for distribution; changes those platforms make to subscription pricing, royalty structures or recommendation algorithms can directly affect UMG's revenue growth.
- Generative AI and copyright uncertainty — The company faces uncertainty from evolving copyright, data privacy and artificial intelligence regulation in the US and Europe, as generative AI raises new questions about how music rights are used and compensated.
- Competition to sign and retain artists — The company names its ability to compete successfully to identify, attract, sign and retain successful recording artists and songwriters as a material risk, since the roster of talent is the source of everything else it sells.
Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$18.37B
अंतिम प्रकाशित तिमाही तक के पिछले 12 महीने — प्रति शेयर मेट्रिक्स से अनुमानित
शुद्ध आय
$315M
अंतिम प्रकाशित तिमाही तक के पिछले 12 महीने — प्रति शेयर मेट्रिक्स से अनुमानित
Free Cash Flow
$1.79B
कुल इक्विटी
$3.60B
कुल देनदारियाँ
$5.56B
Current Ratio
0.61
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
2.52
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$11.16
वर्तमान मूल्य
$14.13
Margin of Safety
-26.6%
Fair Value सीमा
$7.25 - $15.07
इस्तेमाल किए गए valuation methods के बीच का फैलाव, कोई सांख्यिकीय रूप से calibrated confidence interval नहीं।
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
81.47
ROE
7.7%
P/B Ratio
7.13
P/FCF
14.53
Gross Margin
28.6%
ROIC
16.5%
लाभप्रदता Radar
मूल्य सृजन (प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त)
ROIC
16.5%
WACC
9.2%
ROIC − WACC
+7.3 pp
ROIC पूंजी की लागत से अधिक है — कंपनी शेयरधारकों के लिए मूल्य सृजित कर रही है।
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (12)
- ROIC 16.5%
- P/FCF 14.53
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 22.9%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 7.9%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 11.0%
- Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 8.1%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.08
फेल (9)
- Price CAGR -7.68%
- Gross Margin 28.6%
- P/B Ratio 7.13
- Current Ratio
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- PEG Ratio 4.26
- Net Margin Trend 12.3% vs 17.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
अनुपलब्ध (6)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
गंभीर वित्तीय चिंताएं
Earnings गुणवत्ता
उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित
शेयर Dilution
शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल
संस्थागत होल्डिंग
इस कंपनी के लिए कोई संस्थागत घोषणा उपलब्ध नहीं है।
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Sir Lucian Grainge CBE | Chairman & CEO | 65 |
| Mr. Vincent Vallejo | Deputy CEO of Corporate & Executive Director | 64 |
| Mr. Matthew D. Ellis | Chief Financial Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Boyd Muir | Executive VP & COO | 65 |
| Mr. Will Tanous | Executive VP & Chief Administrative Officer | 56 |
| Mr. Jeffrey Harleston J.D. | General Counsel and Executive VP of Business & Legal Affairs | 63 |
| Mr. Eric Hutcherson | Executive VP and Chief People & Inclusion Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Michael Nash | Executive VP & Chief Digital Officer | 68 |
| Ms. Tseyin Foo | President of Global Supply Chain | - |
| Mr. Philippe Flageul | Executive VP & Controller | 60 |
Audit जोखिम
4
बोर्ड जोखिम
1
मुआवजा जोखिम
10
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
4
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
Latest News
Recent headlines for UMGNF, sourced from Markets Gazette.