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McDonald's Corp (MCD)

Fair Value
Consumer CyclicalRestaurantsUnited States

Fondamentale

74

Prezzo

$231.74

Capitalizzazione

$165.31B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale l'azienda

Panoramica

McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

Per questa società non c'è ancora una scheda redazionale

Concorrenti diretti

Con chi questa società si contende gli stessi clienti

Confronta

Generato il 19 settembre 2026 con claude-haiku-4-5 — condiviso con tutti gli utenti

P/E: 17.1Punteggio: 66Capitalizzazione: $37.74B

Con KFC, Taco Bell e Pizza Hut si contende in tutto il mondo le stesse occasioni di pasto veloce e la stessa spesa sui menu a prezzo contenuto.

P/E: 9.7Punteggio: 68Capitalizzazione: $1.22B

Catena di hamburger rivale diretta in Nord America, si contende lo stesso traffico di pranzo, cena e colazione con menu combinati dal prezzo paragonabile.

P/E: 54.3Punteggio: 68Capitalizzazione: $106.76B

Si contende con McCafé e il menu della colazione gli stessi clienti del caffè e del dolce del mattino, una fascia oraria che McDonald's include nel proprio mercato del consumo fuori casa.

Restaurant Brands International Inc.QSR

Con Burger King propone lo stesso menu di hamburger e patatine, alla stessa fascia di prezzo, agli stessi clienti del drive-thru e delle consegne, in quasi tutti i mercati in cui McDonald's è presente.

Chick-fil-A, Inc.Non tracciato

Catena specializzata nel pollo che negli Stati Uniti raccoglie la quota di spesa fast food più alta dopo McDonald's, contendendole gli stessi clienti al drive-thru, ristorante per ristorante.

Subway (Doctor's Associates Inc.)Non tracciato

Catena in franchising di diffusione mondiale e con un numero di punti vendita paragonabile, si contende la stessa occasione di pranzo rapido ed economico nelle stesse posizioni di passaggio.

Stato Patrimoniale e Liquidità

Ricavi

$27.70B

Ultimi 12 mesi (al 30/06/2026)

Utile Netto

$8.79B

Ultimi 12 mesi (al 30/06/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$7.19B

Patrimonio Netto Totale

$-1.79B

Passività Totali

$61.31B

Rapporto di Liquidità

1.08

Copertura Interessi

7.88

Debito/EBITDA

4.25

Utile per Azione

Ricavi e Utile Netto

Free Cash Flow

Scomposizione Ricavi

Prospetto storico

Margini nel tempo

Il debito nel tempo

Quanto pesa il debito

Griglia della crescita

Crescita — Ricavi

Stima del Fair Value

Caso generaleCorrettamente Valutato

Fair Value

$293.76

Prezzo Attuale

$231.74

Margine di Sicurezza

+21.1%

Range Fair Value

$229.29 - $358.23

Intervallo di dispersione tra i metodi di valutazione usati, non una stima statisticamente calibrata.

Metodi di Stima

Target degli analisti:$299.90
Flussi di cassa scontati (DCF):$361.03
Multiplo sugli utili (P/E):$225.68
Formula di Graham:$387.60
Valore della capacità di reddito (EPV):$177.81
P/B giustificato:$178.08
Sconto dei dividendi (Gordon):$186.55
P/FFO, i fondi da operazioni:$203.95
Utili di mezzo ciclo:$169.21
Multiplo sui ricavi:$66.78
Consenso Analisti:Buy (25B / 15H / 1S)
Ultima Sorpresa Utili:+0.93%

Metriche di Valutazione

Rapporto P/E

18.76

ROE

-478.1%

Rapporto P/B

-

P/FCF

21.06

Margine Lordo

-

ROIC

18.1%

Radar Redditività

Creazione di Valore (Vantaggio Competitivo)

ROIC

18.1%

WACC

6.6%

ROIC − WACC

+11.5 pp

Il ROIC supera il costo del capitale: l'azienda sta creando valore per gli azionisti.

Criteri di Analisi Fondamentale

Superati (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 10.50%
  • Price CAGR 7.57%
  • ROIC 18.1%
  • P/FCF 21.06
  • Operating Margin 46.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 95.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 61% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.39
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.29
  • Share Dilution -0.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Non superati (4)

  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 31.7% vs 32.2%

Non disponibili (5)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Segnali misti: alcune aree necessitano attenzione

score
criteria

Qualità degli Utili

1.29

Alta qualità: utili supportati da cash

Diluizione Azionaria

-0.7%

Riacquisto azioni. Favorevole agli azionisti

Partecipazioni istituzionali

Governance

Team Dirigenziale

NomeRuoloEtà
Mr. Christopher J. KempczinskiChairman President, & CEO56
Mr. Ian Frederick Borden CPAExecutive VP & Global CFO56
Ms. Gillian McDonaldExecutive Vice President & Global Chief Restaurant Experience Officer59
Mr. Joseph ErlingerAdvisor51
Mr. Manuel J.M. SteijaertExecutive VP & President of International Operated Markets54
Ms. Lauren B. Elting CPAVP, Chief Accounting Officer & Corporate Controller43
Mr. Brian S. RiceExecutive VP & Global Chief Information Officer62
Mr. Dexter P. CongbalayVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Desiree A. Ralls-Morrison J.D.Executive VP & Global Chief Legal Officer58
Ms. E. Morgan FlatleyExecutive VP and Global Chief Marketing Officer & New Business Ventures51

Rischio Audit

6

Rischio CdA

5

Rischio Compensi

2

Rischio Diritti Azionisti

7

Parte 2 · Il prezzo e il momento d'ingresso

Questa parte non serve a capire se l'azienda vale: serve a scegliere quando comprarla, dopo che i fondamentali ti hanno convinto. Dentro: analisi tecnica, potenziale, drawdown storici, esposizione gamma.

Documenti

  • Relazione annuale (10-K)

    Una panoramica annuale del business, dei risultati finanziari e dei rischi dell'azienda.

    Depositato il 2026-02-24

    Vedi documento
  • Relazione trimestrale (10-Q)

    Un aggiornamento sull'andamento finanziario degli ultimi tre mesi.

    Depositato il 2026-08-07

    Vedi documento
  • Comunicazione price-sensitive (8-K)

    Una comunicazione su un evento importante, come un cambio ai vertici o un grande annuncio.

    Depositato il 2026-09-23

    Vedi documento

via SEC EDGAR

Storico Ricavi

via SEC EDGAR

Ultime Notizie

Ultime notizie per MCD, da Markets Gazette.

  • 5d agoNEGATIVE
    McDonald’s Selloff Hits 30% as Big Mac Inflation Spurs Pushback

    McDonald's Corporation's stock has experienced a significant sell-off, dropping approximately 30%, as consumers push back against perceived menu price inflation. The company is facing a critical challenge in regaining cost-conscious diners who view the Big Mac and other items as too expensive. This pricing pressure directly impacts same-store sales and overall revenue growth, raising concerns about the company's ability to maintain market share and profitability in the fast-food sector. Investors are closely watching the company's strategic response to this consumer sentiment shift.

  • 7d agoPOSITIVE
    McDonald’s bets $8.5 billion on a productivity makeover across more than 46,000 restaurants

    McDonald's is investing $8.5 billion in a significant productivity and technology overhaul targeting over 46,000 global restaurants. This strategic move aims to enhance operational efficiency and drive growth by optimizing existing locations, particularly as the pace of new unit expansion moderates. The investment will focus on improving speed of service, enhancing digital customer experiences, and streamlining back-of-house operations. For investors, this initiative signals a commitment to long-term value creation through operational excellence, potentially leading to improved margins and sustained revenue growth.

  • 8d agoNEGATIVE
    McDonald’s is making a historic bet on chicken — and AI — to bring back customers

    McDonald's is reportedly making a significant strategic shift towards chicken-based menu innovation and AI integration to revitalize customer traffic. However, investor sentiment appears cautious, with recent analyst commentary highlighting a historical struggle for the company to achieve breakthroughs in chicken product innovation. The market's lukewarm reception to new McNugget flavor introductions suggests that these initiatives may not immediately translate into increased sales or market share, posing a challenge to the company's turnaround strategy.

  • 8d agoPOSITIVE
    McDonald's Billion-Dollar Plan; Cracker Barrel Gains on Forecast | Stock Movers

    McDonald's Corporation is investing approximately $8.5 billion to enhance its franchise operations, focusing on food quality, service improvements, and operational efficiency. This significant capital allocation signals a commitment to long-term growth and brand strengthening. The move is expected to boost franchisee profitability and customer satisfaction, potentially leading to increased same-store sales and market share. Investors will be watching for the tangible results of this investment in the coming fiscal years, as it aims to solidify McDonald's competitive advantage in the fast-food industry.

  • 8/4/2026NEUTRAL
    McDonald’s CEO turns to a trusted lieutenant with a turnaround record to revive its biggest market

    McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski has appointed Skye Anderson to lead the turnaround efforts in the company's largest market. Anderson, known for successfully handling challenging assignments, will focus on revitalizing sales growth and strengthening McDonald's value proposition. This strategic move signals a proactive approach to address potential market challenges and enhance customer engagement. Investors will be watching closely to see if Anderson's proven track record translates into tangible improvements in performance and market share for McDonald's.

  • 8/4/2026NEGATIVE
    McDonald’s Replaces US Boss After Slowest Growth in Over a Year

    McDonald's Corporation has appointed a new US president amid its slowest growth period in over a year. This leadership change aims to inject 'focus and urgency' into the domestic market. The company's recent performance indicates challenges in maintaining its growth trajectory, prompting this strategic move. Investors will be watching closely to see if the new leadership can revitalize sales and market share in the critical US segment, especially as competitors like Yum! Brands face their own issues.

via Markets Gazette